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View Full Version : Alliance Scores Histogram


Ether
16-04-2013, 19:48
Weeks 1 thru 7: ... 77 Events, 2509 Teams, 12806 Alliance Scores for 6403 Qual Matches.

ablatner
16-04-2013, 21:18
Could you post the data as an ogive?

Ether
16-04-2013, 22:12
Could you post the data as an ogive?
Yes.

ablatner
16-04-2013, 22:27
Thanks!

Dreams2Reality
17-04-2013, 00:51
Can you post a chart for MSC only as a comparison?

Ether
17-04-2013, 08:52
Can you post a chart for MSC only as a comparison?....

Racer26
17-04-2013, 09:30
Yeeeeah. MSC was a whole different game. The competition level was unmatched, the only regionals that even got close were Waterloo and GTRWest, and they don't even hold a candle to it.

Way to go Michigan!

Nemo
17-04-2013, 10:07
D is for Data, that's good enough for me...

[munch munch munch munch]

Ether
17-04-2013, 10:11
Yeeeeah. MSC was a whole different game. The competition level was unmatched, the only regionals that even got close were Waterloo and GTRWest, and they don't even hold a candle to it.

Way to go Michigan!...

Racer26
17-04-2013, 11:26
That last graph is a bit deceiving since you took the 'all events' line off.

Visually, GTRWest+Waterloo look like they match the 'all events' line, relative to MSC, but in actuality, they're quite a bit stronger if you look at the numbers.

Racer26
17-04-2013, 11:34
The graphs are interesting though.

Unsurprising that GTRW/Waterloo are very similar (both late season, both in the same geographical region, and both with MANY of the same teams).

Whats interesting to me is the slope differential. MAR seems to have a taller slope (which I believe equates to a narrower band of 'average' scores, meaning tighter competition), but the top end lines up with GTRWest and Waterloo fairly well, while MSC is stronger.

I think that would suggest that GTRW/Waterloo/MAR all have fairly similar max-score (which I would say is primarily a function of the 'best 2' robots), while MSC is higher throughout the curve. It also suggests to me that MAR's midrange teams are on average stronger, which makes sense, since its an invitation only event.

M.O'Reilly
17-04-2013, 11:42
Pretty cool/relieving to see the data support that MARC was a tough event. Not as tough as MSC, but also there are about half the teams in the region, so the competition won't be quite as high at MARC. Until this point, MARC was receiving a lot of criticism for well known teams declining to attend. I also couldn't help but notice that the game strategy in the region was a little different than every where else due to the defensive, rough-and-tumble nature of many teams in the area. Motors ran hot at the conclusion of each match.

M.O'Reilly
17-04-2013, 11:46
The graphs are interesting though.

I think that would suggest that GTRW/Waterloo/MAR all have fairly similar max-score (which I would say is primarily a function of the 'best 2' robots), while MSC is higher throughout the curve. It also suggests to me that MAR's midrange teams are on average stronger, which makes sense, since its an invitation only event.

I think the data actually suggests that max match scores at the Canada events were higher than MAR (b/c of aforementioned teams), but there was a faster drop-off in competition after the top teams. Whereas MAR had lower maximums and consistently higher average scores as you said. The lack of many floor pick-up bots, and fast 30 point climbers kept max scores in check. Matches were shoot 'til you die, and if you can't cycle 4 times, you can't keep up, so play defense. In nearly every elim. match, at least one side went through all white and colored discs at the loader station.

Ether
17-04-2013, 12:56
A histogram may answer some of the questions.

DonRotolo
18-04-2013, 21:21
Well, that 171 score in MAR is ours...and we lost that match :ahh:

Thank you Ether for posting all this data.

ToddF
21-04-2013, 13:26
Would it be possible to report on winning match scores only?

Ether
21-04-2013, 14:55
Would it be possible to report on winning match scores only?

Do you mean a histogram of alliance winning scores?

ToddF
21-04-2013, 15:25
Yes. Histogram and ogive. It's interesting to put the data for all the alliances and just the winning alliance scores on the same graph.

Ether
21-04-2013, 16:16
Yes. Histogram and ogive. It's interesting to put the data for all the alliances and just the winning alliance scores on the same graph.

Check back later this evening. I'm pulling the wheels and inspecting the brakes on my daughter's car right now.

Ether
21-04-2013, 16:40
Check back later this evening. I'm pulling the wheels and inspecting the brakes on my daughter's car right now.

Never seen this before. Does anyone know how to get the hubcaps off a 98 Chevy Lumina? The "lugnuts" appear to be plastic. Old-fashioned prying of the hubcap rim doesn't seem to be the solution, so... are those plastic "lugnuts" holding the hubcap on? And if so, am I supposed to pry them off or screw them off (and if so, left or right?).

If it were my car, I'd just put a tire iron on it and find out. But it's my daughter's car...

qzrrbz
21-04-2013, 16:57
GM had a few years where the plastic lugnuts screwed onto the real ones underneath. Try a soft set of vise grips to unscrew the plastic ones. Is there a lugnut key in the glove box somewhere, too?

Ether
21-04-2013, 17:02
unscrew the plastic ones

are the threads left or right handed?

Joe Ross
21-04-2013, 18:27
Never seen this before. Does anyone know how to get the hubcaps off a 98 Chevy Lumina? The "lugnuts" appear to be plastic. Old-fashioned prying of the hubcap rim doesn't seem to be the solution, so... are those plastic "lugnuts" holding the hubcap on? And if so, am I supposed to pry them off or screw them off (and if so, left or right?).

If it were my car, I'd just put a tire iron on it and find out. But it's my daughter's car...




See step 6. http://www.ehow.com/how_2314153_change-flat-tire-1996-chevrolet.html

Ether
21-04-2013, 19:22
Well I followed Step6 and broke the plastic nut off. Underneath it was what looked for all the world like another plastic nut.

Life was a lot simpler with my 67 Impala, 68 Camaro, and 72 LeMans.

Flimsor
21-04-2013, 19:49
I'm curious, what was the high score for all matches?

Ether
21-04-2013, 21:03
Todd, is this what you had in mind? I can change it if not.

ToddF
21-04-2013, 22:03
I had in mind "wins" and "all".

You will see why in a day or so...

Ether
21-04-2013, 22:10
I had in mind "wins" and "all".

Do you want "all" to be "wins+losses" or "wins+losses+ties"?

Do you want the Y axis to be a percentage or a number of scores?

Ether
21-04-2013, 22:34
3216 red wins
3127 blue wins
60 ties
----
6403 total matches

ToddF
22-04-2013, 07:14
"all" = "wins+losses+ties"

Y axis to be a percentage

Ether
22-04-2013, 08:51
Y axis to be a percentage

Would you like it to be a percentage of:

1) all/all, and wins/wins, or

2) all/all, and wins/all ?

Chris Fultz
22-04-2013, 09:07
Crossroads seemed to be a high scoring event, especially elims.
Can you add it to the histogram with the few other events?

ToddF
22-04-2013, 11:27
Would you like it to be a percentage of:

1) all/all, and wins/wins, or

2) all/all, and wins/all ?




1) all/all, and wins/wins

Just out of curiosity, what software tool are you using? I just had a class in mathcad, and am developing a tool to predict match scores. I'm using your data from this year to check it.

Joe Ross
22-04-2013, 12:00
Crossroads seemed to be a high scoring event, especially elims.
Can you add it to the histogram with the few other events?

Chris, you might be interested in Jim Zondag's plot that compares all events both in average OPR and in competitiveness (standard deviation of OPR). http://www.chiefdelphi.com/forums/showpost.php?p=1261860&postcount=21

Ether
22-04-2013, 12:04
1) all/all, and wins/wins

OK, see attached.

Just out of curiosity, what software tool are you using?

AWK scripts: parse/sort/select raw data and perform simple math
RLaB or Delphi: all the linear algebra stuff for least squares (e.g. OPR etc)
Excel and/or gnuplot: charts & graphs

I just had a class in mathcad, and am developing a tool to predict match scores. I'm using your data from this year to check it.

Do you want the histogram and ogive data?

Ether
22-04-2013, 12:11
Crossroads seemed to be a high scoring event, especially elims.
Can you add it to the histogram with the few other events?

Sure. I'll work on that next.

Ether
22-04-2013, 13:04
Sure. I'll work on that next....

ToddF
22-04-2013, 14:35
One more refinement... Can you change the units on the histogram from percent to number of matches?

Ether
22-04-2013, 14:38
One more refinement... Can you change the units on the histogram from percent to number of matches?

OK. Give me a few minutes.

Ether
22-04-2013, 14:50
OK. Give me a few minutes.

attached

ToddF
22-04-2013, 14:56
Lovely. Thanks.

ToddF
23-04-2013, 13:27
To make the ogive graph from post #35 even more interesting, could you add the (L+T) ogive?

Ether
23-04-2013, 15:26
To make the ogive graph from post #35 even more interesting, could you add the (L+T) ogive?...

Ether
23-04-2013, 16:06
Does anyone have the Qual Match Results data for 2012 or earlier years in a delimited, fixed-field, or CSV text file? I've had a request to post some comparative graphs for previous years but I don't have the data handy.

Micah Chetrit
02-05-2013, 22:09
Do you mind making a championship version of this? I'd like to see how much champs is better than this. Thanks!

Ether
03-05-2013, 10:39
Do you mind making a championship version of this?What does the pronoun "this" refer to? There are many different charts in this thread, and there's no context in your post available for disambiguation.

Attached is an ogive of CMP vs MSC for comparison.

Micah Chetrit
06-05-2013, 17:44
What does the pronoun "this" refer to? There are many different charts in this thread, and there's no context in your post available for disambiguation.

Attached is an ogive of CMP vs MSC for comparison.

My bad, I was wanting to see CMP vs week 1-7 as an ogive, although the graph you posted is very interesting. thanks!

vishnum
06-05-2013, 18:16
What software do you use to make these graphs?

geomapguy
06-05-2013, 18:35
How about the events in Texas-Louisiana vs. MSC and overall

Alamo
Bayou
Dallas
Hub City
Lone Star

MrRiedemanJACC
06-05-2013, 22:53
Am I reading this that MSC was at the 50% level 30 points per alliance higher than the Championship? At the 90% it was almost 20 points higher?