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[2016] CMP prop bets
Following the same format from 2013, 2014, 2015, post whether you think the statement will be true or false. Betting stops when matches start. Good luck!
http://www.chiefdelphi.com/forums/sh...d.php?t=136661 http://www.chiefdelphi.com/forums/sh...d.php?t=115914 http://www.chiefdelphi.com/forums/sh...d.php?t=128855 NEW for 2016 - inspired by Dr. Joe's graciously sponsored competitions, I'll be offering a $50 Amazon gift card to the winner. (to help speed scoring, please use code or quote tags around the following, and put TRUE or FALSE before each numeral, e.g. FALSE 1. Carson's red alliance...). 1. Carson's red alliance in qualification will earn more points than its blue alliance. 2. Carson's draw bridge will be damaged more than 30% of the time it is used in qualifications 3. Carver's blue alliance in qualification will earn more points than its red alliance. 4. Carver's cheval de frise will be damaged more when it is used in qualifications than the portcullis. 5. Hopper's red alliance in finals will earn more points than its blue alliance. 6. Hopper's rough terrain will not be damaged in 2 or more qualification matches. 7. Tesla's blue alliance in finals will earn more points than its red alliance. 8. Tesla's moat will be used more in qualifications than the ramparts. 9. Archimedes' red alliance in qualification will earn more points than its blue alliance. 10. Archimedes' sally port will be damaged more than 55% of the time it is used in qualifications. 11. Galileo's blue alliance in qualification will earn more points than its red alliance. 12. Galileo's rock wall will not be damaged in 4 or more qualification matches. 13. Curie's red alliance in finals will earn more points than its blue alliance. 14. Curie's low bar will be damaged 100% in finals. 15. Newton's blue alliance in finals will earn more points than its red alliance. 16. Newton's moat will be used more in qualifications than the rough terrain. Inter-division 17. Carson will have a higher challenge success percent in qualifications than Archimedes 18. Carson will have a lower total breaches success percent in finals than Archimedes 19. Carver will have a higher total breaches success percent in qualifications than Galileo 20. Carver will have a lower total scales success percent in finals than Galileo 21. Hopper will have a higher scales success percent in qualification than Curie 22. Hopper will have a lower capture success percent in finals than Curie 23. Tesla will have a higher capture success percent in qualifications than Newton 24. Tesla will have a lower challenge success percent in finals than Newton Einstein 25. The red alliance will win Einstein 26. An alliance with a total team number summation of less than 1500 will be on Einstein 27. An alliance with a total team number summation of more than 7000 will be on Einstein 28. There will be a 3rd match in the finals on Einstein 29. There will be 4 teams scaling in a quarter finals match on Einstein 30. There will be a score above 250 points on Einstein Tiebreaker: Guess the score of the losing alliance of the final match on Einstein. Closest without going over wins Tiebreaker2: Guess the total breaches success percent on Einstein to the nearest hundredth. Closest wins. |
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TRUE 1. Carson's red alliance in qualification will earn more points than its blue alliance. |
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FALSE 1. Carson's red alliance in qualification will earn more points than its blue alliance. |
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FALSE 1. Carson's red alliance in qualification will earn more points than its blue alliance. |
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True 1. Carson's red alliance in qualification will earn more points than its blue alliance. |
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TRUE 1. Carson's red alliance in qualification will earn more points than its blue alliance. |
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TRUE 1. Carson's red alliance in qualification will earn more points than its blue alliance. |
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TRUE 1. Carson's red alliance in qualification will earn more points than its blue alliance. |
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Let's see...
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False 1. Carson's red alliance in qualification will earn more points than its blue alliance.
False 2. Carson's draw bridge will be damaged more than 30% of the time it is used in qualifications True 3. Carver's blue alliance in qualification will earn more points than its red alliance. False 4. Carver's cheval de frise will be damaged more when it is used in qualifications than the portcullis. True 5. Hopper's red alliance in finals will earn more points than its blue alliance. True 6. Hopper's rough terrain will not be damaged in 2 or more qualification matches. True 7. Tesla's blue alliance in finals will earn more points than its red alliance. False 8. Tesla's moat will be used more in qualifications than the ramparts. True 9. Archimedes' red alliance in qualification will earn more points than its blue alliance. True 10. Archimedes' sally port will be damaged more than 55% of the time it is used in qualifications. False 11. Galileo's blue alliance in qualification will earn more points than its red alliance. False 12. Galileo's rock wall will not be damaged in 4 or more qualification matches. True 13. Curie's red alliance in finals will earn more points than its blue alliance. True 14. Curie's low bar will be damaged 100% in finals. True 15. Newton's blue alliance in finals will earn more points than its red alliance. True 16. Newton's moat will be used more in qualifications than the rough terrain. Inter-division False 17. Carson will have a higher challenge success percent in qualifications than Archimedes True 18. Carson will have a lower total breaches success percent in finals than Archimedes False 19. Carver will have a higher total breaches success percent in qualifications than Galileo False 20. Carver will have a lower total scales success percent in finals than Galileo True 21. Hopper will have a higher scales success percent in qualification than Curie False 22. Hopper will have a lower capture success percent in finals than Curie True 23. Tesla will have a higher capture success percent in qualifications than Newton True 24. Tesla will have a lower challenge success percent in finals than Newton Einstein True 25. The red alliance will win Einstein True 26. An alliance with a total team number summation of less than 1500 will be on Einstein True 27. An alliance with a total team number summation of more than 7000 will be on Einstein True 28. There will be a 3rd match in the finals on Einstein True 29. There will be 4 teams scaling in a quarter finals match on Einstein True 30. There will be a score above 250 points on Einstein 185 Tiebreaker: Guess the score of the losing alliance of the final match on Einstein. Closest without going over wins 91.33% Tiebreaker2: Guess the total breaches success percent on Einstein to the nearest hundredth. |
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TRUE 1. Carson's red alliance in qualification will earn more points than its blue alliance. |
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FALSE 1. Carson's red alliance in qualification will earn more points than its blue alliance. |
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FALSE 1. Carson's red alliance in qualification will earn more points than its blue alliance. |
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TRUE 1. Carson's red alliance in qualification will earn more points than its blue alliance. |
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FALSE 1. Carson's red alliance in qualification will earn more points than its blue alliance. |
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TRUE 1. Carson's red alliance in qualification will earn more points than its blue alliance. |
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Since many of you think that 100% of total breaches will happen on Einstein, and have a possibility of going over on the losing alliance score, in the event of a tie I will be dividing the gift card (here's to hoping that there isn't a 3 or more way tie ::ouch:: ).
Please do not edit your posts (if it's even allowed by the forum?) after the start of the first Championship match, that will disqualify your entry. I will post a spreadsheet with the entries after the first match starts, then I will post scoring at the end of the Championship event. |
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My guesses
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May as well...
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FALSE 1. Carson's red alliance in qualification will earn more points than its blue alliance. |
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FALSE 1. Carson's red alliance in qualification will earn more points than its blue alliance. |
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Good Luck to all of the teams attending Champs!
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TRUE 1. Carson's red alliance in qualification will earn more points than its blue alliance. |
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TRUE 1. Carson's red alliance in qualification will earn more points than its blue alliance. |
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TRUE 1. Carson's red alliance in qualification will earn more points than its blue alliance. |
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sure, why not
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FALSE 1. Carson's red alliance in qualification will earn more points than its blue alliance. |
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TRUE 1. Carson's red alliance in qualification will earn more points than its blue alliance. |
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Get your bets in! Only a couple days left to bet.
This year we've got a record number of entries (33 so far!) After the first match starts, I'll post my spreadsheet with the entries. Please do not edit your posts after matches start, that will disqualify your entry. |
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I'm going to have to go through the thread again once matches start, lots of edits made and I can't be certain people haven't been changing their choices. You'll The scoring won't be too bad. I'm relying on The Blue Alliance for division statistics, and I've got a spreadsheet (which I'll post) to score entries. |
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FALSE 1. Carson's red alliance in qualification will earn more points than its blue alliance. |
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TRUE 1. Carson's red alliance in qualification will earn more points than its blue alliance. |
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Today is the last full day for entries. Once the first match of the 2016 CMP begins, betting is locked and no more entries will be accepted.
Please verify you have tiebreakers posted, otherwise in the event of a tie there's not much I can do for you. Good luck everyone! |
Re: [2016] CMP prop bets
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TRUE 1. Carson's red alliance in qualification will earn more points than its blue alliance. |
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TRUE 1. Carson's red alliance in qualification will earn more points than its blue alliance. |
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FALSE 1. Carson's red alliance in qualification will earn more points than its blue alliance. |
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TRUE 1. Carson's red alliance in qualification will earn more points than its blue alliance. |
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FALSE 1. Carson's red alliance in qualification will earn more points than its blue alliance. |
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TRUE 1. Carson's red alliance in qualification will earn more points than its blue alliance. |
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FALSE 1. Carson's red alliance in qualification will earn more points than its blue alliance. |
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True 1. Carson's red alliance in qualification will earn more points than its blue alliance. |
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FALSE 1. Carson's red alliance in qualification will earn more points than its blue alliance. |
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TRUE 1. Carson's red alliance in qualification will earn more points than its blue alliance. |
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Just a little over two hours to get your bets in.
I've audited the entries and found two so far with missing bets; I've sent private messages. I've received one response. Once matches start, I will verify that I have everyone's most recent entry (by looking at edits), and I will attach my entries spreadsheet. Good luck everyone! |
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Matches have started, no more bets.
If you want to simulate scoring, there is a blue result box that you can type 1 or 0 in next to each result (starting on D50). Good luck! Attachment 20689 |
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Do we have an official ranking?
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I was just wondering the same thing
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This is what I got
3 way tie for first in my estimation with the 1st tie breaker making the difference. |
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I will officially score the results tonight and post them, I've been rather busy this weekend. :)
If you're the/a winner, I will send you a PM with instructions for the prize. |
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These are the results I've calculated. I recognize that I'm human - please double check my work. Let me know in within the next day (by 11pm eastern 5/3) if you spot an error.
With 23 correct answers Pault is the winner by tiebreaker (off by 20 on the tiebreaker, Joe Ross is 2nd with 25 on the tiebreaker, Matthew1998 is 3rd with 30 on the tiebreaker, and RoundTabler is 4th by going over). Pault, please look at your private messages for instructions on claiming your fabulous prize. What I've learned is that I'm a terrible oddsmaker. Thanks everyone for playing, I plan on running this again next year. Code:
true, r13904 - b13781 1. Carson's red alliance in qualification will earn more points than its blue alliance. |
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#10 was indeed incorrect (whoops) The Answer was false.
#15 Apparently I misread the question and/or flipped the two answers. #16 I got true after checking (not paying attention again). In defense of my mistakes I did this while trying to recover from the competition itself and I am still very tired. (Luckily I have tomorrow off. I get to sleep in!) |
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