![]() |
YOU Predict the Average Match Score of 2017's Week 1 Regionals/Districts
Mostly, this thread is so we can look back in eight weeks and realize how terribly wrong we were. Qualifying round is probably the most useful, but elimination scores are interesting to try and peg as well.
If you can post a reasoning that's awesome, but we'll take just a number as well. Click here for last year's predictions (2016) The predicted average from this thread last year was ~28 points for qualifying matches, and the actual week 1 average qualifying score was about 70 according to TBA. 2016 stats from TBA Previous Years 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 Good luck! |
Re: YOU Predict the Average Match Score of 2017's Week 1 Regionals/Districts
I'm going with 120. The point values seem much higher this year, and even a gear in auto can give you half that right off the bat.
|
Re: YOU Predict the Average Match Score of 2017's Week 1 Regionals/Districts
Safe in the knowledge that I probably am not the only one making terrible predictions here, I'm going to guess 130pts for qual matches on average.
|
Re: YOU Predict the Average Match Score of 2017's Week 1 Regionals/Districts
Quote:
|
Re: YOU Predict the Average Match Score of 2017's Week 1 Regionals/Districts
I'd also wager around 120. Also, OP, poll for this?
|
Re: YOU Predict the Average Match Score of 2017's Week 1 Regionals/Districts
65, I think this game is going to be alot more challenging then we think.
|
Re: YOU Predict the Average Match Score of 2017's Week 1 Regionals/Districts
110pts (40 right off the bat + 40 for one propeller + A bit extra to account for the occasional gear auto and balls)
|
Re: YOU Predict the Average Match Score of 2017's Week 1 Regionals/Districts
Likely going for 130. The avg team can probs score a gear in auto...
|
Re: YOU Predict the Average Match Score of 2017's Week 1 Regionals/Districts
Quote:
I'd guess around the 110-120 range |
Re: YOU Predict the Average Match Score of 2017's Week 1 Regionals/Districts
Quote:
This is going to be similar to the mini bot. folks will spend the whole time figuring out how to score the gears and forget how to get the gears in the first place. |
Re: YOU Predict the Average Match Score of 2017's Week 1 Regionals/Districts
150 pts
My guess is we will see on average at least one climber on each alliance with a decent chance of two so we should see at least 90 points even in weak matches. Most robots will probably have the ability to score a gear or fuel albeit slowly so seeing 2 rotors spinning shouldn't be uncommon. |
Re: YOU Predict the Average Match Score of 2017's Week 1 Regionals/Districts
Going to guess about 110-120. That's 2 rotors, and a little extra. I'm assuming some alliances will score leds and some will score more but I think will be on average 110-120.
|
Re: YOU Predict the Average Match Score of 2017's Week 1 Regionals/Districts
175 pts. I'm predicting at least 2 gear sets, 1 climb, and 100 high goals per match.
|
Re: YOU Predict the Average Match Score of 2017's Week 1 Regionals/Districts
I'm betting that for 50% of alliances, you'll get a successful auto gear. Moreover, you'll probably be able to find at least 1 bot that can do gears, so I'll say that they can get done 3 or 4 in teleop. Either way, that's the average of 100 and 80 points, or 90 total points.
I have a feeling that an alliance will have a climb 25% of the time, so tack on an additional 12.5 points. Total: 112.5. I have a hunch that not too many balls will be scored, but let's say that 2 bins of balls wind up going in the low goal, or the equivilent thereof. That's 100 balls minus spillage, or 11 points minus a bit. Lets's be optimistic: only a bit spills, and you get 10 points. Perhaps 1 foul may occur on the enemy alliance half the time. Value: 2.5 points. Grand total: 125 points. Keep in mind that this estimation includes all matches, including elims. |
Re: YOU Predict the Average Match Score of 2017's Week 1 Regionals/Districts
Due to easiness of scoring points with the gears and hanging I am predicting the average is 250
|
Re: YOU Predict the Average Match Score of 2017's Week 1 Regionals/Districts
100 for quals, ~150 for elims. Scoring gears will be a bit difficult at first but will become easier after the first few matches so the scores will, as usual, increase as the day goes on. I think that week 1 climbs will be rare.
|
Re: YOU Predict the Average Match Score of 2017's Week 1 Regionals/Districts
Quote:
|
Re: YOU Predict the Average Match Score of 2017's Week 1 Regionals/Districts
Quote:
I am going to say 90 is the average score in week 1. But I feel this game will have the largest jump between average qual and average elim scores ever. |
Re: YOU Predict the Average Match Score of 2017's Week 1 Regionals/Districts
Regional average will be 140 with elims 180 . Districts average will be 75 and elims will be 120
|
Re: YOU Predict the Average Match Score of 2017's Week 1 Regionals/Districts
Quote:
90 sounds about right, and I totally agree. The difference between one, two, and three rotors is enormous, and those will jump to three quickly in elims (not even mentioning the possibility of a fourth rotor). |
Re: YOU Predict the Average Match Score of 2017's Week 1 Regionals/Districts
There is one free rotor upstairs.
Everyone has the opportunity to have the gear on their robot on start. All robots pass baseline in auto 15 points 1 "not freebee" gear at auto. 60 pts. 1 more gear in possession already and the freebee is another 40 pts. Then its a stretch. Perhaps one climb... and enough fuel for 5 more points. That's 45 fuel in Low Goal. 150 points. |
Re: YOU Predict the Average Match Score of 2017's Week 1 Regionals/Districts
Quote:
|
Re: YOU Predict the Average Match Score of 2017's Week 1 Regionals/Districts
I'm thinking that a good amount of teams are going to be able to get gears, and teams in elims will do better at that, just elims introduces significantly more defensive strategies. I'm going to wager that elims are going to be not that much more than quals. The main difference will be that the high goal shooters will be on average more accurate. With that being said:
Quals: 150 Elims: 175 |
Re: YOU Predict the Average Match Score of 2017's Week 1 Regionals/Districts
155 avg. qual. pts end of week 1. What do i get when I win with this prediction?
|
Re: YOU Predict the Average Match Score of 2017's Week 1 Regionals/Districts
40
|
Re: YOU Predict the Average Match Score of 2017's Week 1 Regionals/Districts
How often do we think we will be seeing ranking points earned from fuel or gears?
My guess is ranking points from gears will be incredibly rare and we will see a ranking point from fuel about 50% of matches at least in the first 1-2 weeks. |
Re: YOU Predict the Average Match Score of 2017's Week 1 Regionals/Districts
Quote:
The reason I say this is because of defense. During quals I don't think we will see a lot of defense but once elims comes i think we will. Especially around the airship. You can send two robots to play defense on the airship which would severely limit how easy it is to get rotors moving and get high scores. If a team sends two robots to play defense on the airship we will see unbelieveably low scores. |
Re: YOU Predict the Average Match Score of 2017's Week 1 Regionals/Districts
hehehe
I'm predicting 135 avg in quals, anywhere from 130-220 in elims depending on pick position. I'll go with an elim average of 190. |
Re: YOU Predict the Average Match Score of 2017's Week 1 Regionals/Districts
15 pts - 3 Robots Passing the Baseline in Autonomous
120 pts - 3 Rotors Turning 10 pts - Boiler Score = 145 pts on average I think that teams would at least be able to get the 15 in autonomous for driving forward and most would probably go for the gears first instead of the balls, resulting in at least 3 if not all 4 of the rotors turning. There will also be alliance matchups where at least 1 robot would be specialized in scoring and could earn some points there. A 145 pt average seems reasonable to me. |
Re: YOU Predict the Average Match Score of 2017's Week 1 Regionals/Districts
15 pts - 3 Robots Passing the Baseline in Autonomous
120 pts - 3 Rotors Turning 10 pts - Boiler Score = 145 pts on average I think that teams would at least be able to get the 15 in autonomous for driving forward and most would probably go for the gears first instead of the balls, resulting in at least 3 if not all 4 of the rotors turning. There will also be alliance matchups where at least 1 robot would be specialized in scoring and could earn some points there. A 145 pt average seems reasonable to me. |
Re: YOU Predict the Average Match Score of 2017's Week 1 Regionals/Districts
I'd say around 150. The auto gear is a relatively easy 60 points scored, and most mid level alliances should be able to score many gears and around 150 balls in the boiler.
|
Re: YOU Predict the Average Match Score of 2017's Week 1 Regionals/Districts
Quote:
This year it is 0 vs 50 for climbing. This will make it a higher priority for teams. I don't know if more teams will actually succeed, but do think more teams will at least try to climb this year. |
Re: YOU Predict the Average Match Score of 2017's Week 1 Regionals/Districts
After giving my lucky kitty a belly rub I can say with complete certainty that the average will be exactly 137 points.
|
Re: YOU Predict the Average Match Score of 2017's Week 1 Regionals/Districts
I agree with Andhika at the 145 point average. Also, you have to consider the possibility of chaos bots flooding the field with balls amd making driving troublesome for gear bots.
|
Re: YOU Predict the Average Match Score of 2017's Week 1 Regionals/Districts
Quote:
But in all seriousness, I think high goal scoring is going to be slow and messy at best for any non-powerhouse team. Small target + defenders + parabolic shot trajectories = chaos. (Shout-out to my favorite spotlighted quote) |
Re: YOU Predict the Average Match Score of 2017's Week 1 Regionals/Districts
Quote:
|
Re: YOU Predict the Average Match Score of 2017's Week 1 Regionals/Districts
QUALS: 80. Free Rotor + some putzing around with gears and an auton crossing or two.
ELIMS: 165. Someone in most matches will have a Gear Auto, and teams can easily scrape together 3 rotors. Defense will be a factor, so it won't happen all of the time. Balls and Hangs will make up for defense in average matches. |
| All times are GMT -5. The time now is 20:29. |
Powered by vBulletin® Version 3.6.4
Copyright ©2000 - 2017, Jelsoft Enterprises Ltd.
Copyright © Chief Delphi