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-   -   Car Nack Predicts 13-3 (http://www.chiefdelphi.com/forums/showthread.php?t=111676)

Car Nack 20-01-2013 12:10

Car Nack Predicts 13-3
 
Car Nack predicts 13-3

Surprisingly there will be a least one match where all three robots on an alliance will score 30 climbing points.

Car Nack has spoken.

mjustice66 20-01-2013 12:15

Re: Car Nack Predicts 13-3
 
Wow :yikes: that is a bold prediction, but if it was going to happen I think you could only see it at MSC or IRI.

Andrew Lawrence 20-01-2013 12:18

Re: Car Nack Predicts 13-3
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by mjustice66 (Post 1219066)
Wow :yikes: that is a bold prediction, but if it was going to happen I think you could only see it at MSC or IRI.

Or SVR...

ehfeinberg 20-01-2013 12:22

Re: Car Nack Predicts 13-3
 
I think Car Nack made his first prediction without realizing how many teams were going to attempt the 30 point climb. Now after seeing how many teams are going after it, there probably will be at least 1 match with 3 30 point climbs

EricH 20-01-2013 12:25

Re: Car Nack Predicts 13-3
 
Car Nack did not specify that EACH robot would score 30 climbing points. Therefore, I agree with Car Nack, and suggest that it will happen at most if not all regionals.

3 robots at 10 points apiece is all three robots on an alliance scoring 30 climbing points. Or 1 robot at 20 and 1 at 10...

Jeffy 20-01-2013 12:35

Re: Car Nack Predicts 13-3
 
I think this prediction is made even more viable based on the number of teams who are choosing to only climb. For the most part, these are teams with lower resources and often not very competitive bots.
But this year:
If half of the not usually competitive teams complete the challenge to climb for 30, then you may end up seeing regionals with 20+ 30 point climbers.

Another reason this game might be the best^.

LeelandS 20-01-2013 12:55

Re: Car Nack Predicts 13-3
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by EricH (Post 1219071)
Car Nack did not specify that EACH robot would score 30 climbing points. Therefore, I agree with Car Nack, and suggest that it will happen at most if not all regionals.

3 robots at 10 points apiece is all three robots on an alliance scoring 30 climbing points. Or 1 robot at 20 and 1 at 10...

I could be wrong, but I think the intent of the prediction was that each robot scores 30 climbing points, with all of them in the top zone of the pyramid.

I would agree with Car Nack's prediction (and certainly with your's too, Eric). I can see a large amount (but not a "vast majority") of teams aiming for the 30 point climb. Not many (i.e. few) of them will be "reliable" or "consistent", but I can easily see a match where things just line up perfectly at some regionals.

Racer26 20-01-2013 13:22

Re: Car Nack Predicts 13-3
 
If this happens, I am fairly certain it would be during qualifications, or from a #8 seed. The top few seeded alliances just don't have enough field depth left to choose from at all events except maybe MSC, IRI, or CMP.

Cory 20-01-2013 14:39

Re: Car Nack Predicts 13-3
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Jeffy (Post 1219074)
I think this prediction is made even more viable based on the number of teams who are choosing to only climb. For the most part, these are teams with lower resources and often not very competitive bots.
But this year:
If half of the not usually competitive teams complete the challenge to climb for 30, then you may end up seeing regionals with 20+ 30 point climbers.

Another reason this game might be the best^.

I don't think so. A team who normally makes a not very competitive bot is very likely to fail if they are trying to 30 point climb.

xSAWxBLADEx 20-01-2013 16:58

Re: Car Nack Predicts 13-3
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Cory (Post 1219112)
I don't think so. A team who normally makes a not very competitive bot is very likely to fail if they are trying to 30 point climb.

I agree. A lot of people are underestimating how easy it is to pick up from the HP, shoot, and 10 point hang.

IndySam 20-01-2013 19:30

Re: Car Nack Predicts 13-3
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Jeffy (Post 1219074)
I think this prediction is made even more viable based on the number of teams who are choosing to only climb. For the most part, these are teams with lower resources and often not very competitive bots.
But this year:
If half of the not usually competitive teams complete the challenge to climb for 30, then you may end up seeing regionals with 20+ 30 point climbers.

Another reason this game might be the best^.

This assumption is counter intuitive.

Climbing for 30 points is the most difficult task of all my years in FIRST. Many low resource teams might try but the vast majority will fail. My advise to low resource teams is make a human loaded shooter. This is a brazillion times easier to do than climb for 30.

Koko Ed 20-01-2013 19:45

Re: Car Nack Predicts 13-3
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by IndySam (Post 1219203)
This assumption is counter intuitive.

Climbing for 30 points is the most difficult task of all my years in FIRST. Many low resource teams might try but the vast majority will fail. My advise to low resource teams is make a human loaded shooter. This is a brazillion times easier to do than climb for 30.

Alot of low performers would rather fail spectacularly than go for the low hanging fruit. For some reason they see inspiration in this.

Kusha 20-01-2013 19:49

Re: Car Nack Predicts 13-3
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Koko Ed (Post 1219207)
Alot of low performers would rather fail spectacularly than go for the low hanging fruit. For some reason they see inspiration in this.

As a "low performer" (Don't worry we're only hanging on the 10). We often over estimate our capabilities, ex looking on chiefdelphi and going "Oh we can do that" and spending 4 weeks and never figuring out how to do x thing. This year we've done as much as our team is able to do, and so far so good, we have a working shooter and working robot on week 3, which is unheard of.

And low performer is quite hurtful, we prefer overly optimistic. Calling our team low performing is not that motivating.

Koko Ed 20-01-2013 19:56

Re: Car Nack Predicts 13-3
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Kusha (Post 1219210)
As a "low performer" (Don't worry we're only hanging on the 10). We often over estimate our capabilities, ex looking on chiefdelphi and going "Oh we can do that" and spending 4 weeks and never figuring out how to do x thing. This year we've done as much as our team is able to do, and so far so good, we have a working shooter and working robot on week 3, which is unheard of.

And low performer is quite hurtful, we prefer overly optimistic. Calling our team low performing is not that motivating.

Well FIRST is filled with many overly optimistic teams that could do themselves (and their partners) a favor and take a step back and build robots that will actually perform. They may actually find themselves working on Saturday afternoon because of it.

dellagd 20-01-2013 21:14

Re: Car Nack Predicts 13-3
 
Is "Car Nack Predicts" A tradition on chief delphi? Does anyone know the story behind it?


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