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Re: 2014 Curie Division
There are really two opposite factors that affect event to event OPR comparison. One is if an event does not have many teams that are able to possess the ball, everyone's OPR will be lower. This seems to be what George is interested in. The other is that at an event with a lot of good teams, there's only so many points you can score due to cycle time. A good scoring robot and two decent passers will likely score similar to 3 all around good robots. This reduces the OPR of the all around good robots at an event. This seems to be what Tom was addressing.
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Tigertrons YouTube page has videos from Mt. Olive, and I am making it my mission to get the MAR Champs matches posted by Monday. (edit at home, upload at work ;) ) Unfortunately, we don't have video from Chestnut Hill, sorry.:(
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Anyone know what team was just added to make the 100th team in our division?
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Thanks Jared!
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Ok stats kids, go nuts.
Edit: I swapped red and blue. Re-download please. |
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Hi my name is Christian, and I am from team 2443. I was wondering if anyone in the curie division would like to team up for scouting. Being from Hawaii, it is very expensive to travel to attend the championships. The group attending championships is much smaller then the group that attended Hawaii Regional.
Our scouting system involves 3 sections. 1. Pre-scouting is where the team currently has a spreadsheet where we are inputting information about all the teams based on information we can find from robot reveals, blue alliance, and from match videos. 2. Pit scouting where we go to each pit to talk to the teams in person. In the conversation, we would talk with the teams to find out information that is still not clear or missing from our pre-scouting. (e.g # of Drive Motors). At the championships it will be very difficult with such a short time on wednesday to pit scout, so by pre-scouting we reduce the time we spend talking with each team. 3. Match scouting we have 7-8 members in the stands where 6 of them watch one robot each. While a member is watching a robot, they must keep track of the goals the robot scored, shots missed, driver/defensive rating, assist, fouls, comments, etc.. They keep track using the match scouting packet meant for that team. Once the match is over, these members pass it to 1-2 members on the labtops where they input the data into our database. Once, it is on the database we use Tableau to analyze the data. We have used this scouting system at both the Central Valley and Hawaii Regional this season. The data we have collected has helped our team in matches, and also when deciding who to select during alliance selection. If anyone is interested in working together to scout, then please PM me. |
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Here's a color based stat sheet of Curie based on the 1114 database . I think the Curie curse is going down this year.
Curie vs Newton in the finals 254 987 1323 vs 971 1114 368 |
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OPR based predictions to make everyone scared.
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For top 8, I had 842 469 1241 1718 2013 118 125 135 Attached is my excel spreadsheet that uses team 2834's scouting database. It's interesting to see that OPR doesn't have a great correlation with the number of matches won predicted by OPR. |
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I thought your graph was interesting, here is what mine looks like with max event OPR. ![]() |
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Even more interesting, is team 3562, who has an opr of 31.8, and has 7 wins, predicted by OPR. Poor team 191 has an OPR of 30, and they only have 1 win predicted by OPR. You are missing team 2073 in your OPR, and have set their OPR to 35, but changing it to their real value does not make a difference in their win/loss. |
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A few more interesting (and for me, pretty eye-opening) statistics- Remember, that in these predictions assume that a team always scores exactly their OPR in each match, so OPR (in these predictions) is a perfect representation of robot performance.
Team 1884 has an OPR of 1.18. On their simulated performance, based solely on OPR and the matches they will play in, they will win 5 matches. Team 447 has an OPR of 74.14. On their simulated performance, they will win only 4 matches. The average OPR of teams that win 5 matches is lower than that of teams that win 4. There is little to no correlation between a teams ability to score and their ability to seed in the top 8. 1/2 of the top 8 scoring robots will not end up in the top 8. The 29th best robot places 5th, the third best robot places 10th, and the 5th best places 17th. |
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I don't think there is any way to account for it, but remember that teams in this division who were at the Mount Olive District played matches that were 20 seconds short. This will have a negative impact on their OPR.
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It would only affect teams whose Max OPR was from Mount Olive, or would have been from Mount Olive had the matches been the correct length. |
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(There are far too many people concerned with OPR and spending far too much time analyzing, adjusting OPR to show various things and make predictions. OPR is good for a very quick reference when you have no other information about a team. If you are spending more than 15 minutes on OPR, I suggest you actually watch matches of teams. You will get a far better picture of who is good and who isn't. Better yet, you will find what their strengths/weakness are.) |
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My point has nothing to do with individual teams, but it has to do with the schedule and number of matches. If you go out, and you score exactly 30 points per match, you may win one match, or you may win seven, depending on your schedule. That's what the data shows. I'm trying to prove how much of a difference your schedule can make. In these predictions, OPR is a perfect representation of a robots performance. In the real world, that is not true. I would generally expect that robots that score more points will rank higher, but it is not true. |
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I just run the numbers cause it is a mental challenge, it is interesting to look at, and it gives other people stuff to look at too. I don't think my team has ever used OPR during selection. |
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I'm sure that those who are running these OPR predictions know that OPR is not the end-all in terms of the actual ranking, and are mostly doing this to occupy them with the statistics before we get to CMP. According to the graph, the general trend is that the better teams will still seed higher, and it's a known factor that schedules can swing teams around. I wouldn't put too much weight on the predictions, though they are interesting to look at.
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I'm glad Frank explained how teams got placed in divisions. If not, I would has thought their goal was to confuse everyone by putting 2468, 2478, 2648, 2848 and 2928 in the same division. :cool: |
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A lot of our OPR based woes involved huge intake and ball control issues. Which we have made huge progress on since Orlando if I do say so myself.
Along with a terrible statistical schedule at Palmetto, and a average/moderately difficult one at Orlando. I'll take strategy anyday over OPR. |
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At MSC, lowest OPR losing (single bot) was a lot more accurate than highest alliance OPR winning.
WTT: my FRC free corn dog for video footage of 2013 Cybergnomes [edit:At WCR] |
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@Jared, Ian: I'll see if I can track you fellas down and get you those corn dogs ;) |
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So, now the FIRST has released Match Schedules, how do you see things going down? What matches are you looking forward to?
I think Curie 120 will be pretty amazing... 222 with 125 going up against 11... yeah, should be a good one. |
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Match 47. Theory6 and M.O.R.T ( along with my team ) going up against Hawaiian kids, team appreciate , and dirty mechanics . If preliminary a fall through, this will be the match I am most excited to take part in and watch.
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Team 3476, Code Orange, is in the Curie Division.
:D Crush the Curie Curse:D We were the #3 pick and Newton Division Champions last year without winning a Regional. In 2014, we competed at the Las Vegas and San Diego Regionals. If you would like to see us in action, here is a list of links to video of Team 3476’s matches. Most of these HD videos were shot by Gary Hedge, a mentor on Team 3476, Code Orange. The video follows the action with close-up zooms, tilts and pans. Scores are shown at the end of match. A highlights video of Team 3476’s 2014 robot, Hanalei, for Championship pre-scouters is available on YouTube at: http://youtu.be/NRo1hbfD7Lk . At Las Vegas, Team 3476, Code Orange, was the first pick by the #3 Alliance Captain, Team 1717, d’Penguineers. Team 687, The Nerd Herd, rounded out the alliance. The alliance beat the #2 alliance in the Semi-finals to move on to become Finalists, losing by a narrow margin to the #1 Alliance of Teams 2485, 987 and 2478. Team 3476, Code Orange, received the 2014 San Diego Regional Chairman’s Award. In San Diego, Code Orange was the #2 Alliance Captain, Semifinalist and won the Imagery Award in honor of Jack Kamen. They were undefeated in the Qualification Matches along with team 987, High Rollers, with 11 wins. Code Orange scored the most accumulated Autonomous points with 515 and the most Truss & Catch points with 330. LAS VEGAS VIDEOS: FRC 2014 Las Vegas Regional Quarterfinal 4-1 http://youtu.be/H8Fa9PFbkts Score: Red 195 points; Blue 61 points. Alliance #3 RED Teams (drivers on left) frc1717, frc3476, frc687 vs. Alliance #6 BLUE Teams (on right) frc1266, frc1165, frc60. FRC 2014 Las Vegas Regional Quarterfinal 4-2 http://youtu.be/ccOwm0qFmjU Score: Red 165 points; Blue 98 points. Alliance #3 RED Teams (drivers on left) frc1717, frc3476, frc687 vs. Alliance #6 BLUE Teams (on right) frc1266, frc1165, frc60. FRC 2014 Las Vegas Regional Semifinal 2-1 http://youtu.be/DHwXH4nyUnk Score: Red 211 points; Blue 96 points. Alliance #2 RED Teams (drivers on left) frc2122, frc1572, frc399 vs. Alliance #3 BLUE Teams (on right) frc1717, frc3476, frc687 FRC 2014 Las Vegas Regional Semifinal 2-2 http://youtu.be/ngai8L37umY Score: Red 152 points; Blue 165 points. Alliance #2 RED Teams (drivers on left) frc2122, frc1572, frc399 vs. Alliance #3 BLUE Teams (on right) frc1717, frc3476, frc687 FRC 2014 Las Vegas Regional Semifinal 2-3 http://youtu.be/gTJ_rEvVkEY Score: Red 136 points; Blue 295 points. Alliance #2 RED Teams (drivers on left) frc2122, frc1572, frc399 vs. Alliance #3 BLUE Teams (on right) frc1717, frc3476, frc687 FRC 2014 Las Vegas Regional Final-1 http://youtu.be/xvxrYuNC4hk Score: Red 166 points; Blue 145 points. Alliance #1 RED Teams (drivers on left) frc2478, frc2485, frc987 vs. Alliance #3 BLUE Teams (on right) frc1717, frc3476, frc687 FRC 2014 Las Vegas Regional Final-2 http://youtu.be/6n-XEj5Ege8 Score: Red 175 points; Blue 130 points. Alliance #1 RED Teams (drivers on left) frc2478, frc2485, frc987 vs. Alliance #3 BLUE Teams (on right) frc1717, frc3476, frc687 Qualification Matches: FRC 2014 Las Vegas Regional Match #03 Link to video by Gary Hedge: http://youtu.be/wHD4PdSdclg Score: Red 136 points; Blue 95 points. RED Teams (drivers on left) frc1717, frc3577, frc988 vs. BLUE Teams (on right) frc5049, frc3476, frc2403. FRC 2014 Las Vegas Regional Match #16 http://youtu.be/in9Z2AQ9Jbc Score: Red 111points; Blue 105 points. RED Teams (drivers on left) frc1631, frc1538, frc2493 vs. BLUE Teams (on right) frc585, frc2486, frc3476. FRC 2014 Las Vegas Regional Match #24 http://youtu.be/qyTLU3yN4eo Score: Red 185 points; Blue 160 points. RED Teams (drivers on left) frc2485, frc3476, frc3187 vs. BLUE Teams (on right) frc1661, frc4146, frc2102. FRC 2014 Las Vegas Regional Match #33 http://youtu.be/fP1_hG7qT08 Score: Red 210 points; Blue 87 points. RED Teams (drivers on left) frc1515, frc1726, frc3476 vs. BLUE Teams (on right) frc5049, frc4962, frc3255. FRC 2014 Las Vegas Regional Match #37 http://youtu.be/Tu7ObM3UT14 Score: Red 225 points; Blue 215 points. RED Teams (drivers on left) frc3501, frc987, frc3476 vs. BLUE Teams (on right) frc1726, frc1572, frc4800. FRC 2014 Las Vegas Regional Match #43 http://youtu.be/b34D9qb8Pwc Score: Red 121 points; Blue 117 points. RED Teams (drivers on left) frc3476, frc4470, frc2478 vs. BLUE Teams (on right) frc3501, frc1197, frc3598. FRC 2014 Las Vegas Regional Match #55 http://youtu.be/C_0FJcJG37Q Score: Red 155 points; Blue 145 points. RED Teams (drivers on left) frc4322, frc60, frc987 vs. BLUE Teams (on right) frc4146, frc3476, frc3598. FRC 2014 Las Vegas Regional Match #59 http://youtu.be/lQV44F_kK-0 Score: Red 136 points; Blue 190 points. RED Teams (drivers on left) frc3245, frc3309, frc3476 vs. BLUE Teams (on right) frc2122, frc1165, frc4276. FRC 2014 Las Vegas Regional Match #60 http://youtu.be/77lXtrdpehY Score: Red 131 points; Blue 81 points. RED Teams (drivers on left) frc1717, frc1538, frc687 vs. BLUE Teams (on right) frc1266, frc5012, frc2034. FRC 2014 Las Vegas Regional Match #74 by Ben Nye https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=KS_0YADMEsc Score: Red 36 points; Blue 230 points. RED Teams (drivers on left) frc2034, frc585, frc4792 vs. BLUE Teams (on right) frc3476, frc1266, frc4276. FRC 2014 Las Vegas Regional Match #82 by Ben Nye https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=vkSmayFNElU Score: Red 115 points; Blue 166 points. RED Teams (drivers on left) frc4, frc687, frc3965 vs. BLUE Teams (on right) frc3476, frc4160, frc2429. FRC 2014 Las Vegas Regional Match #86 http://youtu.be/bLsIWyOzX_k Score: Red 190 points; Blue 147 points. RED Teams (drivers on left) frc1631, frc988, frc3476 vs. BLUE Teams (on right) frc3598, frc5012, frc3019. SAN DIEGO VIDEOS: FIRST FRC 2014 San Diego Regional Quarterfinal 3-1 GaryHedge: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=XibxO2aS6nk Score: Red 175 points; Blue 128 points. Alliance #2 RED Teams (drivers on left) frc3476, frc1538, frc4574 vs. Alliance #7 BLUE Teams (on right) frc3128, frc3255, frc2339. FIRST FRC 2014 San Diego Regional Quarterfinal 3-2 GaryHedge: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=SBPGEoDfMas9 Score: Red 150 points; Blue 113 points. Alliance #2 RED Teams (drivers on left) frc3476, frc1538, frc4574 vs. Alliance #7 BLUE Teams (on right) frc3128, frc3255, frc2339. FIRST FRC 2014 San Diego Regional Semifinal 2-1 GaryHedge: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=R7AiZ3KJZH0 Score: Red 92 points; Blue 190 points. Alliance #2 RED Teams (drivers on left) frc3476, frc1538, frc4574 vs. Alliance #3 BLUE Teams (on right) frc4583, frc1266, frc330. FIRST FRC 2014 San Diego Regional Semifinal 2-2 GaryHedge: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=sxMx7hou4FI Score: Red 131 points; Blue 46 points. Alliance #2 RED Teams (drivers on left) frc3476, frc1538, frc4574 vs. Alliance #3 BLUE Teams (on right) frc4583, frc1266, frc330. FIRST FRC 2014 San Diego Regional Semifinal 2-3 GaryHedge: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=PcDHIsAO-Ug Score: Red 86 points; Blue 121 points. Alliance #2 RED Teams (drivers on left) frc3476, frc1538, frc4574 vs. Alliance #3 BLUE Teams (on right) frc4583, frc1266, frc330. Team 330, BeachBots, from Hermosa Beach, CA, displayed amazing driving skill and shooting on the fly to lead the #3 Alliance to the Regional Championship. Team 1266, Devil Duckies, #3 Alliance Captain showed their experience and picking skill to not let the BeachBots get away in the Alliance Selection. Qualification Matches: FIRST FRC 2014 San Diego Regional Match #06 GaryHedge: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mmdAIidiNyY Score: Red 71 points; Blue 75 points. RED Teams (drivers on left) frcteam frc1538, frc3704, frc4738 vs. BLUE Teams (on right) frc5209, frc3255, frc3476. FIRST FRC 2014 San Diego Regional Match #11 GaryHedge: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=7hNqBwFJ6DA Score: Red 46 points; Blue 200 points. RED Teams (drivers on left) frc589, frc2658, frc1572 vs. BLUE Teams (on right) frc3749, frc3476, frc987. FIRST FRC 2014 San Diego Regional Match #29 GaryHedge: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=FrH9velDpAU Score: Red 100 points; Blue 63 points. RED Teams (drivers on left) frc3041, frc4160, frc3476 vs. BLUE Teams (on right) frc3881, frc3250, frc3128. FIRST FRC 2014 San Diego Regional Match #37 GaryHedge: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=xoY_luDZ6BA Score: Red 230 points; Blue 41 points. RED Teams (drivers on left) frc2543, frc3476, frc3009 vs. BLUE Teams (on right) frc3881, frc5025, frc3011. FIRST FRC 2014 San Diego Regional Match #47 GaryHedge: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Zo-u99olW6Y& Score: Red 40 points; Blue 80 points. RED Teams (drivers on left) frc3328, frc3965, frc4616 vs. BLUE Teams (on right) frc4919, frc3476, frc2193. FIRST FRC 2014 San Diego Regional Match #60 GaryHedge: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=zsGa7l3pzFs Score: Red 95 points; Blue 47 points. RED Teams (drivers on left) frc3491, frc4019, frc3476 vs. BLUE Teams (on right) frc4984, frc4139, frc2984. FIRST FRC 2014 San Diego Regional Match #70 GaryHedge: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=3ICqHkdB89I Score: Red 23 points; Blue 110 points. RED Teams (drivers on left) frc2029, frc3491, frc4574 vs. BLUE Teams (on right) frc3952, frc4014, frc3476. FIRST FRC 2014 San Diego Regional Match #78 GaryHedge: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=e0hBUgCEhjU Score: Red 31 points; Blue 140 points. RED Teams (drivers on left) frc4486, frc4078, frc4583 vs. BLUE Teams (on right) frc568, frc4792, frc3476. FIRST FRC 2014 San Diego Regional Match #84 GaryHedge: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=B_QOkfFB1zE Score: Red 200 points; Blue 48 points. RED Teams (drivers on left) frc3011, frc604, frc3476 vs. BLUE Teams (on right) frc568, frc3341, frc2339. FIRST FRC 2014 San Diego Regional Match #97 GaryHedge: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=NmRAG5Dh3kw Score: Red 155 points; Blue 16 points. RED Teams (drivers on left) frc3476, frc3967, frc1266 vs. BLUE Teams (on right) frc3021, frc5285, frc3749. FIRST FRC 2014 San Diego Regional Match #107 with introductions GaryHedge: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=OYQ5tvkLzoA Score: Red 131 points; Blue 83 points. RED Teams (drivers on left) frc4139, frc3881, frc3476 vs. BLUE Teams (on right) frc3255, frc3647, frc2839. |
Re: 2014 Curie Division
^Golly that's a long post.
I think I can speak for most of my team that were looking forward to the matches we get to play with (M52) Team 987, (M92) Team 125, and (M166) Team 842 (the team we modeled our latest intake after). I also can't wait to see how we might fare potentially playing a bit of defense against 2451's swerve in M37. Kinda sad we never play with/against the Poofs, Hawaiian Kids, MORT, Las Guerrillas, Theory6 or the Robonauts. |
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I definitely can agree with you there. We are fortunate enough to be matched up with or against a few of these amazing teams and we are all extremely anxious and excited about it. |
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If there is no bigger indictment of the fallacy of relying on OPR for scouting there it is. |
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2451 and 1625 put pool noodles on top of the bot so balls wouldn't get stuck on top of the robot and incur a penalty but getting some weight would probably be the best thing for them really. |
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Yes, they are expensive, but pretty much impervious to any kind of damage a frc robot would be able to inflict. |
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I think that this is the year that the Curie Curse is broken. All of the teams on that list are astounding. But, regardless if the curse is broken or not, we are certainly in for some good competition. :)
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We're currently in the works of building a ramp with a gate, to possess balls. 5288 (1114's partner) did not have an intake just an outtake(?), and while an intake would be awesome-r, we don't have the time to do make one. We've still got bumpers to re-make. Our plan is to be able to catch from the human player and just release the ball immediately and go back on defense. After we talked about our plans post-regional, adding weight came up, but we decided against it as it may impair our driving. Our biggest advantage and the reason we played defense pretty well was being able to zip around the field and not exactly push robots, but just being everywhere. We'd like to keep that ability, and not give the driver a completely different robot. Plus with our "ramp-gate" we're probably looking to add 20 lbs there itself. Definitely interested in hearing others' thoughts. And to add to the match conversations...we're gonna have fun. Going up against, 254, 11, 125, 469/180 and other tough teams. My only words - look out for the orange :cool: |
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5 or 6 extra batteries would take care of that weight problem.
Sorry, I couldn't help myself. Still too soon to make Orlando jokes? |
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Does anyone have any good pictures of:
540 TALON 540 Godwin Robotics 1311 Kell Robotics 1629 Garrett Coalition (GaCo) 1723 The FBI - FIRST Bots of Independence 1884 Griffins 2016 Mighty Monkey Wrenches 2848 The All Sparks 3301 Patriots 3386 Tornades 3660 Lightsabers 3692 Rock N' Robots 3794 WinT 4171 BayBots 4935 T-Rex 4969 Iron FeNix 5125 Hawks on the Horizon 5297 BOLTZAP |
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I would like say since a lot of you are pre-scouting pictures & videos.
4901's robot no longer looks like it does in any video/pictures you will find. We have created an entirely new intake over the past 4 weeks. The drive-train is the only thing that remains entirely the same as what you see on video. Even the shooter that you see used in autonomous in the Orlando Regional is slightly different...only in how it is controlled, in order for us to have option to employ a two ball autonomous sequence if needed as well as to have our drivers have much better control of the ball once it is under the control of the robot. As JVN would say. Iteration has proven to be the key to success for us. |
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![]() (The 2x4s are just our convenient cheapskate way of approximating the robot frame without having it or a practice robot. It works, people!) |
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I don't have any good pictures of our robot, but I may be able to provide one at a later point. We have some matches on Blue Alliance from VA Regional but I will still try to post a picture. |
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We're looking very forward to that one. -Brando |
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Why is the match going on right now (Qual. 57) a 2v2 match?
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2648 and 5124 also stumbled up the the field late and missed their matches as well. Teams were doing a shockingly poor job showing up to the field in my Que line in the afternoon. IT was pretty empty back there and alot of teams had near misses with making their match. Too much good St. Louis Bar-B-Q for lunch I suppose. |
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I can imagine a simple 3-digit display (two, actually, for each division) hung up high where everyone in the pits can see them. When your match number is shown, go queue. |
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Just keep it in your pit, and when it vibrates and lights up, its time for you to queue up. That would be the holy-grail of awesome queueing in my opinion. Some of the better ones have a pretty good range. |
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I don't know about the other divisions, but the matches on Curie were often ahead of schedule, which caused a lot of teams to be late for their matches.
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The Griffins are proud to have shared the field and pits with the amazing teams on Curie! It's been an incredible year and we're thrilled to have made it Champs for the first time.
Good luck to all the elimination alliances and hopefully one of you guys will end the 'curse'! |
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So.... that red side of the bracket.... wow. 1 v 8 and 4 v 5 will feature Einstein levels of play.
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This sure was an exciting competition. Congrats to 254, 469, 2848, and 74 on your division and championship win! You guys played extremely well and knew you would go all the way. Would like to give a special thanks to 2928 for picking us as well as 2013 and 1311 for being great alliance partners. Was a pleasure working with you guys. We may not have won but we are extremely proud for making it to the semifinals for such an incredibly tough division. Also congrats to everyone in the division for such a high performance all around.
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Members from Ctrl-Z 4069 came to Champs with the team to assist them in the competition. |
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Re: 2014 Curie Division
If anyone knows where any match videos from Curie are located, please let me know. I wasn't able to be at the event this year and did not have access to the webcast in my pit at VEX Champs since the FIRST webcasts were not mobile-friendly.
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Re: 2014 Curie Division
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Re: 2014 Curie Division
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We also posted full-field footage of Einstein as well if you're interested. |
Re: 2014 Curie Division
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Re: 2014 Curie Division
Thanks for posting the matches.
I finally got to watch some of our matches. Those Curie Semifinals matches we were in against the #1 seed were intense. Being able to match teleop scores in matches 1 and 3 were tough but very exciting to coach. The defense on us got much better in match 3 and slowed us down. Before the tech foul, it was really close at 220-206 with our alliance missing an auton ball. |
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