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2015 Carson Division
Carson has the highest average OPR (44.08) and 1/4 of the top 24 teams (by OPR). This is going to be a stacked division!
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Great resource for a quick summary!
http://championship-notifier.evanfor...ivision/Carson |
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Hello Carson! We look forward to playing with all these great teams.
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WE GOT 254 AND 1501 :D
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This looks like it will be the strongest division this year, with 67, 225, 254, 1519, 1730, 2085, 4488, 5254, and 5406 all looking like they could captain a high alliance on another division. Very, very exciting.
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There's no other way to put it: Carson Division is stacked.
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Team 4499 is excited to be in Carson with all of the amazing teams.
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Not to mention you guys have 1519... This division is honestly just unfair.
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We're super excited to play with all these amazing teams! The field will definitely be a very exciting place!
#StackCity |
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This is gonna be awesome.
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5254 is very excited to be able to play with so many amazing teams! We are also glad to see our local friends 20 and 1511 in the same division.
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2601 is excited to be with 67, 254, 4488, etc. in Carson during our first ever year at Worlds. Looking forward to a great competition.
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I can't wait to see all of these amazing teams in action, and I'm sure working with everyone in this division will be a great experience! Good luck to everyone! |
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Well this is going to be interesting... :yikes:
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This is gonna be one Shocking division, that's for sure. The Carson curse could also be Poofed before it even begins.
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You could say the division is Deep. |
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Team 3339 is very excited and looking forward to play with all of you guys!
See you in St. Louis :) |
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1058 is very excited to be playing on Carson! See you all in a week!
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Is there going to be posted a match schedule including the matches for Carson field like they did last year?
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1710 is pumped! Maybe we will be able to work with 1730 this time instead of against :)
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I look forward to seeing what can burglars teams bring. When glancing though the team list, there doesn't seem to be a ton of talent in that department going in.
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Rookie team 5406 is super excited to be competing with all the great teams in Carson division! Best of luck to everyone!:D
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Everyone please post pics of Carson teams.
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Instead have the gallery view only, and people can email pics in. You saw what trolls did to the division prescouting doc after all. |
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Wow this is very interesting!! Definitely one of the two most stacked divisions this year. Looking forward to it!
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https://scontent-atl.xx.fbcdn.net/hp...27&oe=55BAF6D0 https://scontent-atl.xx.fbcdn.net/hp...c_location=ufi https://fbcdn-sphotos-b-a.akamaihd.n...4f881f6585 33 |
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Important question: are any teams on Carson planning on recording all of the matches?
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aside from having so many great teams, it's even better seeing that there are some many great teams who are older and younger, 254 and 4488 being the most notable in my perspective. 254...well everyone knows them and 4488 has been doing SOOOO well recently, last years robot and this years robot are top notch.
Best of luck and don't forget to stop by and ask about our team!!!! (I'll be in the pit a decent amount of the time, if anyone want to say hi :) ...I can always use another robotics friend) |
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4215 is excited to be in St Louis for the first time and we can't wait to play with all these amazing teams
Best of luck to everyone! |
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Interesting how our team keeps getting missed as somebody to look out for.. :rolleyes:
lol, see y'all at champs we are looking forward to playing with all of y'all! :D |
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999 checking in. Very excited for some matches with you all!
Here are some pictures. Best I could do on short notice http://i.imgur.com/Qpm4JZ0.png http://i.imgur.com/t6Bbjqx.png |
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Here's FRC Team 1501 T.H.R.U.S.T. robot
http://www.chiefdelphi.com/media/photos/41906 |
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Who in our division has canburglars?
Here's my list so far: 16 67 1711 (I'm sorry that my list is so short, I don't know many of you guys. Yet!:D ) |
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16 67 225 254 1511 1711 3339 4488 (1x) |
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16 67 85 (1x) 225 254 1511 1711 3339 4488 (1x) |
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5053 Laker Robotics is blown away by the quality of the robots in Carson.
We have been lucky to have been mentored by Killer Bees 33 and learn from Rush 27, who are in our neighborhood, but when I saw that HOT 67 was ranked 8th in the division I was both scared and thrilled. We look forward to playing with all of you in St. Louis. ![]() If you want to know more about our team please see: the spot on Robozone about us, http://voice.adobe.com/v/SpXmE5TFSZJ or our video about our first year, http://www.youtube.com/watch?feature...6runI#t=10 80. |
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558 and 5122 both have quick ~1s 2-RC burglars that they used throughout NE DCMP. Both have two of the better canburglars at DCMP, but expect them to be speeding them up some! |
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Me, filling out our pre-scouting table earlier:
4+ stacks 3 stacks 3 stacks 3 stacks 3 stacks 2.5 stacks 2.5 stacks 2.5 stacks ... (list continues impressively) Yikes. Tough crowd to stand out in! |
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We will be cheering for you from the Tesla Field. |
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I feel like Carson shouldn't have a field named after her. For example, Copernicus seems much more impactful than Carson.
Carson - alerted world about the impact of fertilizers/pesticides on environment Copernicus - proved planets and planetary objects orbit around the Sun, not Earth and most people have never heard of Carson. Maybe only known scientists should have fields named after them like Stephen Hawking, Ada Lovelace, Thomas Edison, or Dmitri Mendeleev. Anyone have any opinions? |
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She did more than alert the world about pesticides and the environment; she inspired the green revolution. Read her book. On a similar note......we need a cheer..... |
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Team 2471 has a two can grabber as well!
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I appreciate what FIRST is trying to do by including a diverse set of changemakers in their naming schemes. Objectively measuring the magnitude of one's impact is not an exact science. |
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67 85 (1x) 225 254 558 973 1511 1519 1711 2471 3339 4488 (1x) 5122 2471 is on the list as well, and we'll have new and improved burglars for champs. |
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Carson's careful research, and effective publicity woke us all up to the fact that our environment commons did not have a limitless capacity to absorb our crap. The book created a movement that led to the first really strong environmental protection laws, but more importantly changed the way everyone thinks of their place in nature. There are tens of thousands of environmental scientists working in fields of study that didn't exist before the 70s. Engineers today have to consider a much broader context when introducing new products, and I think we're a better profession because of that. |
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My point was I think the fields should be named after people who are known. No doubt there are a myriad of scientists who impacted the world, but if no one knows of them, they shouldn't have fields named after them. The name of the field should make one think "Hey, I know of that person. They did this..." Not, "Never heard of them." Also, Nye Field would be cool. |
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Predictions!
254-973-1241-85 W 1519-4488-236-1629 SF 225-1296-3339-999 SF 1730-16-203-3478 QF 67-5254-246-3604 F 1325-4587-2471-1058 QF 399-2085-1501-3547 QF 60-5406-1711-5122 QF Most of this is totally unlikely- but hey, if you don't like my predictions, go out there and prove them wrong! EDIT: Thanks for pointing that out, Nick. Also add your predictions. I love this stuff. |
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3339 is very excited to be able to play with so many amazing teams :D
SEE YOU !! |
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This is going to be such a competitive division, I can't wait to get to work with these teams and some of our friends from PNW! #StackCity
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Team 60 is excited to make some PHAT $TACK$ with everyone!:D ;) This is definitely going to be the most exciting and competitive field! Good luck to everyone in advance!
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FIRST Robotics Team 5122 the RobOTies would like to share some photos of our robot:
https://www.facebook.com/frc5122/posts/647727005359627 By removing 3 parts we can be 10.5 LB underweight so cheesecake is an option! |
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I've taken a stab at calculating everyone's "Strength of Schedule" (SOS) in Carson using the preliminary schedule. You can find the results here:
https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets...it?usp=sharing This was a little different than what I did last year (which was use OPR to predict a "win margin" for each team at each match and then average the predicted win margin). This year, I thought the best way to show SOS was, for each team, calculate the average number of *points* all of their alliance partners will bring to their matches (where max OPR is a stand in for points in this method). A team's own OPR is ignored, as are the OPRs of the opposing alliance. This ignores the resource constraints that will come into play during the high scoring matches (the limited number of chutes and cans), and any unique pairings that might help or hurt a team's efficiency, but I think it's a good first effort. The data could be useful for planning strategy, and might also influence scouting. Feel free to suggest modifications to my method! And I'm sorry for team 1629 :( |
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Planning has started already. Can't wait unil Wedbesday. |
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Let's remember these teams with super high negative rank differences (like 1629) when picking...
(not at all motivated by the fact that my team has the third most negative rank difference :D) |
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1629 GaCo, is looking forward to the challenge. We have the 20 point auto, great at coopertition, and can make some stacks! We can/will be valuable for an alliance in elims, the 20 point auto can make or break things!!! We will just be out there trying to be as consistent as we can be! Keep us in mind!
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Then, looking at the average "SOS" for 1629 -- that's quite a hole, makes me wonder if it can even be correct, being over 20 points below 75th place -- but, assuming it is correct, it's cool to hear that they seem unphased by the challenge! |
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I've updated the table to include a "SOS difference from the mean" column. This gives a signal for just how much boost or hindrance the schedule might mean for a team's QA:
https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets...sp=sheets_home Don't take this table as gospel though - the max OPRs from previous events won't tell you exactly how much your alliance mates will help at Carson (as previously disclaimed). |
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... and I just read this post about the overly weighted influence of auto OPR on the predicted score. Oh goody, more work to do :)
http://www.chiefdelphi.com/forums/sh...8&postcount=13 |
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I have a favor for anyone in Carson...
We need a cross fitting (am-2380) for our pneumatics before inspection. We ordered one to our pit, but at MSC our order didn't get to our pit until Thursday night, so I'm not sure we will have it in time. If anyone could loan us one, we can give it back when ours arrives. Thanks! :) |
Re: 2015 Carson Division
OK, that took longer than expected, but I updated the SOS spreadsheet to show the modified method of match prediction mentioned upthread. It certainly shifted the SOS rankings around a bit, but the team955 OPR database has a couple of differences than Ed Law's, so that could have been responsible too.
I've also added a column for *prediction caution* which flags any match predicted to exhaust the 3 staged cans. That's like half of them, so expect there to be many fewer QAs over 130 than predicted. https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets...gid=1772597961 Finaly, Angelah - We don't have a cross fitting, but I think we can spare two (1/4" press-in) tee fittings. If that helps, feel free to visit us at our pit. Edit - just thinking a bit more, there's some other weirdness about the predicted co-op scores in SOS V2. I've added some comments about that here: http://www.chiefdelphi.com/forums/sh...1&postcount=24 |
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67 85 (1x) 225 (2+2) 254 558 973 1511 1519 1711 2471 3339 4488 (1x) 5122 Minor update to the canburgaling list...our 4 can autonomous ran successfully at the Upper Darby MAR District Event where we started on one side and then drove over to the other side of the field and got the other set of two cans. |
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Team 85 rocks my face off!!!!!!!! GO Carson division:] :] :] :] :]
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When I saw that there was an "SOS v2" I thought, "Maybe 1629 won't still be 76 of 76 in the new list." However, it looks like you still are bottom of the list. :( However, 1519 is moving down to keep you company. We went from "61 of 76" in "SOS v1" to "73 of 76" in the new list! We're looking forward to working with our alliance partners to come up with some strategies that defy the predictions... :) |
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1629 is packing up and will be on the way tomorrow!!!! Let's do thing St. Louis!! FRC is coming, can you feel it??? Stop by our pit and see our LEGOS, and ask how we provide inspiration all over the world with our LEGOS!! Safe travels to all, have a great time, and stay calm and FRC on!
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Carson Robot Pics
imgur.com/a/OeFwI Also if you know of any pics that arent on the album let me know and ill get them uploaded. I apologize if anyone is offended that their image was reuploaded. I found it the easiest way to compile the images. |
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We started a can grabber at Silicon Valley Regional with the help of Devin from Citrus Circuits and will should have it ready in time for qualifiers. Mahalo Devin you are the man! If not we currently have 7lbs. free and if we remove one part it will free up an additional 15lbs. That's 22 lbs of cheese caking goodness!! I will post a new picture tomorrow after we uncrate to reflect the improvements added during our two regionals! Very excited to be part of this division and look forward to working with all of you. Good Luck to Everyone! ALOHA! |
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It looks like Carson is the one division where the official qualification schedule is different than the preliminary schedule: http://frc-events.usfirst.org/2015/C...qualifications
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OK I'm confused, I just turned on the stream at noon St. Louis time and they're on match 9. The schedule says they should be through match 26. Anyone know what happened?
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