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Re: Terrifying Karthik
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EDIT: Here's the poll. Results are already a little frightening. |
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If one of the ranking points was not predicated on scoring a high volume of balls I do not think the low bar would have been such a high priority for so many teams. But maybe I'm overestimating the depths of team strategic analysis, and people just decided to try and do everything. |
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I'm predicting that in the first few weeks of regionals, there will be several winning alliances that cheescaked a tall blocker onto one of the small support robots that will shut down the alliances of small shooters. |
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My team is building a low bar low goal robot. We also have a 3ft long arm we use for defense manipulation as well as scaling. After seeing the polls about a week ago, we decided to mount a large plastic sheet to the arm for blocking shots. With all the short shooters I have a feeling we will mainly be using the arm for defense.
I don't know why Karthik is terrified, but my team could not be happier about the results of these polls. |
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Of course, if a team can pull off the low bar and excellent shooting and/or a variety of defense breaching, that will be a very effective bot indeed. |
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How many points do you think you can score with your strategy? Could you build a tall robot that scores more points? Do you have the resources to do so? If you did, would you choose the low bar robot anyways? It appears many teams are. Those teams are going to score fewer points than the tall counterparts, and the robots that are relying on passing through the low bar (apparently about 90% of teams are going to for the most part) are going to experience a lot of congestion that will slow down gameplay even more. 4/5 of the field will not be utilized to its full potential in that case (except for perhaps the breach points), which makes for a much more boring game. Not to mention, defense selection is going to be a lot less valuable than we thought. However, one of the biggest problems is when defense is stronger than offense. If an underdog alliance can shut down a powerhouse alliance from defense, it gets exciting because the playing field is more level. If neither alliance can score boulders due to defensive wall bots (which are easy to make), then the game will also be extremely boring. It's like a game of basketball where neither team can score. |
Re: Terrifying Karthik
I think that Karthik is terrified because he doesn't want to make everyone feel bad when they show up with a low bar bot that unfolds to shoot 100% at 54 inches. :eek:
He also could have thought that it would be a less utilized strategy. Now he is sad that he wont have a unique robot. |
Bees? Bees!
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Re: Terrifying Karthik
FYI my final answer is Karthik is mostly terrified of the near certainty that somewhere in the world someone has unironically written Karthik Kanagasabapathy fanficition.
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Yup. Last year we thought that it would be slower to cap your own stacks, so we decided to split the task. As it turned out lots of teams were able to effectively build and cap stacks. We knew we were not going to seed well with the robot at the regional, but thought that a specialist would come into play at the championship level. While we had a reasonably successful season, we were wrong in our choice. But that's how you learn and grow. We are taking the approach this year of trying to control our own destiny, but still thinking about how we will fit with other robots on the field. |
Re: Terrifying Karthik
With so many teams attempting (keyword: attempting) the low bar, my concern for them is going to be standing out enough to be a good potential alliance pick. If everyone's doing the low bar, that means you'll have to be able to do a number of other things to avoid blending in with every other low bar robot.
The issue here is whether teams are taking too much risk in trying to do other non-low bar tasks well that they don't do very well at anything, including the low bar. |
Re: Terrifying Karthik
If you are going to pick one thing to be good at, why pick the thing that every alliance only benefits from having one of (and that many shooting robots may want to utilize to improve their cycle times)?
If you are going to pick two things to be good at, why make one of them the thing that is most difficult to integrate with most other robot functions? If you are going to pick three things to be good at, now you have two functions that are difficult to integrate...and now most teams are well on their way to ineffective robots. |
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Wait, maybe we've got the question wrong!
Instead of "What is terrifying Karthik?" maybe we should be asking "Why is Karthik terrifying?" Could it be his horns? |
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I totally agree with that sentiment as it applies to the majority of teams. I think that if you compound this with the idea that some things that will be incredibly important at a high level become nearly impossible to implement on a low robot. (such as the ability to shoot over a defender with a pool noodle, or having an accurate and reliable shooter) Then it starts to look like there are few teams for which the decision to go under the bar is a good one. (exceptions may include young teams who don't plan on shooting high, those who plan on seeding high but aren't concerned with boulder shooting, and potentially those who could not produce a shooter that can hit from the outer works to begin with) |
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Patience... |
Re: Terrifying Karthik
I'm probably too late for the Mountain Dew (don't drink it anyway), but here goes:
The poll results terrify Karthik. If these results were expected, they would not terrify Karthik. Therefore these results were unexpected. This means that the Simbotics strategy committee miscalculated the frequency of strategies being employed by teams. To someone as good at understanding and predicting strategy as Karthik, that in itself could be terrifying. |
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Team defenses don't match the real thing, and adding polycarbonate/aluminum sheet only gets it so close to the real thing. It would be an entire tangential fundraising/toolset to get the real defenses built. In our analysis we wanted to be able to ensure the breaching bonus as well as the contribute to the weakening bonus as best as possible. In order to do that, we first determined the rolling drive train properties across the defenses. Then we decided to hedge against the fact that we probably won't solve one of the real defenses even though we've solved it in our shop. Thus, in order to ensure we could still hit our target of X out of 5 categories of defenses, low bar became a major target. We'll find a partner or two to compliment us for elims. Then there is the utility for cycling. An entire zone of the field surrounding the low bar becomes obsolete without the ability to go under the bar. It even becomes a liability in the wrong situation. It's definitely a tradeoff though. |
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Karthik is likely still terrified. |
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FIRST, Work, & Home have conspired to postpone the judging... ...until now.
I am going to kind of live tweet this thing. 100+ message to get through. Let's see how it goes.
So... ...where does that leave us? I am going to make a clean post to announce the winner. Stay tuned... Dr. Joe J. |
Re: Terrifying Karthik
There were a LOT of great points made in this thread, TOO MANY to be fair to all the great folks who really put some thought into what they wanted to say.
I want to say that it is my sincere hope that a few more teams really put thought into two particular possible futures: 1) MAYBE your team can have a great season being something other than a Limbo Robot. You may be better off if, by not having to go under the Low Bar, you are able to give your robot other capabilities that you would not be able to have otherwise. 2) IF YOU ARE GOING TO LIMBO ANYWAY, make sure that that is not the ONLY thing you can do. Don't be that robot. Add value to the alliance beyond the low bar. Now for the moment you've all be reading for. And the winner is... Andrew Schreiber. He made a lot of good points but for me he sealed the deal with this quote: Quote:
Andrew, it didn't figure into the decision but you've disavowed the Mt. Dew prize (I don't understand some people) saying you'd prefer judge referrals for the Boston District. You shall have them sir. PM me and we'll work things out. Well done everyone. Cheers, Dr. Joe J. |
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I was tempted to say something about giant balloons being terrifying ...
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The idea was to contrast this kind of task with the low bar, which dominates the design process with brutal tradeoffs in a way that these tasks just don't, not to imply that Scaling will be the sole deciding factor on Einstein. Scaling was a particularly handy way to illustrate the relative worth of the low bar because so many teams are claiming "Low bar is more important than scaling" through their designs and priorities, and a good scaler should have a much more consistent expected value for thee act of scaling than a shooter. Also we're definitely worried about struggling as well :p . We think that we've approached the tradeoffs inherit to our strategy in a way that plays to our team's strengths and mitigates some of the chronic problems we expect many low bar machines to experience. Scarcity did play into our decision making process, and we expected low bar machines to be far less common than recent polls have suggested. We're locked in now and it's going reasonably well (I'm feeling quite a bit more confident in our design, and by extension, many other teams' designs, than I was when I made that post), but if we knew then what we know now, we may have still gone down a different path. |
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Thats a weird way to spell my name... But yeah dat quote doe. |
Re: Terrifying Karthik
I know the competition is over, but I feel the need to share the real reason that Karthik is terrified:
I love the spotlight feature:D |
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Plot twist: regardless of the results of the poll, Karthik would find them terrifying
Karthik is always terrified |
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