Chief Delphi - Predicting Actual High Efficiency Goal Shooting at Worlds

Quote:

Originally Posted by crazybobcat (Post 1633643)

On the contrary, wouldnt A need to be greater than B? Since they are both ratios, and 1/4 < 1/2. It seemed like everyone did it correctly.
With that stated, here are my guesses
1 out of _4/2_ teams will have a median/max H.E.G. ball count that is >50
1 out of _10/5_ teams will have a median/max H.E.G. ball count that is >100
1 out of _75/20_ teams will have a median/max H.E.G. ball count that is >200
1 out of _infinity/100_ teams will have a median/max H.E.G. ball count that is >400

Yes! of course, I hadn't actually gone through the exercise of thinking about picking numbers or I would have realized that.

My brain had somehow flipped from N teams per group size of M rather than 1 team in N. It is a miles per gallon vs gallons per mile problem. I get it.

I knew I must be off my nut because a lot of smart people and lower second numbers.

Thanks for squaring me up.

Dr. Joe J.