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-   -   2015 Carson Division (http://www.chiefdelphi.com/forums/showthread.php?t=136632)

ThunderousPrime 16-04-2015 14:36

Re: 2015 Carson Division
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Kevin Leonard (Post 1472111)
Predictions!

254-973-1241-5122 W
1519-4488-236-1629 SF
225-1296-3339-999 SF
1730-16-203-3478 QF
67-5254-246-3604 F
1325-2085-2471-1058 QF
399-5406-1501-3547 QF
60-1711-85-1511 QF

Most of this is totally unlikely- but hey, if you don't like my predictions, go out there and prove them wrong!

Also add your predictions. I love this stuff.

Forgot 4587.

Cash4587 16-04-2015 15:04

Re: 2015 Carson Division
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by ThunderousPrime (Post 1472119)
Forgot 4587.

Lol..... :rolleyes:

ELIADETACH 16-04-2015 16:13

Re: 2015 Carson Division
 
3339 is very excited to be able to play with so many amazing teams :D
SEE YOU !!

Sean4488 17-04-2015 18:14

Re: 2015 Carson Division
 
This is going to be such a competitive division, I can't wait to get to work with these teams and some of our friends from PNW! #StackCity

marj1346 17-04-2015 19:50

Re: 2015 Carson Division
 
Team 60 is excited to make some PHAT $TACK$ with everyone!:D ;) This is definitely going to be the most exciting and competitive field! Good luck to everyone in advance!

Maximillian 17-04-2015 21:33

Re: 2015 Carson Division
 
The Preliminary Match Schedules have been posted.

Practice

Qualification

Mr. B 17-04-2015 21:37

Re: 2015 Carson Division
 
FIRST Robotics Team 5122 the RobOTies would like to share some photos of our robot:
https://www.facebook.com/frc5122/posts/647727005359627

By removing 3 parts we can be 10.5 LB underweight so cheesecake is an option!

Floodie Wowerz 17-04-2015 23:36

Re: 2015 Carson Division
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Mr. B (Post 1472940)
FIRST Robotics Team 5122 the RobOTies would like to share some photos of our robot:
https://www.facebook.com/frc5122/posts/647727005359627

By removing 3 parts we can be 10.5 LB underweight so cheesecake is an option!

Wow!

nuclearnerd 18-04-2015 23:58

Re: 2015 Carson Division
 
I've taken a stab at calculating everyone's "Strength of Schedule" (SOS) in Carson using the preliminary schedule. You can find the results here:
https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets...it?usp=sharing

This was a little different than what I did last year (which was use OPR to predict a "win margin" for each team at each match and then average the predicted win margin). This year, I thought the best way to show SOS was, for each team, calculate the average number of *points* all of their alliance partners will bring to their matches (where max OPR is a stand in for points in this method). A team's own OPR is ignored, as are the OPRs of the opposing alliance. This ignores the resource constraints that will come into play during the high scoring matches (the limited number of chutes and cans), and any unique pairings that might help or hurt a team's efficiency, but I think it's a good first effort. The data could be useful for planning strategy, and might also influence scouting. Feel free to suggest modifications to my method!

And I'm sorry for team 1629 :(

Adam Freeman 19-04-2015 09:57

Re: 2015 Carson Division
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by nuclearnerd (Post 1473370)
I've taken a stab at calculating everyone's "Strength of Schedule" (SOS) in Carson using the preliminary schedule.

Yuck! SOS 74 out of 76....lets go partners, we gotta do better than that! Gonna have to come up with some creative strategies to maximize our skills together.

Planning has started already. Can't wait unil Wedbesday.

styxracer97 19-04-2015 13:15

Re: 2015 Carson Division
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by nuclearnerd (Post 1473370)
I've taken a stab at calculating everyone's "Strength of Schedule" (SOS) in Carson using the preliminary schedule. You can find the results here:
https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets...it?usp=sharing

This was a little different than what I did last year (which was use OPR to predict a "win margin" for each team at each match and then average the predicted win margin). This year, I thought the best way to show SOS was, for each team, calculate the average number of *points* all of their alliance partners will bring to their matches (where max OPR is a stand in for points in this method). A team's own OPR is ignored, as are the OPRs of the opposing alliance. This ignores the resource constraints that will come into play during the high scoring matches (the limited number of chutes and cans), and any unique pairings that might help or hurt a team's efficiency, but I think it's a good first effort. The data could be useful for planning strategy, and might also influence scouting. Feel free to suggest modifications to my method!

And I'm sorry for team 1629 :(

25th. We can work with that.

Jaywalker1711 19-04-2015 13:29

Re: 2015 Carson Division
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by nuclearnerd (Post 1473370)
I've taken a stab at calculating everyone's "Strength of Schedule" (SOS) in Carson using the preliminary schedule. You can find the results here:
https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets...it?usp=sharing

Looks like we got lucky...

Dylan Danzeiser 19-04-2015 13:57

Re: 2015 Carson Division
 
Let's remember these teams with super high negative rank differences (like 1629) when picking...
(not at all motivated by the fact that my team has the third most negative rank difference :D)

Jaywalker1711 19-04-2015 14:08

Re: 2015 Carson Division
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Dylan Danzeiser (Post 1473488)
Let's remember these teams with super high negative rank differences (like 1629) when picking...
(not at all motivated by the fact that my team has the third most negative rank difference :D)

Don't worry, I'm sure that the best teams will sort through the purple haze :yikes:

Vale 19-04-2015 15:23

Re: 2015 Carson Division
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Jaywalker1711 (Post 1473489)
Quote:

Originally Posted by Dylan Danzeiser (Post 1473488)
Let's remember these teams with super high negative rank differences (like 1629) when picking...
(not at all motivated by the fact that my team has the third most negative rank difference :D)

Don't worry, I'm sure that the best teams will sort through the purple haze :yikes:

Yeah, I mean, most of us should be scouting teams. And also, I'm definitely gonna be rooting for you to pull through because you are awesome for making it this far. I believe in you guys.


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