Re: Greater Toronto Regional West 2013
 

Yes, according to the FTA's this is normal if the system is not getting information from the FMS. their still working on the network connection. Should be up soon.

Re: Greater Toronto Regional West 2013
 

1310 just gave 2056 a loss. Could change the top of the standings depending on how tomorrow morning goes.

Re: Greater Toronto Regional West 2013
 

I've noticed 2056 has had some major shooting issues this morning. They have been getting jammed, and missing a decent amount of auton shots.

Re: Greater Toronto Regional West 2013
 

It appears to be working now.

http://www2.usfirst.org/2013comp/Eve...chresults.html
http://www2.usfirst.org/2013comp/Eve.../rankings.html

Re: Greater Toronto Regional West 2013
 

So I've been playing around with the data and watching the competition all day and wrote a quick script to "predict" winners of each match. So far it is working quite well, maybe it will be of use to people (Note: this is not my team's analysis, I'm not with them right now as I've graduated high school):

https://docs.google.com/spreadsheet/...UE&usp=sharing

Edit: Does anyone know which matches had robots tipping over?

Edit 2: Simulated rankings are now available.

Re: Greater Toronto Regional West 2013
 

What's it making predictions based on?

Re: Greater Toronto Regional West 2013
 

Public available data for the regional so far. The current rankings and standings and some "heuristics" (really bad guesses, maybe not that bad, i don't really know).

Re: Greater Toronto Regional West 2013
 

Well, that didn't answer my question at all.

I'm interested in your 'heuristics'. OPR is a popular choice for such things.

Re: Greater Toronto Regional West 2013
 

No where near as complicated as OPR (I just did something simple as I created the spreadsheet in ... 15 minutes?). Used all local data (just from this competition, not scouting data... so everything is binned).

Very simple heuristics: Pretty much just added up a normalized version of each team's points as listed in their standings and then added the teams' together.

So this is probably wrong, but then my cross-validation set did fairly well.. (although i don't have a lot of that either) so I'm rolling with it for now.

I wish I had our scouting data.. but then I'm 500km away on a computer... so..

Re: Greater Toronto Regional West 2013
 

Do you mean to say you took a team's mean score, and summed those for teams in a match to come up with the predictions?

If so... seems... wrong, but its predicting with reasonably good accuracy.

Re: Greater Toronto Regional West 2013
 

Pretty much and IDK if the second statement is a statement or a question.?

It's predicting with reasonably good accuracy so maybe something is right. Proceed with caution. I'm looking around for more data... but I don't want to dig through historical records because this is more of a fun project for me to procrastinate on.

The predictions on tomorrow's matches seems to be following what intuitions (mine, some people I know) say.. so maybe there's some merits to this.

We shall find out tomorrow.

Re: Greater Toronto Regional West 2013
 

It did perdict the 2056 loss so you have something going here.

Re: Greater Toronto Regional West 2013
 

Against 1114

Re: Greater Toronto Regional West 2013
 

2056 has not played 1114 yet

Re: Greater Toronto Regional West 2013
 

Yeah, this is a prediction/guess