Chief Delphi

Chief Delphi (http://www.chiefdelphi.com/forums/index.php)
-   Extra Discussion (http://www.chiefdelphi.com/forums/forumdisplay.php?f=68)
-   -   paper: OPR Match Predicter (http://www.chiefdelphi.com/forums/showthread.php?t=94888)

kendalls 28-04-2011 17:44

paper: OPR Match Predicter
 
Thread created automatically to discuss a document in CD-Media.

OPR Match Predicter by kendall

Please forgive the spelling error; Chrome's spell checker lied to me.

kendalls 28-04-2011 21:44

Re: paper: OPR Match Predicter
 
So I've been comparing the predicted results with the actual results of today's matches in the Galileo division. I've determined that the most accurate OPR for a team is the one from the tournament where the team got the highest OPR. For these OPRs, I got a 27% error in predicting match scores and a 22% error in predicting the winner of a match. For normal (average) OPRs, I got errors of 35% and 25% and for 1114's normalized OPRs I got errors of 39% and 30%.


All times are GMT -5. The time now is 08:23.

Powered by vBulletin® Version 3.6.4
Copyright ©2000 - 2017, Jelsoft Enterprises Ltd.
Copyright © Chief Delphi