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When will Divisions be released?
Every year, people ask when will Divisions be released? FIRST typically doesn't provide advance notice. Here's when they have been released in the past.
In 2002 through 2004 the divisions were released the Tuesday 9 days before the beginning of the championship. That ended up ranging anywhere from before the last regional ended (2003) to 10 days after the last regional ended (2002). In 2005, the divisions were released on a Monday, 10 days before the beginning of the championship (9 days after the end of the last regionals). In 2006, the divisions were released on a Friday, 13 days before the beginning of the championship (13 days after the end of the last regionals). In 2007-2009, the divisions were released on a Wednesday, 8 days before the beginning of the championship (3-4 days after the end of the last regionals). In 2010, the divisions were released on a Thursday, 7 days before the beginning of the championship (4 days after the end of the last regionals) In 2011, the divisions were released on a Friday, 13 days before the beginning of the championship (6 days after the end of the last regionals) In 2012 and 2013, the divisions were released on a Wednesday, 8 days before the beginning of the championship (4 days after the end of the Michigan and MAR championships). |
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I wish TBA had their old page up where you could "look at divisions" using a couple different algorithms. It always made thinking about possible divisions so fun because it actually showed what a possible division's "power" could be.
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At least when they were in Atlanta, I had heard that they pick the two strongest/best divisions for Galileo and Archimedes (IIRC) because those were the two fields facing the VIP area. The algorithm for determining "strongest/best" is unknown to me.
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If I recall correctly, back in ye olden days the divisions were set by a count off of 1, 2, 3, 4 from Team 1 all the way down until everyone figured it out.
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the IIRC is because I couldn't remember which field is next to Galileo. In hindsight, I didn't add much to the discussion, my apologies. |
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If 2056 or 254 are in Curie this year, or even both, I would bet a lot of money that the Curie curse would end. I don't know why, but I feel like they're going to wind up in the same division and team up, win champs and finally get that championship win that 2056 deserves—all in the same year where, at the start of Waterloo, a lot of people gave them doubts.
I would also bet money that a Canadian team or two (maybe even three) wins champs. I just don't see the alliance that wins it all not having a Canadian team, there are so many of them in every category (top pick, first pick and second pick). I'm not a big fan of this year for numerous reasons, but I think the field will be incredibly interesting and that history will be made in the 2014 World Champs field. I also think that, unless they're in the same division as 2056 and 254, that 610 will make Einstein again. They were simply amazing all season, perhaps even better compared to other robots than they were last year. |
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I don't remember where i heard it but memory serves the algorithm makes it so it splits up any alliance that won. So 118 and 1986 would be in different division for example. That way they don't just team up again since they know they work well together. I could be wrong and i think it had something to do with splitting up based on the week they won.
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Anyway, while it's interesting to see some regional pairs, that year was kind of strange. It's actually quite fun to meet teams from all over. It's not a bad thing at all that you have some unfamiliar faces. It just means you get to meet more people. :cool: It'll be certainly interesting for this year though, with cooperation so important. Teams that have seen each other before could have some amount of advantage. The dynamics between teams will be interesting. |
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I've heard the same rumor that galileo used to be stacked purposefully since it faced the VIP booth in Atlanta. In recent years however comparing the relative OPR's of each division they have been much closer. Galileo was actually one of the weaker divisions last year according to OPR whereas curie and archimedes were relatively strong.
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The Curie curse is the ONLY explanation for 2010. (I know, I know, it was crappy luck that 2041 got stuck in the goal)
I was there. I watched it, and was absolutely gobsmacked by what I was seeing. Not to put 67/177/294 down, but 469/1114/2041 was all but unstoppable, going undefeated right up until they were eliminated in Einstein Finals. (1114 was undefeated all SEASON until Championship, losing Curie Q100 [intentional 6v0 loss against 111 to guarantee themselves #1 seed] and Einstein F1/F2) Brilliant strategy on the part of 67/177/294 to capitalize on the bad luck and park one of their robots blocking the other goal when 2041 got stuck. Karthik has always said that winning championship is mostly about being well positioned to take advantage of luck going your way. If 1114 had played Q100 to win, they may have, but they ran the risk of a narrow loss, which would have allowed 111 to seed higher than them, and 469 was all but guaranteed to be the #1 pick. |
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So to help everybody's memory in that finals.. As i was there too...basically we knew it would be a dog fight with the 469 cycle with 1114 putting in misses. Adding 2041 to play counter defense made our life difficult. the goal was not to react to the cycle but to force the cycle direction. This allowed us to clear enough balls to enable our alliance to catch up. Obviously it worked as we won match one...Winning match two we took lessons we learned from our regional win, as we were always looking for a robot to pin in the goal. So you will see we took the opportunity to intentionally push 2041 deeper into the goal after the auto period. Then blocking the other goal made the best sense. Luck or curse you can believe what you want.
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The ONLY explanation is that we were better in those two matches! |
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Anyone know of a way to get the schedule of events in a CSV format (other than doing it manually)?
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You could use the TBA API and save the necessary data as CSV...Python has support for requests, JSON and CSV, so you could check those modules out
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I wanted to comment on the 2010 World Finals matches as a team that played front Bot at IRI with 469 and 330 and 399.
We had to play countless HOF, former WC, and Powerhouse teams on the way to barely winning IRI that year. Playing the front is not as easy as it would seem. Having to score soccer balls, maneuver around a defender, box out a defender in order to keep balls cycled into goals, staying out of the way of a cycled ball, drive and steer with only a 1 CIM/1 FP AM Planetary setup per transmission was really tough. I believe our record in elims was 6-2-1, having to score at least 20 balls in some matches just to barely win. Off the top of my head, we played against 1086,1114,2056,1625,67,148, 910, 343, etc. |
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Q1.1 Q1.2 SF1.1 SF1.2 SF1.3 F1 F2 F3 F4 I think it felt even better after the disappointment from Einstein. |
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It was however painful to watch our limpy robot reaching the finals. Our kicker broke in the finals so everything had to be pushed in, our auto mode was messed up with no time to fix. I now remember trying to sit out and bring in 399. Except 330 said they were broke completely, and instead they sat out. And yes, I remember Paul yelling at people on the mezzanine above warning them about cheating, pointing the direction that the ball would fall from your robot. |
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In regards to the 2010 Finals... I think that 1114, 469, and 2041 lost because they implemented a strategy that didn't utilize the strengths of 1114. 1114 was the best far/mid zone robot all year long.
When they got behind, and the balls were not in 469's cycle, they should have adjusted their strategy, and put 1114 in the mid zone to collect the balls and put them back in 469's loop. There was way too many balls in the middle and far zone, with nobody on 469's alliance there to put them in the goal (and therefore put them in the loop). Of course, when 2041 got stuck in the goal there wasn't much they could do. That's just my 2 cents. I was only in 7th grade when I watched those matches... so don't take my opinion too seriously. |
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Your tone would change too, if everytime an achievement of your's came up it was defined as being "lucky" or the result of the Curie Curse. We know how much of an upset, but sometime we want credit for not rolling over an letting them walk right past us to the win. We had a strategy, we executed it in the first match. We won. That wasn't nessecarily luck that we beat them in the first match. In the second match, luck swung to our side, 2041 got stuck in the goal and 294 made sure they stayed there, we still had to play the rest of the match. 1114 was still scoring balls...and the match was close and not decided until the end. A lot of matches are won and lost every year. Some are lucky others are not. But, after the initial analysis of the matches is completed, the winners are usually granted the crown and deemed the better alliance in those matches, by the majority of people. I'm not sure we have been deemed that, yet. Or maybe I am just getting sensitive and cranky as I get older. |
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To bring this thread back to it's original purpose and not :deadhorse:
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They will add the late teams in at the end if there are any, but robots have to ship tomorrow so that deadline is pretty firm. |
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"Your blue banner can keep you warm at night." |
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And I think we are all getting more sensitive and cranky. ;) |
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Bringing this thread back on topic, it sounds like divisions will be out this afternoon
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Divisions are being updated as we speak!
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According to @FIRStweets
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Curie for us!
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Archimedes here we come!
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At least 4 VA teams are in Galileo.
2363, 1885, 384, and 1610 |
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From https://my.usfirst.org/frc/scoring/i...ID_event=10747
Code:
11 CurieCode:
20 ArchimedesCode:
11 CurieCode:
45 GalileoCode:
16 Newton |
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Curie for 987.
It also appears that the server hosting the team list has crashed or my browser is tired of me hitting refresh every five seconds. |
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Curie is stacked. Archimedes is not (on first glance).
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I'm inclined to say the Curie Curse will be broken...but I also thought so last year...
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Well, this breaks any proof that winning a competition with another team prevents you from being in the same division. 33 and 27 are back together in Archimedes after MSC.
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Newton is absolutely stacked!
Just something to think about, 9 teams from the FRC Top 25 in Newton; 4 from the Top 10. |
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Interesting, http://aredivisionsoutyet.com/ is still saying NO, and the FRC Megaphone Division Notifier texts haven't seen to gone out yet either.
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I pulled teams manually and sent out texts. The first batch of texts didn't have a field though. The second batch did. Who knew hot swapping code could lead to issues. |
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Here's the raw data in excel format.
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Archimedes is pretty stacked, just the first three teams have either won their respective district championship or was a regional winner...
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I am inclined to think that this years is going to Newton. Just look at the amount of power house teams there. Newton is the one to watch this year.
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Average OPR's for each division, given in the format average of all, average of top 20, average of top 8.
curie 47.66, 87.58, 101.53 archimedes 44.44, 81.05, 91.98 newton 50.43, 87.64, 100.35 galileo 49.24, 82.42, 90.59 |
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Threw together a quick PDF of divisional team oprs. Archimedes does look the weakest. Newton probably the strongest at the top end, with Galileo the deepest.
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Did a graph for each division based on Team's OPR. Uses Ed Law's OPR Data.
Archimedes & Curie Galileo & Newton Link to excel sheet: World OPR By Division |
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All of the divisions on one graph:
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Can you do this same OPR graph for the top 32 teams in each division?
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Curious about the x axis also; and I would like to know what OPR is.
I hate acronyms. I never recall what they are. |
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And the maths |
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Thank you!
If I read you right OPR focuses on scoring when the main point is to assist. How do you factor in all the assists and the last team scoring the goal? If I missed something I apologize. |
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