Chief Delphi - PNW District Championship Projections

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Re: PNW District Championship Projections

Quote:

Originally Posted by InFlight (Post 1563551)

Too hard even guess now, we will have to wait for Oregon City and Auburn to finish. There's a lot of traditionally strong teams that need a good performance in week 5 to return to the district championships.

Team 1510 Wildcats won the Philomath Chairman Award and are officially "in".

I agree that some traditionally strong teams have had an off year, but Eric's method of estimating which teams will advance has a pretty solid track record (especially with only 1 week & 2 events left).

Look at his postmortems from 2015 & 2014.

Re: PNW District Championship Projections

Quote:

Originally Posted by InFlight (Post 1563551)

I wouldn't worry. With 69 points, 3574 is a lock for DCMP. It would have been enough last year too, even with one more event in the district.

Re: PNW District Championship Projections

With many teams having had three or four weeks off between events; there has been lots of time to improve mechanisms and perfect code. With this year's odd schedule; we might see some real performance improvements from first weeks scores/performance from the strong veteran teams.

Might be a year that modeling based on early results will have weaker correlation.

Re: PNW District Championship Projections

Thanks eric, i was actually looking for this and didnt realize it already existed.

Re: PNW District Championship Projections

Quote:

Originally Posted by InFlight (Post 1563697)

That's true, but if everyone's improving then no ones really improving in relation to each other.

Re: PNW District Championship Projections

Once again, impressive projection of the cut-off. It's sitting a 54 points right now & will presumably move up a couple more with selection, elimination & award points.

PNW Leaderboard

Re: PNW District Championship Projections

It seems like that our team will not make it to portland without some declines. Even if our robot does not go, we are still having a small group go to Portland to cheer on our Deans list and Woodie Flowers semifinalists. (i think thats the correct term) ~~If i am there~~ ill have some 4513 shirts on me to trade if anyone is wanting to trade shirts.

Edit: Teams now final.

Code:

1.        1983 

2.        1425 

3.        2471

4.        2522 

5.        3238 

6.        4061 

7.        2046

8.        4911 

9.        4488 

10.        1540 

11.        5920

12.        3663

13.        4469 

14.        2147 

15.        3711 

16.        4205 

17.        5450 

18.        4131 

19.        2928 

20.        3786

21.        2557 

22.        3826 

23.        2374 

24.        5468 

25.        3024 

26.        2930 

27.        4726 

28.        4980 

29.        2990 

30.        955 

31.        1318 

32.        4450 

33.        1778

34.        1595 

35.        753

36.        4915

37.        3393 

38.        5085 

39.        3223

40.        2811 

41.        4132 

42.        4077 

43.        2907 

44.        3574 

45.        3219 

46.        1258

47.        4125 

48 .    5942 

49.        2149 

50.        4057 

51.        3674 

52.        4089 

53.        5827 

54.        5970

55.        2910 

56.        5803 

57.        997

58.        2944 

59.        1510 

60 .    2635

61.        3787

62.        5495

63.        360 

64.    2980

Congrats to all of the teams!

Also shoutout to Royal Robotics (2522) for getting the Engineering Inspiration Award at the Hawaii Regional, earning them a spot at worlds!

Re: PNW District Championship Projections

Final rankings are up!

Re: PNW District Championship Projections

Official results are now up so let's evaluate the predictions:

March 19:

Code:

Predicted       Actual In       Actual Out

bubble          20              30

in              10              0

out             0               25

~in             32              4

~out            2               35

March 26:

Code:

Predicted       Actual In       Actual Out

bubble          15              29

in              13              0

out             0               37

~in             35              2

~out            1               26