Re: 2014 Predicted Event Calendar
 

There's really no need for this thread anymore since FIRST has now taken up the slack.

Re: 2014 Predicted Event Calendar
 

It is a shame the Lone Star Regional and Silicon Valley Regional have the same dates. Lone Star was a great regional and the people that we met there made a good event even better. It was well worth the travel.

Re: 2014 Predicted Event Calendar
 

I guess Frank's blog post kinda makes this thread moot, eh?

Re: 2014 Predicted Event Calendar
 

I'm more than excited about this. And chalk up another thousand points for Frank Merrick and his wonderful staff at FIRST. They're awesome!

Yeah, if a mod could close this thread, it's no longer needed. :D

Re: 2014 Predicted Event Calendar
 

Don't close the thread yet-- it's time for post-game analysis :)

Now that the schedule-in-progress has been released, we've been given a great opportunity to compare our best predictive effort with the actual data at one particular moment in time. With this data we might be able to inform or improve future prediction efforts.

How well did we do? (or, Are we as smart as we think we are?)
Out of our 36 predictions,

• 25 (69.5%) were correct
• 2 (5.5%) were incorrect
• 9 (25%) are unknown at the time of this post

The two incorrect predictions are:

• Orlando Regional, predicted week 2, actual week 3
• Silicon Valley Regional, predicted week 5, actual week 6

The nine (at this time) unknown predictions are:

• Pittsburgh Regional, predicted week 3
• FIRST Tech Valley Regional, predicted week 3
• Greater Kansas City Regional, predicted week 4
• SBPLI Regional, predicted week 5
• Sacramento Regional, predicted week 5
• Peachtree Regional, predicted week 5
• Hawaii Regional, predicted week 5
• Las Vagas Regional, predicted week 6
• New York City Regional, predicted week 6

Where did we go wrong?
Both of these incorrect predictions stemmed from the assumption that the regional dates would need to align with the spring break of the host university. That's University of Central Florida for the Orlando Regional, and San Jose State University for the Silicon Valley Regional. Further work is needed to determine exactly why this assumption was incorrect (e.g. did the universities change their policy in regards to hosting public events while school is in session?).

What is still left to predict?
Still on the table are the nine events listed above, plus all the events listed as 31-Dec-2014 on the official FRC event calendar.

Re: 2014 Predicted Event Calendar
 

I see on the FIRST site that Peachtree is still showing as "preliminary", but now has published dates of 3/12 - 3/15 (Week 3). Can anyone shed any light on this?

Re: 2014 Predicted Event Calendar
 

That is interesting.

Last I heard (two weeks ago), the plan was still for week 5. We were actually going to be a part of a sports event, so it meant a decent amount of publicity.

Although, that was two weeks ago. There's a number of things that could've changed since then (including the locking down of Palmetto and DC for week 5).

- Sunny G.

Re: 2014 Predicted Event Calendar
 

Actually, Palmetto is confirmed for week 1 :yikes:. DC and Smoky Mountain are in Week 5 per the FIRST site. Week 3 coincides with a scheduled day off for our students, so the chances for a return to Peachtree to defend our first (and only) title may have improved.

Re: 2014 Predicted Event Calendar
 

I don't know if this qualifies as a sports event (you might be thinking about GRITS?). The plan is to have the regional run the last few days of the Atlanta Science Festival.

http://atlantasciencefestival.org/

From everything I have heard, the plan is for week 5 for Peachtree, but I guess that's up in the air until the 'preliminary' is removed from the official schedule.

Just checked the official schedule, looks like it's officially week 5 from March 27-29.

Re: 2014 Predicted Event Calendar
 

Sorry, I meant SMR (Smokey Mountain Regional).

At the same weekend as Peacthree, apparently there's some sort of basketball tournament going on. It means hell for parking, but apparently the regional is getting some kickback with respects to publicity. Obviously, there'll be more people at the venue, but if I remember correctly, ESPN has agreed to do some coverage of the event.

- Sunny G.

Re: 2014 Predicted Event Calendar
 

Some insider information in North Bay, Ontario is saying that our new North Bay Regional will be held Week 5.

No word on the new Great Lakes Regional in Windsor or the even existence of the GTR-West Regional. The Greats Lakes Regional is looking to be either Week 1 or 7, unless they hold two regionals at the same time. But, that hasn't happened in a while in Canada.

Re: 2014 Predicted Event Calendar
 

The preliminary events calendar has this to say:

GTR East week 2

Waterloo Week 4
Montreal Week 4

North Bay week 5

Windsor week 6
Calgary week 6

GTRW TBD

Re: 2014 Predicted Event Calendar
 

Not sure if anyone is monitoring this thread that plan to attend Greater Kansas City, but they sent an email and published new info on the KC FIRST website.

GKC will be week 3, March 13th-15th. However, for 2014, there has been a change of venue. The 2014 GKC Regional will be held at Metropolitan Community College - Business & Technology Campus (MCC-BTC).

Personally, I absolutely love Hale Arena and will miss it. But we'll wait and see how 2014 goes before I say MCC-BTC isn't as good.

Re: 2014 Predicted Event Calendar
 

The Great Lakes regional (now listed as the Windsor-Essex Regional) is being held April 3-5. That's the same week as the Western Canada Regional, so for the first time there are 2 Canada events the same week. :D

Re: 2014 Predicted Event Calendar
 

Nope. The first time will be 2 weeks earlier, with Waterloo and Montreal being at the same time*:D.


*excluding GTR East/West 2011 double regional.

Re: 2014 Predicted Event Calendar
 

I'm a little surprised by FIRST doubling up on QCMO/ONWA.

We all knew that with 7 Canadian regionals this year, one was likely to be doubled up, and the natural choice (due to geography) is Calgary with any one of the Ontario/Quebec regionals.

The 6 Ontario/Quebec regionals though, are all within a not completely ridiculous driving distance of one another. Seems to me the ideal distribution (both for maximizing choice for teams, maximizing utilization of field equipment, and minimizing border crossings for the field) would be for the 6 Ontario/Quebec regionals to be on different weeks, using the same field at all 6.

If I had to guess, I'd say they're having venue-schedule issues, which have lead to this less-than-ideal distribution.

Re: 2014 Predicted Event Calendar
 

From this thread:


Looks like FiM schedule is out.