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-   -   YOU Predict the Average Match Score of 2017's Week 1 Regionals/Districts (http://www.chiefdelphi.com/forums/showthread.php?t=153171)

Ian Curtis 07-01-2017 19:49

YOU Predict the Average Match Score of 2017's Week 1 Regionals/Districts
 
Mostly, this thread is so we can look back in eight weeks and realize how terribly wrong we were. Qualifying round is probably the most useful, but elimination scores are interesting to try and peg as well.

If you can post a reasoning that's awesome, but we'll take just a number as well.

Click here for last year's predictions (2016)

The predicted average from this thread last year was ~28 points for qualifying matches, and the actual week 1 average qualifying score was about 70 according to TBA.

2016 stats from TBA


Previous Years
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015

Good luck!

Hitchhiker 42 07-01-2017 19:53

Re: YOU Predict the Average Match Score of 2017's Week 1 Regionals/Districts
 
I'm going with 120. The point values seem much higher this year, and even a gear in auto can give you half that right off the bat.

M217 07-01-2017 19:55

Re: YOU Predict the Average Match Score of 2017's Week 1 Regionals/Districts
 
Safe in the knowledge that I probably am not the only one making terrible predictions here, I'm going to guess 130pts for qual matches on average.

Hitchhiker 42 07-01-2017 19:56

Re: YOU Predict the Average Match Score of 2017's Week 1 Regionals/Districts
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by M217 (Post 1626748)
Safe in the knowledge that I probably am not the only one making terrible predictions here, I'm going to guess 130pts for qual matches on average.

Yay we can be wrong together!

dellagd 07-01-2017 19:58

Re: YOU Predict the Average Match Score of 2017's Week 1 Regionals/Districts
 
I'd also wager around 120. Also, OP, poll for this?

dilley 07-01-2017 20:04

Re: YOU Predict the Average Match Score of 2017's Week 1 Regionals/Districts
 
65, I think this game is going to be alot more challenging then we think.

Cog 07-01-2017 20:06

Re: YOU Predict the Average Match Score of 2017's Week 1 Regionals/Districts
 
110pts (40 right off the bat + 40 for one propeller + A bit extra to account for the occasional gear auto and balls)

tig567899 07-01-2017 20:09

Re: YOU Predict the Average Match Score of 2017's Week 1 Regionals/Districts
 
Likely going for 130. The avg team can probs score a gear in auto...

NShep98 07-01-2017 20:13

Re: YOU Predict the Average Match Score of 2017's Week 1 Regionals/Districts
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by tig567899 (Post 1626766)
Likely going for 130. The avg team can probs score a gear in auto...

I wouldn't count on that, especially not Week 1

I'd guess around the 110-120 range

wilsonmw04 07-01-2017 20:13

Re: YOU Predict the Average Match Score of 2017's Week 1 Regionals/Districts
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by tig567899 (Post 1626766)
Likely going for 130. The avg team can probs score a gear in auto...

I think the average district or regional will have a score of ~80. auto will be mostly 5 point move forward. Most teams will score zero gears in auto and 1-2 per average alliance will be scored.

This is going to be similar to the mini bot. folks will spend the whole time figuring out how to score the gears and forget how to get the gears in the first place.

mman1506 07-01-2017 20:16

Re: YOU Predict the Average Match Score of 2017's Week 1 Regionals/Districts
 
150 pts

My guess is we will see on average at least one climber on each alliance with a decent chance of two so we should see at least 90 points even in weak matches. Most robots will probably have the ability to score a gear or fuel albeit slowly so seeing 2 rotors spinning shouldn't be uncommon.

Rangel 07-01-2017 20:22

Re: YOU Predict the Average Match Score of 2017's Week 1 Regionals/Districts
 
Going to guess about 110-120. That's 2 rotors, and a little extra. I'm assuming some alliances will score leds and some will score more but I think will be on average 110-120.

carpedav000 07-01-2017 20:42

Re: YOU Predict the Average Match Score of 2017's Week 1 Regionals/Districts
 
175 pts. I'm predicting at least 2 gear sets, 1 climb, and 100 high goals per match.

Green Potato 07-01-2017 20:45

Re: YOU Predict the Average Match Score of 2017's Week 1 Regionals/Districts
 
I'm betting that for 50% of alliances, you'll get a successful auto gear. Moreover, you'll probably be able to find at least 1 bot that can do gears, so I'll say that they can get done 3 or 4 in teleop. Either way, that's the average of 100 and 80 points, or 90 total points.

I have a feeling that an alliance will have a climb 25% of the time, so tack on an additional 12.5 points. Total: 112.5.

I have a hunch that not too many balls will be scored, but let's say that 2 bins of balls wind up going in the low goal, or the equivilent thereof. That's 100 balls minus spillage, or 11 points minus a bit. Lets's be optimistic: only a bit spills, and you get 10 points.

Perhaps 1 foul may occur on the enemy alliance half the time. Value: 2.5 points.

Grand total: 125 points.

Keep in mind that this estimation includes all matches, including elims.

NathanStro 07-01-2017 20:51

Re: YOU Predict the Average Match Score of 2017's Week 1 Regionals/Districts
 
Due to easiness of scoring points with the gears and hanging I am predicting the average is 250


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