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-   -   2015 CMP Representation by District/Region (http://www.chiefdelphi.com/forums/showthread.php?t=136506)

Navid Shafa 09-04-2015 22:16

2015 CMP Representation by District/Region
 
I did this last year, thought it would be fun to do again:


  • Green denotes an existing district
  • Yellow are states/regions where size could potentially allow a district/mini-district
  • Red are smaller regions

Also keep in mind that this is currently under-inflated as it does not include wild-card or waitlist teams, just the allotment established at the beginning of the season. I will update to include this after championship registration has closed.


*Big thanks to Andrew Schreiber for helping me clean up the process this time around.

smistthegreat 10-04-2015 08:50

Re: 2015 CMP Representation by District/Region
 
Most under-represented regions:
- Minnesota, -16
- California, -7
- New York, -6
- Israel, -5
- China, -5
- Kansas, -5

Some random thoughts I had after seeing this:
- Is there a reason Minnesota hasn't gone districts yet?
- Am I the only one who didn't realize China has 23 teams!?
- I'd love to see Israel go to districts on an Indiana scale.
- New York districts ASAP, please.

Hgree56 10-04-2015 09:04

Re: 2015 CMP Representation by District/Region
 
I would love to see Israel go to a District model too. They seem ready for it; just like those of us in Indiana were ready for it. Districts work amazingly too! I think any State/Country that can go District should.

notmattlythgoe 10-04-2015 09:11

Re: 2015 CMP Representation by District/Region
 
I'm curious, what is the reason the rest of the PA teams haven't been pulled into MAR?

Also, can I assume that DC was included in Virginia's count?

mklinker 10-04-2015 09:14

Re: 2015 CMP Representation by District/Region
 
I think Indiana has proven that a "mini" district model can work very well. I am curious why you listed Indiana as the smallest possible district? I think that the model could be used in even smaller settings.

notmattlythgoe 10-04-2015 09:19

Re: 2015 CMP Representation by District/Region
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by mklinker (Post 1469029)
I think Indiana has proven that a "mini" district model can work very well. I am curious why you listed Indiana as the smallest possible district? I think that the model could be used in even smaller settings.

My guess is because it has been proven to work at that size, so anything smaller is theoretical.

smistthegreat 10-04-2015 09:22

Re: 2015 CMP Representation by District/Region
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by notmattlythgoe (Post 1469028)
I'm curious, what is the reason the rest of the PA teams haven't been pulled into MAR?

Also, can I assume that DC was included in Virginia's count?

I've always assumed western PA isn't part of MAR just because of geography. It would make a lot more sense to lump the Pittsburg and Erie teams in with either Ohio or western NY.

Bryan Herbst 10-04-2015 09:22

Re: 2015 CMP Representation by District/Region
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by smistthegreat (Post 1469021)
Most under-represented regions:
- Minnesota, -16

Some random thoughts I had after seeing this:
- Is there a reason Minnesota hasn't gone districts yet?

From what I have heard from our RPC, the biggest roadblock right now is our volunteer base. While we are actively expanding our key volunteer base, we are simply not in a position to jump from 4 events to ~12 events right now.

notmattlythgoe 10-04-2015 09:27

Re: 2015 CMP Representation by District/Region
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by smistthegreat (Post 1469033)
I've always assumed western PA isn't part of MAR just because of geography. It would make a lot more sense to lump the Pittsburg and Erie teams in with either Ohio or western NY.

I can buy that, but VA, MD, and DC are going to be separated by basically the same distance. However, the geography would make more sense with Ohio and Western NY and the numbers would probably work out well.

Gregor 10-04-2015 09:36

Re: 2015 CMP Representation by District/Region
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Tanis (Post 1469034)
From what I have heard from our RPC, the biggest roadblock right now is our volunteer base. While we are actively expanding our key volunteer base, we are simply not in a position to jump from 4 events to ~12 events right now.

Maybe that's because your volunteers are always competing because there are only 2 weeks of events. If I lived in Minnesota I would never be able to volunteer but there are enough events around me that I can volunteer when I'm not competing with my team.

notmattlythgoe 10-04-2015 09:43

Re: 2015 CMP Representation by District/Region
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Tanis (Post 1469034)
From what I have heard from our RPC, the biggest roadblock right now is our volunteer base. While we are actively expanding our key volunteer base, we are simply not in a position to jump from 4 events to ~12 events right now.

I've always had the opinion that you aren't going to expand your volunteer base until the need is actually there. It may be painful for a year or 2, but without the spots to fill you can only pull in so many new volunteers.

Jimmy Nichols 10-04-2015 09:52

Re: 2015 CMP Representation by District/Region
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by notmattlythgoe (Post 1469046)
I've always had the opinion that you aren't going to expand your volunteer base until the need is actually there. It may be painful for a year or 2, but without the spots to fill you can only pull in so many new volunteers.

To prepare for Districts in Ohio we have been doubling and tripling up the Key volunteer positions at the Regional s to on board more folks in those roles. We have been doing the same thing at the Off-season events.

notmattlythgoe 10-04-2015 09:54

Re: 2015 CMP Representation by District/Region
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Jimmy Nichols (Post 1469055)
To prepare for Districts in Ohio we have been doubling and tripling up the Key volunteer positions at the Regional s to on board more folks in those roles. We have been doing the same thing at the Off-season events.

That is a good strategy, and one that our region seemed to be doing this year too. What are the plans for Ohio and districts?

mwmac 10-04-2015 10:00

Re: 2015 CMP Representation by District/Region
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by smistthegreat (Post 1469021)
Most under-represented regions:
- Minnesota, -16
- California, -7
- New York, -6
- Israel, -5
- China, -5
- Kansas, -5

Some random thoughts I had after seeing this:
- Is there a reason Minnesota hasn't gone districts yet?
- Am I the only one who didn't realize China has 23 teams!?
- I'd love to see Israel go to districts on an Indiana scale.
- New York districts ASAP, please.

Not so quick Sparky... as a proud member of the Otherians, I state emphatically that we are the most underrepresented region at the Championship and call on First to implement a plan for the conversion of the Otherian region to the District model forthwith...

(Couldn't resist...humor, its good for what ails you.)

MikeE 10-04-2015 10:04

Re: 2015 CMP Representation by District/Region
 
Thanks Navid - it's really interesting to see the differences in Regional and team distribution.

Quote:

Originally Posted by mklinker (Post 1469029)
I think Indiana has proven that a "mini" district model can work very well. I am curious why you listed Indiana as the smallest possible district? I think that the model could be used in even smaller settings.

Districts don't make as much sense if the team population is lower than ~150% of a event size, allowing 3 district events + district championship. Typically District events are 40 teams although PNW has smaller events.

A district of only 30-40 teams would mean both events + district "championship" had every team competing, so it's not really a championship in any traditional sense*

This puts a practical lower limit of around 50 teams for a District.

* too soon?

Jimmy Nichols 10-04-2015 10:17

Re: 2015 CMP Representation by District/Region
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by notmattlythgoe (Post 1469056)
That is a good strategy, and one that our region seemed to be doing this year too. What are the plans for Ohio and districts?

We shared at Buckeye and QCR meetings for OhioFIRST that we are looking at two options:
  1. Ohio, Western PA, WV
  2. Ohio, Western PA, WV, Western NY

We are pulling information together to be able to present to FIRST within the next 6 months our proposal with the hopes of switching for the 2017 competition season.

notmattlythgoe 10-04-2015 10:18

Re: 2015 CMP Representation by District/Region
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Jimmy Nichols (Post 1469068)
We shared at Buckeye and QCR meetings for OhioFIRST that we are looking at two options:
  1. Ohio, Western PA, WV
  2. Ohio, Western PA, WV, Western NY

We are pulling information together to be able to present to FIRST within the next 6 months our proposal with the hopes of switching for the 2017 competition season.

Very cool. Good luck.

Jimmy Nichols 10-04-2015 10:21

Re: 2015 CMP Representation by District/Region
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by notmattlythgoe (Post 1469069)
Very cool. Good luck.

Thanks, good luck to you all as well!

notmattlythgoe 10-04-2015 10:22

Re: 2015 CMP Representation by District/Region
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Jimmy Nichols (Post 1469070)
Thanks, good luck to you all as well!

Thanks, it seems like it is happening no matter what now. Just gotta make the transition as smooth as we can for teams.

Navid Shafa 10-04-2015 13:02

Re: 2015 CMP Representation by District/Region
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by notmattlythgoe (Post 1469031)
My guess is because it has been proven to work at that size, so anything smaller is theoretical.

Bingo, the colors are fairly arbitrary...

Quote:

Originally Posted by mwmac (Post 1469060)
Not so quick Sparky... as a proud member of the Otherians, I state emphatically that we are the most underrepresented region at the Championship and call on First to implement a plan for the conversion of the Otherian region to the District model forthwith...

(Couldn't resist...humor, its good for what ails you.)

Just for you, Idaho now has it's own category on the spreadsheet. ;)

tindleroot 10-04-2015 15:41

Re: 2015 CMP Representation by District/Region
 
Navid, last I checked Indiana is sending 14 teams, not 10. (3 are from wildcards, though). Also, 11 was theoretical, not 10, since we were given 10 spots from FIRST plus our legacy team (45) goes every year.

Navid Shafa 10-04-2015 15:50

Re: 2015 CMP Representation by District/Region
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by tindleroot (Post 1469277)
Navid, last I checked Indiana is sending 14 teams, not 10. (3 are from wildcards, though). Also, 11 was theoretical, not 10, since we were given 10 spots from FIRST plus our legacy team (45) goes every year.

Yes, that is correct (waitlist):

Quote:

Originally Posted by Navid Shafa (Post 1468895)
Also keep in mind that this is currently under-inflated as it does not include wild-card or waitlist teams, just the allotment established at the beginning of the season. I will update to include this after championship registration has closed.


nikeairmancurry 13-04-2015 09:24

Re: 2015 CMP Representation by District/Region
 
Michigan is sending 90 teams.

A fair amount of teams got through on the wait-list.

Two world champs from last year and 3 Legacy teams.

Andrew Schreiber 13-04-2015 10:03

Re: 2015 CMP Representation by District/Region
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Navid Shafa (Post 1468895)
I did this last year, thought it would be fun to do again:


  • Green denotes an existing district
  • Yellow are states/regions where size could potentially allow a district/mini-district
  • Red are smaller regions

Also keep in mind that this is currently under-inflated as it does not include wild-card or waitlist teams, just the allotment established at the beginning of the season. I will update to include this after championship registration has closed.


*Big thanks to Andrew Schreiber for helping me clean up the process this time around.



Hey, let's work on adding "Actual Attendance" on tonight. I'm pretty sure there's a clean way to do it with another query to a supporting sheet.

wilsonmw04 13-04-2015 10:22

Re: 2015 CMP Representation by District/Region
 
Can we get a confirmation that DC was lumped in with VA?

notmattlythgoe 13-04-2015 10:24

Re: 2015 CMP Representation by District/Region
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by wilsonmw04 (Post 1470229)
Can we get a confirmation that DC was lumped in with VA?

I'm assuming it is because he has 2 VA regionals listed.

Andrew Schreiber 13-04-2015 10:26

Re: 2015 CMP Representation by District/Region
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by notmattlythgoe (Post 1470230)
I'm assuming it is because he has 2 VA regionals listed.

It was. The query that populates the event counts operates off of the Location of the event. DC regional is "Fairfax, VA USA" which means it snags VA USA as the state.

notmattlythgoe 13-04-2015 10:28

Re: 2015 CMP Representation by District/Region
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Andrew Schreiber (Post 1470232)
It was. The query that populates the event counts operates off of the Location of the event. DC regional is "Fairfax, VA USA" which means it snags VA USA as the state.

Did the DC team count get lumped in with Virginia then?

Jon Stratis 13-04-2015 10:30

Re: 2015 CMP Representation by District/Region
 
For MN, I can tell you that our key volunteer base is actively growing, and is also our biggest concern with switching to districts. Back in 2011, there was 1 PRO in the state, and 3 events. Let that sink in for a minute.

Since then, I became an LRI in 2012, and have identified (so far) 5 additional LRI's, two of which handled events this year, one was in training this year and will have an event next year, one is figuring out work stuff this year, an will hopefully be able to commit next year to training, and the last is getting ambushed at champs next week to be asked to step up.

Thats huge growth in the key volunteer base (from an inspection point of view), and it means that we're approaching feasibility (I see feasibility as requiring no volunteer to do more than 2 events, plus the championship). The remaining problem is... Which key volunteers (almost all of whom live in the cities) are going to be the ones to drive up to Fargo or Duluth (for example) to handle events? A vast majority of our events are staffed by volunteers from the team's at that event - if the teams from the cities don't travel, then we have a real staffing issue in those out-state events. I probably wouldn't have been volunteering in Duluth all these years without my team competing there. It will be painful the first few years we go to districts, but will hopefully then resolve itself.

Andrew Schreiber 13-04-2015 10:32

Re: 2015 CMP Representation by District/Region
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by notmattlythgoe (Post 1470233)
Did the DC team count get lumped in with Virginia then?

I would assume so, but I'd have to wait for Navid to comment on that one. I didn't help him with that chunk.

wilsonmw04 13-04-2015 10:36

Re: 2015 CMP Representation by District/Region
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Andrew Schreiber (Post 1470232)
It was. The query that populates the event counts operates off of the Location of the event. DC regional is "Fairfax, VA USA" which means it snags VA USA as the state.

If a DC team went to the "DC" event they are counted as VA. If they went to Chesapeake they are MD>

Lil' Lavery 13-04-2015 10:44

Re: 2015 CMP Representation by District/Region
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by wilsonmw04 (Post 1470239)
If a DC team went to the "DC" event they are counted as VA. If they went to Chesapeake they are MD>

What if they went to both?

Wetzel 13-04-2015 10:50

Re: 2015 CMP Representation by District/Region
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by wilsonmw04 (Post 1470239)
If a DC team went to the "DC" event they are counted as VA. If they went to Chesapeake they are MD>


wilsonmw04 13-04-2015 10:56

Re: 2015 CMP Representation by District/Region
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Wetzel (Post 1470247)

That escalated quickly...

Nate Laverdure 13-04-2015 11:03

Re: 2015 CMP Representation by District/Region
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by wilsonmw04 (Post 1470239)
If a DC team went to the "DC" event they are counted as VA. If they went to Chesapeake they are MD>

No, this can't be right. The spreadsheet is not that elaborate. There are truly ~75 active teams in VA, like the spreadsheet says. The 13 DC teams are probably filed under "Other" (sorry Wetzel).

jvriezen 13-04-2015 11:15

Re: 2015 CMP Representation by District/Region
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Jon Stratis (Post 1470234)
The remaining problem is... Which key volunteers (almost all of whom live in the cities) are going to be the ones to drive up to Fargo or Duluth (for example) to handle events? A vast majority of our events are staffed by volunteers from the team's at that event - if the teams from the cities don't travel, then we have a real staffing issue in those out-state events. (emphasis mine)

Just to clarify for those outside of MN, 'cities' is local short hand for 'Twin Cities' which is short hand for Minneapolis/St. Paul (and in this case, surrounding suburbs)

Oh, and with the exception of Fargo (ND), Duluth, MN and other potential future locations in MN are actually 'in' state, not 'out' state. (A peeve of some of us from MN but not from the 'cities')

forbes 13-04-2015 11:40

Re: 2015 CMP Representation by District/Region
 
Here is a spreadsheet of ACTUAL championship representation by State/Country:

https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets...it?usp=sharing

Navid Shafa 13-04-2015 13:52

Re: 2015 CMP Representation by District/Region
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Nate Laverdure (Post 1470262)
No, this can't be right. The spreadsheet is not that elaborate. There are truly ~75 active teams in VA, like the spreadsheet says. The 13 DC teams are probably filed under "Other" (sorry Wetzel).

Yep, nailed it Nate.

forbes 13-04-2015 14:40

Re: 2015 CMP Representation by District/Region
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by forbes (Post 1470293)
Here is a spreadsheet of ACTUAL championship representation by State/Country:

https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets...it?usp=sharing

Using the same strategy, I built a quick map showing the USA team representation visually at championship.evanforbes.net.

lynca 13-04-2015 15:03

Re: 2015 CMP Representation by District/Region
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by forbes (Post 1470387)
Using the same strategy, I built a quick map showing the USA team representation visually at championship.evanforbes.net.

This is amazing stuff ! it would be awesome if we could do this year by year to see how the colors change.

forbes 13-04-2015 16:44

Re: 2015 CMP Representation by District/Region
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by lynca (Post 1470400)
This is amazing stuff ! it would be awesome if we could do this year by year to see how the colors change.

I don't have historical data at my fingertips currently.

If someone does and can provide me with a spreadsheet in a form similar to below I can add it to the map eventually.

Code:

Year | 2 Letter State Abbr. | Total Number of Teams | Number of Teams at Championship
2015 | OK                  | 48                    | 2
.
.
.


BigBen 13-04-2015 20:51

Re: 2015 CMP Representation by District/Region
 
Poor Nebraska, someone really should help them at least get started down this wonderful rabbit hole of a journey.

cadandcookies 13-04-2015 20:57

Re: 2015 CMP Representation by District/Region
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by BigBen (Post 1470539)
Poor Nebraska, someone really should help them at least get started down this wonderful rabbit hole of a journey.

They have a rapidly growing FTC program-- this time last year, there were almost no teams in the state (I think there may have been one), and now I believe there are more than 10. I'd be surprised if a new FRC team didn't spring up sooner rather than later.

Dunngeon 13-04-2015 22:57

Re: 2015 CMP Representation by District/Region
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by forbes (Post 1470387)
Using the same strategy, I built a quick map showing the USA team representation visually at championship.evanforbes.net.

One request, could you change the states with no teams from grey to black? The grey is very similar to the light pink that many states have.

Mr.Paulson 13-04-2015 22:58

Re: 2015 CMP Representation by District/Region
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by jvriezen (Post 1470275)
Just to clarify for those outside of MN, 'cities' is local short hand for 'Twin Cities' which is short hand for Minneapolis/St. Paul (and in this case, surrounding suburbs)

Oh, and with the exception of Fargo (ND), Duluth, MN and other potential future locations in MN are actually 'in' state, not 'out' state. (A peeve of some of us from MN but not from the 'cities')

As an 'out' state team, we would be willing to travel for the district model. It would be NICE to have a local event but not necessary. We would definitely sacrifice to go to the district model!

forbes 13-04-2015 22:59

Re: 2015 CMP Representation by District/Region
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Dunngeon (Post 1470584)
One request, could you change the states with no teams from grey to black? The grey is very similar to the light pink that many states have.

Nebraska is the only state with no teams, and it seems pretty distinct from the rest as far as I can tell.

Alex2614 14-04-2015 04:26

Re: 2015 CMP Representation by District/Region
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by MikeE (Post 1469063)
Thanks Navid - it's really interesting to see the differences in Regional and team distribution.



Districts don't make as much sense if the team population is lower than ~150% of a event size, allowing 3 district events + district championship. Typically District events are 40 teams although PNW has smaller events.

A district of only 30-40 teams would mean both events + district "championship" had every team competing, so it's not really a championship in any traditional sense*

This puts a practical lower limit of around 50 teams for a District.

* too soon?

True, however, these areas can be lumped in with nearby districts. For example, here in West Virginia, we only have 4 teams. We hosted the state's first ever FRC event last summer in the off-season. But as stated above, we will likely be going into districts with Ohio and Western PA in 2017.

Districts will eventually happen everywhere. Because it's a hard sell to rural teams (who are already disadvantaged in that aspect) to pay 5,000 to go to an event and an additional several thousand if you want to go to another event that is really far away (think the next closest area with a regional), when more "urban" teams (or teams in districts) get a cost break, and more matches for less money. Districts will happen everywhere, even if that means that the "remaining" teams will lump into a nearby district. It is not really sustainable otherwise.

Alex2614 14-04-2015 04:29

Re: 2015 CMP Representation by District/Region
 
Navid, speaking of West Virginia, why are we not represented in the spreadsheet? Is it because there is no event in WV? There are four teams here, and three of them are registered for the championship.

Andrew Schreiber 14-04-2015 08:39

Re: 2015 CMP Representation by District/Region
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by forbes (Post 1470446)
I don't have historical data at my fingertips currently.

If someone does and can provide me with a spreadsheet in a form similar to below I can add it to the map eventually.

Code:

Year | 2 Letter State Abbr. | Total Number of Teams | Number of Teams at Championship
2015 | OK                  | 48                    | 2
.
.
.


I guess this means I should fire up postgres and write that query.

Navid Shafa 15-04-2015 03:39

Re: 2015 CMP Representation by District/Region
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Alex2614 (Post 1470666)
Navid, speaking of West Virginia, why are we not represented in the spreadsheet? Is it because there is no event in WV? There are four teams here, and three of them are registered for the championship.

Because West Virginia is small and doesn't have an event. I added it to the spreadsheet now for you though :P

Alex2614 15-04-2015 08:46

Re: 2015 CMP Representation by District/Region
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Navid Shafa (Post 1471137)
Because West Virginia is small and doesn't have an event. I added it to the spreadsheet now for you though :P

Haha, I was just curious, I figured that was the reason; no biggie. Thanks though :)

Usually, it's because people don't know that WV is a state (you'd be surprised) or they lump us in with VA by mistake.

It's small now, but just wait :ahh:

BSV 15-04-2015 11:05

Quote:

Originally Posted by forbes (Post 1470387)
Using the same strategy, I built a quick map showing the USA team representation visually at championship.evanforbes.net.

Be sure to show that to our Regional Director. It makes a great argument for OK going to a district model.


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