Chief Delphi - 2013 IRI Match Schedule

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- - 2013 IRI Match Schedule - "TENTATIVE" (http://www.chiefdelphi.com/forums/showthread.php?t=117736)

Re: 2013 IRI Match Schedule - "TENTATIVE"

Quote:

Originally Posted by Siri (Post 1282771)

Strength of schedule compares predicted rank in a given schedule (as posted, what you linked) to the average difficulty of a schedule.* There are several ways to do it, though I'm a fan of the Joe Ross method.

*Apologies, this is a terrible description based on trying to generalize a few different methods non-technically.

That actually makes sense, thanks.

Re: 2013 IRI Match Schedule - "TENTATIVE"

Things that I hope to see at this competition:
all 28 AUTO discs scored
6 colored discs in the pyramid goal
double 30-point hang
3rd level goal so full that teams start shooting at the 2nd level
Human players not throwing colored discs because they are all out
1986 and 254 surprise showing (I can dream, can't I)

Re: 2013 IRI Match Schedule - "TENTATIVE"

Quote:

Originally Posted by inkling16 (Post 1282775)

id add a 300+ score without penalties

Re: 2013 IRI Match Schedule - "TENTATIVE"

Quote:

id add a 300+ score without penalties

I was going to put those exact words but I forgot

Re: 2013 IRI Match Schedule - "TENTATIVE"

Quote:

Originally Posted by inkling16 (Post 1282775)

I'm pretty sure all of those already happened at other competitions except for 28 discs scored in auto.

Re: 2013 IRI Match Schedule - "TENTATIVE"

Quote:

Originally Posted by Jay Money 1058 (Post 1282798)

I'm pretty sure all of those already happened at other competitions except for 28 discs scored in auto.

I've never seen teams shooting in the 2 point goal because the 3 point was full.

Re: 2013 IRI Match Schedule - "TENTATIVE"

Quote:

Originally Posted by Gregor (Post 1282799)

I've never seen teams shooting in the 2 point goal because the 3 point was full.

I believe it happened at either MSC or at one of the offseason events I've attended, but I know that I've seen a FCS change goals because they were bouncing out of the 3 point goal due to its fullness.

Re: 2013 IRI Match Schedule - "TENTATIVE"

Here is a strength of schedule calculation, from easiest schedule to most difficult. Numbers should be from team 27's database. Let me know if you think something's wrong.

EDIT: I think something was wrong. Values were off by a factor of 9/8. Should (hopefully) be fixed now.

Code:

Team         AllyOPR  OppOPR        Delta

3947                65.63        56.65        8.98

3539                66.96        58.41        8.55

3928                70.47        62.1        8.37

48                69.48        61.57        7.91

303                66.2        58.32        7.88

1241                66.48        58.81        7.68

3847                66.08        58.4        7.68

1024                64.29        57        7.3

1310                63.06        57        6.06

868                65.28        60.19        5.09

2826                65.5        60.46        5.04

2451                65.13        60.1        5.03

862                63.08        58.14        4.94

987                67.84        63.75        4.09

245                64        60.28        3.72

461                64.39        60.98        3.41

829                61.39        58.26        3.13

447                63.14        60.38        2.76

1592                63.08        60.35        2.73

2056                62.94        60.62        2.32

1114                62.08        59.94        2.14

51                61.43        59.34        2.09

1902                63.58        61.57        2.01

359                63.55        61.71        1.85

2474                64.84        63.13        1.71

1477                62.6        61.06        1.53

33                60.67        59.16        1.51

1676                62.69        61.18        1.51

624                64.71        63.3        1.41

1334                61.78        60.46        1.32

2648                62.99        62.12        0.87

1625                62.07        61.29        0.79

118                59.63        59.09        0.54

67                62.8        62.45        0.34

116                64.04        63.73        0.32

2252                62.24        61.94        0.3

4265                64.43        64.2        0.23

45                63.2        63.39        -0.19

16                62.74        63.12        -0.38

3476                62.82        63.36        -0.54

4334                61.39        62.14        -0.75

125                61.15        62.05        -0.9

2590                59.2        60.15        -0.95

68                62.3        63.28        -0.97

2175                60.86        61.92        -1.07

195                60.39        61.77        -1.38

27                62.77        64.6        -1.83

469                59.43        61.66        -2.24

3467                59.53        62.52        -2.99

71                58.21        61.4        -3.19

1732                60.55        64.04        -3.49

234                61.57        65.1        -3.53

148                58.92        62.75        -3.83

1538                61.56        66.06        -4.5

2338                59.1        63.85        -4.74

11                58.11        62.89        -4.78

1640                60.83        65.85        -5.02

20                59.07        64.11        -5.04

3641                59.03        64.18        -5.15

2337                60.02        65.57        -5.54

2468                55.63        61.17        -5.54

217                57.82        63.54        -5.73

4039                56.12        62.16        -6.04

696                58.23        64.84        -6.6

1741                59.63        67.04        -7.41

1503                54.39        62.4        -8.01

4814                57.65        67.51        -9.86

111                52.74        63.08        -10.34

967                54.15        66.58        -12.42

Re: 2013 IRI Match Schedule - "TENTATIVE"

Quote:

Originally Posted by Gregor (Post 1282799)

I've never seen teams shooting in the 2 point goal because the 3 point was full.

We did this during one of our matches on Newton when we were playing the FCS role.

Re: 2013 IRI Match Schedule - "TENTATIVE"

Quote:

Originally Posted by AGPapa (Post 1282815)

Team AllyOPR OppOPR Delta
4814 64.86 75.95 -11.09

Well, we've got a really tough schedule ahead of us :ahh:

Good luck to all teams at IRI and see you there later this week!

Re: 2013 IRI Match Schedule - "TENTATIVE"

Quote:

Originally Posted by MSawan (Post 1282817)

Well, we've got a really tough schedule ahead of us :ahh:

Good luck to all teams at IRI and see you there later this week!

It's not all that bad for you guys. The predicted scores don't include defense...

Re: 2013 IRI Match Schedule - "TENTATIVE"

11's match schedule - ouch.

Hoping for the best.

Re: 2013 IRI Match Schedule - "TENTATIVE"

Quote:

Originally Posted by AGPapa (Post 1282815)

Code:

Team         AllyOPR  OppOPR        Delta

1741                59.63        67.04        -7.41

If I surmise the calculation method correctly, our opponents' average match score is over 200!
Also, there are only 3 teams who have average alliances above 67.04 -- 3928, 48, and 987.

As a side note, I noticed if you turn the negative sign in our delta 90 degrees, you get our team number.

Re: 2013 IRI Match Schedule - "TENTATIVE"

Quote:

Originally Posted by MechEng83 (Post 1282831)

As a side note, I noticed if you turn the negative sign in our delta 90 degrees, you get our team number.

This is probably the most important piece of all the data provided so far :D As we all know very well this is no such thing as a guaranteed win.

Re: 2013 IRI Match Schedule - "TENTATIVE"

Quote:

Originally Posted by Thunder910 (Post 1282752)

Your data from the 1114 spreadsheet is from before championships. Could you update the info with post-champs data (probably from Ed Law's spreadsheet).

Where can I find that data? That would help a lot. I have a suspicion my team's OPR is going to be ~20 points higher post champs. :D

Quote:

Originally Posted by Aidan H. (Post 1282758)

Has anyone found a match in the schedule that contains three 3rd level climbers (30 pt.) on the same alliance? I would suspect that if any event will have three robots at the top of one pyramid, it will be this one.

We have a match against 2. Would be cool to see 3 up there, though.