Re: [FF]: 2012 Connecticut
Quote:
Originally Posted by Andrew Schreiber
(Post 1094719)
So... what your saying is that Akash should have listened to you because by your metrics 1071 is the superior team? I know Akash and he makes decisions based on any available information. Perhaps he is operating on a different set of metrics. Let it play out man. See which set of metrics is more useful in this particular case.
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There's a difference between past performance and possible future stats. I place a lot on proven past performance as a predictor of the future (noting that everyone has a stellar or atrocious year here and there). Sometimes I'll go for a future performance, either because it's a reasonable choice or because I want to try a reasonable gamble that I have other information on.
By my metrics, yes, 1071 is a superior team--because they are consistently performing at a particular level, at this particular event. By someone else's metrics, the 2168 is better--but in my mind, they have not shown anything like the potential I'd need to put them ahead--yet. One good/bad year does not a team's career make. If Akash and his team think that they'll improve enough over last year (or the previous years, which didn't stack up to last year) to make it a worthwhile pick, that's their choice. |
