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[FRC Blog] 2015 FIRST Championship (and beyond) Eligibility
Posted on the FRC Blog, 8/22/14: http://www.usfirst.org/roboticsprogr...nd-Eligibility
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Good changes for the time being. Love the changes to wild card as well
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Happy Championship and may the odds be ever in your favor!
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Other than that, excellent changes overall, especially with wild cards. |
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Love the changes! This is by far the best and most fair championship eligibility system that FIRST has had yet.
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I am really pleased with these changes and it definitely provides a great opportunity for teams who have never been to champs!
Does anyone know when registration for the waitlist will open? I know it was in early October last year. |
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The point is, I don't think he's specifically stating that any specific eligibility criteria is going to change in the long run, just that something is going to change. We just don't know what that something is yet. |
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The only thing you need to know now is when does it close. :D |
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Love the changes. This does give a bigger advantage to teams that play at later events, since the odds are a few finalists at most of the later events will get spots.
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I like the new wildcard rules.
So if you are an original and sustaining team, attend 3 regionals, win all of them, and also manage to win a Chairman's and an EI, do you generate a total of 8 wildcards? :P |
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Love the changes to the wild card system. If I'm reading it right teams that receive a wild card slot at an earlier event will also generate one if they compete later on right, or can wild cards qualifications not generate other wild cards?
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Echoing everyone else's statements about the changes, I think they are fair, and easily understood
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I am not so sure about the RAS change though, I get why but how would you feel if you were a Rookie Team and get the Rookie Inspiration Award, and then there is no Rookie All Star, it is almost like the Regional telling you: "Aren't you cute playing in the sandbox, now stay off the jungle gym that is for the big boys" :( . Like I said, I get why just I think there are going to be some hurt feelings from rookies EDIT: Interesting to note that under the new system the entire finalist alliance at both Orlando and South Florida in 2013 would have qualified for championships |
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I think it's fair. I'd want to earn my award if I was on a rookie team again. |
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Also there was an issue with the rookie awards at the Central Illinois Regional because there was only one. |
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This is great news, would have been the edge 2338 needed in 2014 to make it.
I'm curious how long this system can be maintained. |
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If the powers-that-be determine that they have no rookies eligible for the RAS, does that mean that regional sends 5 teams to CMP?
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I imagine virtually none of these changes come as too much of a shock to anyone. Allowing the full force of the wild card system to come into effect was an obvious result of an expanded championship. I'm sure this was always the end-game of the wild card system, it just would have generated too many bids if it didn't have all the proper qualifiers attached to it in the 2013/2014 season. It goes a long way to discontinue the idea teams can be underrepresented, and doesn't paint double or more blue banner winners out to be bad guys (not saying it should happen anyway, but it does).
The RAS changes are going to come with some apprehension but I feel there isn't a silent majority against the change. Until recently you could have made the case for RCA's to have the same kind of added criteria but I think in the last couple years the bar for that award has been substantially raised worldwide. In my opinion, the new implementation of the waitlist is a long time coming anyway. There is a selection system for waitlisted teams at regionals that is more than first-come, first-serve, so why not for Championships? It's too important of an event to have it boil down to a fastest-finger competition; save it for the veterans trying to cram themselves into the Palmetto Regional :rolleyes: Big fan of all 3 moves. |
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Prediction: There will be at least 5 times in 2015 where at least one wildcard slot vanishes due to the number of created wildcard spots exceeding the number of previously-not-qualified finalist teams. At least twice, you will see multiple wildcard bids go unused at the same event.
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I like the new wildcard and wait list changes, as they appear to be a bit more fair.
As for the eventual capacity overload, is one of the potential solution ideas moving the championship location? I'd love to see it back in Atlanta. :D In all seriousness, approximately how long do we have until we run out of room in St. Louis, and simply can't do it there anymore? |
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I'm wondering if there is anyone out there that will take these new rules into consideration when picking alliances?
Would anyone decline to stay on the opposite side of the bracket from a powerful 1 seed? Will competitions now be a battle for the finals with winning the event not being as important? What does everything think?* *i don't want to debate the ethics on making this decision. |
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HOF teams can now generate a wild card spot.
Does this mean that at every event we attend (most likely 3), we generate a wild card each time? If so, that would be pretty neat! The wild card we gave out at Dallas, turned out to be the 2014 Championship winner. ;) |
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OK. I just reread and get it.
In the recent past, we won the 1st event, no wild card generated. we won the 2nd event, it generated a wild card because we won the 1st event. we won the 3rd event, it generated a wild card because we won the 2nd event. Based on this year's rule, if we win the 1st event, now a wild card is generated for being a HOF team. |
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Awesome note about Florida finals though, hopefully that continues as 744 seems to have gotten good at making finals lol |
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I mostly like the changes but have an observation:
It seems simplistic to get one waitlist chance in the hat per year not attending champs. Consider that you get 1 chance in 2015. If you don't make it, ignoring more non-wait list slots the next year) your chances of getting selected off the wait list doubles to two chance the following year. However, if you still don't make it, your chances only increase by 50% (from 2 to 3) the next year. As each year passes, your odds go up by a lesser percentage. Combine that with increasing numbers on the wait list and your chances might actually go down at some point. Should the scale between years not attending and chances given be non-linear? I'll admit, I'm biased, as our team has never been to champs (come close several times!) since our rookie 2008 year. |
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The whole pre-qualified example really caught my attention. To be honest, with championships increasing to a 600 capacity, I would much rather see all winners and finalists being eligible and not having to go through all of this trouble. This keeps it consistent for all regionals. As mentioned earlier, going to a later regional or to a regional where more pre-qualified teams are present, will have advantages. |
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Take for example this year's FLR. Say through some miracle, the 341-2791-4930 alliance made it to the finals against the other side of the bracket, 3015-340-3044. Under the old rules, if the 340 alliance won, one wildcard would be generated through 340's prior CA win, which would be "spent" on 341, a prequalified team. Under the new rules, not only would that wild card be passed down to 2791, 340 would generate a second wild card by winning EI at Finger Lakes. (This wild card would be "wasted" as 4930 had already won Rookie All Star) There's also more opportunity to qualify at earlier events. Take TVR, a first event for nearly every team attending. When 20, 1126, and 229 won the event, no wild cards were generated. However, under the new rules, 20 would generate a wild card upon winning, allowing team 250 the chance to attend the Championship. I'm very happy with this change. |
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Last year Michigan had 10.3% (329 out of 3195 according to the first website) of of all teams, and I saw some semi official prediction somewhere that predicted much more growth next year. If we get to the point where 10.7% of all teams are in Michigan, then all 64 teams at MSC would qualify for worlds under this blog's rules. Even if the percentage stayed the same and 60 or so qualified, I could see this as being an issue. The obvious solution is get a bigger state championship, but EMU's convocation center probably can't hold any more teams. Are there any larger possible venues? Maybe two separate state championship events? I guess we'll see pretty soon when they release the dates for registration.
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I wouldn't be surprised to see each division with 80 teams in 2015 with an increase in the number of matches played. This allows for an eventual increase to 100 teams per division over the next few years to accommodate growth. |
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The search page on usfirst.org (http://www.usfirst.org/whats-going-on) has some inconsistencies, teams that never competitive, things like that.
Navid Shafta of GameSense/1983 has this spreadsheet up that seems to have more accurate numbers: https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets...H_E/edit#gid=0 MI was 10.22% of FRC in 2014, having 277 of 2710 teams. This would be 61 spots with a 600 team championship. |
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So if such a team attended 3 regionals, wouldn't that automatically create 3 more wildcards? Edit: I reread the first post, I guess it doesn't |
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See you this weekend Rahul! |
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So I guess the question is if FiM had 60 slots, are they going to all have to qualify with enough district points, or will there be a FiM wait list? Another way to look at it, is First setting up 400ish qualifying spots for champs and 200ish wait list slots. Does that mean 40 qualifying for FiM and the other 20 spots are wait listed throughout First? Should those 20 spots be reserved for FiM teams on the wait list? Maybe someone knows, but that is unclear to me. That should answer if MSC needs to expand or not. I know there were a lot of good teams at MSC that didn't make the cut last year. Hopefully we can make it to MSC next year. |
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So if X number of regionals generates X number of championship spots, and that is subtracted from the 600 available spots. What number are the district's percentage applied to for their championship spots? Is it 600 or factored in from the regional teams qualified? It looks like the going forward strategy is to get teams to champs that haven't been there in a while via the wait list, so it doesn't seem correct that FiM would get 10% of the 600, the ratio seems off to me. It should be factored according to the number of qualified teams of regionals. If it was 100% district's, it wouldn't matter because they could choose whatever % they wanted, but regionals and district's complicate matters a bit. |
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An FRC Blog located here explains how the calculations will work. The only difference being numbers, instead of 27 prequalified teams out of 400 we now have 32 (The same number of sustaining teams, 1 more hall of fame team, 3 more Engineering Inspiration Award winners, and 1 more Einstein winner than last year) out of 600. So if Michigan had 277 out of 2707 they had 10.23% of all FRC teams, assuming that remains equal they will have (600-32)*.1023 teams or 58 teams (These same numbers can be used for all districts just sub out .1023 for their representation) |
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What am I still not understanding? |
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To make it fair no teams from district's should be on the First wait list, or each district has its own wait list based on the slots they are given. Edit: based on the explained calculation. That's why I was asking how they calculate the allocated slots. Edit: if it were all regionals or all district's everything gets simplified, it's the combination that's complicated. |
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At this point FIRST may not expand to that full 600 team CMP, that is still under discussion. There will be more than 400 spaces but may not be a full 600 this season. Regionals will get increased numbers of spots for two reasons #1 the number of Regionals are increasing #2 the new wild card rules means that it will be a rare occurrence for less than 6 teams to earn a spot at a Regional. In the past the average was certainly less than 6 teams, I've seen a few events where there were only 4 new unique teams that earned a spot. Yes the way the wait list is now set up may favor district teams slightly. The reality is that you have to purposely decided to join the wait list and I suspect that the percentage of teams that will join the waitlist from a District will be less than teams that compete at regionals. The "always a bridesmaid, never a bride" teams that are now in a district have a significantly higher likelihood of going to CMP than similar teams that compete at Regionals. In the long run that means that a far lower percentage of District teams will qualify under the new wait list system. |
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Someone please correct me if I'm wrong. |
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The HOF teams are auto-qualified, BUT we do not (at least did not in past years) create wildcards for the district. FiM sends X (58 in the above example) point-qualified teams regardless of any other status those teams have. In other words, if team my team (51) fails to qualify, FiM would send 58 qualified teams and we would go on our HOF exemption, resulting in 59 teams from FiM at champs. However, if we qualify on points then FiM still sends 58 qualified teams and our slot at champs for our HOF status opens up for the wait list. (At least this is how I remember it.) |
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...except for 1 team. EDIT: The way I look at allocation is that everyone who earns a berth to championships outside of the current seasonal qualification system (F&S, HoF, previous winners of BBAs) are in a separate pool entirely. FIRST HQ puts on Championship and invites a subset of teams outside, so with "x" being the final number of slots and "y" being the number of teams HQ invites outside of seasonal qualification, and "z" being the total number of teams in FRC, the allocation percentage = (x-y)/z. |
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So, hypothetically, say there are 3000 teams in FRC and 600 at CMP. Let's say that Districts account for 33% of teams, so 1000 of the 3000, or 200 of the 600 CMP spots. Of the 2000 Regional teams, 400 will get to CMP. Let's say there are 60 Regionals, each qualifying a perfect 6 teams, and all attend CMP, giving 360 teams. Of the Regional teams' 400 spots, there are now 40 remaining for the waitlist. Applying that proportion to the district teams would mean 20 total would get in from the waitlist. If FiM has 300 teams, they get 60 CMP spots in total, with 6 of those being waitlist spots. I simplified the numbers a bit to make the math really easy. I think that this could solve some of the fairness problems people have discussed and also potentially fix the MSC problem. |
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Just wondering when Champs lottery sign ups open. Haven't seen anything about that yet...
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That or one of the blue alliance teams were told that their robot was legal for eliminations, but they were given a retroactive red card because their robot was not legal for eliminations... No, that could never happen. :rolleyes: |
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Obviously a game hint. The 2015 game will be played with a golf-style scoring system.
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