INsight: Indiana State Championships
 

Overall data:

• Tippecanoe - 76% breach / 18% capture
• Walker Warren - 88% breach / 30% capture
• Perry Meridian - 88% breach / 46% capture
• Indiana Total - 84% breach / 31% capture
• World-Wide Total - 68% breach / 10% capture

• INsight Prediction for State - 91% breach / 54% capture

Numbers don’t lie; Indiana has proven itself as the dominant region for FIRST Stronghold. The Indiana State Championship event may very well be the most-watched competition since Palmetto in Week 0.5. Eyes around the world will be trained on the Kokomo Memorial Gym to find out exactly what makes Indiana teams so rock solid.

Some folks may be disappointed to find that there just aren’t absolutely dominating teams found around the state. Indiana is just a collection of teams that do what they do, and do it very well. 868 taking gold at Queen City is a sterling example of this. Although a casual observer may view Indiana as a four horse race, the alliance partners really make or break the match. As the many Purdue alumni will attest, this state is full of Makers.

While high goal shooters are the crown jewels of the event, eliciting the oohs and aahs from the audience and providing the consistently high scores we’ve seen from Indiana, the low goal scorers and breachers are the true workhorses. The top 5 high goal scorers averaged 84% breaches and 41% captures. For comparison, a low goal team averaged 98% breaches and 50% captures. If one or two corn-fed duty-bots can maintain a 3.5+ ranking average and seed well (as 71 did at Perry Meridian), they could wreak havoc on the alliance selection process.

Indiana teams were also very quick to pick up on the nuances and beneficial strategies of the game. While some naysayers claim that Indiana numbers are inflated due to lack of defensive play, these folks might find that their notion of defense as robot-on-robot combat is becoming obsolete. Defense means keeping the other alliance from scoring; savvy spectators shall certainly see spectacular strategies that may feel counter-intuitive at first, but will produce results. The techniques employed by 71-1501-6012 at the Perry Meridian finals matches may very well be the first iterations of some very innovative game plans.

Perhaps the most thrilling competition of all will be the hotly contested race to the Chairman’s and Engineering Inspiration Awards. With only nine guaranteed slots to St. Louis, some very competitive and deserving teams will be spending late April at home.

Now, history lesson time: 3 robot alliances began in 2005 with Triple Play. Since then, 810 competitions have passed to date. While plenty of duos have teamed up time and again (example: 1114 and 2056, 17 times), only twice* has an alliance of three robots repeated and won multiple events. 1024, 1747, and 45 are the only 3 robot alliance to win multiple events in the same year.

*For those curious minds: 359, 368, and 3880 have teamed up to win the Hawaii regional twice, 2011 and 2015.
Some may point out the alliances of 67, 340, and 1126 & 254, 971, and 852. While H.O.T., G.R.R., and Sparx won the Great Lakes Regional and the Newton division in 2004, that was before three robot alliances. The Cheesy Poofs, Spartan Robotics, and Athenian Robotics Collective have twice combined their powers to win the Silicon Valley Regional; in 2004 (again before three robot alliances) and again in 2009.

Without further ado:


Top Contenders:

• 868

  • Quarterfinalists and Chairman’s Award at Tippecanoe
  • Champions and Quality Award at Walker Warren
  • Champions and Innovation in Control Award at Queen City Regional
  • OPR Rank 108 @ 41.1
  • 90% breach, 48% capture rates

  
  The Techhounds took their talents down to Cincinnati and were able to earn their ticket to the World Championships with a win. Can the kids from Carmel make it three event wins in a row with a State Championship banner?

• 1024

  • Champions and Quality Award at Tippecanoe
  • Champions and Industrial Design at Walker Warren
  • Champions at Perry Meridian
  • OPR Rank 34 @ 48.1
  • 93% breach, 49% capture rates

  
  Indiana’s first “Triple-Crown” Winner, the Kil-A-Bytes will be going for the 4-Banner Sweep at State. Will they have any improvements to stay ahead of the competition or will their experience and deep tournament runs continue to guide them?

• 1501

  • Finalists and Quality Award at North Carolina - Guilford
  • Quarterfinalists and Innovation in Control Award at Tippecanoe
  • Finalists and Excellence in Engineering Award at Perry Meridian
  • OPR Rank 79 @ 43.5
  • 81% breach, 26% capture rates

  
  After tasting silver twice, THRUST will be gunning hard to get the win at State. Their deadlock aiming and newly added climber will make them a force to be reckoned with.

• 1747

  • Champions and Entrepreneurship Award at Tippecanoe
  • Semifinalists and Chairman’s Award at Walker Warren
  • Champions and Innovation in Control Award at Perry Meridian
  • OPR Rank 67 @ 44.7
  • 89% breach, 54% capture rates

  
  The Pandas from Harrison were able to return to being a high-performing, high-goal shooting cycler. They were able to overcome their performance issues from Warren to return to the winner’s circle at Perry.

Corn-Fed Contenders (Dependable and valuable alliance members):

• 461

  • Quarterfinalists at Tippecanoe
  • Finalists and Engineering Inspiration at Walker Warren
  • OPR Rank 417 @ 32.5

  
  The finalists finish at Walker Warren marked the 6th time in their team’s history that the Westside Boiler Invasion has fallen short of winning an official FIRST event. Can they find the alliance needed in order to finally successfully invade the opponent’s castle and hoist a Event Winner blue banner?

• 1529

  • Quarterfinalists at Walker Warren
  • Semifinalists and Imagery Award at Perry Meridian
  • OPR Rank 334 @ 34

  
  The CyberCards have continued to fly higher as competitions have gone on. They started Walker Warren as a low-goal dedicated late pick and ended Perry Meridian as an alliance captain and scoring machine capable of matching most alliances point for point.

• 1720

  • Champions and Judges Award at Walker Warren
  • Quarterfinalists and Judges Award at Perry Meridian
  • OPR Rank 442 @ 32.1

  
  The PhyXT Gears took a small step back from their strong showing at Walker Warren, having several code gremlins and streaks of bad luck affect their performance at Perry Meridian.

• 3940

  • Finalists at Tippecanoe
  • Quarterfinalists, Safety Award, and Imagery Award at Walker Warren
  • OPR Rank 406 @ 32.7

  
  After reaching Finals, CyberTooth spent Walker Warren attempting to join others by scoring in the high goal. Will they be able to get the kinks worked out and join the ranks of Indiana’s high goal robots or will they return to low goal specializing? Either way, they still are the most entertaining Outer Works crosser in the state.

Hiding-in-the-Corn (Sleepers/Darkhorse picks):

• 71

  • Quarterfinalists at Walker Warren
  • Finalists and Gracious Professionalism Award at Perry Meridian
  • OPR Rank 65 @ 44.7

  
  The BEAST roared back to life at Perry and they’ve scared away their code bugs to be the best low-goal dedicated robot in the state. As they get deeper into State, they will continue to feed on the rest of the competition and use their climber to compete for the win on Saturday.

• 135

  • Quarterfinalists and Judges Award at Tippecanoe
  • Semifinalists and Engineering Inspiration at Perry Meridian
  • OPR Rank 136 @ 39.6

  
  The Black Knights have made steady improvement and continue to contend for the win. Their scaling ability has been consistently good and compliments their boulder scoring ability nicely.

• 4103

  • Quarterfinalists and Engineering Excellence Award at Tippecanoe
  • Semifinalists and Creativity Award at Walker Warren
  • OPR Rank 141 @ 39.5

  
  The Roborioles used their scissor-lifted winch to fly high through their two competitions and claim the title of best climber in the state. Can they continue to soar and compete for the win or will they fall from their perch?

• 4982

  • Semifinalists and Industrial Design Award at Tippecanoe
  • Finalists at Walker Warren
  • OPR Rank 123 @ 40.2

  
  An under-the-radar team that has performed very well this season, Olympus Robotics has impressed with their quick intake and quick-thinking drive-team. They quickly adapt to the performance of their robot and have the ability to score low and high.

Honorable Mentions:

• 1741

  • Semifinalists and Gracious Professionalism Award at Tippecanoe
  • Quarterfinalists and Entrepreneurship Award at Walker Warren
  • Semifinalists and Chairman’s Award at Perry Meridian
  • OPR Rank 354 @ 33.5

• 3176

  • Quarterfinalists and Spirit Award at Tippecanoe
  • Quarterfinalists at Walker Warren
  • OPR Rank 450 @ 31.9

• 3559

  • Quarterfinalists at Tippecanoe
  • Semifinalists and Quality Award at Perry Meridian
  • OPR Rank 320 @ 34.3

• 5403

  • Quarterfinalists at Tippecanoe
  • Semifinalists at Perry Meridian
  • OPR Rank 850 @ 27.2

Re: INsight: Indiana State Championships
 

Very interesting predictions. I agree that some pretty deserving or usually competitive teams are going to have to sit put on worlds this year.

Re: INsight: Indiana State Championships
 

SOO CLOSE (emphasis mine)

Re: INsight: Indiana State Championships
 

Unfortunately that will likely be the case. 9 spots is pretty low for so many quality bots.

Re: INsight: Indiana State Championships
 

Not trying to sound like a whiny baby, but it seems like 1741 is one of the more underrated teams on this list, as we have shown the capability to put up 6 high goals in a couple matches and probably have one of the highest breach rates in the state right now :yikes:

Re: INsight: Indiana State Championships
 

Fun fact: The last time 1024 had a triple banner season was 2008 and they were one of the most dominant robots that year, even making it to Einstein. They were also IRI finalists that year.

Here's hoping they can get back to that level this season! Good luck 1024!

Re: INsight: Indiana State Championships
 

I guess as the saying goes, "If you don't like the prediction, prove it wrong."

1741 drives their bot like they stole it. I've never seen them go over a defense slow. Very well done.

Re: INsight: Indiana State Championships
 

We have enough just high goal shooters to only have them make it to worlds, which probably won't happen. Also 71, 4103, 4982, and 1741 are very underated in this and 234 doesn't even appear somehow. Seems almost like the dark horse picks should be switched with the "valuable alliance selections" (IMO)


So don't really take these predictions to heart.

Re: INsight: Indiana State Championships
 

I noticed this as well and wasn't offended. Can't wait to compete with all these great teams. I definitely see 1741 being a really high pic if their high shooter continues to be as good as it was in day 2 of Perry. Can't wait to see who all added climbers for DCMP (been waiting all season for 1024's. Hope they made one. I'm not sure at all). With DCMP essentially being 60% of points (as it's weighted 3x), playoff performance is a very big key this week. Good luck to teams using their bag time this week (hopefully everyone). Can't wait to see you all there.

P.S. Thank you INsight for all these posts. They've been great all year. I'm not sure if you planned to do this or not but when divisions for worlds is realeased in a couple of weeks, you should make and INsight post for worlds and see how you think IN teams will do in their division.

Re: INsight: Indiana State Championships
 

As always, thank you for your kind words INsight. I can only hope we perform up to your expectations this weekend.

I'm very much looking forward to this event. I think this event presents an opportunity to prove as a district, yet again, that there's more than corn in Indiana. I'm optimistic for everyone.

Re: INsight: Indiana State Championships
 

My take on this is that all of the robots listed (especially those listed lower) and even a few not listed (234, 4103, among others), really most of the field going to this competition could be at the top of the field come the end of quals. This is a game that really shows the variety of strategy and design that is possible with a lot of different designs being very competitive.

The vast majority of the teams coming to the state championship have shown themselves to be capable of coordinating at a very high level to take the defenses down and capture the tower at a level not seen at very many competitions. The ability of teams to coordinate, strategize and then change plans on the fly, playing to the strengths of the design for each team will dictate who comes out on top.

Where the high shooters have the advantage is that they are also capable of defeating the defenses, but have the added scoring capability. They really shine when paired with a defense specialist low goal shooter that can provide boulders to keep their cycle time down. If you think about the high levels of breach and capture so far, what really set certain teams apart was the ability to score just a few more points or slow the other alliance down, even if it meant a decent high goal shooter playing defense to slow down a strong alliance that together could score more points.

What I think will be the most interesting thing about this competition is to see the modifications (mostly climbers I expect) or improvements (again expect it on a lot of climbers :rolleyes: ) since the previous competitions. Three weeks is a lot of time (two for 868 ;) ) to refine the systems teams were having any issues with.

I think defense will play a much bigger roll in quals and the tournament as well. That might be the only thing keeping some of the scoring down and maybe more of the towers going uncaptured.

In my opinion this is going to be competition at the highest level and a preview of what to expect from some of the best matches at worlds.

Re: INsight: Indiana State Championships
 

[quote=INsight;1570926]

• INsight Prediction for State - 91% breach / 54% capture

Seems like you were underestimating the power of the Hoosiers. After the first day the rates are 97.83 % breach / 66% capture.

There was only TWO times today that a team did NOT have a breach. (Last match was one of them...)

Re: INsight: Indiana State Championships
 

We are 9 for 9 in breaches and 8 out of 9 for captures and finished 3-6. The competition here is amazing.

Re: INsight: Indiana State Championships
 

This competition is just insanely competitive. I mean just look at the depth of the robots.eliminations will be really exciting.

Re: INsight: Indiana State Championships
 

Good job all the teams, particularly4103, 1024, and 1529. You guys were a great alliance. Also congratulations to 868, 135 and everyone else who qualified. 71, 3940, 4982, 234, and 1741 you guys had a great season and should be proud of yourselves regardless of what happened. Anyway, great job all the Indiana teams and let's hope for an Einstein run for Indiana.