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-   -   VEXPro Out of Stock (http://www.chiefdelphi.com/forums/showthread.php?t=124740)

dellagd 19-01-2014 21:05

Re: VEXPro Out of Stock
 
I haven't seen this asked (maybe I missed it), but does VexPro have an estimate on when their 1" x 2" rectangular tubing will be back in stock? It seems it went out of stock just as we went to order... :(

Paul Copioli 19-01-2014 21:12

Re: VEXPro Out of Stock
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by geomapguy (Post 1329489)
If I were you Paul, I would have ordered 800-900 or so considering last year's numbers. So I'm assuming you order more and they just sold like hotcakes :)

We ordered 3,000 and they sold out in 18 days.

Ironically, my Build Blitz team used 0 1/2" Hex Versahubs.

If you really want to use Versahubs, you have several choices:

1. Order the 1/2" round and use as is.

2. Order the 1/2" round and broach a hex

3. Order the 1/4" round, bore it out to 1/2" round, and broach a hex.

With the data from last year, I thought ordering almost 4x the qty would be more than enough. I guess I was wrong.

Paul

Paul Copioli 19-01-2014 21:13

Re: VEXPro Out of Stock
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by dellagd (Post 1329497)
I haven't seen this asked (maybe I missed it), but does VexPro have an estimate on when their 1" x 2" rectangular tubing will be back in stock? It seems it went out of stock just as we went to order... :(

We are set to receive several hundred 1 x 2 tubes this week. We will put them back in stock when we are confident we can ship them same day.

drwisley 19-01-2014 21:15

Re: VEXPro Out of Stock
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Paul Copioli (Post 1329484)
The 3' Hex shaft will be in stock Monday. We sent too many to one of our distributors and they sent some back to us.


Ok, so in your eyes its unforgivable to not have hex VersaHubs. How many would you keep in stock? I'm curious, how many? I will also give you the same information I had going into this year. We sold a total of 800 all last year (from release in December, 2012 through October, 2013). I will tell you how many we ordered for this season if you tell me how many you would have stocked if you were me.

I would have projected a linear increase in sales from the previous three years. Instead of adding any more inventory for a buildblitz surge, I would have increased potential capacity through additional machine shops. I can imagine that the supply base agreements may have some exclusivity, but that could be made contingent on their capacity.

Lil' Lavery 19-01-2014 21:17

Re: VEXPro Out of Stock
 
It's worth noting that Vex and AndyMark parts have the same bolt hole pattern. While it lack the elegant integration of VersaHubs with other VexPro parts, AndyMark has 0.5" hex hubs as well.
http://www.andymark.com/product-p/am-2568.htm
http://www.andymark.com/product-p/am-0096a.htm

Quote:

Originally Posted by drwisley (Post 1329501)
I would have projected a linear increase in sales from the previous three years. Instead of adding any more inventory for a buildblitz surge, I would have increased potential capacity through additional machine shops. I can imagine that the supply base agreements may have some exclusivity, but that could be made contingent on their capacity.

They don't have three previous years of data. The VexPro line was started just before the 2013 build season.

BrendanB 19-01-2014 21:22

Re: VEXPro Out of Stock
 
A lot of the products in the line up have been catering towards teams who just don't have the resources to machine similar parts. Wouldn't be surprised if some teams who used to make their own parts in the past haven't been looking at Vexpro saying "Why are we making these, let's buy them!"

Cory 19-01-2014 21:48

Re: VEXPro Out of Stock
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by drwisley (Post 1329501)
I would have projected a linear increase in sales from the previous three years. Instead of adding any more inventory for a buildblitz surge, I would have increased potential capacity through additional machine shops. I can imagine that the supply base agreements may have some exclusivity, but that could be made contingent on their capacity.

You can't just pick a new machine shop overseas and have them instantly start producing good parts. That wouldn't work at all.

Nemo 19-01-2014 21:57

Re: VEXPro Out of Stock
 
I'm surprised to hear that only 800 hex hubs were sold last year. At the time, I saw the low price and just bought a bunch without having an immediate use for them (I don't think we put any on last year's robot). I think hubs are an important thing to have around for prototyping.

I have to believe that the VersaChassis and VersaBlocks are exploding the sales of 1/2" hex VersaHubs.

Greg Needel 19-01-2014 22:03

Re: VEXPro Out of Stock
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by BrendanB (Post 1329505)
A lot of the products in the line up have been catering towards teams who just don't have the resources to machine similar parts. Wouldn't be surprised if some teams who used to make their own parts in the past haven't been looking at Vexpro saying "Why are we making these, let's buy them!"

It is actually a standard engineering practice to do a Make vs Buy analysis, based on resources (both hard and soft) to make this decision.

7-8 years ago when commercial parts were much less common my teams would design custom transmissions every year. Now that there are so many ratios and configurations available from numerous suppliers it does not make sense to design our own unless we need something very custom.

In fact a few years ago when I looked at prices of gear stock, bearings, and materials it was basically a wash on cost. The only difference is ordering them I could have them in 2 days vs 1 week making them ourselves.

That being said I am in full support of teams building their own parts if they have the resources (time, money and machines) as it is an absolutely essential skill for every engineer to get some hands on experience; you can't design parts if you don't understand the manufacturing process on how they will be made. Each team needs to make the call based on your individual resources and there is no one absolute answer.

drwisley 19-01-2014 22:08

Re: VEXPro Out of Stock
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Cory (Post 1329516)
You can't just pick a new machine shop overseas and have them instantly start producing good parts. That wouldn't work at all.

The strategy I envisioned would split the US into thirds, adding suppliers to each coast. However, you would definitely need to have trial runs at each new facility. The value analysis might not even make sense at the time, with all the unknowns. It certainly isn't surmountable to prepare for upticks in the market, and buildblitz (intentional or not) is a huge marketing promotion.

Cory 19-01-2014 22:11

Re: VEXPro Out of Stock
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by drwisley (Post 1329520)
The strategy I envisioned would split the US into thirds, adding suppliers to each coast. However, you would definitely need to have trial runs at each new facility. The value analysis might not even make sense at the time, with all the unknowns. It certainly isn't surmountable to prepare for upticks in the market, and buildblitz (intentional or not) is a huge marketing promotion.

A lot of the product is made in China.

drwisley 19-01-2014 22:21

Re: VEXPro Out of Stock
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Cory (Post 1329523)
A lot of the product is made in China.

I definitely have too little information. It's a really neat problem to contemplate though and every business struggles with this problem. It's a good one to have and I doubt it will deter too many FRC teams from the VEX Pro line in the future.

wireties 19-01-2014 22:29

Re: VEXPro Out of Stock
 
We have some stuff back-ordered from VexPro. Their staff is very open, responsive and helpful. These things happen - Vexpro products are suddenly hugely popular, beyond any reasonable forecast. It happens every day in "real" engineering efforts. One has to learn to change focus, re-order build priorities, inform your customers and weather the storm. It is unfortunate but a valuable lesson for FIRSTers to experience.

1296 will continue to be loyal Vexpro customers with every confidence Vexpro will improve the 2015 forecasting model with 2014 data.

Thanks Paul!

mrnoble 19-01-2014 23:45

Re: VEXPro Out of Stock
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by AdamHeard (Post 1329495)
They're being incredibly transparent and doing everything they can to keep customers happy it seems like. Aside from using a time machine to reforecast for the 2014 season, there isn't much else they can do to rectify the issue.

We've been happy with Vex overall, and will continue to purchase their products.

The explosion in popularity of VexPro is important to FRC in several ways that I can see.
1) It shows the vast improvement in quality of products. Vex observed and listened to teams and their needs, and their excellent products are the response.
2) It has already pushed other providers to make more quality products. AndyMark, while already the gold standard, has increased the quality and variety of their products in the last two years in big ways, and I'm guessing that at least part of that was in response to VexPro.
3) It illustrates the raising of the overall FRC experience at the team level. Many, many more teams (my own included) now know how to recognize great ideas and implement them on our bots.
4) It shows (along with the First Choice issue) that FRC is continuing to grow; maybe even leading the way as the BEST way to lead high school students into great future options. I know that I have consciously chosen this experience and rejected others, because FRC has the best bang for the buck that I've run across.

Most of us are in the same boat right now: waiting for parts. This may be anxiety producing, but it's not a new experience, and it's forcing us to adapt and be flexible. I will also continue to support VexPro, and will look forward to what they come up with in the coming year that advances the experience even more.

nathannfm 19-01-2014 23:50

Re: VEXPro Out of Stock
 
When the http://www.vexrobotics.com/ site says "out of stock" or "Ships in 1 Week" is that only referring to the Texas warehouse or is that all of your distributors? If not it would sure be nice if you could place an order from that site and then pick which location it would ship from.


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