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Which led to this spreadsheet If you look on row 56, you will see "teams / million students". The data is out of date by over two years but you will get the idea. Ed |
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We're going to the most storied regional in FIRST next year. Wow.
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Must be the BAE Systems Granite State Regional in Manchester. :rolleyes:
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More than 400 new teams now.
2246 teams altogether. Thanksgiving break usually kind of flat lines registration, but then there'll be a bump up before Registration closes the middle of next week. FiM (at 170 teams) is 10 shy of their current maximum capacity. MAR seems to have room for 6 more teams. 88% of the available slots are spoken for:
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There are 2251 teams visibly registered and Bill just mentioned there are only nine more that aren't listed for an Event yet.
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A few of the missing Texas teams are now back along with several Rockies clearing registration. FTC registration has also really picked up in the last 10 days.
Texas combined FTC & FRC = 370! |
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Here are the events with the highest percentage of Rookie teams attending.
Montreal should be exciting with a one-to-one match up of vets to rookies... Total - Rookies - % rookies -- Event 36 ----- 18 ----- 50.00% ----- Montreal 51 ----- 18 ----- 35.30% ----- IL 58 ----- 19 ----- 32.80% ----- GA 43 ----- 14 ----- 32.60% ----- LA 64 ----- 20 ----- 31.30% ----- FL 39 ----- 11 ----- 28.20% ----- MO 40 ----- 11 ----- 27.50% ----- IN 63 ----- 17 ----- 27.00% ----- CA 41 ----- 11 ----- 26.80% ----- PIT 32 ------ 8 ----- 25.00% ----- Dallas-E 48 ----- 12 ----- 25.00% ----- TN 49 ----- 12 ----- 24.50% ----- TOR-W 30 ------ 7 ----- 23.30% ----- Dallas-W 35 ------ 8 ----- 22.90% ----- S. FL 52 ----- 11 ----- 21.20% ----- SDC 62 ----- 13 ----- 21.00% ----- N. Star 44 ------ 9 ----- 20.50% ----- UT 50 ----- 10 ----- 20.00% ----- MA 47 ------ 9 ----- 19.10% ----- WA-Olympic 38 ------ 7 ----- 18.40% ----- SC 46 ------ 8 ----- 17.40% ----- AZ 53 ------ 9 ----- 17.00% ----- TX 30 ------ 5 ----- 16.70% ----- TOR-E 62 ----- 10 ----- 16.10% ----- NYC 31 ------ 5 ----- 16.10% ----- WPI 64 ----- 10 ----- 15.60% ----- OR 57 ------ 8 ----- 14.00% ----- OH 53 ------ 7 ----- 13.20% ----- Queen 61 ------ 8 ----- 13.10% ----- Alamo 46 ------ 6 ----- 13.00% ----- SJC 46 ------ 6 ----- 13.00% ----- WA-Cascade 31 ------ 4 ----- 12.90% ----- WAT 32 ------ 4 ----- 12.50% ----- HI 41 ------ 5 ----- 12.20% ----- Spokane 50 ------ 6 ----- 12.00% ----- NC 46 ------ 5 ----- 10.90% ----- WI 65 ------ 7 ----- 10.80% ----- Lake S. 19 ------ 2 ----- 10.50% ----- MI-Niles 29 ------ 3 ----- 10.30% ----- MAR-Chestnut 40 ------ 4 ----- 10.00% ----- FLR 40 ------ 4 ----- 10.00% ----- MAR-MtOlive 57 ------ 5 ------ 8.80% ----- VA 35 ------ 3 ------ 8.60% ----- NV 36 ------ 3 ------ 8.30% ----- MI-West 39 ------ 3 ------ 7.70% ----- IS 29 ------ 2 ------ 6.90% ----- MI-Waterford 44 ------ 3 ------ 6.80% ----- CO 44 ------ 3 ------ 6.80% ----- CV 59 ------ 4 ------ 6.80% ----- MD 30 ------ 2 ------ 6.70% ----- MI-Troy 61 ------ 4 ------ 6.60% ----- 10K 33 ------ 2 ------ 6.10% ----- MAR-Lenape 33 ------ 2 ------ 6.10% ----- MI-Traverse 34 ------ 2 ------ 5.90% ----- MAR-Rutgers 51 ------ 3 ------ 5.90% ----- OK 54 ------ 3 ------ 5.60% ----- DC 36 ------ 2 ------ 5.60% ----- SAC 47 ------ 2 ------ 4.30% ----- LI 54 ------ 2 ------ 3.70% ----- KC 55 ------ 2 ------ 3.60% ----- CT 30 ------ 1 ------ 3.30% ----- MI-Northville 32 ------ 1 ------ 3.10% ----- MI-Kettering 33 ------ 1 ------ 3.00% ----- MAR-Hatboro 50 ------ 1 ------ 2.00% ----- NH 141 ----- 0 ------ 0.00% ----- CMP 28 ------ 0 ------ 0.00% ----- MI-Detroit 30 ------ 0 ------ 0.00% ----- MI-Livonia |
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Chart for the raw numbers of the previous post.
For comparison overall, rookie's make up 18% of all teams. Right between SC and AZ on the chart. |
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3 and a half days of Registration remain and after the Thanksgiving holiday we're sitting at 2269 teams.
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We have a new FIRST Kick-Off event in Peoria, IL at Bradley University.
Is there a way to find out who has signed up for the Kick-Off events? |
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-Brando |
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I have a question. =)
We were on the waitlist for our local regional. The waitlist email from FIRST said we would receive an automated email if space opened up. I checked this morning. The # of registered teams for the regional had increased and our teams name appeared on the list of registered teams on USFIRST.org..... BUT I never received the automated email saying we got off the waitlist. Does this mean we're off the waitlist? Or do waitlisted teams also show up on the USFIRST.org Event's registered teams website? Thanks!!:D |
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Look on TIMS to see the status of your registration for events.
An email should have gone to the TIMS Main Contact, but there's always the possibility it got trapped somewhere. Here's the one I got from our home regional. It includes an invoice: Quote:
Edit/View gets you to the invoices. |
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Thanks for the replies! I checked TIMS event section and it said we are registered. What a relief!
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Just reached 2300 teams.
That's
32 hours remaining to register... |
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Only a few official hours left to Registration.
A new rookie from Freiburg im Breisgau, Germany just signed-up. Where missing veteran teams are from: 34 ---- TX 17 ---- CA 13 ---- Israel 10 ---- MI 9 ----- CANADA-ON 8 ----- NY 7 ----- FL 7 ----- NJ 6 ----- GA 6 ----- HI 6 ----- OH 6 ----- VA 5 ----- MA 5 ----- NC 5 ----- UT 5 ----- WA 4 ----- MO 4 ----- OK 4 ----- SC 4 ----- WI 3 ----- IL 3 ----- IN 3 ----- LA 3 ----- MD 3 ----- NH 3 ----- NV 3 ----- OR 3 ----- TN 2 ----- AL 2 ----- MS 1 ----- AR 1 ----- AZ 1 ----- CO 1 ----- CT 1 ----- ID 1 ----- KY 1 ----- ME 1 ----- Mexico 1 ----- MN 1 ----- ND 1 ----- PA 1 ----- PR 1 ----- Turkey 1 ----- WV |
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Mark,
Do you know the typical loss rate after the first payment date? |
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Registration is now closed.
![]() 2332 teams at the bell. I do have numbers for team losses after registration closes, however, the interesting thing is that the number of teams is going to continue to rise through the next couple of weeks. FIRST seems to be forgiving with teams on the edge. You can see that in this plot posted last year. I'll post a current year plot tomorrow. |
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What is the cause of that weird dip in 2011 in January?
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There was an open sign-up for 141 spare Championship slots in October as there has been every year. They went really fast though. There are fewer offered each year-last year FIRST offered 149 open slots, the year before it was 175. |
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Here's this season's registration chart.
You can see the teams that have been added since Registration officially closed peeking out to the right of the deadline. These are all due to 5 more rookies that have appeared. P.S. 17 more teams have now shown up since Registration closed. I should note that they aren't all going to be rookies that show up late. Vets are still appearing too. Teams are continuing to drop out as well. FiM and MAR registration for 3rd events remains open until December 9. Michigan has added the most rookies in the past two days (10). |
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Does anyone know when we should expect to see the waitlist for events processed? I'm interested in DC...
George |
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Most waitlists got moved by mid-December last year, but DC was an exception.
DC didn't clear until around New Year's. |
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Something close to 400 FTC & FRC teams in Texas:D The list of non-returning teams has dwindled but still not a number that we all would like to see.:ahh: Most likely a great deal of work has been put in by the three Regional Directors, the now four FTC Affilate Partners, and the now two FIRST Senior Mentors and countless other members of Texas FIRST teams.
:) We could also be experiencing some matriculation of FLL teams which has also skyrocketed in Texas in the last three years. APS |
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:) |
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Michigan rookies are showing up in droves finally.
The West Michigan District event is the first to be at full capacity. FiM now has 189 teams showing, but only slots for 180...where will the next District event be? "Purchasing" spare slots from nearby Regionals and accrediting them for FiM, or an undersized District, or more recruiting to fill a new District? Since (regular) registration closed there have been rookies added from:
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DC will clear the list much earlier this year. There were certain circumstances last year that forced the list to be cleared later. Those circumstances have been prevented this year.
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There has also been some room opened up at DC by teams dropping out this year.
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# - Rookies - Missing - Area 199 -- 37 ---- 17 ----- CA 190 -- 26 ----- 9 ----- MI 153 -- 23 ----- 1 ----- MN 151 -- 36 ---- 30 ----- TX 135 -- 16 ----- 8 ----- NY 97 --- 19 ----- 5 ----- WA 79 --- 21 ----- 9 ----- CANADA-ON 78 --- 28 ----- 7 ----- FL 67 ---- 5 ----- 6 ----- VA 65 --- 17 ----- 1 ----- PA 63 ---- 6 ----- 6 ----- NJ 58 ---- 9 ----- 5 ----- MA 58 --- 15 ----- 6 ----- OH 57 --- 16 ----- 3 ----- IL 56 ---- 8 ----- 4 ----- MO 48 ---- 3 ----- 4 ----- OK 47 --- 17 ----- 6 ----- GA 44 ---- 7 ----- 1 ----- AZ 44 --- 10 ----- 3 ----- OR 43 --- 12 ----- 3 ----- IN 42 ---- 1 ----- 1 ----- CT 41 ---- 6 ----- 1 ----- CO 40 ---- 4 ---- 13 ----- Israel 38 ---- 7 ----- 5 ----- NC 36 ---- 5 ----- 3 ----- MD 34 ---- 6 ----- 4 ----- WI 33 ---- 4 ----- 4 ----- HI 32 --- 18 ----- 0 ----- CANADA-QC 31 --- 10 ----- 3 ----- LA 31 ---- 9 ----- 4 ----- SC 30 ---- 1 ----- 3 ----- NH 26 --- 12 ----- 3 ----- TN 20 ---- 0 ----- 0 ----- KS 19 ---- 8 ----- 1 ----- Mexico 19 ---- 5 ----- 5 ----- UT 16 ---- 4 ----- 1 ----- ID 15 ---- 1 ----- 0 ----- DC 14 ---- 5 ----- 2 ----- AL 11 ---- 0 ----- 1 ----- KY 11 ---- 2 ----- 3 ----- NV 10 ---- 3 ----- 1 ----- ME 10 ---- 2 ----- 2 ----- MS 8 ----- 6 ----- 1 ----- AR 6 ----- 0 ----- 0 ----- MT 6 ----- 3 ----- 0 ----- NM 5 ----- 0 ----- 0 ----- Brazil 5 ----- 0 ----- 0 ----- RI 5 ----- 2 ----- 1 ----- Turkey 4 ----- 1 ----- 0 ----- IA 4 ----- 0 ----- 1 ----- WV 3 ----- 0 ----- 0 ----- VT 3 ----- 0 ----- 0 ----- WY 2 ----- 0 ----- 0 ----- AK 2 ----- 1 ----- 0 ----- CANADA-AB 2 ----- 0 ----- 0 ----- DE 2 ----- 1 ----- 0 ----- Germany 2 ----- 0 ----- 1 ----- ND 2 ----- 0 ----- 0 ----- United Kingdom 1 ----- 0 ----- 0 ----- Australia 1 ----- 1 ----- 0 ----- CANADA-NS 1 ----- 0 ----- 0 ----- Chile 1 ----- 1 ----- 0 ----- Dominican Republic 1 ----- 0 ----- 0 ----- Herzegovina 1 ----- 1 ----- 0 ----- NE 1 ----- 0 ----- 1 ----- PR 1 ----- 1 ----- 0 ----- Spain 1 ----- 1 ----- 0 ----- Taiwan |
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Could we also see teams lost per region? |
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How does that differ from "Missing"? |
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Here are charts of the areas with:
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I tried a pie chart first of everyone, but it sort of just looks like a colored pinwheel with too many entries.
These kinds of plots are going to mostly show areas with few teams at both the upper and lower ends of the spectrum. They can illuminate transistion areas where team loss/gain is more critical to reaching a self-supporting mass. Larger established areas aren't at risk of dying from loss of teams while small areas are. Loss of teams in low-density areas = a lack of experienced support. I suppose we could generate individual charts based on FRC team population catagories, e.g.,
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Some speculations on the pending new Michigan event.
Okay, so we know that Michigan must be looking for an additional District site, because they obviously don't fit right now. That probably also means the existing event lists won't be completely straightened out until after the new event is settled. Choice of new events depends on the mixture of overall FiM philosophy.
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Lansing would be a good site for a new District event.
I have no inside knowledge of FiM plans. We are a tad busy just now, getting new teams up and running out here in District 16. :) |
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I've been busy myself running a series of rookie workshops (mechanical, pneumatics, electrical, programming, putting it all together) at two rookie sites locally. Yesterday one rookie team finished assembling all the electronics and got a running robot, last night I took the robot apart, today another rookie team gets to put it all together (again). I feel like I'm on one of those hampster wheels. |
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Saginaw is likely, it has the benefit of utilizing the Flint network of volunteers and is just inside 7. Lansing is another good guess but there may be a reason that Lansing didn't hold another event (speculation). |
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The Tri-City area (Bay county, Saginaw county, and Midland county) has a population of roughly 400,000, but only a handful of FRC teams. FiM may target this area for a district because of the low team density, but high potential for growth.
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Team 2337 attended the Lansing District in 2009 and it appeared to be well-run. I was personally disappointed the event did not come back for the following years. It's nice to have an event in the state capital as it is much easier to connect to and invite state congressmen and officials (the governor attended in 2009).
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Since registration closed on December 1, FRC has:
More than 8 Regional lists have changed in the last day.
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The best place for new exposure would to put a district event in Marquette Michigan (I'd say Houghton but not enough teams would actually trek that far to come to a competition) in District 1. Yes it is a drive for the teams in Lower Michigan but the UP is an awesome place and is well worth the trip also the UP is slowly growing with teams and this new competition would help speed it up. It would also help keep costs down for the teams in district 1 as they have to travel upwards of 10 hours one way to get to 1 competition and then to force them to do it twice is ridiculous. FIM was created to save teams $, get the costs of competitions down and to give teams more play for the price. All teams in District 1 don't see the benefit of it because they have to travel so far.
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Anyone ever been to Sault Ste. Marie, MI?
Looks like there is an Airfield and a University. It is also 5 hours from Houghton, and 5 hours from Troy, MI. |
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FiM has begun clearing the District waitlists.
In all, a net of 45 teams have added in (teams have dropped out too). |
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It is wierd how they extended the date for regionals to December 19th to allow more teams to apply.
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Now that registration is done...
EWCP has published a new team distribution map. It is available on our blog at http://ewcp.org/blog/2012/01/03/FRC-...distributions/ |
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![]() I'm not sure if team densities will ever approach FIM and MAR levels in the midwest. The population isn't as dense. On the flip side, the midwestern culture is used to driving longer distances to do things. Perhaps we can support the district system over a much broader geographical area. |
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Nice region grouping graphic.
The team coordinates in the most recent All FRC Teams Ever have been refined. About a third now reflect the actual school location and the only duplicate coordinates are of teams hosted at the same school. It's not perfect, as some teams don't give enough information to pinpoint their location any closer than a town, and mistakes may have been made, but it's better than it was. The coordinates that have been examined and are fairly accurate are marked. If anyone wants to volunteer corrections, they will be cheerfully accepted. |
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MAR=NJ, eastern part of PA, and DE National Capital Region: MD, DC, VA For now. |
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http://www.dc-first.org/about-us/sponsors http://www.virginiafirst.org/community/sponsors The region shares major sponsorship for events. |
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Welcome to the latest FRC rookie team 4411, from Beijing, China.
The Middle School attached to Northern Jiaotong University They have signed up fpr the Seattle Olympic Regional. |
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Jane |
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I wouldn't want our new friends in China to get the impression they are being compared to escaped livestock. :confused: |
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Jane P.S. Can I keep the, hooo boy! ? That means: :D with a little :ahh: followed by a :D which = AWEsome! |
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I thought I should mention the new Michigan District event at Gull Lake High School in Richland, MI.
The Michigan people know all about it, but the rest of us may not have heard. It's a week 1 event and 20 teams are currently registered there. Waitlist clearing across a lot of events has been going on, too. |
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Here's the (semi) final registration plot for this year.
Currently at 2346 teams. China dropped out on us.
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We need to do a draft next week in Fantasy FIRST. |
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The Championship has been admitting teams off of the waitlist-about the same time as last year.
Originally, 142 teams were let in during open registration back in October. It dropped to a low of ~123 teams after payments came due. It's now back up to 140 teams. Total registration now stands at 2343 teams. Here are the % of teams doing more than one event: # Events - # Teams - % of all Teams 5 ----- 2 ----- 0.1% 4 ---- 10 ----- 0.4% 3 --- 131 ----- 5.6% 2 --- 725 ---- 30.9% 1 -- 1475 ---- 63.0% |
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I've noticed that in addition to a rise in 3-event teams that are attending 2 districts and an outside regional, more teams are moving towards 3 regionals. Do you think it will be a growing trend in places that don't have districts?
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Here's a late addition of when each event reached initial capacity (blue bar) and when it finished drawing from the waitlist if it reached max advertised capacity (red bar). Those events where the blue/red bar reaches the top are those that never reached maximum capacity. The scale is in days from registration opening. The blue bar can be thought of as the free market, while the red bar represents the controlled market of the Regional Director/FIRST HQ's discretion. The Blue goes quickly, but the red lags.
The first chart is in order from left to right based on which events reached initial capacity first. The second chart is in order by when the team list was finalized from the waitlist. FIRST HQ is highly concerned with all teams getting their first Regional, but don't care so much if they get a second Regional, so some waitlists drag on and never seem to close. |
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How many days must teams wait before second and third regional registration opens?
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All in the FIRST calendar: http://www.usfirst.org/roboticsprogr...eason-calendar
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Here are some charts of interest.
These show how old the teams are that have dropped out each of the years from 1999 to 2012. The number in the pie wedge is the number of teams that didn't return from the previous year, and the color of the wedge corresponds to the number of year's the team actually competed. This includes teams that may have skipped a year, but the skipped years weren't counted. In the 2nd attachment the % in the pie wedge is the % of all teams lost that year. |
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See if the 2nd attachment fits what you want.
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Thanks Mark.
So what occurred in 2000 and 2001? It looks like we have made steady improvement in retaining new teams since then, but those two years really stand out. |
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That cross-year comparison of % might be deceptive and I'm thinking about other ways to portray this kind of data. Maybe normalize % against the total number of teams each year, so losing 1% of total teams in 1999 can reasonably be compared to 1% of teams in 2012.
For instance, 1999 lost 12.7% of it's teams, while 2000 lost almost 5% fewer (7.9%) of it's teams. P.S. I added full comparison charts that show the difference. The "problem" with 2000 is that it had the lowest overall dropout rate of all the years charted, so the percentages are disproportional in comparison to the surrounding years. 2000 only lost 32 teams. Most of the other years are pretty similar with less than a 1% spread in losses of total teams (7.9% - 8.8%), so the charts do generally work in comparison. The outliers, where comparison doesn't work, are 1999(12.7%), 2002(10%), and 2005(11.9%), all poor years for retaining teams. |
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Ah, OK.. Makes sense. Amazing how easily numbers can be deceiving If not interpreted correctly.
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