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2013 IRI Match Schedule - "TENTATIVE"
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Attached is the TENTATIVE 2013 IRI Match Schedule.
We don't expect this schedule to change, but it could based on: 1. A team does not show 2. We somehow missed a team that does show 3. The host teams determine their schedule is too tough* 4. Or we find an error The final schedule will be distributed Friday morning. * :D |
Re: 2013 IRI Match Schedule - "TENTATIVE"
Data crunching lackeys, commence!
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Awesome
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If anyone's going to break the world record for points, I think it'll be match 48's red alliance. 987, 67, and 1114 all together.
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Love it. Even if it's just tentative. Thank you IRI committee!
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Match 10 (with 3467 and 3476) and match 17 (with 2468 and 2648) will be fun to que.
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match 7 should be a shooting gallery, 3539, 469 and 1310 on one alliance
LEAVE NO DISK BEHIND! |
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3539, 469, and 1310 in match 7.
3928, 1114, and 3476 in match 21. 3467, 3928, and 2056 in match 39. 2337, 1538, and 33 VS. 987, 2590, 359 in match 43. 987, 67, and 1114 in match 48. 3539, 48, and 148 in match 62. 1538, 1477, and 624 in match 64. 1114 VS. 2056 in match 66. 987, 3476, and 303 in match 80. 1538, 67, and 3928 in match 82. 111, 1310, and 148 in match 96. 1538, 1334, 2826 in match 102. This will be fun. |
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This has been out almost two hours and someone hasn't broken it down with predicted outcomes via 18 different OPR methods yet?
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How many matches total for each team?
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1592 is a surrogate in match 25. |
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How do you pick which match is the surrogate?
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It's randomly assigned by the FMS
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The column next to the team number has an F (False) or T (True). A "T" means the match is a surrogate for that team.
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In the columns next to the team numbers, there are F's and T's. The 3 T's are the surrogate matches. The rest all have "F"s.
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You can read it here. |
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How did that rule ever come up as a rule?
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Oh boy. My team is in Qual #1. I like that match. 1114 vs 1538 with us in between :D .
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I'm away from my computer for 8 hours and something like this comes out. Just my luck.
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I have a spreadsheet containing a large number of stats and the like. I don't feel like doing all the predictions myself, so here is a link to the spreadsheet so you can see the match predictions/strategy info yourself. All OPR data is either from my team's champs data or from simbotics. http://www.chiefdelphi.com/forums/sh...00&postcount=5
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Has anyone found a match in the schedule that contains three 3rd level climbers (30 pt.) on the same alliance?
I would suspect that if any event will have three robots at the top of one pyramid, it will be this one. |
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Practice match? |
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I'm on my way to IRI and currently about 2 hours west of Albuquerque. After seeing this match schedule just now, I'm thinking I might as well just turn around and head back to LA.:D Can't though, I have the 3476 robot with me!
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Is it Friday yet? :)
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Projected ranking based off team 27 post championship opr data. Does not include defense.
Code:
Team Qual Auto Climb Tele |
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No defense included.
No matches with score under 100 points. Matches that could break world record Match 48 987 1114 67 vs 16 4334 245 score: 295 to 178 Match 103 868 2056 987 vs 1741 2252 3476 score: 284 to 194 Code:
Match # Red 1 Red 2 Red 3 Blue 1 Blue 2 Blue 3 Projected Alliance Score |
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Yikes. (In the best possible terrifyingly-awesome way.)
Anyone feel like running a strength of schedule? |
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*Apologies, this is a terrible description based on trying to generalize a few different methods non-technically. |
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Things that I hope to see at this competition:
all 28 AUTO discs scored 6 colored discs in the pyramid goal double 30-point hang 3rd level goal so full that teams start shooting at the 2nd level Human players not throwing colored discs because they are all out 1986 and 254 surprise showing (I can dream, can't I) |
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Here is a strength of schedule calculation, from easiest schedule to most difficult. Numbers should be from team 27's database. Let me know if you think something's wrong.
EDIT: I think something was wrong. Values were off by a factor of 9/8. Should (hopefully) be fixed now. Code:
Team AllyOPR OppOPR Delta |
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Good luck to all teams at IRI and see you there later this week! |
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11's match schedule - ouch.
Hoping for the best. |
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Also, there are only 3 teams who have average alliances above 67.04 -- 3928, 48, and 987. As a side note, I noticed if you turn the negative sign in our delta 90 degrees, you get our team number. |
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This is probably the most important piece of all the data provided so far :D As we all know very well this is no such thing as a guaranteed win. |
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The one all the way down on the list of downloads is the most recent. There are a few quirks to it that I (in my lack of knowledge about excel) don't know how to change. If you go to each team in the "Query" page, it has their most up-to-date information. |
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I will fix it and re-upload it here! |
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Here is the updated numbers, with a little weighting system in order to compensate slightly for changes in teams' performance over time. I took each team's overall end-of-season OPR and averaged it with their highest regional OPR. This should compensate for improvements the teams have made during the season and between champs and IRI. Also included regular OPR for those of you who may not like this idea. If anyone is interested in how I decided on this system for weighting OPR, feel free to ask.
Attachment 15073 |
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Does anyone know for sure what the link to the webcast showing all of these fantastic matches will be?
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Looks like it will take all of 4 matches to blow away my 50 climb point limit prediction. :rolleyes: I personally think that match 48 will result in the highest point total for the season by a single alliance but I might be wrong(usually am). Good luck and congratulations to every team attending IRI.
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The 5 top matches I'm most looking forward to are:
1. Match 48- 16,4334,245 vs. 987,1114,67 (Dangerous Blue Vs. High Climbing and Scoring Red) 2. Match 7*- 3539,469,1310 vs. 829,2338,1732 (7 Disc Auto Club and Versatile Blue vs. Cycling Red) 3. Match 103- 1741,2252,3476 vs. 868,2056,987 (Underdog Yet Lethal Blue vs. Complete Package Red) 4. Match 26- 1902,118,987 vs. 469,624,2474 (Beautiful and Efficient Blue vs. Competitive Red) 5. Match 16- 4039,2056,2337 vs. 217,1241,71 (Maple Leaf Blue vs. Legendary Red) *Slightly biased with match 7 :p Aside from the matches, I am looking forward to atmosphere and experience at IRI. Our team has never been to champs until this year, haven't been to an off-season event in a number of years and never imagined to experience the success we have had this year. We are looking forward to being surrounded by such established and legendary teams for a whole weekend! Looking forward to a great event!!! Can't wait! |
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Made two bets with my dad, a coke that there will be a score of at least 295 in qualifications, and a score of at least 295 in eliminations.
Don't let me down. ;) |
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Did some predictions for today's (Friday's) matches. The data came from the updates OPR from 2834. I averaged out the Auton, Climb, and Teleop Points. Some of the TOTALS (of both the blue/red alliance) are pretty crazy!
Matches to watch tomorrow are: Massive Total Points (b/w red & blue alliances): 40 (Total 527) 43 (Total 527) 48 (Total 510) 38 (Total 493 - The highest match that will be the closest) Teleop: 7 (Blue could have a 160 pt teleop) 48 (Red could have a 160 pt teleop) 49 (Red could have a 163 pt teleop) Auton: 49 (Red could have a 106 pt auton) 43 (Blue could have a 101 pt auton) Alliance Totals: 7 (Blue could have a high of 304 pts) 49 (Red could top the Blue high of 304 points with their own 318 point high) Climbing Totals: 27 (Blue could have a total of 60 climbing points) 48 (Red could have a total of 60 climbing points) I found this interesting that no one is going to get above 60 according to the stats. View it here! |
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The raw OPR calculation starts to break down more than usual at the top end :yikes: |
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