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Joe Ross 02-07-2004 21:36

IRI popularity index
 
1 Attachment(s)
Kind of like what I did with BtB, I made a list of the teams and their draft order in each of the FF divisions. The idea is that the better teams will go higher in the drafts, overall, but occasionally, a division will overlook a team, and somebody will get a steal, by drafting a good team quite a bit later then everyone else, or make a bad pick, by overlooking several good teams to draft one lower on the list.

Now, someone might say that if they know a team will do very well, it makes sense to draft it early (a bad pick, as classified above). However, in that case, you should have traded down and gotten a better pick elsewhere, knowing that team would be availible later, so it's still a "bad" pick.

Anyway, the best teams, based on average draft positions are
Code:

71
469
45
571
33
494
980
27
47
222

The full list is in the team popularity tab of the spreadsheet. Personally, those would be my top 10 teams, also, not exactly in that order, but close.

The people who made the best single picks (by drafting a team later then they should have gone:

The difference shows how many spots later the person got the team then average.
Code:

Best Picks        Team        Difference        Division
Andy Baker        234        13        Division 3
David Hoff        461        11        Division 2
David Hoff        65        10        Division 2
boodah                1272        10        Division 1
Pitt Bull 1126        447        8        Division 2
Joel J.                292        8        Division 3
Ryan Dognaux        47        7        Division 1
Joe Ross        107        7        Division 3
Amanda Morrison        868        6        Division 1
Jessica Boucher        240        6        Division 1
jgannon                808        6        Division 1
Matt Shea        378        6        Division 2
Joel J.                93        6        Division 3
JVN        217        6        Division 3

And the people who made the worst single team picks

Code:

Worst Picks                       
Andy Grady        65        -11        Division 3
Chris                447        -10        Division 3
Steve Horn        47        -8        Division 2
diobsidian        240        -8        Division 2
JVN        48        -8        Division 3
jgannon                1038        -7        Division 1
crazykid234        234        -7        Division 2
MATT_kaplan108        1083        -7        Division 2
811SmallFry        716        -6        Division 1
811SmallFry        1243        -6        Division 1
HHSJosh                1272        -6        Division 3

And the people who made the best and worst picks for all three teams:

Code:

Best Picker        Difference        Division
David Hoff        23        Division 2
Pitt Bull 1126        14        Division 2
Ryan Dognaux        14        Division 1
Joel J.                13        Division 3
Andy Baker        10        Division 3
               
Worst Picker               
Andy Grady        -19        Division 3
crazykid245        -16        Division 2
811SmallFry        -13        Division 1
Chris                -12        Division 3
diobsidian        -11        Division 2

Finally, I used the sum of all three picks to figure out who is most likely to win each division. The person who made the best picks in a division but with poor draft position may still get beaten by somebody with slightly worse picks, but better draft position.

Code:

Most Likely to win Division 1       
punkrawker303        64
Ryan Dognaux        64
boodah                65
HHSJosh                66
       
Most Likely to win Division 2       
David Hoff        44
       
Most Likely to win Division 3       
Joel J.                29

All of that information is contained for everyone on the person tab of the attached spreadsheet.

Anyway, I had fun making that up, I hope somebody else has fun looking at it. We'll see how it all plays out at IRI.

Joshua May 02-07-2004 22:28

Re: IRI popularity index
 
Cool, lots of information. So I have a good chance with division 1, alright.

Ryan Dognaux 03-07-2004 00:34

Re: IRI popularity index
 
This is awesome :) I didn't think I did that well this time around... apparently I was wrong :]

Go 47, 111, and 135!!

Koko Ed 03-07-2004 08:01

Re: IRI popularity index
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Joe Ross
Kind of like what I did with BtB, I made a list of the teams and their draft order in each of the FF divisions. The idea is that the better teams will go higher in the drafts, overall, but occasionally, a division will overlook a team, and somebody will get a steal, by drafting a good team quite a bit later then everyone else, or make a bad pick, by overlooking several good teams to draft one lower on the list.

Now, someone might say that if they know a team will do very well, it makes sense to draft it early (a bad pick, as classified above). However, in that case, you should have traded down and gotten a better pick elsewhere, knowing that team would be availible later, so it's still a "bad" pick.

Anyway, the best teams, based on average draft positions are
Code:

71
469
45
571
33
494
980
27
47
222

The full list is in the team popularity tab of the spreadsheet. Personally, those would be my top 10 teams, also, not exactly in that order, but close.

The people who made the best single picks (by drafting a team later then they should have gone:

The difference shows how many spots later the person got the team then average.
Code:

Best Picks        Team        Difference        Division
Andy Baker        234        13        Division 3
David Hoff        461        11        Division 2
David Hoff        65        10        Division 2
boodah                1272        10        Division 1
Pitt Bull 1126        447        8        Division 2
Joel J.                292        8        Division 3
Ryan Dognaux        47        7        Division 1
Joe Ross        107        7        Division 3
Amanda Morrison        868        6        Division 1
Jessica Boucher        240        6        Division 1
jgannon                808        6        Division 1
Matt Shea        378        6        Division 2
Joel J.                93        6        Division 3
JVN        217        6        Division 3

And the people who made the worst single team picks

Code:

Worst Picks                       
Andy Grady        65        -11        Division 3
Chris                447        -10        Division 3
Steve Horn        47        -8        Division 2
diobsidian        240        -8        Division 2
JVN        48        -8        Division 3
jgannon                1038        -7        Division 1
crazykid234        234        -7        Division 2
MATT_kaplan108        1083        -7        Division 2
811SmallFry        716        -6        Division 1
811SmallFry        1243        -6        Division 1
HHSJosh                1272        -6        Division 3

And the people who made the best and worst picks for all three teams:

Code:

Best Picker        Difference        Division
David Hoff        23        Division 2
Pitt Bull 1126        14        Division 2
Ryan Dognaux        14        Division 1
Joel J.                13        Division 3
Andy Baker        10        Division 3
               
Worst Picker               
Andy Grady        -19        Division 3
crazykid245        -16        Division 2
811SmallFry        -13        Division 1
Chris                -12        Division 3
diobsidian        -11        Division 2

Finally, I used the sum of all three picks to figure out who is most likely to win each division. The person who made the best picks in a division but with poor draft position may still get beaten by somebody with slightly worse picks, but better draft position.

Code:

Most Likely to win Division 1       
punkrawker303        64
Ryan Dognaux        64
boodah                65
HHSJosh                66
       
Most Likely to win Division 2       
David Hoff        44
       
Most Likely to win Division 3       
Joel J.                29

All of that information is contained for everyone on the person tab of the attached spreadsheet.

Anyway, I had fun making that up, I hope somebody else has fun looking at it. We'll see how it all plays out at IRI.

Joe! Go outside and get some sun for God's sake!!!! :ahh:

Joe Ross 03-07-2004 11:17

Re: IRI popularity index
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Koko Ed
Joe! Go outside and get some sun for God's sake!!!! :ahh:

Sorry, after 6 months of no sun in Rochester, the Los Angeles sun is too much. ;)

Koko Ed 03-07-2004 12:36

Re: IRI popularity index
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Joe Ross
Sorry, after 6 months of no sun in Rochester, the Los Angeles sun is too much. ;)

You never know what's going to come out of the sky in Rah-cha-cha!


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