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Anders Horn 03-04-2009 12:40

Re: Scouting Sheets
 
I don't know the explanation for it but a few days ago I decided to test how well my scouting sheets worked, so I used various measures to try to forecast match results and then compared them to the actual matches.

When I made a graph where x was expected match score [based on average #of points scored for each robot] and y was actual match score [each match was an x,y point] I got a fuzzy oval inclined at 45 degrees [it seemed to me to be slightly less than twice as long as it was wide].

When I tried the same thing with the average # of points in each robot's trailer I got a perfect Gaussian circle centered on the median. I then constructed a perfect Gaussian circle just to check. And so I came to the conclusion that statistically #of points scored on you was not a useful prediction.

It may be a useful predictive factor for a few select robots, but I don't have to data to know.

MrForbes 03-04-2009 12:42

Re: Scouting Sheets
 
Very interesting! Thanks for the info....

Anders Horn 03-04-2009 13:35

Re: Scouting Sheets
 
http://kamocat.com/scouting/moredata.html has pictures of the graphs if you want to analyze them for yourself.


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