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Re: Galileo 2009
Similar to what I did last year, I ran through 200 simulated qualification match schedules (all 102 matches, using the FIRST match generator). I used each team's average opr for their contribution to a match. I calculated the standings for each of the 200 simulated qualification schedules, and then looked at some statistics from the aggregate results.
When I went back and looked at last year's data, a team finished within 1 standard deviation of their average seed 60% of the time, and within 2 standard deviations 95% of the time. Only 3 teams seeded higher/lower then their min/max seed. Code:
Team Avg Seed Median Mode StDev Min Max #1 seed Top 8 |
Re: Galileo 2009
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Team 1270 Red Dragons Shooter 0-10' range Shooter pivots 45 degrees left and right 90 degrees total Hold 15-18 Orbit balls We have been working on a scoring autonomous mode |
Re: Galileo 2009
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Joe, would you be so kind as to do this for Curie also? And I'm sure the other divisions wouldn't mind. |
Re: Galileo 2009
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GALI- |
Re: Galileo 2009
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Short description: IRS Team 1318 Power Dumper, serpentine ball path OR 7-0-0 in Quals, 1st Seed, Champions WA 8th Overall Selection - Semifinalist, 13th seed We scored in autonomous at least 3 times, and have lined up enough to score in the first 5 seconds at least 3 other times. Please describe your robot. :) -LEO |
Re: Galileo 2009
It has already been said but wow this is going to be an amazing field! Can't wait! To be honest I think this division is so deep with quality that making predictions of elimination outcomes is just going to go out the window. I suspect epic matches, and predict amazing plays.
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Re: Galileo 2009
With so many good teams playing during qualifications, you guys think that this year especially, that there's a chance for a mediocre robot who got paired up with great partners each match to be ranked #1? I don't know if its happened before at the Championship, I know it happens at regionals, but how bout at the big show?
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Re: Galileo 2009
Our robot:
Team RICE 870 Power Dumper, conveyor belt to hopper Holds 12 balls comfortably, 16 or so max Us and 102 were by far the best robots at Long Island, and we seeded 1 and 3 accordingly, losing in semi finals together to unfortunate circumstances It's cool to see us (fairly) far up in that rankings sheet! It'd be awesome just to make eliminations. |
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I must say, I am not opposed to these predictions :p |
Re: Galileo 2009
To quote Han Solo in Empire Strikes Back: "Never tell me the odds!" But thanks Joe this is a very interesting analysis.
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Re: Galileo 2009
This year's game is even more prone to a mediocre average definitely creeping up there. And the problem with that is, that the mediocre team generally either
1. messes up the alliances that the other lower seeds might possibly because generally other seeded teams don't want to team up with this seed. 2. or picks a really strong team but the other alliances are stronger and they definitely don't make it to finals, which ultimately kinda dooms the other strong robot that had a chance. I saw it happen at regionals, but worlds is a class above regionals and I'm not sure if this is very likely at worlds. Teams bring their best and most times the good robots do end up on top. |
Re: Galileo 2009
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On another note, the Galileo thread has the most posts in it out of the four divisions- is this a sign that it will be the most spirited field at the Championship? |
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