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Re: Registration 2016
We have passed the total number of teams that played last season (2892) at around 3:30pm today.
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So I see that most district events get initially capped at 30 and they save space for rookies and then it becomes a wait list.
My question is how many teams do they allow total? Is it different based on the venue? |
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Typically, District events shoot for 40 teams.
It's a number that evenly divides by 12 matches per team and generally fits into the smaller venues used. 40 teams * 12 matches per team /6 teams playing per match = 80 match event 80 Qual matches ~= 9.5 hours of play. Some venues might be smaller, because they may not have enough space for spectators or pits. Events can always add that extra rookie or veteran to accommodate special circumstances. You can see last year's district event totals here. |
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396 teams * 2 plays / (40 teams/event) = 19.8 events. |
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Note this season there will only be 9 PNW events while last year there were 10. Many of the venues were selected on the basis of being able to accommodate 40 teams. |
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12 matches per team / 6 teams per match = 2 So the number of matches is twice the number of teams, no matter how many teams there are. And never any surrogates. |
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2900 teams
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Michigan currently has 363 teams registered for event(s).
So right now it requires 19 events and has room for only 17 more teams. Last season Michigan ended with 345 teams. At this time last year Michigan had 326 teams registered. So, 19 more teams or not quite 6%. If growth from this point in time were the same as last year, that would produce ~385 teams needing 20 events to house (plus room for 15 additional teams on top of that). |
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Fun fact about 2016 FiM teams:
over half of all FiM FRC teams have existed less than 4 years. Yep, more than 50% of current FiM did not exist when this year's seniors were freshmen (currently 185+). |
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For comparison, for all of FRC ~40% of teams are less than 4 years old.
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What if registration was more like a draft? This would probably never happen but, it does have some advantages. Please note that the event setting in my analogy aren't real. They just work for the analogy. Say Team A is in KY and Team B is in WV. Team A signed up for their first event in OH during week 2 and Team B signed up for their first event in NC in week 4. Due to the slowness of both teams, the top events on their "Second Event" list are filled up. Team A Notices a not filled event in week 2 in MO but they can't go to 2 events in the same week. Team B notices a not filled event in week 4 that is in PA but they can't go to 2 events in the same week either. So Team A calls up Team be and they decide they want to trade the first event they've signed up for. So team A takes Team B's event in week 4 in NC and signs up for the event they could do in week 2 in MO. Team B takes Team A's event in week 2 in OH and signs up for the other event in week 4 that they could attend. Make Sense?
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If you want to play that shell game with 3,000 teams, go for it.
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"Shell game" might not be a fun method, but it's definitely realistic to have teams submit a ranked list of picks for each round and let an algorithm sort most of them out. Using geographical distances and team preference rankings, a cleverly designed algorithm could take care of most of the placements in each round, and the regional directors could use human judgment to sort out the rest just like they do now.
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Do we have a chance at hitting 3000 teams this year?
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And then for second round, open registration for any regional. But if a team landed on the waitlist for their designated home regional, then that would be a trigger to the RD in question to contact the team/move them up the waitlist/otherwise pull strings. |
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-Mike |
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Now, if all those teams actually register for an event is an open question, but I count 26 new teams in MN that have yet to register. |
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2960 teams now. |
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3000 teams
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Michigan over 400 :ahh:
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I think if they add another district to Michigan it will be on the west side of the state then the east side of the state just because of how many district competitions there are over on the east end of the state that's my guess
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#splitchigan
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We know in 2015 that percentage-wise, Michigan would send ~70 teams to CMP, and MSC was 102 teams. Coming 2017 with SplitCMP, number of CMP teams will go from 600 to 800, so a 33% increase there means Michigan sends 93 teams (assuming constant ratio, but Michigan is still increasing fast). So, maybe MSC West in the DeltaPlex and MSC East at EMU, about 60 teams each? Or put MSC in Cobo. |
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Its actually not a bad idea. But only once real inter-district play is in place. I'd hate to have teams that are friends from opposite peninsulas not getting to see each other anymore. |
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Looking at rookie growth in areas that don't have many teams.
The attached chart emphasizes the rookie vs veteran team ratio (as of today's registration). # rookies / # veterans / % growth / Country ------ 2 -------- 1 ----- 200.0% ----- Colombia ----- 17 ------ 15 ----- 113.3% ----- China ------ 1 -------- 1 ----- 100.0% ----- Taiwan ------ 8 -------- 8 ----- 100.0% ----- Turkey ----- 13 ------ 18 ------ 72.2% ------ Australia ------ 1 -------- 2 ------ 50.0% ------ Netherlands ----- 14 ------ 33 ------ 42.4% ------ Mexico ------ 1 -------- 5 ------ 20.0% ------ Brazil ----- 28 ----- 178 ------ 15.7% ----- Canada ------ 7 ------- 50 ------ 14.0% ----- Israel ---- 238 --- 2356 ------ 10.1% ----- USA ------ 1 -------- 0 ----- 100.0% ----- CzechRepublic ------ 1 -------- 0 ----- 100.0% ----- Ecuador ------ 1 -------- 0 ----- 100.0% ----- India ------ 1 -------- 0 ----- 100.0% ----- Poland Here is a larger breakdown by state and country: # rookies / # veterans / % / State-Country ----- 2 ------ 1 ----- 200.0% ---- Colombia ---- 17 ---- 15 ----- 113.3% ---- China ----- 1 ------ 0 ----- 100.0% ---- Canada-BC ----- 1 ------ 0 ----- 100.0% ---- CzechRepublic ----- 1 ------ 0 ----- 100.0% ---- Ecuador ----- 1 ------ 0 ----- 100.0% ---- India ----- 1 ------ 0 ----- 100.0% ---- NE ----- 1 ------ 0 ----- 100.0% ---- Poland ----- 1 ------ 1 ----- 100.0% ---- Taiwan ----- 8 ------ 8 ----- 100.0% ---- Turkey ---- 13 ---- 18 ------ 72.2% ----- Australia ----- 1 ------ 2 ------ 50.0% ----- Netherlands ----- 3 ------ 7 ------ 42.9% ----- AL ---- 14 ---- 33 ------ 42.4% ----- Mexico ----- 1 ------ 3 ------ 33.3% ----- DE ----- 7 ---- 22 ------ 31.8% ----- LA ----- 2 ------ 8 ------ 25.0% ----- IA ----- 1 ------ 5 ------ 20.0% ----- Brazil ----- 1 ------ 5 ------ 20.0% ----- RI ---- 66 -- 341 ------ 19.4% ----- MI ----- 3 ---- 16 ------ 18.8% ----- Canada-AB ----- 2 ---- 11 ------ 18.2% ----- ID ----- 6 ---- 39 ------ 15.4% ----- Canada-QC ---- 18 -- 122 ------ 14.8% ----- Canada-ON ----- 2 ---- 14 ------ 14.3% ----- AR ----- 5 ---- 35 ------ 14.3% ----- MD ---- 15 -- 105 ------ 14.3% ----- TX ----- 7 ---- 50 ------ 14.0% ----- Israel ----- 6 ---- 45 ------ 13.3% ----- OH ----- 6 ---- 46 ------ 13.0% ----- NC ---- 29 -- 227 ------ 12.8% ----- CA ----- 1 ------ 8 ------ 12.5% ----- MS ----- 2 ---- 16 ------ 12.5% ----- UT ----- 7 ---- 62 ------ 11.3% ----- FL ----- 1 ------ 9 ------ 11.1% ----- NV ----- 6 ---- 57 ------ 10.5% ----- GA ----- 4 ---- 39 ------ 10.3% ----- OR ----- 4 ---- 40 ------ 10.0% ----- WI ----- 6 ---- 65 ------- 9.2% ----- MO ----- 9 --- 105 ------- 8.6% ----- WA ----- 4 ---- 47 ------- 8.5% ----- OK ----- 6 ---- 72 ------- 8.3% ----- VA ----- 4 ---- 62 ------- 6.5% ----- MA ---- 12 -- 186 ------- 6.5% ----- MN ----- 2 ---- 31 ------- 6.5% ----- NH ----- 3 ---- 47 ------- 6.4% ----- IN ----- 4 ---- 66 ------- 6.1% ----- NJ ----- 3 ---- 56 ------- 5.4% ----- IL ----- 1 ---- 20 ------- 5.0% ----- KS ----- 7 -- 140 ------- 5.0% ----- NY ----- 2 ---- 45 ------- 4.4% ----- AZ ----- 1 ---- 31 ------- 3.2% ----- TN ----- 1 ---- 36 ------- 2.8% ----- CO ----- 1 ---- 39 ------- 2.6% ----- SC ----- 1 ---- 46 ------- 2.2% ----- CT |
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I think I should clear what I meant in my last post I didn't mean split Michigan in to two separate districts I meant a district competition
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I find it very interesting that Michigan continues to see 20% year-over-year growth while MAR and NE are well below the average. I am a big proponent of districts for a lot of reasons, but it seems like their introduction alone has not had a major impact on growth trends. |
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Michigan's growth is almost certainly related to the state funding for teams.
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Looked at by System (District or Regional)
Teams registered to date Rookies / Veterans / ratio of rookies to vets / System ---- 66 ----- 341 ---- 19.4% ----- FIM --- 217 --- 1645 ----- 13.2% ----- Regional ----- 6 ------ 46 ----- 13.0% ---- NC ----- 6 ------ 57 ----- 10.5% ---- GA ---- 11 ---- 121 ------ 9.1% ----- Chesapeake ---- 13 ---- 145 ------ 9.0% ----- PNW ----- 3 ------ 47 ----- 6.4% ----- IN ----- 5 ----- 110 ----- 4.5% ----- MAR ----- 7 ----- 167 ----- 4.2% ----- NE |
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Mark, since you seem to be taking requests for plots, any chance you could do a visualization of team age by region? Box and Whiskers would be fine, but I think a Histogram might give more info. |
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Recipe for success: giving free money to teams in a state with a gigantic base of engineering companies, engineers, and history of vocational/practical education in schools. Edit: Andrew beat me - here's data for MAR... ![]() |
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Column 1: Year MAR: # of MAR teams founded that year % of MAR: # of teams from that year / total MAR teams % active: % of current teams that participated in that season. The "% active" is the data to compare to Mark's statement that 40% of FRC teams are less than 4 years old. Not sure which year he's using as the cutoff - 2013 rookies and newer? A little more than 60% of current MAR teams participated in the 2008 season. |
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I did from 2013 on thinking that seniors this year would have started as freshmen for the 2013 season. Thinking that four years might be considered an "FRC Generation."
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A quick analysis of the 2016 growth shows that, with the exception of Michigan, who is currently benefiting from significant state support, as a district becomes more established, their growth tends to diminish. % Growth for 2016 MI---------------17.97% MAR------------(-4.96)% NE---------------0.00% PNW-------------3.95% IN----------------2.04% GA---------------5.00% NC---------------4.00% Chesapeake-----6.45% All Districts------7.07% |
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Michigan is incredible, and we need to step it up in New York. |
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However when you look at the overall growth of each district (again with the exception of Michigan which this data just further proves to be AWESOME) it tends to have a spike for the first year or two then start to level out. I have added a graph to the sheet that better shows this. |
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Mark, this may not be possible, but I would love to see if the data supports my "scorched earth" theory.
I love grants for rookie teams, I do. It's obvious growth into new schools is a KPI for the organization as a whole, but it's not like we haven't seen how rookie grants play out. I have concerns that when rookie grants run out and the team fails, the school is essentially "scorched" and won't be amenable to picking the program back up again for a period of time. We saw this in New England with the Smith Family teams - only a handful still exist and we have to wait the school out for an administration change or something similar before they are open to jumping back in again. All I'm asking is to just be careful. Yes, there are still a ton of high schools out there, but we're picking our best shot at sustainability in these grants and I would hate to see our growth stunted because of shortsightedness. |
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Another question for everyone... how do waitlists work? I assume rookies bump up to the front. After rookies is there a specific method for choosing teams or is it up to each regional planning committee?
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I signed up for Hawaii yesterday for the waitlist, emailed the RD, they contacted FIRST this morning, and now I am on. We are also on the waitlist for NY Tech Valley, emailed the RD who I knew from before, and was given some positive information. Moral of the story-every regional is different in how they go about the specifics of adding teams from the waitlist.........contact the RD for more info. -Glenn |
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It's technically the Regional Director's call. Some RDs may choose to include their committees on these decisions. Your mileage may vary. |
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Weird, Guilford County took a spot off its total count. Went from 31/33 to 31/32 some time in the last 24 hours.
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what regionals and districts have open spots still?
so many international teams at canadian regionals and so many canadians at regionals outside of canada |
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You can see for yourself here: http://173.255.246.196/2016/
Do remember that there are generally more slots than shown that get served out to waitlisted teams, late registering rookies, etc. Regionals with general admission slots available: Dates -------------------- Event Name ---------Filled - Left - Total 09-Mar - 12-Mar -- Arkansas Rock City Regional -- 43 ----- 9 ---- 52 16-Mar - 19-Mar -- Utah Regional ----------------- 37 ---- 12 ---- 49 23-Mar - 26-Mar -- North Bay Regional ------------ 30 ----- 8 ---- 38 30-Mar - 02-Apr -- Idaho Regional ---------------- 22 ---- 13 ---- 35 31-Mar - 03-Apr -- Hub City Regional ------------- 40 ----- 3 ---- 43 03-Apr - 06-Apr -- Western Canada Regional ----- 33 ----- 5 ---- 38 Districts showing open spots: Dates -------------------- Event Name -------------------------------------------------- Filled - Left - Total 18-Mar - 20-Mar -- CHS District - Northern Maryland Event ---------------------------------- 32 ----- 2 ---- 34 17-Mar - 19-Mar -- PCH District - Albany Event ----------------------------------------------- 18 -- 14 -- 32 17-Mar - 19-Mar -- PCH District - Dalton Event ------------------------------------------------ 29 -- 3 -- 32 18-Mar - 20-Mar -- MAR District - Springside Chestnut Hill Event ---------------------------- 27 -- 2 -- 29 18-Mar - 20-Mar -- NE District - UMass-Dartmouth Event ------------------------------------ 30 -- 1 -- 31 24-Mar - 26-Mar -- NE District - Rhode Island Event ------------------------------------------ 33 -- 2 -- 35 18-Mar - 20-Mar -- NC District - UNC Asheville Event ----------------------------------------- 21 -- 15 -- 36 01-Apr - 03-Apr -- NC District - Campbell University/Johnston Community College Event -- 31 -- 1 -- 32 03-Mar - 05-Mar -- PNW District - West Valley Event ------------------------------------------ 34 -- 2 -- 36 24-Mar - 26-Mar -- PNW District - Philomath Event ------------------------------------------- 28 -- 8 -- 36 |
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QCR has already let a team in off of waitlist. A Colombian Rookie team from Medellin, Team 6159.
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On another note, I cant recall when the system changed to serpentine. That season, it might have been the 7th seed having to choose from the last 4 teams. Trying to think back to 2005 when we were on a #1 alliance, I still cant remember when we took our 3rd alliance member.... |
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Except at IRI, but that's another discussion entirely. |
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3100 teams now.
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Dose anyone know if district competitions are still going to be 40 team max
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*although nothing is really official until it gets posted online |
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*disclaimer: Escanaba is an awesome, fantastic, 100%-would-attend-again event, but I don't blame anyone who does not want to drive 8+ hours and end up in the UP in the middle of winter. |
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Gail sent an email where the Ann Arbor event is all but guaranteed, and she's looking into the possibility of a second UP event week 5. |
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Has anyone gotten in off the Dallas wait lists?
TIA |
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How can I get a list, preferable in spreadsheet of ALL current teams, by team number and location.
I need to run an analytic s exercise so I can calculate team density, by program, state population, etc... it is an update for a thing I did a few years ago,,,, need it for an upcoming briefing. I need a table that looks like 1311, FRC, GA ... and so on for the 3,000+ FRC entries, and FTC, FLL, JrFLL actually all I need to know is how may teams exist by program by type by geographical area so how many FRC teams are in each state / province, country ditto for FTC, FLL, JRFLL I don't really need the team numbers. Thanks, -eb |
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If you have any programming ability, The Blue Alliance API can be used to access a ton of data on FRC teams, including location. Unfortunately, it does not cover the other three programs.
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You'll probably need to use excel or something to extract the state abbreviation from the location, but I think it has team data for all levels. |
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If you go to the "What teams and events are in my area" link on usfirst, you can get an exhaustive list of teams for any recent year, unfortunately only 25 per page, but the page number is in the URL, so you can script wget or similar calls to just keep getting 25 at a time until you're done. Leave the state at "All States" and radius at the "- Select -" value, and you'll get the world. The usfirst site supposedly only reflects teams that have registered, so the numbers are always low for the current year. However, they are always filled with "ghost teams" that never show up at an event. Oh - as I look at it now, this only covers US teams will that be enough?.
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Registration closed at noon today at 3163 teams.
It's increased by two teams since then, so FIRST is not quite done yet. |
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