Chief Delphi

Chief Delphi (http://www.chiefdelphi.com/forums/index.php)
-   General Forum (http://www.chiefdelphi.com/forums/forumdisplay.php?f=16)
-   -   [FRC Blog] Two Championship Survey Results and Path Forward (http://www.chiefdelphi.com/forums/showthread.php?t=137251)

marshall 16-05-2015 08:29

Re: [FRC Blog] Two Championship Survey Results and Path Forward
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Cory (Post 1482478)
1.5x as many teams, right? 2x400 vs 1x600.

I have heard that key Championship Event sponsors were not made aware of this plan before we were, or consulted at all as to their thoughts on/ability to support two events. That seems like a huge problem.

Are you serious? With the level of commitment and funding that these companies provide, I can't believe they weren't consulted or at least it had to have been considered. The total cost for FIRST has to go up considerably for hosting two of these events. They have to have a plan for fundraising for them to cover the cost of hosting. At least, I hope they do.

Taylor 16-05-2015 08:29

Re: [FRC Blog] Two Championship Survey Results and Path Forward
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Dave McLaughlin (Post 1482453)
I apologize for my terse language, would it have been more appropriate to say "Neither Oppose nor Favor" a proposed pizza selection?

I also love to use analogies to help explain difficult situations. But this is a bit more complex than pizza.
It's ice cream, don't ya know?

wgardner 16-05-2015 09:15

Re: [FRC Blog] Two Championship Survey Results and Path Forward
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Andrew Schreiber (Post 1482331)
I'll be honest, AS IT HAS BEEN DONE IN THE PAST, I don't care about having the full progression of programs under the same roof. I didn't miss FTC at all at CMP this year. I noticed their lack of presence about as much as I've ever noticed their presence. (I'm biased as a former world festival FLL judge I've noticed their presence quite a bit)

The other programs have always been relegated to sideshow status and I don't care if that continues. In fact, I'd like to see it stopped. If they can't be granted real "participant" status then I'd rather they not be there.

Now, I'd like to have A championship that celebrates all the FIRST programs, the values of FIRST, and celebrates STEM.


Just a thought on why that ranked so low (at least in my mind)

Well of course it ranked low, because the survey was only of FRC teams! The whole point of having all of the FIRST levels under one roof is to inspire the younger kids to go to the higher levels. I bet if you surveyed FTC, FLL, and jrFLL teams you'd get a completely different answer (just like you'd get a different answer on the importance of having 1 championship if you only surveyed the teams that were at the 1 championship).

fargus111111111 16-05-2015 10:07

Re: [FRC Blog] Two Championship Survey Results and Path Forward
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by wilsonmw04 (Post 1482292)
So what this data tells me is that a small number of teams really hate this idea and are very vocal about it. This seems to jive with what typically happens here on CD.

of those who gave a team number, 52% of teams were represented, that is over half of the teams in FRC.

fargus111111111 16-05-2015 10:53

Re: [FRC Blog] Two Championship Survey Results and Path Forward
 
I am somewhat relieved that they are even considering an event after "Champs" to become the new Championships because, as my team was discussing the other day, that is what IRI would otherwise become. I am concerned about this format though due to travel costs. Our team certainly is not one of the richest, but we have decent funding and two regionals plus champs stretched our budget this year. I am more optimistic about the district model and advancing through a series of competitions that way, resulting in lower travel costs but potentially more competitions. Also if FIRST is so focused on getting a set percentage of FRC teams to champs why do they not seem to care about FTC or FLL. I find their interpretation of the data odd. If the average response is 4.45 then that suggests to me that while it is not a strong opposition there is an opposition. I am concerned that FIRST seems to be ignoring the community they are supposed to serve. If they truly wanted the community's opinion they would have done a study asking x number of people, students and mentors from each team to complete the survey instead of whoever in the community felt like it. I am concerned about the direction FRC is going. While the game this year was exiting and competitive it did not have the same viewing appeal that many other games have had. If FIRST wants to keep this competition interesting and keep encouraging new people to get involved they need the high level of competition ON the field with the same Olympic high stakes. Last year we went to an off season event and took a number of new members with us. When we returned we asked them what they thought about the competition and one replied, "I thought is was going to be just a bunch of nerds standing quietly around a field watching their robot, I could not have been more wrong." This is the impression that FIRST needs to make on people however I am concerned that if they continue straight down the path they are on the competition will slowly die off and it will become a bunch of nerds standing around a field quietly watching their robot. Please FIRST hear us out, we want competition, this is supposed to be like the olympics right, not Tee-Ball. (although that could be an interesting robot game)

JB987 16-05-2015 11:11

Re: [FRC Blog] Two Championship Survey Results and Path Forward
 
Can we stop suggesting that IRI would become a substitute for a Championship? Many years there are Einstein teams that are unable to make it to Indiana (just look at this summer's team list to see current examples) and often the drive teams are not the same anyways...

brrian27 16-05-2015 16:14

Re: [FRC Blog] Two Championship Survey Results and Path Forward
 
Something used in business is the Net Promoter Score (NPS) based on the simple question to customers of whether they would recommend a product to others on a scale of 1-10 (actually 0-10, but we'll set the bottom at 1 as FIRST did). For the NPS, responses of 1-6 are "detractors," 7-8 are "passives," and 9-10 are "promoters." The NPS is calculated by the percentage of promoters minus the percentage of detractors.

This model doesn't perfectly apply to this survey question, since it is not a purely recommendation question, but we can view it as basically asking if you would recommend the championship split to FIRST. Despite the imperfect application, this model does remind us that people who vote 6-8 aren't as satisfied as we think.

Anyway, for this question the championship split has an NPS of -55, which is not pretty. An average company gets an NPS between of between 5 and 10. Here is a benchmark for NPS.

Here's more info about NPS. it's not a perfect application, but it's an interesting perspective.

gblake 16-05-2015 19:08

Re: [FRC Blog] Two Championship Survey Results and Path Forward
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by marshall (Post 1482494)
Are you serious? With the level of commitment and funding that these companies provide, I can't believe they weren't consulted or at least it had to have been considered. The total cost for FIRST has to go up considerably for hosting two of these events. They have to have a plan for fundraising for them to cover the cost of hosting. At least, I hope they do.

I suspect that the companies donating noticeable $ to FIRST will continue to let FIRST inspire students, without being the least bit interested in micromanaging how FIRST does it.

My very limited experience in that realm gives some weight to my opinion on the subject, but I'm not remotely close to an expert, and I never was a spokesman for any company.

waialua359 16-05-2015 22:38

Re: [FRC Blog] Two Championship Survey Results and Path Forward
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by JB987 (Post 1482504)
Can we stop suggesting that IRI would become a substitute for a Championship? Many years there are Einstein teams that are unable to make it to Indiana (just look at this summer's team list to see current examples) and often the drive teams are not the same anyways...

Joe, you bring up a good point.
As it stands, there is no easy way to find a solution to how the Blog suggests about bringing together both the North/South Champs to compete at a later date.
The cost would be enormous for teams to play another weekend at a neutral site, and the students/season are already maxed out.
No matter how creative the solution, it will not address what you are pointing out.

Ultimately, the season would have to be extended. Where? Before the New Year? It certainly cant afterwards. Once you hit May, we are talking about AP Exams, graduations, and other Academic Events that students are obligated to attend. Its not everyone, but enough that many teams would either miss events or certain students would miss them.
The point that FIRST is growing and yet wants to give the same % of students the Championship experience, will not find a happy medium to address having one set of Champions and everyone playing under the same roof. Too many pros AND cons. Is it really too late or impossible to find a venue 2020 and beyond that can hold 800 teams?

I wanted to add that it still doesnt sit well with me that in 2014, we had to choose between VEX and FRC Worlds because we do both programs. Even the VEX GDC said we had a good robot! We still wonder the what ifs had we played at VEX Worlds in 2014 for all of our teams that qualified. Many of our students had wished they could do both.
Our underclassmen are already a little bummed that they wont get to see teams from Canada and Michigan, assuming we would be in Houston in a couple of years.

who716 16-05-2015 23:26

Re: [FRC Blog] Two Championship Survey Results and Path Forward
 
this make me so angry! why even post the results that show the public disagrees with there choices and then try to manipulate and extrapolate the numbers to try and get it to support there decision.
I would much rather them say :this is how it is going to be, deal with it" instead of beating around the bush.

John 16-05-2015 23:34

Re: [FRC Blog] Two Championship Survey Results and Path Forward
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Infinity2718 (Post 1482468)
I find both of these interesting, so I would like to expand on them:

1 vs 10 = 26 to 12 = 2.16:1 ratio
1-2 vs 9-10 = 37 to 16 = 2.31 ratio
1-3 vs 8-10 = 48 to 23 = 2.09 ratio
1-4 vs 7-10 = 55 to 29 = 1.90 ratio
1-5 vs 6-10 = 67 to 33 = 2.03 ratio

No matter how you slice the deck, for every one person approving the championsplit, there are two people opposing it.

This method isn't exactly fair either. In your first comparison, you are comparing the ratio of 25% of negative responses to 20% of positive. In your second it is 50% to 40%, and so on. In your last comparison, you count 5 (neutral) as negative.

What if we rescaled to a scale from 0 to 10? We can map the negative responses linearly to get the new responses. We replace 1 with 0, 2 with 1.25, 3 with 2.5, and 4 with 3.75. After performing the average based on this data, we get:

.26*0+.11*1.25+.11*2.5+.07*3.75+.12*5+.04*6+.06*7+ .07*8+.04*9+.12*10 = 4.06

This weights everything symmetrically. It keeps positive values positive, and negative values negative. However, I think it is still likely to be flawed, as someone who is approximately neutral might be more likely to lean towards the favorable side than negative simply because the positive side is larger. Someone who votes roughly neutrally based on the "center" of the scale may be unfairly counted as voting positively.

A better method might be to map the entire scale from 1-10 to 0-10. We replace 1 with 0, 2 with 1.111, 3 with 2.222, 4 with 3.333, 5 with 4.444, 6 with 5.555, 7 with 6.666, 8 with 7.777, and 9 with 8.888 (10 remains 10).

We now get:

.26*0+.11*1.111+.11*2.222+.07*3.333+.12*4.444+.04* 5.555+.06*6.666+.07*7.777+.04*8.888+.12*10 = 3.86

This scale is likely to be slightly biased towards negative, because it treats "neutral" according to the instructions as very slightly negative.

I think the true average, if the scale had been 0-10 instead of 1-10, would lie somewhere between these two numbers. In any case, they are closer to each other than they are to FIRST's number for the average (4.47).

There also are quite possibly some psychological effects that I have not accounted for. Do the numbers on the scale themselves affect how we vote? If given a poll, 1-5, and the average is 4, does this imply that if the same poll was conducted on a scale from 1-9, the average would be 7? This would be expected if people simply scaled their votes linearly (or at least, linearly on average) but that may not be the case.

If we remap the entire scale

PAR_WIG1350 17-05-2015 01:56

Re: [FRC Blog] Two Championship Survey Results and Path Forward
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by John (Post 1482591)
There also are quite possibly some psychological effects that I have not accounted for. Do the numbers on the scale themselves affect how we vote? If given a poll, 1-5, and the average is 4, does this imply that if the same poll was conducted on a scale from 1-9, the average would be 7? This would be expected if people simply scaled their votes linearly (or at least, linearly on average) but that may not be the case.

If we remap the entire scale

I have never found a study that confirms this, but I have heard it suggested that the widespread practice of using 75 as the 'center' of a 100 point grading scale in US schools has predisposed the people who attended those schools to center their rating on 75%, rather than on 50%. I feel that the most significant thing FIRST did correctly for this survey question was specifying a center, which I imagine would at least slightly help to fix that bias.

David Lame 17-05-2015 12:28

Re: [FRC Blog] Two Championship Survey Results and Path Forward
 
There's an awful lot of analysis going on. That makes sense because so many of us are engineers. We love to crunch numbers. A lot of that effort is wasted, though. The survey methods weren't designed to give precise answers, for all of the reasons so many others have already stated. This is a non-scientific poll, which is only good for getting a quick read on the general feelings of a non-uniform sample.

Taking a step back, though, the message is pretty clear. The big bars are on the left. The little bars are on the right. Generally speaking, the people who responded to this survey were pretty negative about the split. You don't need much mathematics to reach that conclusion.

Which brings up a couple of very obvious questions.

Do the survey results reflect opinion in general?
Why is the leadership pretending that somehow the survey results are neutral or only slightly negative?


From the discussion and analysis, though, I see a couple of other things.

One is that I find it interesting that there was a significant split between those who had never attended and those who had attended. That, to me, is meaningful.

The other thing that leaps out to me, mostly from the discussions, is....districts. Everyone ought to be doing them. Everywhere. I'm new here, but I can't imagine why anyone wouldn't.

I have to do a bit of interpretation of the numbers in order to reach this conclusion, but I think that those people who like the split may very well like it simply because it gives them another accessible, and significant, competition. A district championship would serve that purpose, much like it does in Michigan.

Monochron 17-05-2015 12:42

Re: [FRC Blog] Two Championship Survey Results and Path Forward
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Holtzman (Post 1482290)
What is a little misleading about the results is the survey scale. On a scale from 1-10 with 5 being neutral, we have 4 options that are negative, one that's neutral, and 5 options that are positive. This skews the data on the positive side. The average answer of 4.45 is misleading since the left and right sides of the data set have different weights.

Another way of looking at these results is that 55% oppose two championships, 12% are neutral, and only 33% favor two championships. To me, that’s is a much more powerful statement about how the community really feels.

I have read all the posts on this thread, but I'm hoping that this point got a lot more attention than it did on the first page. The way FIRST collected data and they way they have presented it in this blog post is legitimately very misleading. The number of negative options versus the number of positive options really rubs me the wrong way.

Steven Donow 17-05-2015 12:46

Re: [FRC Blog] Two Championship Survey Results and Path Forward
 
I wish they gave actual analysis based off team number. Not even to show that,'this elite team felt this way!' but just to see how votes were split across team age, events attended, teams that have been to champs vs teams that haven't, etc... Then we'd be able to fully understand what the demographic reach that responded to the survey was.

Siri 17-05-2015 13:21

Re: [FRC Blog] Two Championship Survey Results and Path Forward
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by David Lame (Post 1482636)
There's an awful lot of analysis going on. That makes sense because so many of us are engineers. We love to crunch numbers. A lot of that effort is wasted, though. ... Why is the leadership pretending that somehow the survey results are neutral or only slightly negative?

I think you've answered your own point here. A lot of the analysis that's happening now isn't because we think the data is so useful, it's to highlight the misleading nature of the results. This statement from the blog: "The average answer to this questions [sic] among all respondents was 4.45, somewhat below the 5 "Neither Oppose nor Favor" rating" is an insult to my intelligence as an engineer, and to your point seems to be the crux of that 'only sightly negative' spin that the leadership is putting on these results.

Quote:

Originally Posted by David Lame (Post 1482636)
The other thing that leaps out to me, mostly from the discussions, is....districts. Everyone ought to be doing them. Everywhere. I'm new here, but I can't imagine why anyone wouldn't.

I have to do a bit of interpretation of the numbers in order to reach this conclusion, but I think that those people who like the split may very well like it simply because it gives them another accessible, and significant, competition. A district championship would serve that purpose, much like it does in Michigan.

Absolutely. This is the District Events --> Super Regionals --> Worlds argument that's been made for years (plus or minus the debate over another level of competition). Championsplit is basically that as a top-down attempt, wherein it limits the number of teams (to only 800) that can get an Large-but-less-than-Worlds Tier experience and also the number of teams (to zero) that can experience a Worlds event. They haven't fixed the core progression or scalability problem. However, standing up a District is unfortunately no small task and takes a certain density of teams and grassroots initiative among other things. There are huge discussions on CD and elsewhere about how to make it work in places that haven't yet--the devil's in the details.

efoote868 17-05-2015 13:33

Re: [FRC Blog] Two Championship Survey Results and Path Forward
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Steven Donow (Post 1482638)
I wish they gave actual analysis based off team number. Not even to show that,'this elite team felt this way!' but just to see how votes were split across team age, events attended, teams that have been to champs vs teams that haven't, etc... Then we'd be able to fully understand what the demographic reach that responded to the survey was.

What safeguards were in place to stop individuals from falsely identifying the wrong team? What about stop them from filling out multiple surveys? Prevent FIRST unaffiliated or unaffected from responding?

Why should we trust these results as anything more than a voluntary online survey?

DanielleSisk 17-05-2015 14:51

Re: [FRC Blog] Two Championship Survey Results and Path Forward
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Siri (Post 1482315)
More than a quarter of the respondents are as against this proposal as it is possible to register on this scale. That's closed to 2,000 people in itself (numerically 1912.3 people). 55% of respondents are against the proposal; that's more than 4045 people. CD is vocal, but even assuming the relationship between CD and the survey sample (which is a weird assumption when n=7355), opposition by definition is not the minority opinion. And despite the scale shift, the "strongly opposed" outnumbers all those who voted 10, 9, and 8 combined. More people voted for 1 or 2 than voted for anything above 5.



Does anyone know if there's a standard method of "centering" a scale like this? (The true center is at 5.5, the average of 1 and 10). I don't have a statistical method of turning 4 buckets into 5, but I think the worst-case scenario would be that everyone who voted 1 would've voted 0, and everyone in 2 took 1 (no one votes 4). This creates a new weighted average of 3.92, which represents the low end of possibility: thus the average is somewhere between 3.92 and 4.47 when centered about 5. Did I handle that correctly?

This is simple to do by reducing to number of bins instead of increasing them. Put all responses below the Neutral choice, the 55%, in one bin and call it say bin 4 (to keep our median at 5), then put the 12% which are Neutral into bin 5, and those above neutral, the 33%, into bin 6. Finding the average this way, (55*4+12*5+33*6)/100 = 4.78. Interesting... this shows that giving more options for a positive response gave their average, 4.45 (which should have been 4.47) a skew in the negative response direction. Now the same calculation cannot done for a '1 vote per team' because that data is unavailable.

Drakxii 17-05-2015 14:56

Re: [FRC Blog] Two Championship Survey Results and Path Forward
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by efoote868 (Post 1482645)
What safeguards were in place to stop individuals from falsely identifying the wrong team? What about stop them from filling out multiple surveys? Prevent FIRST unaffiliated or unaffected from responding?

Why should we trust these results as anything more than a voluntary online survey?

Why do you suspect that these results do not match the views of FRC teams?

efoote868 17-05-2015 15:24

Re: [FRC Blog] Two Championship Survey Results and Path Forward
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Drakxii (Post 1482655)
Why do you suspect that these results do not match the views of FRC teams?

Because individuals without a strong opinion do not invest their time in voluntary surveys.

Squillo 17-05-2015 15:33

Re: [FRC Blog] Two Championship Survey Results and Path Forward
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by fargus111111111 (Post 1482499)
of those who gave a team number, 52% of teams were represented, that is over half of the teams in FRC.

Yes, but I responded, and I know my opinions are not necessarily representative of others on my team.

scottandme 17-05-2015 15:37

Re: [FRC Blog] Two Championship Survey Results and Path Forward
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by efoote868 (Post 1482656)
Because individuals without a strong opinion do not invest their time in voluntary surveys.

I fill out every FRC (and MAR) survey that I get. Lots of those are pretty mundane, but I do them anyway since they take all of 5 minutes, and (presumably) give useful feedback to the respective groups looking at the data.

If that was actually the case - there should be a lot more 1's and 10's in the results.

efoote868 17-05-2015 15:42

Re: [FRC Blog] Two Championship Survey Results and Path Forward
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by scottandme (Post 1482658)
I fill out every FRC (and MAR) survey that I get. Lots of those are pretty mundane, but I do them anyway since they take all of 5 minutes, and (presumably) give useful feedback to the respective groups looking at the data.

If that was actually the case - there should be a lot more 1's and 10's in the results.

38% of the response was 1's and 10's.... that's very bi-polar.

dodar 17-05-2015 15:43

Re: [FRC Blog] Two Championship Survey Results and Path Forward
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by efoote868 (Post 1482659)
38% of the response was 1's and 10's.... that's very bi-polar.

And that seems odd to you? Were you not here for the original thread and saw how bi-polar the CD community was?

efoote868 17-05-2015 15:45

Re: [FRC Blog] Two Championship Survey Results and Path Forward
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by dodar (Post 1482660)
And that seems odd to you? Were you not here for the original thread and saw how bi-polar the CD community was?

A public forum suffers from the same response bias that an online voluntary survey suffers.

Nate Laverdure 17-05-2015 15:51

Re: [FRC Blog] Two Championship Survey Results and Path Forward
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by efoote868 (Post 1482661)
A public forum suffers from the same response bias that an online voluntary survey suffers.

Why cater to an opinion that doesn't care to reveal itself in a measurable way?

Siri 17-05-2015 15:56

Re: [FRC Blog] Two Championship Survey Results and Path Forward
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by DanielleSisk (Post 1482654)
This is simple to do by reducing to number of bins instead of increasing them. Put all responses below the Neutral choice, the 55%, in one bin and call it say bin 4 (to keep our median at 5), then put the 12% which are Neutral into bin 5, and those above neutral, the 33%, into bin 6. Finding the average this way, (55*4+12*5+33*6)/100 = 4.78. Interesting... this shows that giving more options for a positive response gave their average, 4.45 (which should have been 4.47) a skew in the negative response direction. Now the same calculation cannot done for a '1 vote per team' because that data is unavailable.

I'm not sure I understand: your representative bin values are entirely arbitrary, as is the average they produce. I could repeat this same calculation calling "negative" 3 and "positive" 7: I get 4.56. 2 and 8 yields 4.34; 1 and 9 is 4.12; 0 and 10 is 3.9. The problem is that the logical value to assign to each bin is the average of the values in it--1 through 4 as 2.5 and 6 to 10 as 8--but these averages are not centered about the neutral. Shrinking the bin count does not remove this problem.

efoote868 17-05-2015 15:59

Re: [FRC Blog] Two Championship Survey Results and Path Forward
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Nate Laverdure (Post 1482662)
Why cater to an opinion that doesn't care to reveal itself in a measurable way?

Whose opinion matters more, the 10% that took the survey or the 90% that didn't take the survey?

If the survey accurately reflected the opinion of everyone in FIRST, one might expect that 26% of the FIRST population would quit in the near term. And one might be shocked to find that only 4% quit instead, and that the 90% of the community that didn't respond to the survey fell between "mildly dislike to mildly like, mostly don't care."

dodar 17-05-2015 16:08

Re: [FRC Blog] Two Championship Survey Results and Path Forward
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by efoote868 (Post 1482666)
Whose opinion matters more, the 10% that took the survey or the 90% that didn't take the survey?

If the survey accurately reflected the opinion of everyone in FIRST, one might expect that 26% of the FIRST population would quit in the near term. And one might be shocked to find that only 4% quit instead, and that the 90% of the community that didn't respond to the survey fell between "mildly dislike to mildly like, mostly don't care."

So should we never accept a new president because everyone didnt vote? Just be cause some dont vote, doesnt mean we should neglect those who did.

AdamHeard 17-05-2015 16:17

Re: [FRC Blog] Two Championship Survey Results and Path Forward
 
The world is run by those that show up...

efoote868 17-05-2015 16:19

Re: [FRC Blog] Two Championship Survey Results and Path Forward
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by dodar (Post 1482668)
So should we never accept a new president because everyone didnt vote? Just be cause some dont vote, doesnt mean we should neglect those who did.

That's a false equivalency. Responding to the survey had no guarantee of future action.

What I'm arguing is that the results of the survey mean much less than what some in this discussion are giving weight to it, and that putting the numbers in a positive or negative light doesn't matter when the numbers don't mean much.

dodar 17-05-2015 16:21

Re: [FRC Blog] Two Championship Survey Results and Path Forward
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by efoote868 (Post 1482670)
That's a false equivalency. Responding to the survey had no guarantee of future action.

What I'm arguing is that the results of the survey mean much less than what some in this discussion are giving weight to it, and that putting the numbers in a positive or negative light doesn't matter when the numbers don't mean much.

You are giving an outcome yourself for something you dont know. If FIRST had gotten 100% 1's, I bet you'd see action and the same could be said for 100% 10's.

efoote868 17-05-2015 16:25

Re: [FRC Blog] Two Championship Survey Results and Path Forward
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by dodar (Post 1482671)
You are giving an outcome yourself for something you dont know. If FIRST had gotten 100% 1's, I bet you'd see action and the same could be said for 100% 10's.

How is that a guarantee?

Siri 17-05-2015 16:31

Re: [FRC Blog] Two Championship Survey Results and Path Forward
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by efoote868 (Post 1482666)
Whose opinion matters more, the 10% that took the survey or the 90% that didn't take the survey?

If the survey accurately reflected the opinion of everyone in FIRST, one might expect that 26% of the FIRST population would quit in the near term. And one might be shocked to find that only 4% quit instead, and that the 90% of the community that didn't respond to the survey fell between "mildly dislike to mildly like, mostly don't care."

I agree on the idea that not voting doesn't mean you matter less to the community, but please don't set up the expectation that everyone who clicked "strongly opposed" to the championsplit wants to quit FIRST. That's a very weird metric by which to assess the meaning of these data.

efoote868 17-05-2015 16:42

Re: [FRC Blog] Two Championship Survey Results and Path Forward
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Siri (Post 1482673)
I agree on the idea that not voting doesn't mean you matter less to the community, but please don't set up the expectation that everyone who clicked "strongly opposed" to the championsplit wants to quit FIRST. That's a very weird metric by which to assess the meaning of these data.

I used "quit" as an example of the strongest negative response an individual could have with regard to the situation, as a hypothetical to illustrate response bias.

There are means to get a statistically accurate picture of the opinion of a community, but voluntary online survey is not one of them.

Nate Laverdure 17-05-2015 16:52

Re: [FRC Blog] Two Championship Survey Results and Path Forward
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by efoote868 (Post 1482675)
There are means to get a statistically accurate picture of the opinion of a community, but voluntary online survey is not one of them.

We agree. To close the loop on your earlier comments, then:
Quote:

Originally Posted by efoote868 (Post 1482666)
Whose opinion matters more, the 10% that took the survey or the 90% that didn't take the survey?

Of course the respondents' opinions matter more, at least in the context of providing FIRST some insight into the community's collective view of the topic at hand. The non-respondents had the opportunity to matter just as much, but chose not to use that opportunity. It's great fun to imbue those non-respondents with opinions and motivations for not sharing those opinions, but it's all fiction until measured.
Quote:

Originally Posted by efoote868 (Post 1482656)
Because individuals without a strong opinion do not invest their time in voluntary surveys.

Because there's no measurement to refute this, I am free to claim that the survey is biased in the opposite direction: perhaps some of those 90% were just so upset at the decision that they refused to fill out the survey. Certainly some number of those people exist-- who's to say how many?

Drakxii 17-05-2015 16:54

Re: [FRC Blog] Two Championship Survey Results and Path Forward
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by efoote868 (Post 1482670)
That's a false equivalency. Responding to the survey had no guarantee of future action.

What I'm arguing is that the results of the survey mean much less than what some in this discussion are giving weight to it, and that putting the numbers in a positive or negative light doesn't matter when the numbers don't mean much.

Numbers never matter till you give them weight.

efoote868 17-05-2015 17:08

Re: [FRC Blog] Two Championship Survey Results and Path Forward
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Nate Laverdure (Post 1482676)
Because there's no measurement to refute this, I am free to claim that the survey is biased in the opposite direction: perhaps some of those 90% were just so upset at the decision that they refused to fill out the survey. Certainly some number of those people exist-- who's to say how many?

I don't know, but voluntary online survey wouldn't be a way to find out :p

I'm trying to caution everyone about the limitations of the data presented here, as well as show why it doesn't matter if the response was more negative than it was portrayed by Frank. I think our collective efforts would be better to find a solution to the areas the 2 championship format is lacking.

evanperryg 17-05-2015 18:27

Re: [FRC Blog] Two Championship Survey Results and Path Forward
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by PAR_WIG1350 (Post 1482616)
I have never found a study that confirms this, but I have heard it suggested that the widespread practice of using 75 as the 'center' of a 100 point grading scale in US schools has predisposed the people who attended those schools to center their rating on 75%, rather than on 50%. I feel that the most significant thing FIRST did correctly for this survey question was specifying a center, which I imagine would at least slightly help to fix that bias.

Interesting idea, and definitely something that is very easily observed in day-to-day life. However, I think we are reading into these numbers a little too far. Any kind of mapping or analysis we make is based on a limited amount of information, just the numbers in the chart and the numbers pointed out in the blog post. Our own interpretations of the data will have our own biases, and each will have an inherent flaw of some kind. I wouldn't read into those numbers a whole lot; although they are obviously skewed, it proves one important point without any special interpretation: The number of people who strongly oppose the switch account for the number of "neutral" and "strongly favor" voters combined. That says something, regardless of how this poll may or may not have been intentionally weighted in favor of the poller's preference.

Quote:

Originally Posted by gblake (Post 1482554)
I suspect that the companies donating noticeable $ to FIRST will continue to let FIRST inspire students, without being the least bit interested in micromanaging how FIRST does it.

Among the members of the FIRST board of directors and executive advisory board are executives from Boeing, JCPenny, Rockwell Collins, Qualcomm, BAE Systems, Rockwell Automation, and Lego, all major contributors to FIRST and FIRST teams. Even if the biggest contributors aren't "micromanaging," they definitely have a hand in the workings of FIRST.

Regardless of whether or not the poll was weighted, I believe FIRST will take into account at least some of the complaints we have made. These sort of heated protests happen every year, with every game release. Admittedly, the restructuring of champs has a much longer-term impact on the culture of FIRST, but change had to come at some point- it was inevitable. Sure, it would have been nice to know there were talks about major changes to the championship structure coming soon, but it's not like they didn't tell us something was going to change back in 2012. Again, it would have been nice to get some more specific info before the announcement, but it's not like they never said anything. At the end of they day, no matter how much we analyze, map, or dissect this poll, FIRST is going to change, and it has to change in order to become a universally-recognized program.

Citrus Dad 17-05-2015 18:31

Re: [FRC Blog] Two Championship Survey Results and Path Forward
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by waialua359 (Post 1482580)
The point that FIRST is growing and yet wants to give the same % of students the Championship experience, will not find a happy medium to address having one set of Champions and everyone playing under the same roof. Too many pros AND cons. Is it really too late or impossible to find a venue 2020 and beyond that can hold 800 teams?

Solutions to having a single champion while still having 2 events have been posted here. It's just that FIRST HQ isn't interested in entertaining any real feasible alternatives. I'll speculate about the reason for that in a separate post.

Citrus Dad 17-05-2015 18:47

Re: [FRC Blog] Two Championship Survey Results and Path Forward
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by grstex (Post 1482448)
But you can't say "62.5% of respondents oppose the split." That's just not true. the "mandate" is that 55% oppose the split. you CAN'T just discard 12% of the responses. That's more misleading than average from the blog.

I approached this issue as a presidential election. You can't vote for "neither of the above" or "both of the above." You have to choose. The "5s" refused to choose. In an election, those folks don't vote--it's a very common assumption by pollsters making projections for election results.

Similarly, we don't apply an intensity of like or dislike to presidential candidates. It's either "A" or "B". There's some indication in 2012 that Romney supporters were more intense in their positions, but there were fewer of them. Ultimately, I believe we should really care about which side people fall on.

One other polling note: while this is a voluntary poll so it could be biased, pollsters find that usually the opinions of respondents generally reflect the views of non respondents.

I used a set of common polling assumptions to provide a clearer view of how community preferences fall out. I see others have provided other metrics that arrive at the same conclusion--that opposition is running 2 to 1 against.

Citrus Dad 17-05-2015 18:54

Re: [FRC Blog] Two Championship Survey Results and Path Forward
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Basel A (Post 1482439)
I don't think you can look at this data and reasonably say "most of FRC is opposed to two Championships," especially when the nonvoters likely don't care/are neutral.

Given the low turnout for elections in the US, that argument would lead to us to the conclusion that we haven't actually elected anyone. The fact is that elections and decisions are determined by those who care enough to respond. If we want a democratic process, allowing indifference to have weight becomes an overwhelming defeating burden.

grstex 17-05-2015 21:43

Re: [FRC Blog] Two Championship Survey Results and Path Forward
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Citrus Dad (Post 1482697)
I approached this issue as a presidential election. You can't vote for "neither of the above" or "both of the above." You have to choose. The "5s" refused to choose. In an election, those folks don't vote--it's a very common assumption by pollsters making projections for election results.

Similarly, we don't apply an intensity of like or dislike to presidential candidates. It's either "A" or "B". There's some indication in 2012 that Romney supporters were more intense in their positions, but there were fewer of them. Ultimately, I believe we should really care about which side people fall on.

One other polling note: while this is a voluntary poll so it could be biased, pollsters find that usually the opinions of respondents generally reflect the views of non respondents.

I used a set of common polling assumptions to provide a clearer view of how community preferences fall out. I see others have provided other metrics that arrive at the same conclusion--that opposition is running 2 to 1 against.

There is such a thing as a 3rd party candidate. Ross Perot captured almost 19% of the popular vote in 1992, and over 8% in 1996. in 1928 Robert La Follette even won a state. (of course, you could hold the Kang and Kodos perspective of politics)

But more importantly, in this survey you DID NOT HAVE TO CHOOSE. You WERE GIVEN A NEUTRAL OPTION. 12% chose that option. FIRST could have structured the survey as a simple for or against, but they didn't. As others in this thread have already stated, the people who chose neutral did so for a reason. Their response counts too.

gblake 17-05-2015 21:47

Re: [FRC Blog] Two Championship Survey Results and Path Forward
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by evanperryg (Post 1482691)
...
Among the members of the FIRST board of directors and executive advisory board are executives from Boeing, JCPenny, Rockwell Collins, Qualcomm, BAE Systems, Rockwell Automation, and Lego, all major contributors to FIRST and FIRST teams. Even if the biggest contributors aren't "micromanaging," they definitely have a hand in the workings of FIRST.
...

I realize that you didn't disagree with me, so please notice in return that I'm not disagreeing with you.

Members of the FIRST Board of Directors, when they are carrying out their duties as Board Members, are not supposed to let their duties as members of any other organization bias them (their life experiences should give them wisdom that helps "inform" their decisions; but when they are carrying out board business, they are carrying out FIRST business, not the business of any other entity).

And, when they take their FIRST BoD hats off, those folks have bigger fish to fry, in their primary jobs.

Advising, setting goals, and contributing to high-level policy/strategy is what a good Board does, micromanaging is what a good board doesn't do.

Before we go off on a tangent - I'll claim that debating in CD whether the Championsplit is high-level policy, or a lower-level detail, won't be useful. If there is any confusion about that among the BoD members, or among the people who report to the BoD, they will straighten it out, on their own.

Blake

gblake 17-05-2015 21:53

Re: [FRC Blog] Two Championship Survey Results and Path Forward
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Citrus Dad (Post 1482697)
...
The "5s" refused to choose.
...

No, they told you and anyone else who looked at their votes, that they were neutral.

Neutral could and does mean many things.

It is simply incorrect to distill it down to a "refused to choose" sound bite.

Blake

Basel A 17-05-2015 22:41

Re: [FRC Blog] Two Championship Survey Results and Path Forward
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Citrus Dad (Post 1482697)
I approached this issue as a presidential election. You can't vote for "neither of the above" or "both of the above." You have to choose. The "5s" refused to choose. In an election, those folks don't vote--it's a very common assumption by pollsters making projections for election results.

This is absolutely nothing like a presidential election. That is a choice between two people, whereas this is a statement of approval/disapproval of a policy. A good example of what that should look like is here. Note how the approval and disapproval numbers don't add up to 100%. That's because some people are neutral. Here's another potentially enlightening link: http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Self-selection_bias

PAR_WIG1350 17-05-2015 23:15

Re: [FRC Blog] Two Championship Survey Results and Path Forward
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by gblake (Post 1482734)
No, they told you and anyone else who looked at their votes, that they were neutral.

Neutral could and does mean many things.

It is simply incorrect to distill it down to a "refused to choose" sound bite.

Blake

Regardless of how neutral responses should be counted, the reality is they are probably going to be counted as being in favor of FIRST's proposal.

The reason for this is simple: anybody who is neutral will be just as supportive whether or not FIRST reverses its decision, and FIRST is quite sure that it wants what it said it wants.

Thus, from FIRST's perspective, the results of the poll are 55-45 against the proposal. Given the small sample size, this is probably close enough to 50-50 for an entity with even a slight confirmation bias to say that the community is largely undecided.

So, in reality, the survey gave you 4 options to say that you were against the proposal, and 6 options to say you were for it.

northstardon 18-05-2015 00:28

Re: [FRC Blog] Two Championship Survey Results and Path Forward
 
I voted 5.

It was not because I didn't care one way or the other. It was because, "I haven't decided yet" wasn't an option.

The survey went out a week before Champs, and a day or two after it was announced that there was going to be a Town Hall meeting in St. Louis. I wanted to wait until after the Town Hall and after more data/information was made available before voicing an opinion. And that's exactly what I said in the comment box beneath my response.

EricH 18-05-2015 00:55

Re: [FRC Blog] Two Championship Survey Results and Path Forward
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by northstardon (Post 1482757)
I voted 5.

It was not because I didn't care one way or the other. It was because, "I haven't decided yet" wasn't an option.

The survey went out a week before Champs, and a day or two after it was announced that there was going to be a Town Hall meeting in St. Louis. I wanted to wait until after the Town Hall and after more data/information was made available before voicing an opinion. And that's exactly what I said in the comment box beneath my response.

Not specifically aimed at you, but you happened to be handy.

For all those who voted 5, would you care to share "undecided (at this time)", "withholding judgement", or "don't care" status at the time of the survey, and have you changed your response at this point?


Full disclosure: I didn't fill out the survey. If I had to respond, I would be leaning in about the 4-5 range: I don't like it, but I think there's enough room to improve (in a variety of ways) that I could be persuaded to go the other way. I could also end up working my way down towards the 1s and 2s, if that improvement doesn't go the way of improvement.



One thing that's finally gotten through to me: Any way you slice the data, if the average is less than 5.5 on this scale, you ain't winnin' no election. Just the way the scale works. The fact that they're trying to SPIN it... Sorry, Frank, but sometimes you gotta bite the bullet! This isn't a popular decision, and not even by going by team number with the data are you going to be able to change that! "There are lies, d****d lies, and statistics."--attributed to Mark Twain.

Taylor 18-05-2015 07:23

Re: [FRC Blog] Two Championship Survey Results and Path Forward
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by EricH (Post 1482759)
For all those who voted 5, would you care to share "undecided (at this time)", "withholding judgement", or "don't care" status at the time of the survey, and have you changed your response at this point?

I voted 5. As of right now, I have a very strong opinion on the subject, but I am not sure what it is.
I can tell you it's certainly not "don't care" - probably more along the lines of "withholding judgement".
I could be swayed either way; however, I do have a voice and I'd like it to count.
To me, a 5 is telling HQ "If you play this right, I could jump on board. If not, well, add me to the disgruntled California teams."

If you lump 4s, 5s, and 6s together, that's a quarter of respondents who may think likewise.
I'm comfortable speaking on behalf of them in saying we didn't 'throw away our votes'

IKE 18-05-2015 08:50

Re: [FRC Blog] Two Championship Survey Results and Path Forward
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by EricH (Post 1482759)
Not specifically aimed at you, but you happened to be handy.

For all those who voted 5, would you care to share "undecided (at this time)", "withholding judgement", or "don't care" status at the time of the survey, and have you changed your response at this point?

../snip...

I don't actually remember where I put my mark, but I was somewhere between the 4-6 range.
The 2 event championship was definitely not my preference, but I think it is/was probably the lesser of several evils.
I am generally in the same boat from the alternative 2 event proposals. Not terribly for or against any of them.
I was happy in this blog that they will be discussing with teams possible events mixing strategies. This was actually my biggest concern with the rollout was that there were not be an allowance for mixing. I think Hall of Fame teams should probably get to rotate events. Same with "founders". though I would like if they could keep them at a reasonable balance (no more than a 1/3 to 2/3 ratio).

I have hope that they will do a summer event, and work with teams to find a way to make that work well. I have thoughts on how they could do that, and will see if some of those can be implemented.

Rman1923 18-05-2015 09:15

Re: [FRC Blog] Two Championship Survey Results and Path Forward
 
I think it's great that FIRST has tried to survey teams, and I thank them for that. But I would like to point out that two championships will completely ruin the prestige of going to champs. This happens in two ways, one, the obvious way, when you get an award at half champs, it's not really winning the award, it's sharing the award. If FIRST really trying to be a sport for the mind, it can't say it has a superbowl because there are two trophies. How are winners going to explain what happened? "oh our robot's the half best in the world"? How can we make it loud when we aren't sure what we are. Are there any winners in two champs? Or just two finalists?
The second way prestige would be affected is qualifying. I have gone to champs twice, and no matter how we did it was really inspirational for me. I have to commend FIRST, that organization that we still all know and love, for adhering to its mission statement and inspiring twice the amount of people. It's great that FIRST is growing and that it is accomodating for its growth. But with more teams qualifying for worlds through regional points, what is the drive going to be to build the best robot, or make it loud to the world? Why go for prestigious positions such as regional robot winner our chairman's winner? Why not just actually care about the safety award a few times and make it to half champs? In the end, we're actually uninspiring teams and people.

I really like FIRST and I love everything it has done for me, my FLL kids, everyone involved, but I don't want to see this awesome organization ruined because it can't scale up properly. I want to be able to come back and be proud that I had the opportunity to graduate from an amazing program. Two champs will definitely uninspire more people than it will inspire. No one wants to say that they are half winners. And again, I have to applaud FIRST for their efforts to get feedback from teams.

billylo 18-05-2015 09:19

Re: [FRC Blog] Two Championship Survey Results and Path Forward
 
My feedback for Frank and FIRST:

1. Students are the main stakeholders. If trade-offs are needed, articulate the pros and cons factually and consult them. (just like the patient/doctor relationship.)

2. Surveys are imperfect. But I can generally count on those who care to cast their ballots. There is nothing wrong with building a strategy based on the opinions of those who care.

Taylor 18-05-2015 09:28

Re: [FRC Blog] Two Championship Survey Results and Path Forward
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Rman1923 (Post 1482778)
I think it's great that FIRST has tried to survey teams, and I thank them for that. But I would like to point out that two championships will completely ruin the prestige of going to champs. This happens in two ways, one, the obvious way, when you get an award at half champs, it's not really winning the award, it's sharing the award. If FIRST really trying to be a sport for the mind, it can't say it has a superbowl because there are two trophies. How are winners going to explain what happened? "oh our robot's the half best in the world"? How can we make it loud when we aren't sure what we are. Are there any winners in two champs? Or just two finalists?

I'm sorry, I have trouble following this logic. There are only two annual trophies, of which there is only one winner: Championship Chairmans and Woodie Flowers. Everything else has multiple winners. There are four World Champions. There are four Engineering Inspiration winners. Heck, there are thirty-two Division Champions.
So of the two actual single trophies, there has been a TON of conversation about expanding these anyway. There are hundreds of really awesome teams and really awesome people who deserve to be recognized at the worldwide level, but only one of each per year is not enough.
Quote:

The second way prestige would be affected is qualifying. I have gone to champs twice, and no matter how we did it was really inspirational for me. I have to commend FIRST, that organization that we still all know and love, for adhering to its mission statement and inspiring twice the amount of people. It's great that FIRST is growing and that it is accomodating for its growth. But with more teams qualifying for worlds through regional points, what is the drive going to be to build the best robot, or make it loud to the world? Why go for prestigious positions such as regional robot winner our chairman's winner? Why not just actually care about the safety award a few times and make it to half champs? In the end, we're actually uninspiring teams and people.
Why do traditional sports have a regular season? The games don't really matter. We haven't seen a sports champion go undefeated through the regular season in decades (yes I know this statement is not true for FIRST).

R2D2DOC 18-05-2015 09:32

Re: [FRC Blog] Two Championship Survey Results and Path Forward
 
Transitions are always difficult. The USA never quite converted to the metric system. . . .

Ultimately, if we saturate the season with districts (even that is contentious), then district champs would be the primary players at world champs. The remaining participants would be up for discussion: HOF, Rookie, Chairmans, etc. . . .

Would we than go back to a smaller single championship event?

Anupam Goli 18-05-2015 09:48

Re: [FRC Blog] Two Championship Survey Results and Path Forward
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by R2D2DOC (Post 1482781)
Transitions are always difficult. The USA never quite converted to the metric system. . . .

Ultimately, if we saturate the season with districts (even that is contentious), then district champs would be the primary players at world champs. The remaining participants would be up for discussion: HOF, Rookie, Chairmans, etc. . . .

Would we than go back to a smaller single championship event?

At this point, I don't know if we can tell. Part of FIRST HQ's understanding is the Championship "experience" is what they want as many students to be able to experience as possible. Converting that experience to the district championship level will hopefully be more feasible in the coming future. But what defines the championship "experience"? What does FIRST want to provide to as many students as possible, and how can we make it reach as many students as possible?

While I don't know what the answers to those questions are, the reasoning and logic behind the championsplit, to me, indicates that FIRST is trying to bring the experience by having more championship-scale events. It's entirely possible we go from here to 4 super regionals, and not have a culminating championship event. At least that's what I see is in the realm of possibilities, following the logic of this decision.

Rman1923 18-05-2015 10:25

Re: [FRC Blog] Two Championship Survey Results and Path Forward
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Taylor (Post 1482780)
I'm sorry, I have trouble following this logic. There are only two annual trophies, of which there is only one winner: Championship Chairmans and Woodie Flowers. Everything else has multiple winners. There are four World Champions. There are four Engineering Inspiration winners. Heck, there are thirty-two Division Champions.
So of the two actual single trophies, there has been a TON of conversation about expanding these anyway. There are hundreds of really awesome teams and really awesome people who deserve to be recognized at the worldwide level, but only one of each per year is not enough.

Sorry, I was addressing the champion title to the winning alliance, not individual winning teams, but the logic is still the same, you can't exactly say that you are a world champion when there's four other teams claiming the same thing. Truthfully this is gong to happen, and when it does, invitationals like IRI and Cheesy Champs are going to be the real world champs. And that's going to be terrible for morale if you're not invited. If FIRST really wants to inspire the world, they should keep worlds an official event.

MrRoboSteve 18-05-2015 10:37

Re: [FRC Blog] Two Championship Survey Results and Path Forward
 
I agree that the poll shows that, of those responding, there's more negative than positive feedback.

That said, it's possible that there's no solution that makes most teams happy. Here's a hypothetical scenario to illustrate the concept.

Frank discussed 22 "product attributes" ("elements of the championship experience"). Let's imagine a universe where FRC teams have decisive product attributes distributed in this way*:

33% - (1) Seeing and competing with the teams with the best robots in FRC
33% - (2) The experience of attending a major, multi-day event with my team
33% - (3) Keeping attendance costs reasonable

Now suppose you created three ideas for Champs experiences, each of which optimized for one of these attributes. Say along these lines**:

(1) Single WW Champs
(2) Super Regional Champs
(3) State Champs

If you polled any one of these using a "do you support this" question, you'd see the same or worse results than the poll that was conducted.

So put yourselves in FIRST's shoes. You need to select the choice that is best aligned with FIRST's goals, and is realistic about the resources that you have available. You are solving a unique problem -- you run one of the largest HS activity championships in the US***. Any of your choices will make a decent sized set of teams unhappy.

*I selected these items because they seemed to be mostly non-overlapping attributes and seem somewhat representative of the points of view I've read. Please don't take this as my reading of what teams actually think or that the percentages are anything but a hypothetical. What will you do?
**These actually map to the three models used in other HS activities in the US, based on the research I did last week.

***I think it's actually the largest, but haven't been looking at data for long enough to say for certain.

Qbot2640 18-05-2015 10:56

Re: [FRC Blog] Two Championship Survey Results and Path Forward
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Anupam Goli (Post 1482784)
...Part of FIRST HQ's understanding is the Championship "experience" is one they want as many students to be able to achieve as possible."

"But what defines the championship "experience"? What does FIRST want to provide as many students as possible, and how can we make it reach as many students as possible?

For me this is the essential point. My team has been to Championship exactly once - when we QUALIFIED to be one of the 400 teams there. A significant portion of the "Championship Experience" in our case was the pride of being part of that elite group. The two components of this portion are the singularity of the group, and the degree of selectivity...neither of which are present in 800 teams divided into two events. WHEN my team qualifies again, I don't want to go to "a" championship...I want to go to "the" championship. And I would prefer to wait until we deserve it again (even if it never happens) rather than lower the entrance bar. I suspect there are many survey respondents, and posters to this thread (like Rman1923 above) who find their definition of the "Championship Experience" and FIRST HQ's definition incompatible.

Quote:

Originally Posted by R2D2DOC (Post 1482781)
. . . .

Ultimately, if we saturate the season with districts (even that is contentious), then district champs would be the primary players at world champs. The remaining participants would be up for discussion: HOF, Rookie, Chairmans, etc. . . .

Would we than go back to a smaller single championship event?

And this is my great fear. Even with a monumental effort to create universal districts, and roll out a suitable championship "feeding" structure...how does FIRST go from two events and 800 teams back to one event and 400 or 600 teams without it appearing and feeling like a shrinkage. Further, HQ was originally saying that the two championships were guaranteed from 17 - 20...in this blog post that language has changed to "beginning in 2017..." removing any possible end date.

BrennanB 18-05-2015 11:55

Re: [FRC Blog] Two Championship Survey Results and Path Forward
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Rman1923 (Post 1482790)
Truthfully this is gong to happen, and when it does, invitationals like IRI and Cheesy Champs are going to be the real world champs. And that's going to be terrible for morale if you're not invited. If FIRST really wants to inspire the world, they should keep worlds an official event.

I would actually say that IRI and Cheesy Champs will never be the real world championships. In the grand scheme of things, nobody watches it, and nobody cares. I would be shocked if more than 10-15% of FIRST 's members have even heard of either of these events.

Rman1923 18-05-2015 12:10

Re: [FRC Blog] Two Championship Survey Results and Path Forward
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by BrennanB (Post 1482807)
I would actually say that IRI and Cheesy Champs will never be the real world championships. In the grand scheme of things, nobody watches it, and nobody cares. I would be shocked if more than 10-15% of FIRST 's members have even heard of either of these events.

It's not only about people watching it, but more about finding out who the winners of the world are. I feel like just out of curiosity, invitational events would pit the winners of both champs against each other, to see who wins. That would be cool and fun to watch. When I say they will be the real champs, I mean that we'll find out the best alliance in the world at these events.

Deke 18-05-2015 12:53

Re: [FRC Blog] Two Championship Survey Results and Path Forward
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Rman1923 (Post 1482778)
But I would like to point out that two championships will completely ruin the prestige of going to champs.

This is what concerns me too. I love that they are working on ways to get more teams involved, but that can be done through other means. For example, FRC is extremely expensive, can there be more focus on reducing costs instead of diluting the championship? I bet more people and teams would love to be involved if they could afford it. I would think more focus on growing the number of teams could be more inspirational than growing the number of teams at championships.

Loose Screw 18-05-2015 12:56

Re: [FRC Blog] Two Championship Survey Results and Path Forward
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Infinity2718 (Post 1482814)
This is what concerns me too. I love that they are working on ways to get more teams involved, but that can be done through other means. For example, FRC is extremely expensive, can there be more focus on reducing costs instead of diluting the championship? I bet more people and teams would love to be involved if they could afford it. I would think more focus on growing the number of teams could be more inspirational than growing the number of teams at championships.

FIRST has a system that works as a lower-cost FRC: FTC.

northstardon 18-05-2015 13:24

Re: [FRC Blog] Two Championship Survey Results and Path Forward
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by EricH (Post 1482759)
Not specifically aimed at you, but you happened to be handy.

For all those who voted 5, would you care to share "undecided (at this time)", "withholding judgement", or "don't care" status at the time of the survey, and have you changed your response at this point?

While more information and opinions have been made available over the past month, the unresolved possibility of bringing the two championship alliances together means that I would probably still answer that question the same way at this point in time. But, as I stated upthread, I would hope that that exact same question isn't asked again, because of its ambiguity. Do you favor one championship if it means that there eventually won't be room for the CA, EI, and RAS teams? Do you favor two championships if nothing is done to bring the two winning alliances together to crown one true champion?

I would "strongly agree" that the current one championship model is unsustainable over the long term. But that doesn't mean that I "strongly favor" two championships. I'd jump off the fence for a single championship if the "championship experience" could be replicated one qualifying step below (i.e. at district championships or super-regional type events). But I would be just as supportive of two championships if there was a viable way of bringing the two winning alliances together to crown one true champion. (BTW I don't think the costs of such an event are insurmountable...aside from possible financial sponsorships, raising the entry fee for the 800 teams at the two championships by just 2% would raise $80k that could cover/defray additional travel and event expenses).

Lil' Lavery 18-05-2015 13:53

Re: [FRC Blog] Two Championship Survey Results and Path Forward
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by northstardon (Post 1482817)
I'd jump off the fence for a single championship if the "championship experience" could be replicated one qualifying step below (i.e. at district championships or super-regional type events).

I've seen this or similar opinions raised in a few places, including multiple times recently in this thread. For those in Michigan, New England, PNW, and Indiana, how close are your DCMPs to the championship experience? MAR honestly isn't even close, in spite of the fact the on-the-field competition is incredibly high. Don't take this the wrong way, I love MAR Champs, but it's not remotely comparable to Championship. The production value is much more akin to a district event than even a regional competition. There aren't any of the conferences or presentations available to teams (I know FiM has some of these). The scholarship and sponsor availability is minimal. There aren't any of the outside/after hours festivities/community building that's part of Championship. You don't necessarily need all of these things for "the Championship experience" (however we end up defining it), but MAR Champs feels like a bigger district event more than it even feels like a regional competition. It completely lacks the grandeur and ceremony of a Championship.

Taylor 18-05-2015 14:01

Re: [FRC Blog] Two Championship Survey Results and Path Forward
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Lil' Lavery (Post 1482821)
I've seen this or similar opinions raised in a few places, including multiple times recently in this thread. For those in Michigan, New England, PNW, and Indiana, how close are your DCMPs to the championship experience? MAR honestly isn't even close, in spite of the fact the on-the-field competition is incredibly high. Don't take this the wrong way, I love MAR Champs, but it's not remotely comparable to Championship. The production value is much more akin to a district event than even a regional competition. There aren't any of the conferences or presentations available to teams (I know FiM has some of these). The scholarship and sponsor availability is minimal. There aren't any of the outside/after hours festivities/community building that's part of Championship. You don't necessarily need all of these things for "the Championship experience" (however we end up defining it), but MAR Champs feels like a bigger district event more than it even feels like a regional competition. It completely lacks the grandeur and ceremony of a Championship.

I would agree with most of this.
With the caveats that the Indiana State Championship was an inaugural event, so we were looking for survival rather than a spectacle. We also host conferences in October, so there's not a real need to duplicate that at this level.
But, yes, the spectacle was roughly equivalent to a regional event. However, if we work closely with HQ and their resources, it could certainly rise to the occasion.

Qbot2640 18-05-2015 14:03

Re: [FRC Blog] Two Championship Survey Results and Path Forward
 
These are the kinds of questions that should have be asked:

Quote:

Originally Posted by northstardon (Post 1482817)
...Do you favor one championship if it means that there eventually won't be room for the CA, EI, and RAS teams?

Yes (for me at least). But there are more options that are possible. I would like to see chairman teams continue to go, but if six teams from every regional is what caused the need for two championships then find ways to reduce the six to five or possibly four...or less if that's what is necessary.

Quote:

Originally Posted by northstardon (Post 1482817)
Do you favor two championships if nothing is done to bring the two winning alliances together to crown one true champion?

No regardless (again, for me). Bringing the two alliance together is irrelevant to my championship experience unless I'm one of those winning alliance teams. Otherwise, I have still attended a championship with only half of the teams that inspire me.

Kevin Leonard 18-05-2015 14:19

Re: [FRC Blog] Two Championship Survey Results and Path Forward
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Lil' Lavery (Post 1482821)
I've seen this or similar opinions raised in a few places, including multiple times recently in this thread. For those in Michigan, New England, PNW, and Indiana, how close are your DCMPs to the championship experience? MAR honestly isn't even close, in spite of the fact the on-the-field competition is incredibly high. Don't take this the wrong way, I love MAR Champs, but it's not remotely comparable to Championship. The production value is much more akin to a district event than even a regional competition. There aren't any of the conferences or presentations available to teams (I know FiM has some of these). The scholarship and sponsor availability is minimal. There aren't any of the outside/after hours festivities/community building that's part of Championship. You don't necessarily need all of these things for "the Championship experience" (however we end up defining it), but MAR Champs feels like a bigger district event more than it even feels like a regional competition. It completely lacks the grandeur and ceremony of a Championship.

So are you disagreeing that DCMP's can be similar enough to a "championship experience" or just stating that the respective DCMP's have some work to do to get to the level where they might be able to replicate a "championship experience"?

Libby K 18-05-2015 14:23

Re: [FRC Blog] Two Championship Survey Results and Path Forward
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Kevin Leonard (Post 1482829)
So are you disagreeing that DCMP's can be similar enough to a "championship experience" or just stating that the respective DCMP's have some work to do to get to the level where they might be able to replicate a "championship experience"?

I certainly can't speak for Sean, but IMO, the DCMPs can & should serve as the "championship experience" in their regions, and it would be to FIRST's benefit to do what they need to make sure all of the districts they work with end up looking at least as consistent across the country as regional events do.

BrennanB 18-05-2015 14:32

Re: [FRC Blog] Two Championship Survey Results and Path Forward
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Rman1923 (Post 1482810)
It's not only about people watching it, but more about finding out who the winners of the world are. I feel like just out of curiosity, invitational events would pit the winners of both champs against each other, to see who wins. That would be cool and fun to watch. When I say they will be the real champs, I mean that we'll find out the best alliance in the world at these events.

A closer representation of the best alliance in the world? Sure. Best alliance in the world? No. Many top tier teams don't attend IRI or cheesy champs.

I would hope that a "two winning alliances" event is televised and hyped for that.

dag0620 18-05-2015 15:29

Re: [FRC Blog] Two Championship Survey Results and Path Forward
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Lil' Lavery (Post 1482821)
I've seen this or similar opinions raised in a few places, including multiple times recently in this thread. For those in Michigan, New England, PNW, and Indiana, how close are your DCMPs to the championship experience? MAR honestly isn't even close, in spite of the fact the on-the-field competition is incredibly high. Don't take this the wrong way, I love MAR Champs, but it's not remotely comparable to Championship. The production value is much more akin to a district event than even a regional competition. There aren't any of the conferences or presentations available to teams (I know FiM has some of these). The scholarship and sponsor availability is minimal. There aren't any of the outside/after hours festivities/community building that's part of Championship. You don't necessarily need all of these things for "the Championship experience" (however we end up defining it), but MAR Champs feels like a bigger district event more than it even feels like a regional competition. It completely lacks the grandeur and ceremony of a Championship.

In New England, but especially when it was in Boston, our two DCMPs have felt like mini championships. High production value, a ton of side events (conferences, alumni events, exhibitions from other programs, etc.), and the overall grand feeling. They also served as a great event that brought New England FIRST together, just as Championship really brings FIRST together. It's a model for DCMP I like, and hope stays in NE as well as becoming the standard for DCMPs.

Obviously the consistency isn't there however, and it needs to happen. As Libby said, DCMPs should be held to at least Regional consistency that they were supposed to be as originally envisioned, if not at a higher value.

Deke 18-05-2015 15:32

Re: [FRC Blog] Two Championship Survey Results and Path Forward
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Lil' Lavery (Post 1482821)
I've seen this or similar opinions raised in a few places, including multiple times recently in this thread. For those in Michigan, New England, PNW, and Indiana, how close are your DCMPs to the championship experience? MAR honestly isn't even close, in spite of the fact the on-the-field competition is incredibly high. Don't take this the wrong way, I love MAR Champs, but it's not remotely comparable to Championship. The production value is much more akin to a district event than even a regional competition. There aren't any of the conferences or presentations available to teams (I know FiM has some of these). The scholarship and sponsor availability is minimal. There aren't any of the outside/after hours festivities/community building that's part of Championship. You don't necessarily need all of these things for "the Championship experience" (however we end up defining it), but MAR Champs feels like a bigger district event more than it even feels like a regional competition. It completely lacks the grandeur and ceremony of a Championship.

This is just my opinion on this, take it as you please. Champs was a let down from MSC for these reasons:
- There were so many fields I had little to no insight to how all the other teams were doing. At MSC with two fields, I knew how most people were doing and how the rankings were shaping up.
- Competition was fierce through the top 75% of teams at MSC, when it was only fierce around the top 25% at champs. Granted champs had more elite teams, MSC was deeper.
-Televised commentary from Dave and Dan was fantastic and awesome shots from the boom cameras at MSC, footage at champs missed the mark.

Champs did have a little better production/viewing experience for people in the stands. But you could only see your fields action.

I might be a little biased based on where I'm from, so maybe an outsider can chime in that attended MSC. I absolutely think district champs would be the perfect thing to replace the championship feel, and it's scaleable.

Loose Screw 18-05-2015 15:34

Re: [FRC Blog] Two Championship Survey Results and Path Forward
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Libby K (Post 1482830)
I certainly can't speak for Sean, but IMO, the DCMPs can & should serve as the "championship experience" in their regions, and it would be to FIRST's benefit to do what they need to make sure all of the districts they work with end up looking at least as consistent across the country as regional events do.

I've thought of the competition at FiM champs to be very close to worlds. If you take 2011 for example, the #1 alliance was defeaded by the #8 at MSC. The meta changed durring eliminations and teams had to adapt to stay competitive. Everyone was at their best, and you had no idea who would win. Worlds that year, teams died and got stuck on the field. As soon as that happened, you knew who would win.

I find this year to be similar. Yes, the #1 alliance at MSC had the highest scores in Octo/Quarter/Semi, but any alliance there could have beat them if they made a mistake. If the blue alliance had grabbed that one RC 1711 spent the entire match trying to get, they would have won. The can wars wasn't as intense as it was on Einstein, but I feel like that made it more exciting to watch. The winners weren't determined in the first second of the match. Einstein, however, was determined by the can wars. Every alliance there could score 250+ points (some even 300+), but you knew who would win 5 seconds into the match.

TL;DR
DCMP's can be just as competitive and exciting to watch as Einstein.

BrendanB 18-05-2015 15:41

Re: [FRC Blog] Two Championship Survey Results and Path Forward
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Infinity2718 (Post 1482847)
This is just my opinion on this, take it as you please. Champs was a let down from MSC for these reasons:
- There were so many fields I had little to no insight to how all the other teams were doing. At MSC with two fields, I knew how most people were doing and how the rankings were shaping up.
- Competition was fierce through the top 75% of teams at MSC, when it was only fierce around the top 25% at champs. Granted champs had more elite teams, MSC was deeper.
-Televised commentary from Dave and Dan was fantastic and awesome shots from the boom cameras at MSC, footage at champs missed the mark.

Champs did have a little better production/viewing experience for people in the stands. But you could only see your fields action.

I might be a little biased based on where I'm from, so maybe an outsider can chime in that attended MSC. I absolutely think district champs would be the perfect thing to replace the championship feel, and it's scaleable.

Some good points in here.

The 2014 and 2015 NEDCMPs were the best events I attended over the past two years. Why? Because there was a level of production value but as you hinted to above the field at a DCMP is more competitive than a division. You really feel like you take a step back when you are on your division after experiencing your DCMP a few weeks prior. Yes there are powerhouses and even teams from your district on the field but it doesn't start topping some of the districts until further in the elimination rounds and Einstein.

EricDrost 18-05-2015 15:49

Re: [FRC Blog] Two Championship Survey Results and Path Forward
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Loose Screw (Post 1482848)
I've thought of the competition at FiM champs to be very close to worlds.

I would entirely agree with you for FiM. This doesn't necessarily translate to every DCMP event, however.

I'd love to see MAR CMP reach the production quality of MSC, but as of now, it feels more like a large district event than a championship, or even a regional.

Loose Screw 18-05-2015 15:50

Re: [FRC Blog] Two Championship Survey Results and Path Forward
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by BrendanB (Post 1482851)
Some good points in here.

The 2014 and 2015 NEDCMPs were the best events I attended over the past two years. Why? Because there was a level of production value but as you hinted to above the field at a DCMP is more competitive than a division. You really feel like you take a step back when you are on your division after experiencing your DCMP a few weeks prior. Yes there are powerhouses and even teams from your district on the field but it doesn't start topping some of the districts until further in the elimination rounds and Einstein.

Plus one thing that I like that DCMP's do that Worlds doesn't is have a single pool of teams to pick from. I know that system would be impossible at worlds, but a guy can hope.

I personally love the way MSC handled things this year. They had 102 teams compete, so to keep everything on time they went to the FTC-style system of having two fields. This and the Octo-finals made this event better than champs to watch IMO. There was only one team at MSC that didn't have an average above 100.

Alliances at MSC were the best alliances at MSC, while alliances at worlds were the best alliances according to who was randomly paired together. Could you imagine if worlds had one single pool to pick from for eliminations?

BrendanB 18-05-2015 15:53

Re: [FRC Blog] Two Championship Survey Results and Path Forward
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Loose Screw (Post 1482855)
Could you imagine if worlds had one single pool to pick from for eliminations?

I'd rather not. Sounds like a logistical and scouting nightmare! :rolleyes:

Loose Screw 18-05-2015 15:56

Re: [FRC Blog] Two Championship Survey Results and Path Forward
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by BrendanB (Post 1482856)
I'd rather not. Sounds like a logistical and scouting nightmare! :rolleyes:

True, but if the size of worlds was the same size of MSC, it would be a bit easier. I was aiming for a pool of the best 100, not a mix of all 600. That would be hell for everyone attempting to scout.

Siri 18-05-2015 15:58

Re: [FRC Blog] Two Championship Survey Results and Path Forward
 
1 Attachment(s)
Quote:

Originally Posted by BrendanB (Post 1482851)
Some good points in here.

The 2014 and 2015 NEDCMPs were the best events I attended over the past two years. Why? Because there was a level of production value but as you hinted to above the field at a DCMP is more competitive than a division. You really feel like you take a step back when you are on your division after experiencing your DCMP a few weeks prior. Yes there are powerhouses and even teams from your district on the field but it doesn't start topping some of the districts until further in the elimination rounds and Einstein.

I'll back up MAR for this. Our production values (and location) leave a lot to be worked on, and we're certainly not FIM, but in terms of competitiveness I prefer MAR to Divisions. People might like some of the numbers I ran on this issue: attached is a percentile plot of qual match scores for this year at CMP Divisions and DCMPs. Probably no surprise to those of us in Districts, but the Regional folks may find it interesting.

Gregor 18-05-2015 16:11

Re: [FRC Blog] Two Championship Survey Results and Path Forward
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Siri (Post 1482858)
I'll back up MAR for this. Our production values (and location) leave a lot to be worked on, and we're certainly not FIM, but in terms of competitiveness I prefer MAR to Divisions. People might like some of the numbers I ran on this issue: a percentile plot of qual match scores for this year at CMP Divisions and DCMPs. Probably no surprise to those of us in Districts, but the Regional folks may find it interesting.

Don't have permission to view that page.

Siri 18-05-2015 16:18

Re: [FRC Blog] Two Championship Survey Results and Path Forward
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Gregor (Post 1482861)
Don't have permission to view that page.

Sorry, fixed. Apparently you can't link directly to attachments from other posts. It's in the linked post.

Rman1923 18-05-2015 16:28

Re: [FRC Blog] Two Championship Survey Results and Path Forward
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by BrennanB (Post 1482833)
A closer representation of the best alliance in the world? Sure. Best alliance in the world? No. Many top tier teams don't attend IRI or cheesy champs.

I would hope that a "two winning alliances" event is televised and hyped for that.

Yeah, that would be really cool, I think many would watch and it'd be really easy to market that to non-firsters as well

George Nishimura 18-05-2015 17:05

Re: [FRC Blog] Two Championship Survey Results and Path Forward
 
8 teams, potentially from very different parts of the world, are going to travel all the way to New Hampshire/Detroit/wherever, to potentially play two (at most three) 2.5 minute matches?

2 of the teams may never play either.

Lil' Lavery 18-05-2015 17:28

Re: [FRC Blog] Two Championship Survey Results and Path Forward
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Kevin Leonard (Post 1482829)
So are you disagreeing that DCMP's can be similar enough to a "championship experience" or just stating that the respective DCMP's have some work to do to get to the level where they might be able to replicate a "championship experience"?

I was doing exactly what I stated in my post, asking other district participants how they felt about their DCMP as it relates to the championship experience, and stating my feeling that the MAR DCMP does not replicate that experience. Please assume no larger agenda in my posts.

efoote868 18-05-2015 17:28

Re: [FRC Blog] Two Championship Survey Results and Path Forward
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by George Nishimura (Post 1482871)
8 teams, potentially from very different parts of the world, are going to travel all the way to New Hampshire/Detroit/wherever, to potentially play two (at most three) 2.5 minute matches?

2 of the teams may never play either.

If the event was at next years kickoff, and it was at no financial cost to attend (championship win = all expense trip paid to New Hampshire), then I think that would be reasonable.

In my humble opinion, there does not need to be a singular championship alliance. Winning a 400 team event is prestigious in and of itself.

Jon Stratis 18-05-2015 17:33

Re: [FRC Blog] Two Championship Survey Results and Path Forward
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by George Nishimura (Post 1482871)
8 teams, potentially from very different parts of the world, are going to travel all the way to New Hampshire/Detroit/wherever, to potentially play two (at most three) 2.5 minute matches?

2 of the teams may never play either.

It would be better to have the division winners from both events attend. Then they could hold it as a 1-day event like the MN State Tournament - quals in the morning until about 1, then alliance selections, a break for lunch, and elims. You would have 32 teams there, and the eventual winning alliance may have teams from both events on it, which I think would be rather cool. It could also easily fit into a single weekend, not requiring much, if any, time off work or School for people. Of course, the problem with this is still travel costs... Having a team from China, Brazil, or Israel (for example) have to return to the US for yet another event could be prohibitive. Even closer team's may find the cost to be too much, traveling from Michigan, Texas, California, etc to Manchester or whatever the event would be held.

For something like this to work, I think FIRST would have to pick up a significant portion of the tab. No registration fee, secure hotel and flight accommodations for a certain number from each team (10? 4 drive team members, plus 4 pit students and 2 mentor/chaperones). Without doing something like that, I can easily see teams deciding to skip the event and call it a year.

Kevin Leonard 18-05-2015 17:37

Re: [FRC Blog] Two Championship Survey Results and Path Forward
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Lil' Lavery (Post 1482876)
I was doing exactly what I stated in my post, asking other district participants how they felt about their DCMP as it relates to the championship experience, and stating my feeling that the MAR DCMP does not replicate that experience. Please assume no larger agenda in my posts.

Yes, but do you think MARCMP could get to that level?
I've only ever attended one DCMP, and that was the 2014 NEDCMP as a spectator.
It was a fantastic and huge event. It definitely felt bigger and better than a regional event to me, and I felt like with some work and publicity, it could definitely replicate a championship experience.

But I've never participated on a team, because New York is taking forever to get to districts.

So do you (and others who have participated in DCMP's) believe that your DCMP can replicate a championship experience, or could with work?

northstardon 18-05-2015 17:50

Re: [FRC Blog] Two Championship Survey Results and Path Forward
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by George Nishimura (Post 1482871)
8 teams, potentially from very different parts of the world, are going to travel all the way to New Hampshire/Detroit/wherever, to potentially play two (at most three) 2.5 minute matches?

2 of the teams may never play either.

Yes, there are logistical issues associated with bringing the two alliances together for a summer final final. While I think that some of those issues could be resolved, I'd also like to bump an alternative idea...fly the alliance that wins the Houston championship event into St. Louis/Detroit the following weekend, and have the battle of champions take place during that second event's closing ceremonies.

Some potentially favorable aspects of this idea (to chew on or chew over)...

- Automatically cuts the travel costs for the winning alliances in half (since one alliance is already on site).

- It also limits the additional costs of staging that battle of champions (field/volunteers/FIRST staff/other infrastructure already on site).

- FIRST covers all of the travel expenses for five members on each of the four teams that win in Houston (drive team plus one). Other team members/mentors/coaches travel on team's dime. They'd have a few days to fundraise/talk with their sponsors to help defray those out-of-pocket costs.

- If an international team is on the winning Houston alliance, they stay for the week in between, with expenses covered by FIRST (including cost of changing flights home). The international teams traveling to Houston would need to be prepared for this potentiality.

- Otherwise, winning alliance flies in on Friday afternoon, limiting the number of lost school days. Bagged robots shipped from Houston directly to St. Louis/Detroit.

- Fly-in championship teams wouldn't have to move/set-up their pits...there could be well-equipped "Visiting Champions" pits waiting for them at the second championship. Pit equipment might be provided by sponsors/equipment suppliers, or loaned by other teams at the second event. Second event teams that didn't qualify for their Einsteins (or even for their subdivision playoffs) might even volunteer to "host" one of the four fly-in teams, and lend extra hands/equipment/team spirit.

- If FIRST wanted to crown a single CCA winner, they could also fly in the presenters from the team that won the Houston CA. Award the second event's CA at the start of their Einstein's, then have the two Championship CA winners make one final presentation between then and Closing Ceremonies. And maybe those final presentations could be made in front of a very distinguished panel of judges?

I'm sure that there are logistical issues that I've missed, or that I've poorly characterized at least a few of the issues that I've raised. My intent is merely to see if there's interest in discussing how this type of rapid-fire final event might work.

Gregor 18-05-2015 17:58

Re: [FRC Blog] Two Championship Survey Results and Path Forward
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Jon Stratis (Post 1482878)
It would be better to have the division winners from both events attend.
.
.
.

Quote:

Originally Posted by northstardon (Post 1482881)
While I think that some of those issues could be resolved, I'd also like to bump an alternative idea...fly the alliance that wins the Houston championship event into St. Louis/Detroit the following weekend,.
.
.
.

The more I read about solutions to crown an ultimate champion, the more I realize how absolutely impractical it is.

Most solutions fall apart if even one team cannot attend.

Abhishek R 18-05-2015 18:02

Re: [FRC Blog] Two Championship Survey Results and Path Forward
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Gregor (Post 1482882)
The more I read about solutions to crown an ultimate champion, the more I realize how absolutely impractical it is.

Most solutions fall apart if even one team cannot attend.

Exactly. It's just unfeasible. Furthermore, for the amount of playing time that will likely happen, with no kind of crowd to be watching and cheering, it's a lesser experience for those competing, and for everyone else that did make it to championships, we still won't get to see them live; we'll all be watching from home.

I think we'll just have to live with two winning alliances (which personally is not a large problem for me, albeit I would prefer a single winning alliance), as this kind of "final final event" solution has a lot of holes still.

Siri 18-05-2015 18:07

Re: [FRC Blog] Two Championship Survey Results and Path Forward
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Gregor (Post 1482882)
The more I read about solutions to crown an ultimate champion, the more I realize how absolutely impractical it is.

Most solutions fall apart if even one team cannot attend.

Exactly. Currently the only potential way around this I see is to stop considering it a Houston Winners vs Detroit Winners event and just says "all division winners (and finalists?) qualify for the World Championship" -- and just rerun quals and elims with the teams who attend that weekend event. Or potentially cut out quals and use a District-esque points system to generate rankings. But I'm not sure how many if any other problems with the situation this addresses besides not locking into the two alliances.

BrennanB 18-05-2015 19:43

Re: [FRC Blog] Two Championship Survey Results and Path Forward
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Siri (Post 1482884)
Exactly. Currently the only potential way around this I see is to stop considering it a Houston Winners vs Detroit Winners event and just says "all division winners (and finalists?) qualify for the World Championship" -- and just rerun quals and elims with the teams who attend that weekend event. Or potentially cut out quals and use a District-esque points system to generate rankings. But I'm not sure how many if any other problems with the situation this addresses besides not locking into the two alliances.

I like living in a bubble where split champs aren't that bad. xD

Yes, all div winners qualify. One day event, few quals, repick alliances and do elims. Should have extra teams so if a few don't show its not a big deal. Not sure about finalists, adding a double the number of teams for a one day event.

Citrus Dad 19-05-2015 15:15

Re: [FRC Blog] Two Championship Survey Results and Path Forward
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by BrennanB (Post 1482906)
I like living in a bubble where split champs aren't that bad. xD

Yes, all div winners qualify. One day event, few quals, repick alliances and do elims. Should have extra teams so if a few don't show its not a big deal. Not sure about finalists, adding a double the number of teams for a one day event.

An alternative I've proposed: Stop the first event at the division winners, and take them to the second event the next week. Run full Einstein field with all of the division winners at the second event as part of the closing ceremony (which appears to be in different location than the competition site.)

Those at the second event get to see ALL of the top teams, and by alternating dates, each location gets to see ALL of the top teams every other year, and they get to see at least the 50% of the top teams every year.

There will advantages and disadvantages to each group of alliances but that already happens to a certain extent through random (vs seeded) assignment to divisions and random (vs seeded) qualifying scheduling.

cadandcookies 19-05-2015 15:27

Re: [FRC Blog] Two Championship Survey Results and Path Forward
 
I'm with Gregor on this-- every solution I've seen has been either inpractical or contrary to many of the goals FIRST or the posters in this thread have been advocating, or both. We're talking about FIRST footing what is likely a six-seven figure bill, causing students to miss school, and/or depriving one of our championships from seeing a champion crowned.

I really, really wish there was a better solution out there, but at the end of the day, it might be that the best we can do is try to make sure as many of us as possible are in Districts by the time these venue contracts are up.

GreyingJay 19-05-2015 15:28

Re: [FRC Blog] Two Championship Survey Results and Path Forward
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Citrus Dad (Post 1483038)
An alternative I've proposed: Stop the first event at the division winners, and take them to the second event the next week. Run full Einstein field with all of the division winners at the second event as part of the closing ceremony (which appears to be in different location than the competition site.)

Those at the second event get to see ALL of the top teams, and by alternating dates, each location gets to see ALL of the top teams every other year, and they get to see at least the 50% of the top teams every year.

There will advantages and disadvantages to each group of alliances but that already happens to a certain extent through random (vs seeded) assignment to divisions and random (vs seeded) qualifying scheduling.

I really like this idea.

Loose Screw 19-05-2015 15:44

Re: [FRC Blog] Two Championship Survey Results and Path Forward
 
I still think the idea of super-regionals is the best for FIRST. The district system is also the best imo. My FTC students had just as much fun at super-regionals as I did when I went to worlds. If FIRST wants to give that experiance to as many teams as possible, this system is the way to go.

Districts --> State (or region) Champs --> Super Regionals --> Worlds.

Districts allow teams to grow between events, rather than stop at one event. DCMP's have shown to be as exciting as even worlds, and super regionals would add another challenging event.

Super regionals would narrow the teams down to the best 100 or so in the world. Worlds could then be used to show and inspire teams everywhere if the production value of the broadcast is excellent. Having one pool of teams to pick from at the best event would produce the most competitive finals; rather than splitting these teams up across divisions and two venues.

I think this method works perfectly for FTC right now, and could work well for FRC in future years

Andrew Schreiber 19-05-2015 15:45

Re: [FRC Blog] Two Championship Survey Results and Path Forward
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Loose Screw (Post 1483045)
I still think the idea of super-regionals is the best for FIRST. The district system is also the best imo. My FTC students had just as much fun at super-regionals as I did when I went to worlds. If FIRST wants to give that experiance to as many teams as possible, this system is the way to go.

Districts --> State (or region) Champs --> Super Regionals --> Worlds.

Districts allow teams to grow between events, rather than stop at one event. DCMP's have shown to be as exciting as even worlds, and super regionals would add another challenging event.

Super regionals would narrow the teams down to the best 100 or so in the world. Worlds could then be used to show and inspire teams everywhere if the production value of the broadcast is excellent. Having one pool of teams to pick from at the best event would produce the most competitive finals; rather than splitting these teams up across divisions and two venues.

I think this method works perfectly for FTC right now, and could work well for FRC in future years

FTC season starts in August/September (can't recall) and ends in April. FRC season starts in January and ends in April. Expanding the season is HARD.

Loose Screw 19-05-2015 15:51

Re: [FRC Blog] Two Championship Survey Results and Path Forward
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Andrew Schreiber (Post 1483046)
FTC season starts in August/September (can't recall) and ends in April. FRC season starts in January and ends in April. Expanding the season is HARD.

You'd have to add an extra event yes, but that would only be for the top 100 or so teams. It would be 5 events for some teams, but some teams this year have attended 5 events. Expanding the season would be challenging, but I think it could be pulled off.

Andrew Schreiber 19-05-2015 15:55

Re: [FRC Blog] Two Championship Survey Results and Path Forward
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Loose Screw (Post 1483047)
You'd have to add an extra event yes, but that would only be for the top 100 or so teams. It would be 5 events for some teams, but some teams this year have attended 5 events. Expanding the season would be challenging, but I think it could be pulled off.

Have you ever tried to book travel for 40 students 1000+ miles, on 2 day notice? I haven't. But from what I've heard from the people that have, it's REALLY hard.

It's not about the number of events (we've done 6 the last 2 years) it's about the logistics of last minute travel and the lack of time frame to expand the season either way.

Qbot2640 19-05-2015 15:55

Re: [FRC Blog] Two Championship Survey Results and Path Forward
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by cadandcookies (Post 1483041)
I'm with Gregor on this-- every solution I've seen has been either inpractical or contrary to many of the goals FIRST or the posters in this thread have been advocating, or both. We're talking about FIRST footing what is likely a six-seven figure bill, causing students to miss school, and/or depriving one of our championships from seeing a champion crowned.

I really, really wish there was a better solution out there, but at the end of the day, it might be that the best we can do is try to make sure as many of us as possible are in Districts by the time these venue contracts are up.

Except that, as I pointed out previously, FIRST is no longer talking about this being a four year phenomenon:

Recent Blog Post:
"As we noted in the Championship informational session, the facts that there will be two Championships starting in 2017, and that all FIRST programs will be represented at each Championship, will not be changing, and so won’t be part of the discussions undertaken by these groups."

(Emphasis mine)

As opposed to the original, April 9 announcement:
"Therefore, in 2017, FIRST will host two Championship events on subsequent weekends, still celebrating our full Progression of Programs at each – one event in Houston at the George R. Brown Convention Center, the Toyota Center (home of the Houston Rockets) and Minute Maid Park (home of the Houston Astros) April 19-22, 2017, followed by a second event the following weekend (April 26-29, 2017) in St. Louis.

Beginning in 2018, our dual Championship will be celebrated in Houston, as described above, April 18-21, 2018 and on the second weekend in Detroit at the Cobo Center and Ford Field (home of the Detroit Lions), April 25-28, 2018. This alignment will continue for 2019 and 2020."


(Again, emphasis mine)

Can we please stop talking about bringing the two winning alliances together, as if that will solve the problem? We need a solution that lets FIRST achieve it's "inspire as many teams as possible" event goal, while still presenting a single, all-the-best-teams-present championship that is an honor to attend.


All times are GMT -5. The time now is 20:06.

Powered by vBulletin® Version 3.6.4
Copyright ©2000 - 2017, Jelsoft Enterprises Ltd.
Copyright © Chief Delphi