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Predictions Week 3: Creating Flow
If variety is the spice of life, Ultimate Ascent is one spicy dish. The 2013 FRC challenge has produced far more strategic and design variety than any game since 2004. While slight differences in features led to different strategic and tactical approaches to many previous games, there's been a great deal of homogenization in FRC in recent years. Generally speaking, there haven't been more than two or three "classes" of common robots since the start of the 3v3 era. 2013, however, already has at least four distinguishable classes, with a multitude of sub-sets of each; pyramid shooters (with and without ground loading or the ability to move underneath the pyramid), full court shooters (tall and short), defenders (shot blockers, lane cloggers, and under pyramid), and climbers (20, 30, and dumpers).
In large part, it's because "do everything" bots simply aren't plausible for the vast majority of the FRC population this season, even counting the FRC royalty. From 2008-2012, building a robot capable of all the game functions was well within the reach of a very large portion of veteran teams. And where sacrifice was required, it was relatively minor. For instance, a team might forgo travelling under the tunnel in 2010 in favor of a hanging mechanism. 2013 is a beast of a different nature, with wildly differing tasks that require significant effort to accomplish in a satisfactory manner. Even the top tier teams have aspects they completely neglected to pursue, and mechanisms that aren't as consistent as we've come to expect. How many top tier teams had 30-pt climbing mechanisms that never saw action at their first event? This increase in the variety of robot is leading to a plethora of different alliance structures and strategies. While teams typically stick within the style of play that develops at their event, that style varies dramatically depending on the quantities and effectiveness of particular types of robots. Northern Lights was all about full court shooters, as a number of top flight teams were draining shots from the opposite corner. If you were to bring that up with a competitor at most other events this weekend (save perhaps Waterford), it would differ tremendously from their experience. Some alliances are all about run-and-gun, while others try to slow the pace to emphasize autonomous and the end game. It will be interesting to see how much these strategies converge or diverge as the season progresses, and how each field at Championship takes its own personality depending on its demographics. Ultimate Ascent is shaping up to be one of the most dynamic and interesting games in recent memory. Bullet Points:
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The only thing I wanted to point out was the above blurb, since the results only go down by about 0.6 points seedwise for regional winners, but the big thing that was noted on CD concerning upsets was that the second week had a good number of sizeable upsets. The results you have include the 1st week, which fared much better for the higher seeds and skewed the overall data to favour the higher seeds. Without the 1st week, the mean winners had a seed value of 3.364, which is more than a full seed below the 2.014 in 2012. This also doesn't show the details with the low seeds reaching the finals several times, which would show that upsetting teams in general (not just winning upsets) seems to be at an all-time or near-all-time high. |
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I'd watch for 3928's debut at GKC this weekend. That group of mentors + what sound like some motivated students should be one hell of a combo.
http://www.teamneutrino.org/2013/pre...ease/imag2567/ |
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Robots that are under 30" tall have an advantage for this basic strategy because they can "chase" teams trying to go around the blocker through the pyramid. |
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A better comparison would be to track previous games week by week to compare how noisy their data was. |
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Enough good teams here to create some very unfavorable match-ups in qualifications. Can't wait to see how it all plays out. Web-cast = http://www.more.net/first-robotics |
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In another thread (lessons learned from week one) Sean posted about defence and how it was easy to do. What I am shocked about is how bad teams are at playing defence this year. Maybe it is the increased use of Mech or omni wheels, I am not sure. I though you would have seen more defence this year becasue of the win loss system. I am tempted about making a video of how to play defence with this years game.
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They didn't merit a mention in the preview but take my word for it: don't sleep on 3015 in Virginia. They are a prolific scoring machine and they will be heard from in the eliminations there.
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Its nice after so long a time to even be mentioned here. And yes at least
1610 is wary and knows what 3015 could do. I see some of the New York teams and a few locals to do well at VCU this year. |
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1771's school chose not to support the team this year, but many students at Lanier High School, 2 miles away, wanted a team. So, some mentors with 1771 roots are helping out. Not as much cash as 1771, nor the fancy tools and shop, but a scrappy rookie team. Good luck to all at Peachtree! |
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Koko ed thanks for the compliment. 3015 is very excited to be in va, and look forward to working with the teams down here.
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Also, Guerillas and Bedford better watch out for us, we're competing at Detroit! :D |
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Good assessment of 341. We had numerous shooter and intake issues at Hatboro-Horsham, as well as camera issues (the code works great...but the camera kept falling off :))
But we used our 6 hours well, and are showing up with a somewhat different looking robot ;) |
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-Brando |
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Just saw some practice video of 1640- those guys will be gunning for top seed at Chestnut Hill. I could see them or 3974 pairing up with Daisy and taking a fairly easy ride to Blue Bannertown.
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hahaha funny enough 2429's robot is named falco
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looks like he got some of these right...i know he did for VCU
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Team Neutrino has an excellent robot with a very effective seven-disc autonomous. We were delighted to have them on our alliance. I wish them luck at North Star. |
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I have been observing just how many "non-powerhouse" teams that are excelling at this game. Its very nice to see and perhaps a testament to this particular game design.
We could not have won at Springside-Chestnut Hill without the help of Team 225, Tech Fire. This is the first time they have ever been in a regional final in 15 years of play and their teleop scores were an incredible 737 Points. This story seems to be a trend with Ultimate Ascent across FIRST. There are so many teams seeing their very first on-field success. I for one, am "Looking Forward" to many surprises in the weeks ahead. :) |
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Good call on 2474 Excel, Looking Forward. They have a top-class robot and an aggressive drive team. They and 2959 Robotarians will represent the West Coast very well at States. 2000 Rock and 27 Rush made it close -- a shooter jam in the final seconds kept the #2 alliance from completing a three-match upset in the Finals. Side note: look for Excel to show an interesting high-tilt shot later this season. |
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Look for teams at Lenape next weekend to move to block their full court shots next week as I believe their shooter exit is a bit below 60 inches. |
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Your consistent full court shooting was super impressive during qualification matches. So impressive, that it forced every single alliance to throw up tall barriers, forcing you (and 314) to learn a whole new strategy of play in just a few matches; the same strategy that 469 had been practicing for the entire duration of the tournament. For the crazy situation, you guys played extremely well. I strongly believe that had there been less defense, Detroit would have shattered all of the current high scores. Can't wait to see what the next few weeks bring! Great job, and good luck! |
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The sheer effectiveness of 225's nearly unblockable full court shooter led to some of the most interesting game dynamics I've seen this season. Once 225 was in position, they could plunk in 90 points worth of discs in about 45 seconds.
Even a perfectly constructed full height blocking device had difficulty getting in just the right spot to deflect their shots (you had to get so close that fouls/technical fouls were just around the corner if you tried to play the blocking game). All of the elimination matches we played became a game of football - 341 and 1495 trying to escort 225 into the "end zone" while the opposition devoted 2 and sometimes all 3 robots to deny access to the feeder station. There were blocks, pins, jukes, spin moves, and even a couple of tackles as the game within the game unfolded. |
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Do you have any video? |
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To those regulars not at our Regional, the venue seemed quieter without your voices there. But you guys had good weekends as well. 435, congrats on winning the regional, and 1086, congratulation on the Chairman's. If the flow of the field was good, the matches were great. I will honestly say save one match, the eliminations at Virginia were some of the best I've ever seen. They also showed that when you play the game, design your alliance to work as a unit and you're facing a similar alliance, everyone wins. |
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They also have a "stinger" that they use to anchor to the floor, so pushing them vicariously through a second robot positioned in front of them (not in the protected area) is not very effective. |
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I love that so many old vet teams who haven't had a solid season in a long while are getting back into the thick of things this season. Really good to see 225 doing well. At TCNJ, 293 was also doing really well, they haven't exactly had a solid machine since about 2007 or so. 303 also looks to be in much better shape. |
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It seems as if the full court shooter is making a mark this year. Something that people should know (something I found out last week) is that robot starting configuration does not limit you to 60". You can start 84". You sacrifice the ability to go over half court, but it will shut down any 60" tall full-court shooter. Just food for thought! (credit to 3096, the first team I saw do this to block 910 at Detroit district).
Our "Plan B+" attachment is mounted to our hanging hooks and starts at 60" tall and when we extend our hooks is at 66" tall. Not quite 84" but more than 60". We use plywood with a strong fabric in between. Some people thought they could just shoot till it tore. Well it did tear, but never all the way. Remember, you don't have to stuff the shot, just tap it, redirect it a tiny bit, anything to take it off track. |
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A full court shooter is defendable. We just took full advantage of the learning curve that teams must go through. Teams simply had not completely thought it out, nor did they have much time to prepare. So they tried to defend by brute force. It almost worked. But our strong partnership and excellent drive teams held tight against onslaught.
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There was an interesting development in one of the GKC elimination matches with ad hoc blockers. 1987 put a pool noodle contraption on their robot for blocking; sometime during the match the noodles broke & were dragging the floor. After the match the referees were out with a tape measure, checking for a 54" cylinder violation (which fortunately didn't occur). |
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Meanwhile, at the TCNJ regional...defense became an extremely important aspect of the game in elimination matches.
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Having been a part of/worked with 1189 for 5 years now, I can't even begin to say how impressed I am with how much 1189 has improved from last year. For the first time since I joined the team we actually felt like a real contender, and it made the Detroit district one of the best competitions I can remember attending! |
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I know i speak for the rest of my team when i say thank you for all of the compliments.
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http://www.4shared.com/dir/x12_6H6t/public_vids.html |
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Thanks for all the compliments, guys. We couldn't have won without 341. We were lucky enough that our off matches in eliminations didn't coincide with theirs. I personally learned a lot just this weekend while working with them.
Tech Fire is extremely excited about our first win in 15 years, and we hope to use the win to increase excitement about the program in PA's York/Lancaster counties. |
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It's worth noting that at least 3 teams built blockers going into the CH Elims. Of those three, one was a fabric netting, another wood and the third was a polycarb sheet on a pole. The fabric netting was quickly broken, the well constructed wooden blocker added too much weight to the robot it was on and leaded to it being too 'tippy' and the team with the polycarb sheet sacrificed the ability to go under the pyramid to add the blocker. I guess my point here is that 'throwing a blocker on' is a bit more tricky than some people think - especially to do it legally** and without compromising some other machine function. ** See T08: Quote:
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832 however wasn't so lucky. I was hoping the 5th seeded alliance would've followed the same strategy we played previously in the semis. However, 832's blocker didn't fit within the robot frame, so some quick adjustments had to be made, but in the end they were disabled for that final match. |
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Thankfully we got to the bottom of the shooter inconsistency, which had plagued us through all our elimination matches, before we bagged up the robot; so we will be back to 100% at MSC, hopefully with even more to show! edit: Also, thanks! |
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To answer your question, Sean, it's basically all of the above. The big thing though is the drive code; we've finally got truly holonomic drive. The better modules, lower CG and faster finish (more practice) really makes it shine. Thanks for the compliments! |
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I then asked to see the written rule, and he finally said that we could do it, but he would decide to make the inspection take too long--we were only in queue and the alliance on the field had called a timeout. Our initial elimination inspection had taken all of 60 seconds (they just weighed us and glanced at our wider feed chute), but we were asked if we wanted to get out of line and miss the match for at least a 10 minute long inspection. Sorry to rant. It only seemed odd at the time as I'd never heard such a restriction before, but now I'm just upset. The camera's not in real good shape either (the face split off again in that next match). |
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There is no written rule forbidding changes in eliminations. The head referees and inspectors confirmed it for us. We simply had to get 281 re-inspected before the match, and even then, only the weight and additional changes had to be inspected.
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We had teams adding extensions to block full court shooters throughout elims, much to the dismay of the full court shooter. ::rtm:: It seemed easy for the inspectors to either reweigh quickly or look at their previous weight and determine they would still be in compliance. |
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At GKC the (experienced and knowledgable team of) inspectors were available near the field during elims and were granting rapid re-inspections as needed.
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Thanks for the feedback everyone; it's nice to know I wasn't off the deep end on this one. |
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I'd like to have seen your 30 point climber work a little more though, but stuff happens... I should point out that, if you ever have a problem with an inspection call, your first move should be to ask to get/cite the rules. There were some other calls over the weekend where teams immediately asked for the rule to be cited or cited the rule themselves, and got the proper ruling. Just my $0.02 |
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Second, yes as to the rule, but I don't know how FIRST could regulate the amount of time the T10 reinspection takes--nor am I sure I'd want them to. Unfortunately, I don't see a whole lot of regulatory recourse for an unecessarily long (or for that matter, unnecessarily short) reinspection. I don't mean that as a complaint--if anything I guess I mean teams might want to keep such scenarios in mind. |
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In general, inspectors will do everything in their power to get teams ONTO the field, not keep them OFF the field. If you've ever hung around an inspection table on practice day, you'll see the LRI directing RI's to help teams that are in danger of missing their first Qualification matches. Not every RI is perfect, and quite frankly some would be better placed in other volunteer roles. That is why every regional has an LRI in attempts to keep team experience as consistent as possible. If you are having trouble with a particular RI, please request the assistance of your LRI. Robot Inspectors are your friend! -Mike PS. I personally had a blast robot inspecting for the first time this year. What a great way to get to know teams and the incredible students who know their robots so well! I highly recommend any post-high school FIRST alum give inspecting a try! |
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When something weird happens, send a pre-college student to the question box for further clarification.
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When a questionable call is made, a call is missed, or we see something obviously illegal happen, we send a student (most often our driver) to the question box. Usually, he's sent there with/by a mentor who stays within ear shot and has a tablet with both the rules and Q&A at the ready. This doesn't always help with a call for the previous match, but we've found that with persistent questioning, the calls will improve over the course of an event. Also, on the subject of changes and repairs done between elimination matches: Quote:
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In 1640's case, their machine had a camera. The camera was in a less than ideal spot, so they made the decision to move it. IMO, that's CLEARLY 're-configuring' a mechanism and therefore legal. It wasn't like they didn't have a camera to begin with and suddenly decided to add one... (as is often true with blocking mechanisms) Any way, it seems like we should all keep our rule books at the ready. We're going to need them. |
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Regardless of how it's being interpreted., I think it's pretty clear tweaking a camera's position is legal under T08/T10. Quote:
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Great job out there!! |
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Neal brings up a good point regarding draft strategy. There have been times where there have been teams that would have been a better fit with us, but we picked a different team just so we didn't have to play against them. It's not always about what is going to make your alliance score the highest. Sometimes you have to say, "what is our weakness and who is going to exploit it?" Then it's about the tradeoffs. |
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Seriously, Siri, that inspector who gave you a hard time needs to be educated. Hopefully, they will listen and change their ways. Sincerely, Andy |
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Thanks Don, Andy and everyone else. For those who are curious, I'm told the incident has now be fully relayed to the event LRI. Thanks for the support everyone, we needed it.
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