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2014 MAR Standings
Here's the current 2014 MAR standings. Let me know if you spot anything incorrect.
https://docs.google.com/spreadsheet/ccc?key=0AizgHBYEeVnwdDJVeFBzWTduazNLV3I2Skw5dlh4a FE#gid=1 |
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Went through the doc really quickly and didn't see anything out of the ordinary.
I was really surprised to see how 'age bonus' points work out... There are some teams that have played at one event, and are ranked behind a 1st year rookie team that hasn't played at all. That'll make things interesting. |
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So the rookie impact is much stronger in MAR than in other regions due to our low count. All told, it'll be 10 points for everyone plus their share of the 52 points from rookie awards, so in effect it's more like a 20 point rookie bonus. Team 5113 has essentially already qualified for MAR champs with their guaranteed haul of 52 points - they're a great little inbound bot and were great to work with in our match at Horsham. |
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Yay, we are last! :P
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Based on my quick analysis of the 5 rookies and the events they're competing at, it seems like only 3 or 4 of the teams will be possible to win it logistically at the districts depending on who wins it where, meaning either 2 or 1 won't qualify to compete for it at Lehigh. |
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I'm glad to see 5113's success. I've been working with them since last spring and they've done a lot of work to ensure a successful rookie season. Nate |
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Just as a FYI for those curious,
The MAR rankings have been posted on the MAR website. There is also a blog post outlining the number or District Championship slots, 55, and the number of MAR slots at St. Louis, 18. The winning alliance members at the MAR CMP are guaranteed slots to the FIRST CMP, like last year. PNW and NE do not guarantee the winning alliance members FIRST CMP slots. Don't know about FiM for this year. Last year the FiM champs were awarded slots automatically. For 2014 MAR has 5 Rookie teams, 9 2nd year teams, and 9 3rd year teams. Team Distribution for the MAR events: Code:
HH MO SCH CLI LS BR |
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https://docs.google.com/spreadsheet/...ive_web#gid=22 2012: 12 Slots 3 Winners 2 CA 1 EI 1 RAS 5 Points 2013: 14 Slots 3 Winners 2 CA 2 EI 1 RAS 6 Points 2014: 18 Slots 3 Winners 2 CA 2 EI 1 RAS 10 Points |
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Just noticed 2607 is registered for the Virginia regional. That brings the total number of MAR regional teams up to eleven
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1626 from Metuchen will be competing for the first time this season this weekend at Clifton. We are looking to have an after school "out-of-bag" experience with a fairly local team with a full practice field so we can try to dial in our shooter and practice assists with another robot.We saved about two hours.
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Scott, I have a question. Let's say fictitious MAR team 000 wins the (now) fictitious Brazil Regional, and qualifies for World Champs. However, they don't win on the field at MAR Champs, nor Chairman's, EI, RAS, nor are in the next top 10 ranked. Since they only qualified for World Champs outside of MAR, does MAR still lose a slot allotted for World Champs?
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I think the only exception would be if a HoF team (103, 341, 365) qualified outside, since they're already exempted from counting against the MAR total. Edit: Here's the rule listed below. It doesn't say what slot gets removed, but I would assume a "points" slot. District Teams do not earn points for their actions at any Regionals they may attend, but are still eligible for Team awards at those events, and any benefits that may go along with winning those awards, such as earning their way to the FIRST Championship. However, if a District Team does earn a slot at the FIRST Championship while attending a Regional event, that slot does count against the total Championship allocation the District is receiving for the season. |
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Regarding which slots are removed, yes, in the case of an outside qualification one of the 'points' slots are removed since they're essentially 'open' slots for qualification. |
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As of now we have at least 7 teams with a legitimate shots at some flavor of a blue banner. I'm sure some of those teams will/would qualify via MAR points too, but the possibility of walking into MAR CMP with only 3 slots open to teams via points is pretty drastic. Obviously unlikely that all 7 teams come back with banners, but stranger things have happened. Something to watch as weeks 4 & 5 creep up on us. On an unrelated note: sheet is updated, 38 teams have played both of their district events. Looking like the cutoff for MARCMP will be somewhere in the 50's depending on the number of teams that decline the invitation. As for World CMP, there are 121 teams registered (one more day for week 3 qualifiers to register). There are 284 more slots to be gained, so we're trending towards the 400 number again depending on declines, double qualifiers, and wild cards. |
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Here's the MAR blog referencing 55 teams. http://www.midatlanticrobotics.com/blog/category/mar/ For comparison: we went down the rankings list to the 65th ranked team to get 49 teams at MAR CMP last year (16 declines), and we went down to the 64th ranked team to get 53 teams at MAR CMP in 2012 (11 declines). Hopefully the extra week gap between district and DCMP will help fix this a bit, but I think it might be a struggle to add even more teams to the event since we have actually shrunk as a district compared to 2013. |
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I don't expect the cutoff to be above 50 after all of the declines, but it seems like a reasonable guess for where the 55th rank team will be. |
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The overall point system has inflated by more than just rookie points. I'm assuming we have 108 teams this year (136 & 896 no show at Clifton?), we had 109 last year with a few only doing 1 event. Qual Points - same structure, roughly same # teams Elim Selection - the old system (10/8 pts per round) yielded 196 points per event, the new model yields 210. Awards - old system gave 49 pts max, new system gives 86 points max Rookies - 95 points total So last year we had 5336 points across 109 teams. ~49/team if we're looking at an average - which roughly works for a lazy calculation of a 55 team cutoff. Real cutoff at #55 was 45 points. So a little inflated, but not too bad. This year we should have 5891 points across 108 teams. Doesn't count any points lost to 3rd event teams in elims or awards. Gives us ~54.5 points/team as an average. So we're looking at increase of roughly 5pts/team from the changes to the point system. From the 38 teams who have finished both events, the middle of the pack (#19) has 57 points. That grouping of teams looks better than average though. |
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Forgot about the changes to the elimination scoring and award points. Thanks for the clarification!
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The 11 teams registered for a Regional and their current District Points/Rank/# Events
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District |
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So, if 7 team goes to an outside regional and they all win, that means that the spots will go from 10 to 3 at MAR on teams who go to worlds just on ranking?
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Congratulations to Team 2607 on winning the Virginia Regional.
This means that 2607 will consume the first "points" spot from MAR, leaving 9 spots left. |
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Another question. Let's say the three teams that win at Lehigh also qualify for STL outside of MAR. Are the three winning spots converted to become additional ranking-point spots for the next top ranked teams?
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So assuming that stays the same, the question would be if winning an award slot at MAR CMP would trump a slot earned at a previous outside regional, and move the team from eating a "points" slot to the corresponding "award" slot. I would hope the answer is yes - "point" slots are awarded from top to bottom skipping over the MARCMP winners and award winners as they trickle down. |
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I just updated everything for Lenape, once again, let me know if you spot anything incorrect.
https://docs.google.com/spreadsheet/ccc?key=0AizgHBYEeVnwdDJVeFBzWTduazNLV3I2Skw5dlh4a FE&usp=drive_web#gid=1 The median number of points for team who have competed two events is 55.5. Expect the cutoff to be slightly lower than this. Declines and a large number of 3rd event teams at BR should decrease the cutoff. I'm not sure if the new points model did a good job sorting out the teams. Good teams like 2729, 2495, 708 and 1712 are under this 55 point cutoff. Hopefully they'll still qualify for MAR champs because they have good robots that deserve to be there. I'm not sure if the old points model would have done a better job; once BR ends I'll recalculate the rankings with last year's point systems to see the difference in who qualifies. |
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Not that it matters overall but team 25 did win their first QF match so should have 5 more pts.
Just happy if we qualify.... Wc |
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"5 points for every match won in which a Team’s robot participated, only for the Alliance that wins the series" That rule exists to account for replacement robots in elims. |
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Thanks for keeping up with this, Scott! It's nice to check and see how things are going.
I noticed that 1089's QPs are wrong -- we won 6 qualifying matches yesterday, and should have 12 qualifying points, and 27 total. We're marked right now with having 18 QPs, and 33 total. |
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EDIT: Actually your team was the only one with the issue. The other two teams didn't win any elimination matches so it didn't affect them. |
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Scott, is there a significance to the teams highlighted in green? MAR CMP mathematical lock or something?
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After reading you comment I implemented a way to find out if a team is a lock. It's based off of Brian Lucas's paper from last year. The teams who are a lock are now highlighted in dark green. |
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Bridgewater is also the largest event, and will only yield and average of ~24 pts/team (not sure if 136 is going to show up or not). Clifton gave away 29.16 pts/team - which is basically a 2nd year team bonus for everyone who attended. Looking at point accumulations for the 8 teams attending Bridgewater as a 3rd event - I would expect 6 of them to be eating up elimination points. That means the cutoff at #55 is probably going to be a good bit lower than the current median of ~55 points. Did 5 minutes of lazy point modeling, came out with 49 points for the #55 team. After that - it's all up to declines and where the CA winner from Bridgewater is sitting in the standings (433 is probably barely going to make the cut via points once we see a few declines). If anybody has information about teams planning to skip MAR CMP, I can add that to the sheet so we have a good projection. As of now all I've seen is that 103 is planning on skipping. |
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- Ron Team #2607 controls mentor |
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Congratulations to team 225, TechFire, on their Greater DC Regional win!
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Great win for 225! Congratulations folks!
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Congratulations to 2016 for winning the Engineering Inspiration award at Queen City.
Currently MAR has lost three point slots to 2607- Virginia Winner 225- DC Winner 2016- Queen City Engineering Inspiration Teams who can still remove points slots are 11-Hawaii (This week, but a 6 hour delay) 555-Windsor-Essex (Week 6) 2234-Lone Star (Week 6) |
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So if 5 'MAR' spots are given out at regional events, and at the MAR District Championship Chairman's, Engineering Inspiration and Rookie All-Star Award winners take the first 3 spots, the winning alliance don't all get to go to St. Louis??
I would think MAR teams will be more motivated to go to regional events next year than the MAR Championship. |
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Seems to be another rule made by FIRST that was only halfway thought through. Makes the region championship watered down in quality as teams are able to bypass it, removes the ability of the point system and the award system to properly choose teams to represent the district at World Champs, and punishes teams that choose not to travel. Either get rid of the "reverse-wildcard" punishment for districts, or don't allow district teams to qualify at outside regionals. |
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https://docs.google.com/spreadsheet/...FE&usp=sharing
Standings updated after Day 1 at Bridgewater, looks like everyone with 56 points or above should be a mathematical lock for MARCMP. We may have a few more slots depending on what 225 and 2016 decide (225 is rank 3 with 105 points, 2016 is right on the cutoff at rank 43 with 56 points). |
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It is rather disappointing to see spots disappear at outside regionals. I agree with what Scott seems to be saying in that it does take away from the competition within our region by earning points and at the region championship. Hopefully this is addressed one way or another before next year. |
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11 just got Chairman's at Hawaii. One more MAR spot!
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Here's the list of remaining world championships qualification spots:
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FYI,for the future.
Noticed this on the previous clinching calculation also, but is the BR DCA team and any DCA teams ranked below the current team the clinch calculation is being calculated for being taken into account? They would take up slots and the cutoff would be less than 55. |
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Currently the 55th rank team has 48 points. I'm expecting a few teams to jump them (293, 1089 and 4361) and bring the cutoff up to about 50 points. |
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TechFire 225 is planning on and looking forward to MAR champs! See you all there!!
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Ok, everything should be updated - did most of the tiebreakers for the bubble down to the ~70's ranked teams.
Everyone with 51 points or more is currently qualified, along with team 433 (48 points, CA qualifier). https://docs.google.com/spreadsheet/...FE&usp=sharing I'll update the sheet as teams are registered for MAR CMP. Feel free to post here and/or PM me if you know a team that will/won't be attending MAR CMP, and I can update the cutoff/sheet as appropriate. For fun: points in MAR from 2012-2014, teams ranked 1-55. ![]() |
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Hey,
I am a little upset after reading that teams that qualified for spots outside the district model take away spots from teams who only compete inside the district model. What is the point of the district model if the MAR Championship rewards teams to travel outside of the district, and punishes those teams that only compete inside the district? To me, albeit I will be competing for those now depleted 6 or so seats, this is ridiculous. Why should we as a third year team, who reached the MAR Championship after winning a district event, should be punished and forced to do even better to win less slots. To add to that, teams who have already "clinched" are also competing in this event. Why should we stay in the district model at all? When we could instead travel to the Pittsburgh Regional and compete in Regional events instead of playing in the district model. The district model IMO is great, however when teams are rewarded for bypassing the district and punish teams who competed in district matches alone, why even hold the MAR Champs when most of the teams awarded spots will not even need their robot to compete. For example Chairman's, Rookie, & Ei now occupy about the same amount of non-winning alliance spots left. I know the idea of scrapping the MAR Champs itself is beyond ridiculous. However to me this feels like an unjust dilution of the reward for even attending MAR Champs. Add to that many of the spots clinched were clinched through awards, not winning an event. Why should a team at the MAR Champs be punished if a team wins an award outside the district? My rough solution to this problem (or at least causation) would be to let those teams who qualified outside the district, compete in the MAR Champs, but if they are to win any other seats, skip them and keep the same amount of open slots to Worlds open to other teams. This is not to discredit anyones hard work or achievements just to point out a flaw in the way MAR distributes it's seats to Worlds Disclaimer: My opinions do not reflect in anyway the opinion of my team or sponsors, nor am I claiming all facts 100% true. |
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The logic (I believe/IIRC) in 'taking away' spots for outside qualifications stems from the idea that once district systems become more and more widespread, the amount of qualifying spots (ie. excluding O&S, HoF, Championship Winners, Championship EIs, etc...) should remain proportional to the number of robots at Championships and that district system's population vs all of FIRST.
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1 - FIRST decides how the distribution works. Don't whine at MAR, call Frank at FIRST. While you are on the phone talking to Frank discuss how much money they take from the regional organizations. (*) 2 - If a team has the desire, support and money to attend another regional and the skills to win it, YAY THEM. We have a MAR team that traveled to Hawaii and flat out won. We should be impressed, try to learn from them and loudly applaud their accomplishment. Oh wait three other teams traveled away and also proved that MAR isn't a group of little toddlers, we build and compete with AMAZING robots. YAY THEM!!! 3- MAR and the others have done a huge amount to improve the robot cost per match. Regional teams get far more plays for their dollars than any other teams. In the future with the growth of FIRST (yes! more teams) everyone will be in regions. It will take some time, but the balance will occur. We are doing competition robotics, more competition and more inspiration is what we are working towards. (*) No disrespect intended. I'm a huge Frank fan, he seems to be the guy that would finally be willing to talk to you if you have issues. |
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2495 & 2729 are flipped, we have more alliance selection points (tiebreaker) and should be in 55th (as reflected in the official rankings)
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11 and 193 do intend on attending the MAR championships at this time.
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As a preface, this is probably most relevant to MAR (as opposed to FiM, NE, PNW) as we have a few unique characteristics that exacerbate the problem.
1. We have a good number of teams that continue to travel to outside events, and qualify via those outside events. 2. We have a comparatively small number of slots to award, being the smallest district (though in the same rough proportion as FiM, NE, PNW). 3. We have the largest % of slots devoted to "awards" at our region championship, and losing any number of slots has a bigger impact on remaining "point" slots. I haven't been able to find the distribution for FiM/NE/PNW for this year - if anyone has those, it would be helpful. Quote:
It doesn't hold up to scrutiny too well though. 1. As districts become more widespread, there will be fewer regionals to attend/earn slots at, reducing the significance of the problem. The Regional to District transition is a long way off for many regions, if it ever happens at all. Doesn't really make sense to be solving a problem that doesn't exist yet, unless it doesn't cause any unwanted side-effects. 1a. That explanation only "fixes" the problem for the district region. The outside Regional is not compensated in any way for an "outside" team coming in and winning a bid - same as it ever was. So that undermines that particular explanation. 2. FIRST hasn't (to my knowledge) made an effort to make CMP slots proportional to any particular locale/community. No value judgement there - depends what you think the purpose of WCMP is. If it's to give every region a fair shot at attending, the slots should be proportional. If it's to showcase the best robots - we should have way more slots for Michigan and Ontario teams. This has previously caused teams to flee highly competitive regions for less competitive ones, and who can blame them. Ontario is to thank for the current wildcard system, which is a pretty good band-aid to make Regionals more "District-like". 3. It reduces the efficacy of the point system in awarding the District Champion and Point slots. One of the main benefits (IMO) of the district point model is that it allows high-performing but unlucky teams to advance, and reduces the number of low-performing but lucky teams that advance. As far as I remember, that was a primary focus of the Michigan teams & mentors who designed the system. Worst case, a district championship will give a "winning" bid to the 24th best team in the region (out of 110 to 200+ teams). Much better than the 24th best team at a 30+ team regional. 3b. It distorts the balance of slots awarded by the district. Slots can be lost by any method, but they are only removed from the "points" slots. Fewer of those high performing but unlucky teams get to attend WCMP. MAR will effectively award 3 slots via Chairman's award, 3 slots via Engineering Inspiration, and another 2 slots via winning events. So instead of 5/18 slots being awarded for RAS/CA/EI, we're now at 7/18 slots (39%). Pretty big jump. For reference, Michigan gave 5/27 slots for those awards last year (19%). See point 3 from the top. Again, this is all through the lens of my personal preference for the district model to reward more of those high performing but unlucky teams, instead of giving out an excessive % of culture awards. I think I'm in line with the initial FiM perspective on that point. Our team has been honored to win DCA awards the last 3 years running - before eventually losing to other very worthy programs at our Region Championship. Would I turn down a bid to CMP if we ended up winning RCA at an outside regional? No, but it makes sense to let the District sort out the most competitive applicants and send those teams to WCMP on their relative merits. As for solutions? If the intent is truly to evenly distribute slots to WCMP - then don't allow District teams to qualify via outside Regionals. Exclude them from the CA/EI/RAS judging process, as they will still have the ability to compete for those within district (don't even need the robot at DCMP to win those). If they win the event, open up a wildcard slot for a Regional system team. The only disadvantage that remains is the lateness of qualifying for Worlds, but I don't think there's a good solution for that with the current District structure. Gives all district teams an equal bite at the apple, with the ability to still travel out of region. |
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Edit: Scott has a good summary of things. Thanks! |
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I don't see it mentioned anywhere in the district rules, but I'm assuming if a team that already is qualified for worlds (say 225) were to rank high enough to take one of the remaining points slots they would be passed over instead of the slot vanishing correct?
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How many points does a team gets for winning a match at MARs?:confused:
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I have no idea what will happen if one of those teams ends up winning MAR Championship as well. The document is lacking in a number of very important details, and seems to be only half-complete in current form. You would think that whoever made the document would have taken the time to think through and address all possible scenarios... |
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The week 5 ranks have been posted to the MAR website,
All 6 event summaries as well as the cumulative ranking points are available. If you believe there are errors, please let MAR know asap (you can post here or PM) ===== All of the following has been stated before in previous posts in this thread but by re-stating it all here hopefully it will clarify things wrt qualification to FIRST CMP: This year MAR has 18 FIRST World CMP slots allocated. MAR has 3 pre-qualified teams, all are HOF teams. Of the 18 District slots, 8 are for "Designated Awards": 2 CA, 2 EI, 1 RAS, 3 MAR CMP winners. (There can be one additional slot taken if the Winning Alliance had a substitute team included.) These slots cannot got to any other team, in particular, the winning alliance slots are not "passed down" to the ranking slot pool if a member of the winning alliance has qualified for the Worlds in another way. Of the 10/9 "Ranking Slots", they are reduced by the number of non-pre-qualified teams that have qualified at a Regional competition. After recalculating the Rankings to include the MAR CMP results (3x weighting), remaining "Ranking Slots" are offered to teams in rank order, skipping over teams that have already qualified in ANY manner, until all the remaining slots are filled. Eg. If a MAR team wins an Regional, there will be one less "Ranking Slot". If that same team also wins CA and is on the winning alliance at the MAR CMP, then MAR can send a max of 16 teams instead of 18 (+ the 3 prequalified teams) |
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Teams currently registered for MAR CMP
https://my.usfirst.org/myarea/index....14&event=mrcmp |
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As the first team on the "waitlist", we haven't received an invite yet so I think its safe to assume no one has officially declined as of now.
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Of the 55 teams qualified for MAR Champs at this time (not including spots that will most likely be passed down due to declines):
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For other bubble watchers, 103 is one of the 50 teams currently listed as registered for the event.
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We're up to 50 teams registered for MARCMP. No teams have been pulled from the "waitlist" yet. All 3 HoF teams (103, 341, 365) are registered, as well as 3 of the 4 teams that qualified for World Champs via an outside Regional (11, 225, 2016).
Teams that have yet to register: #17 - 2607 (qualified for worlds, stated that they don't plan on attending) #23 - 4954 #35 - 303 #38 - 4361 #41 - 1495 Teams on the "waitlist" #55 - 2495 #56 - 2729 #57 - 708 #58 - 1712 The point system did a pretty poor job this year if those 4 might not make it to DCMP. They all had the unfortunate fate of registering for 3 of the deeper events in Hatboro, Lenape, and SCH. |
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In 2013 there were 8 declines, 4 were already qualified for FIRST CMP, the other 4 were between rank 35-50. Went 15 deep into the rankings to fill the 8 slots. Perhaps a large factor was that there were only 3-4 days between the last event and the start of MAR CMP, teams replacing the declines had even less time.
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Unfortunately for 708... We don't have a choice not to compete week 1 at Hatboro-Horsham as the event host. Fingers crossed for us and our friends who are on the edge of the bubble!
2495 | 2729 | 1712 |
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Just received the Invite email.
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I just received an invite from HQ, so we're in. Not sure who is officially out, but we're in. Quote:
Nate |
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We just received an invite email from FIRST HQ... Looking into it now... Not sure where the declines came from...
Here's to hoping for 1712, I really do hope that one more slot opens up! |
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Thanks for all the friendly support for our team here. But it shouldn't extend only to 1712. I'm rooting for 4373, who's right behind us in line, to make it as well. They were a terrific alliance captain at SCH and there's no way we upset the #1 alliance without them.
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Registration just shuffled around a minute ago, with 2016 and 3340 dropping off the list of registered teams. We have 49 officially, with 3 teams saying they got invites who aren't on the list yet (2495, 2729, 708). So that makes 52.
Teams about the cut still missing: 4954 (#23) 303 (#35) 4361 (#38) So if all those teams register, we're all full. If any of those decline, the order is: 1712 (#58) 4373 (#60) 4653 (#61) Everyone below #61 is out of the running unless any currently registered teams drop out. Surprised to see 303 still missing, since they have been eligible to register since Clifton ended (week 3). Anybody have an idea about them? |
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