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-   -   [2016] CMP prop bets (http://www.chiefdelphi.com/forums/showthread.php?t=147359)

orangemoore 01-05-2016 21:41

Re: [2016] CMP prop bets
 
1 Attachment(s)
This is what I got

3 way tie for first in my estimation with the 1st tie breaker making the difference.

efoote868 02-05-2016 09:01

Re: [2016] CMP prop bets
 
I will officially score the results tonight and post them, I've been rather busy this weekend. :)

If you're the/a winner, I will send you a PM with instructions for the prize.

efoote868 02-05-2016 12:22

Re: [2016] CMP prop bets
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by orangemoore (Post 1581332)
This is what I got

3 way tie for first in my estimation with the 1st tie breaker making the difference.

Would you please check #10 and #16, then double check your calculation for #15 and let me know if you reach a different conclusion?

efoote868 02-05-2016 22:54

Re: [2016] CMP prop bets
 
These are the results I've calculated. I recognize that I'm human - please double check my work. Let me know in within the next day (by 11pm eastern 5/3) if you spot an error.

With 23 correct answers Pault is the winner by tiebreaker (off by 20 on the tiebreaker, Joe Ross is 2nd with 25 on the tiebreaker, Matthew1998 is 3rd with 30 on the tiebreaker, and RoundTabler is 4th by going over).

Pault, please look at your private messages for instructions on claiming your fabulous prize.

What I've learned is that I'm a terrible oddsmaker. Thanks everyone for playing, I plan on running this again next year.

Code:

true, r13904 - b13781        1. Carson's red alliance in qualification will earn more points than its blue alliance.
false, 0%                2. Carson's draw bridge will be damaged more than 30% of the time it is used in qualifications
True, b13967 - r13847        3. Carver's blue alliance in qualification will earn more points than its red alliance.
True, 91.36% - 86.67%        4. Carver's cheval de frise will be damaged more when it is used in qualifications than the portcullis.
True, r2790 - b2453        5. Hopper's red alliance in finals will earn more points than its blue alliance.
False, 100% damaged        6. Hopper's rough terrain will not be damaged in 2 or more qualification matches.
False, r2717 - b2330        7. Tesla's blue alliance in finals will earn more points than its red alliance.
False, 146 - 104        8. Tesla's moat will be used more in qualifications than the ramparts.
True, r13187 - b12929        9. Archimedes' red alliance in qualification will earn more points than its blue alliance.
False, 28.64%                10. Archimedes' sally port will be damaged more than 55% of the time it is used in qualifications.
False, r13468 - b12993        11. Galileo's blue alliance in qualification will earn more points than its red alliance.
True, Damaged 211 / 217        12. Galileo's rock wall will not be damaged in 4 or more qualification matches.
False, b3138 - r2982        13. Curie's red alliance in finals will earn more points than its blue alliance.
True, 100%                14. Curie's low bar will be damaged 100% in finals.
False, r3079 - b2850        15. Newton's blue alliance in finals will earn more points than its red alliance.
True, 62 - 56                16. Newton's moat will be used more in qualifications than the rough terrain.
       
        Inter-division
True, 71.07% - 68.00%        17. Carson will have a higher challenge success percent in qualifications than Archimedes
False, 100% - 90.0%        18. Carson will have a lower total breaches success percent in finals than Archimedes
True, 94.40% - 92.40%        19. Carver will have a higher total breaches success percent in qualifications than Galileo
True, 26.47% - 31.25%        20. Carver will have a lower total scales success percent in finals than Galileo
True, 16.53% - 14.93%        21. Hopper will have a higher scales success percent in qualification than Curie
True, 60.71% - 79.41%        22. Hopper will have a lower capture success percent in finals than Curie
False, 33.2% - 38.8%        23. Tesla will have a higher capture success percent in qualifications than Newton
False, 74.44% - 54.17%        24. Tesla will have a lower challenge success percent in finals than Newton
       
       
        Einstein
TRUE                        25. The red alliance will win Einstein
FALSE, Lowest = 3444        26. An alliance with a total team number summation of less than 1500 will be on Einstein
TRUE, Highest  = 13365        27. An alliance with a total team number summation of more than 7000 will be on Einstein
TRUE                        28. There will be a 3rd match in the finals on Einstein
TRUE, Q1M2                29. There will be 4 teams scaling in a quarter finals match on Einstein
TRUE, 255                30. There will be a score above 250 points on Einstein


orangemoore 02-05-2016 23:27

Re: [2016] CMP prop bets
 
#10 was indeed incorrect (whoops) The Answer was false.

#15 Apparently I misread the question and/or flipped the two answers.

#16 I got true after checking (not paying attention again).


In defense of my mistakes I did this while trying to recover from the competition itself and I am still very tired. (Luckily I have tomorrow off. I get to sleep in!)


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