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-   -   2015 IRI Preliminary Match Schedule (http://www.chiefdelphi.com/forums/showthread.php?t=137763)

Chris Fultz 15-07-2015 21:05
2015 IRI Preliminary Match Schedule
 
1 Attachment(s)
Attached.

Subject to change based on team arrival at IRI.

thatprogrammer 15-07-2015 21:33
Re: 2015 IRI Preliminary Match Schedule
 
Seeing this, 1114 has a great chance of seeding first, they seem to be playing with the best teams at iri very often.

mwmac 15-07-2015 21:51
Re: 2015 IRI Preliminary Match Schedule
 
Match 63 looks interesting...

Abhishek R 15-07-2015 22:08
Re: 2015 IRI Preliminary Match Schedule
 
Wow we got a nice schedule. Excited to play with all these great teams.

The other Gabe 15-07-2015 23:26
Re: 2015 IRI Preliminary Match Schedule
 
I may have missed this conversation, but will the matches be archived for people who will not be able to watch IRI in real time? I wanna watch but can't :(

Mitchell1714 16-07-2015 00:15
Re: 2015 IRI Preliminary Match Schedule
 
Match 25 looks to be incredibly good. 2056, 1730 and 1756 on one alliance, I guess that's iri.

AlexD744 16-07-2015 04:47
Re: 2015 IRI Preliminary Match Schedule
 
Quote:
Originally Posted by The other Gabe (Post 1490371)
I may have missed this conversation, but will the matches be archived for people who will not be able to watch IRI in real time? I wanna watch but can't :(
Second the question. Does anyone know? It's a little difficult with a big time change to watch real-time.

carpedav000 16-07-2015 09:57
Re: 2015 IRI Preliminary Match Schedule
 
Quote:
Originally Posted by AlexD744 (Post 1490380)
Second the question. Does anyone know? It's a little difficult with a big time change to watch real-time.
Yes, IRI matches are archived on youtube on the IndianaFIRST channel

EDIT: Q15 looks interesting and I am STOKED for Q3

The other Gabe 16-07-2015 12:36
Re: 2015 IRI Preliminary Match Schedule
 
Quote:
Originally Posted by carpedav000 (Post 1490387)
Yes, IRI matches are archived on youtube on the IndianaFIRST channel

EDIT: Q15 looks interesting and I am STOKED for Q3
thanks :D

Travis Schuh 16-07-2015 14:07
Re: 2015 IRI Preliminary Match Schedule
 
What time are elimination matches scheduled to start at? I looked for a schedule that included this but didn't find one.

carpedav000 16-07-2015 14:09
Re: 2015 IRI Preliminary Match Schedule
 
Quote:
Originally Posted by Travis Schuh (Post 1490412)
What time are elimination matches scheduled to start at? I looked for a schedule that included this but didn't find one.
www.indianaroboticsinvitational.org/schedule/

Jeremy Germita 16-07-2015 21:49
Re: 2015 IRI Preliminary Match Schedule
 
Using this match schedule and teams' most recent OPR's, I've run Monte Carlo simulations for IRI 2015.

I've adjusted the randomization model from +- 10 points to +- 36 points to adjust for IRI rule changes, but other than that the assumptions made are about the same.

This is just for fun. I don't expect these to even remotely line up with actual rankings given the craziness of IRI and its rule changes and the amount of time teams have had to improve.

Here are the results after 10,000 iterations:
Code:
Event: iri
Teams found: 67
Iterations: 10000
Number        AvgRank        Max        Min
195        3.4832        46.0        1.0
1023        4.3134        55.0        1.0
118        4.6559        48.0        1.0
2337        7.4331        60.0        1.0
4143        13.2243        64.0        1.0
2122        13.9563        62.0        1.0
107        14.3209        62.0        1.0
2468        14.7406        64.0        1.0
1730        14.9395        65.0        1.0
1114        15.7037        62.0        1.0
111        18.9118        65.0        1.0
33        19.0198        65.0        1.0
316        19.1749        65.0        1.0
1720        20.9217        67.0        1.0
548        21.341        66.0        1.0
829        21.4001        66.0        1.0
3641        21.5216        65.0        1.0
2056        21.8729        67.0        1.0
379        22.777        67.0        1.0
624        23.0898        67.0        1.0
3130        25.7827        67.0        1.0
4678        25.9262        67.0        1.0
5254        26.2098        66.0        1.0
2502        26.447        66.0        1.0
2590        27.7846        67.0        1.0
1806        29.9685        67.0        1.0
1756        30.9229        67.0        1.0
245        31.5831        67.0        1.0
469        33.8646        67.0        1.0
234        34.058        67.0        1.0
1619        34.1976        67.0        1.0
744        34.8391        67.0        1.0
330        35.124        67.0        1.0
3824        35.3259        67.0        1.0
503        35.5829        67.0        1.0
1325        35.8103        67.0        1.0
5188        35.9743        67.0        2.0
217        36.5755        67.0        1.0
1640        36.7092        67.0        2.0
67        36.7751        67.0        2.0
4039        37.208        67.0        2.0
384        38.0809        67.0        2.0
1625        39.9881        67.0        1.0
2338        40.6733        67.0        1.0
340        43.5065        67.0        3.0
2826        44.3424        67.0        1.0
27        44.6912        67.0        3.0
20        44.9441        67.0        2.0
68        45.8721        67.0        3.0
1741        46.3385        67.0        4.0
48        46.6938        67.0        3.0
16        47.4771        67.0        3.0
1310        47.8421        67.0        3.0
179        48.0229        67.0        2.0
1711        48.2938        67.0        4.0
5413        48.3966        67.0        4.0
2614        49.1928        67.0        2.0
1218        49.2469        67.0        4.0
1923        49.303        67.0        3.0
2867        50.0946        67.0        3.0
233        50.1697        67.0        4.0
1024        52.5114        67.0        7.0
225        56.6266        67.0        8.0
226        58.1545        67.0        9.0
1657        59.8648        67.0        12.0
3015        60.4362        67.0        8.0
2512        63.7653        67.0        16.0

bkahl 16-07-2015 22:34
Re: 2015 IRI Preliminary Match Schedule
 
Well then... we have a lot to live up to...

artK 17-07-2015 02:49
Re: 2015 IRI Preliminary Match Schedule
 
Quote:
Originally Posted by Jeremy Germita (Post 1490452)
Using this match schedule and teams' most recent OPR's, I've run Monte Carlo simulations for IRI 2015.

I've adjusted the randomization model from +- 10 points to +- 36 points to adjust for IRI rule changes, but other than that the assumptions made are about the same.

This is just for fun. I don't expect these to even remotely line up with actual rankings given the craziness of IRI and its rule changes and the amount of time teams have had to improve.
Would it be possible to run again with the deviation being +- 10 points? I think setting your random term to +- 36 is making your predictions too random, because that's three stacks of randomness per alliance. Setting it to +- 10 points would be better, because that is like saying one team per alliance could miss a stack from their average, which seems about right for IRI level consistency. It would also allow for some comparison to how competitive it is to get the first seed in comparison to your division numbers, which did a decent job at predicting the top seeds (except the predicted second seeded team in Newton was the last pick of the second round).

Jeremy Germita 17-07-2015 07:53
Re: 2015 IRI Preliminary Match Schedule
 
Quote:
Originally Posted by artK (Post 1490465)
Would it be possible to run again with the deviation being +- 10 points? I think setting your random term to +- 36 is making your predictions too random, because that's three stacks of randomness per alliance. Setting it to +- 10 points would be better, because that is like saying one team per alliance could miss a stack from their average, which seems about right for IRI level consistency. It would also allow for some comparison to how competitive it is to get the first seed in comparison to your division numbers, which did a decent job at predicting the top seeds (except the predicted second seeded team in Newton was the last pick of the second round).
Rerun with my CMP configuration. +/- 10pts randomness per team.

Code:
Division: iri
Teams found: 67
Iterations: 100000
Number        AvgRank        Max        Min
118        1.4292        8.0        1.0
1023        2.26691        12.0        1.0
1730        3.77114        17.0        1.0
1114        3.82938        15.0        1.0
195        4.24932        18.0        1.0
107        8.09859        27.0        1.0
2337        9.35797        30.0        2.0
4143        10.1961        32.0        2.0
3130        10.85173        35.0        2.0
2122        10.89984        38.0        2.0
2826        11.06818        34.0        2.0
469        11.55042        36.0        2.0
5254        13.01782        41.0        3.0
1806        13.22972        38.0        3.0
2056        14.61626        41.0        3.0
548        15.49613        43.0        3.0
5413        18.4363        47.0        5.0
33        20.37055        48.0        5.0
1310        21.01449        51.0        4.0
2468        21.04116        52.0        5.0
316        23.20093        54.0        5.0
2590        23.68339        56.0        6.0
624        25.34947        54.0        6.0
234        25.99851        57.0        7.0
1720        26.49102        57.0        7.0
4039        27.1181        59.0        6.0
1640        27.46469        57.0        7.0
111        28.08338        57.0        6.0
233        28.5944        58.0        9.0
379        29.01309        58.0        8.0
4678        29.80839        60.0        8.0
2502        31.68775        60.0        9.0
3641        32.19362        62.0        9.0
1756        32.57385        61.0        10.0
1325        33.78067        61.0        9.0
829        36.3367        63.0        11.0
2338        38.08475        63.0        13.0
3824        39.16215        65.0        14.0
1741        40.16131        64.0        13.0
340        42.26218        65.0        15.0
27        43.12203        66.0        15.0
16        43.2314        65.0        15.0
1657        43.61683        65.0        15.0
67        44.19328        65.0        17.0
1218        44.37871        65.0        19.0
226        45.81232        66.0        19.0
330        46.15928        66.0        19.0
1024        46.72132        66.0        20.0
5188        47.55189        66.0        21.0
1619        48.18829        66.0        20.0
225        48.42906        66.0        21.0
245        48.6379        66.0        21.0
744        49.43817        66.0        22.0
68        51.28834        66.0        20.0
20        55.19088        67.0        28.0
2614        55.73767        67.0        29.0
384        56.30734        67.0        27.0
2867        57.08954        67.0        29.0
1711        58.30159        67.0        33.0
1625        58.9471        67.0        32.0
503        59.55302        67.0        35.0
48        60.00522        67.0        33.0
179        62.19169        67.0        41.0
1923        62.60326        67.0        43.0
217        63.09955        67.0        42.0
2512        65.46207        67.0        52.0
3015        66.90269        67.0        60.0


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