[mwtidd]

Originally Posted by Wayne TenBrink

In general, an observer can tell who is capable of doing what, and they instinctively know when to dismiss certain match data. We tend to rate teams based on their expected capabilities when things are working properly. Recent performance is generally a better indication of future performance than historical average because of all the continuous improvement that goes on in FIRST. I think that ETC's might better reflect true capabilities if they omitted one or two of the lowest matches, or perhaps looked at a 10 match running average, like some golfing handicaps.

Regardless of the imperfection of any system, they have their merits. Many thanks to those who do the work to make them possible.

Thanks for the insights on the golfing handicaps, and its definitely something I am trying to figure out. The logistics of removing the lowest match is a little difficult as I keep a running sum which is adjusted as matches are added. Definitely on my todo list this week.

Thanks!