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Edited to add: It would be nice however if they would make an official announcement about current status of the location. Especially whether they are just considering moving and looking into options, or whether it is definitely moving. |
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A few events are adding teams this morning from the waitlists.
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still wait listed.....zzz...zzz....
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However the Red Wings last home game is the 7th, and the playoffs don't start until after MSC would wrap up. The arena's website currently doesn't list any concerts or other events that weekend. So Joe Louis is a possibility, schedule-wise. Whether it would fit more teams than Ypsilanti is a separate question. Most hockey-arena events I've been to fit around 50-60 teams if the pit space is also on the arena floor. However, the Cobo Center is adjacent (attached?) to Joe Louis, so the pit space could potentially be moved there, similar to how it is at Championship. |
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Team 5701 has registered from Japan, and is planning to attend the Hawaii Regional. Is this the first Japanese team?
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If they stick around, then they will be the first competing Japanese team.
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I have also thought there might be enough room at Ford Field. I would think there would be enough room on the floor to do pits and a field. Of course this would all be changed if they wanted to do 2 fields. |
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Michigan now has 344 teams with 78 rookies. This means we need 18 district events for sure. Still has 13 veteran teams from last year not registered (or waitlisted) for events. There may even be rookie teams still not assigned an event yet.
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5553 from France I believe is the first French team, unless I'm mistaken. |
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Past 2800 teams this morning.
74 teams have been added to event rosters over the past 24 hours. |
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REf FIM: Kentwood district event (new this year) is open of registration now.
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Escananba has 28 teams right now, and Traverse City has 31. If I counted correctly, there are about 12 teams who have Esky as home event that are probably waitlisted for Traverse (31 + 12 = 43 > 40). I wouldn't mind an 18th event somewhere up north. Edit: With some newer additions at Esky, that's more like 15 UP teams that are likely waitlisted at Traverse (the 16th is going to West Michigan). |
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688 spots needed. 17 Events x 40 Spots = 680 spots available. 18th Event needed. |
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If they ever ended up really in a jam, or team counts were only over capacity by one or two teams, I could see that being a last resort sort of option. |
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Third plays do not need to be in the state of Michigan. With the new inter-district play option, there are many opportunities for MI teams to play more than twice without the $4k registration fee.
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From the team standpoint the cost of a 3rd play in another district ramps up travel costs significantly in many cases, so most would probably rather play in their home district from that stand point. |
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This is what I have been told if this is not the case someone can set me straight. :) Also in the wake of adding a new event some teams may drop their first or second events to they can attend the new event if it is closer so it would become a "primary" event for a good number of teams. |
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40 X Registration Fee < Cost of District You are correct that the money goes to the District System. But Alan is saying that's not economically viable as the sole reason to do another district. |
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Howzit!
Team 3880 – The Tiki Techs - Have received their final conformations and will be competing at the Australia, Hawaii and Silicon Valley regionals! Looking forward to an exciting season. Aloha! |
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That said, there's a lot more to running an event that just the dollar cost, there's also drain on volunteers and limits on time and field availability to consider. The actual "cost" of an event is much higher than the dollar amount spent, and thus even if there is a slight financial gain from 3rd plays the biggest value is probably in team experience/satisfaction gained from more time on the field. Edited to add: Okay I was wrong, average cost for a district (in 2009 anyway) was 24K. That's what I get for trying to remember things from 5 years ago. In my defense, the event I was involved in came in at around 10K :) Thanks Christopher149 for finding that. I wonder if there is more recent data in a similar vein? |
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I'm amused to see our robot in the Traverse picture. |
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When we were in the running for another West Michigan event last year, I was quoted absolute minimum of $14-18k from FiM. I don't think that FiM would care much about the cost of a district event as it is the event organizers that have to raise funds for the event. The 3rd event registration money would go straight to FiM. The money for running the event would be raised through local sponsorship and donations.
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Average District Event cost for FIRSTinMichigan was $18,000 for 2014. We ran 15 district events last season.
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To put this in the volunteer's perspective: FiM ran 1200 qualifying matches and fifteen elimination brackets, for the same budget some regionals have burned through to run 96 qualifying matches and one bracket. This is possible because FiM musters and manages an insanely dedicated corps of volunteers. We really, really like to play robots. :] |
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New chart fun.
Team count (vet/rookie/total) by country/state/province 2823 teams right now. |
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1) 18 district competitions will support 360 teams, if no team takes a third play in-state before MSC. 2) 18 events means three per week for six weeks. The first of these obvious observations points back to one of the main reasons FiM was formed -- to ensure enough playing slots for all Michigan teams. The second obvious observation makes us think about how to ensure this when the number of Michigan teams exceeds 360, which seems likely very soon. Extend the season, or run more than three events per week? |
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How many "key volunteers" (FTA/FTAA, MC/GA, FS, etc) does Michigan have? How many weeks per season do these folks have to volunteer to make the current schedule work? How many fields does FiM own? |
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Robots built by Thanksgiving. Districts/Regionals January through early March. WCMP in late March/Early April. |
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We can not move the 6 build season to before January it won't work, we can't extend the competition season unless you want to either allow for your first official event to start 2 days after stop build or end 4 days before Champs. |
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...and teams playing with their practice robots all through holiday break.
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With how fast Michigan has been growing that solution most likely won't get them through 2016. I'm sure FIM is looking at viable options they can implement. |
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Looking to Trade
Team 3021 The Agency has a locked in spot at San Jose, but we were wondering if anyone is willing to trade for a San Diego, Ventura, or Rancho Mirage spot, it would save us a lot of money and time if we could stay local. PM me if your team is interested in a trade.
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They aren't swappable. If you drop an event it's the RD who chooses the next team from the waitlist as a replacement. I suggest that you talk your idea over with them before you do anything rash, like drop an event you won't be able to get back in to. |
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The focus of load in night needs to be on the inspections. For early events where teams are going through the process for the first time of the year you'll be lucky if you get half of the teams inspected by the end of the night. At GSD and UNH a majority of the teams were inspected the following morning. Add in practice matches and the backlog of teams will increase. |
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YMMV by district. |
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My guess is that it would be 128 teams (2x last year), then they can use the same system 2x. Not sure how the elimination rounds would work, maybe a two team Einstein type of championship style, the winners of both fields play. |
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FYI, DC & Pittsburgh got updated sometime over the weekend with teams several teams officially off of the waitlist. I suspect other events have been updated as well.
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They have been trying to do so for many years, and after tons of emails from our RD to raise it, they have finally listened. In the past, we kept having to have teams register on the waitlist and have FIRST switch them over to registered. Our event was capable of having 40+ teams but never could understand why FIRST put a limit of 27 up until now.:confused: -Glenn |
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That was a useful spreadsheet also
but before I go do some excel work, do you have the table that made the graph, basically state, count example AK, 1 AL, 8 AR, 16 etc I want to update a spreadsheet I did about 5 years ago and look at the deltas. Thanks Ed |
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I neglected to name it anything meaningful. |
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I thought to check the tabs but got distracted and forgot. I downloaded the file and when I open the file it gives an error saying the file may have missing data. at first glance it seems to all be there,,,, I don't know if the file upstairs is broken or what.
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Here are just the totals for the chart in CSV comma delimited form.
I had to give it an extension of .txt to upload it here. Also an .xlsx format for the whole thing to try. |
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normalizing the data against state population, teams per million population
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Ed... this is eye-opening. Amazing numbers from Minnesota! Anyone from MN can share their perspectives on how they have managed to get FIRST into so many schools and communities?
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It looks like the 5 years gains, just some sample data points
2009 2014 Michigan 132 350 teams Minnesota 81 179 California 145 234 Georgia 28 61 New York 122 139 Texas 91 109 I remember in 2009 Michigan was almost desperate to get economic development done, and there was an aggressive push on all fronts.. I'm interested in seeing how this works out in a few years with economic development in that state. It would be nice to start building charts for each state with plot lines for the following ____teams / million population ____STEM undergraduate degree production ____gross state economic output There should be some interesting time delays between team startup and degree production. There should be some interesting way to normalize the economic data to make some sense. I'm working on building models for correlating FIRST with degree production and economic output. This data is key for creating policy support for FIRST. I need to go dig deeply in Michigan data on STEM degree production rates and technologist production rates. That could be golden information. Ed |
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There is a little bit of discussion there about how MN got to where it is. Let me know if you have any additional questions. Also to note: we have 600+ FLL teams and 107 FTC teams. |
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Here's the rate at which teams have been added to event lists (so far).
The big peaks are on mass opening, 2nd District opening, and 2nd Regional opening. |
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Mark,
Can you provide a table of how many teams are competing in 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, etc events ? It is what I'd call the breadth versus depth analysis. hmmm, comparing districts and old fashioned regionals' is a little different in that regard. Ed |
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You mean like this?
Event Week --- All -- District -- Regional week 1 ------- 610 --- 265 ------ 345 week 2 ------- 464 --- 241 ------ 223 week 3 ------- 727 --- 252 ------ 475 week 4 ------- 768 --- 286 ------ 482 week 5 ------- 826 --- 294 ------ 532 week 6 ------- 666 --- 101 ------ 565 week 7 ---------- 0 ------ 0 ---------- 0 week 9 --------- 28 ----- 0 ---------- 0 |
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Oh, I see now.
I have that on a computer at home. I'll post it when I get back around dinner time (ET). |
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No District Championship or World CMP included:
(3) 4 events (52) 3 events (1094) 2 events (1705) 1 event |
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Total teams = 2854
Regional teams = 2014 (71%) District teams = 840 (29%) Regional teams only, no District teams:
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that too is interesting data, but what I meant but didn't explain well is this,
all teams participate in 1 event many teams are in 2 events a bundle are in 3 events only a few are in 4 events. so how many is "all", "many", "a bundle" and "only a few".......... in other words what is the 'play' distribution' if you are in the district system, you get more 'play' |
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All(1705) Many(1094) A Bundle(52) A Few(3) |
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Mark,
Do you have the current numbers of how many teams are in each of the district systems? It's interesting to me that MAR seems to have a much higher percentage of teams registered for outside regionals than the other four district systems (possibly even combined?). (P.S. Thanks for providing all this data every year! :D) After doing some quick calculations, it appears that 11 out of the 120 MAR teams are currently traveling to outside regionals in 2015, which is 9.17% of all MAR teams. Meanwhile, 8 of the 350(?) FiM teams are registered for outside regionals, or 2.29% of all FiM. Which that data, and the fact that there are only 1 NE FIRST team, 1 Indiana Team, and 0 PNW teams also attending outside regionals, it would appear that MAR has not only a greater percentage of teams competing at outside regionals than any other district system, but also a larger percentage than all of the other district systems combined. EDIT 2: Mark corrected me below, I switched up the amount of MAR and FiM teams traveling out-of-district for 2015. But the fact still stands, there are more MAR teams competing at outside regionals in 2015 than from all of the other district systems combined. |
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District - # teams - # outside events - % playing outside FIM ------- 351 ------------- 11 --------------- 3.13% MAR ------ 120 -------------- 8 ---------------- 6.67% NE -------- 167 -------------- 1 ---------------- 0.60% PNW ------ 149 -------------- 0 ---------------- 0.00% IN ---------- 53 -------------- 1 ---------------- 1.89% MAR - 6.67% vs everyone else - 5.62% |
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PNW: Nearest regional event for PNW teams would be Utah, SVR, or Sacramento, all a full day's driving for the nearest PNW teams. MI: Sure, you've got MN (Duluth x 2), Toronto (x 2), North Bay, Milwaukee, Midwest, and Queen City within a "reasonable" drive, depending where you are in the state. But those are all a bit of a drive, particularly westbound (MN, WI, Midwest), or across the border (the three Canadian events). Indiana has district events, if you can get in. NE: You've got NYC, Long Island, and Tech Valley as possibilities, maybe Finger Lakes if you want to push it a bit. All are rather crowded events. Montreal is cross-border; anything beyond NY is getting into MAR territory and thus dependent on the goodwill of the good folks in MAR and their open spots. IN: Could probably make Midwest or Queen City in about a day, not so sure about anything beyond that. MAR: You only have NYC, Long Island, Tech Valley (north part of the area), Pittsburgh, DC, Virginia, and Chesapeake within a nice easy drive. tl;dr: MAR just has more regionals handy. MI has IN districts (and vice versa) or crossing the border; NE has to contend with NY teams at their nearest events; PNW doesn't have much of anything anywhere near their boundaries. Hey, Mark: Is anybody taking the plunge for the title of "First Cross-District Play" yet? |
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4 MAR teams are in South Florida 1 is in Orlando 1 is in Las Vegas 1 is in Montreal And 1 is in Waterloo All of these teams are traveling very far. Two are even leaving the country (and they are the closest ones!) |
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Central Illinois is the only other "close" regional, and that's week 4, during our Purdue district event. |
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Inland Empire just admitted a slew (12) of teams today.
Scattered additions (and some subtractions) elsewhere brought the total of teams on event lists up by 30. |
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San Diego added 3.
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Michigan now has details on the 18th district event. Week 1 in Standish. Been stable at 351 teams for a few weeks, so it seems as if FiM is done with adding events for the 2015 season now.
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LVR opened up 6 more spots this morning...first come first serve!
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Does anyone with inside information know when Arizona is going to pull teams from wait? For AZ West, they show 29 registered teams with 0 open.... but I can't believe that that's the final count.
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