Similar to what I did
in previous years, I ran through 100 simulated qualification match schedules (all 147 matches, using the FIRST match generator). I used each team's highest opr at any event for their contribution to a match. I calculated the standings for each of the 100 simulated qualification schedules, and then looked at some statistics from the aggregate results.
Code:
Team OPR Avg Rnk Med Rnk Mod Rnk SD Rnk Max Rnk Min Rnk #1 seed Top 8 Avg QP Med QP Mode QP StdevQP Max QP Min QP
148 71.24 7.13 4.5 2 7.8 42 1 15 76 17.04 18 18 2.41 20 10
1503 65.43 8.6 6 3 7.7 36 1 14 64 16.49 16.5 18 2.38 20 10
525 64.08 9.6 7.5 2 8.3 37 1 9 55 16.27 16 16 2.46 20 10
217 61.01 11.09 10 2 8.8 54 1 7 44 15.73 16 16 2.39 20 8
234 58.70 9.68 7 6 8.1 38 1 8 58 16.31 16 18 2.30 20 11
2415 57.92 11.26 10.5 1 8.0 37 1 10 43 15.8 16 16 2.39 20 10
25 57.04 12.68 10 7 9.2 39 1 5 43 15.4 16 16 2.54 20 10
1538 55.88 10.46 8 4 9.2 48 1 5 54 16.06 16 18 2.49 20 8
1730 54.08 14.78 12.5 4 10.1 41 1 2 33 14.96 14.5 14 2.62 20 10
11 48.94 17.28 16 12 11.2 50 1 5 26 14.43 14 14 2.61 20 8
2122 47.49 18.78 15.5 5 13.7 57 1 4 27 14.29 14 14 3.08 20 8
1676 46.38 19.72 17 14 14.1 65 1 2 23 14.02 14 14 3.06 20 6
27 46.29 22.02 20 9 14.4 65 1 2 17 13.56 14 14 3.16 20 6
3138 45.36 21.01 21 22 11.4 53 1 2 15 13.69 14 12 2.57 20 8
624 45.21 21.58 18.5 11 13.3 52 2 0 20 13.62 14 16 2.86 20 8
78 43.85 21.82 19 10 13.7 64 2 0 16 13.49 14 14 2.81 18 6
88 42.90 22.14 17 14 15.9 68 1 3 17 13.55 14 16 3.33 20 6
16 41.77 23.23 19 17 15.0 62 1 2 14 13.37 14 14 3.11 20 6
3284 41.26 22.64 20 26 13.9 69 2 0 11 13.45 14 14 2.83 20 6
1732 41.15 22.11 19 19 14.9 77 2 0 16 13.54 14 14 2.94 20 4
179 40.88 22.65 19 11 15.5 78 3 0 13 13.46 14 14 3.07 20 4
233 40.32 23.07 19 4 16.8 81 1 2 17 13.45 14 14 3.31 20 5
2848 40.01 24.77 22 20 13.8 53 2 0 12 12.92 14 14 2.89 20 8
836 39.89 25.44 22 28 15.8 73 1 1 12 12.93 14 14 3.06 19 5
494 39.87 26.31 25 23 14.6 66 2 0 13 12.81 12 12 3.07 20 6
340 36.95 28.87 24.5 21 16.8 68 2 0 8 12.35 12 12 3.16 18 6
337 35.40 28.15 27 29 13.7 77 1 1 4 12.39 12 12 2.67 20 4
1731 35.03 29.15 28 40 15.1 66 1 1 9 12.24 12 12 3.00 20 6
3547 33.77 28.98 26 21 15.2 78 4 0 3 12.16 12 12 2.86 18 4
302 31.40 33.64 32 25 13.6 66 6 0 3 11.41 12 12 2.43 18 6
2046 28.17 40.58 41 41 16.0 80 12 0 0 10.29 10 10 2.76 16 4
2481 28.08 40.92 39.5 27 20.1 86 2 0 6 10.23 10 10 3.61 20 2
2809 27.79 37.71 35 30 17.5 76 6 0 2 10.82 12 12 3.11 18 4
2338 27.62 38.01 35.5 29 17.6 76 2 0 3 10.7 11.5 12 3.08 18 4
3009 26.11 40.16 38.5 32 17.3 86 3 0 4 10.45 10 8 3.22 18 2
1100 25.93 40.06 41 51 17.5 84 5 0 2 10.48 10 8 3.13 18 3
842 25.14 38.93 39 39 17.0 80 5 0 2 10.61 10 10 2.98 18 4
386 24.47 43.77 43.5 53 18.5 85 9 0 0 9.79 10 8 3.20 16 2
1108 23.34 41.85 40.5 41 16.4 84 10 0 0 10.13 10 10 2.89 16 2
3483 22.56 43.02 41.5 34 18.1 83 7 0 1 10 10 12 3.31 18 4
811 21.83 44.79 44 44 17.3 84 6 0 1 9.71 10 10 2.90 18 2
1511 21.49 45 45 40 17.7 87 14 0 0 9.72 10 8 3.04 16 0
1710 21.07 47.45 48.5 54 18.2 83 8 0 1 9.27 8.5 8 3.06 16 2
3456 19.80 45.14 45 54 18.6 83 4 0 2 9.82 10 8 3.18 18 4
2614 19.70 44.54 42 41 18.6 82 5 0 1 9.72 10 10 3.34 18 2
447 17.94 46.86 46.5 31 18.0 86 7 0 3 9.42 10 10 3.17 18 2
3536 15.47 54.76 56.5 68 17.5 85 23 0 0 8.32 8 6 2.96 14 2
228 15.06 52.46 54 46 19.6 88 5 0 1 8.65 8 8 3.42 18 0
3103 14.82 51.74 52.5 58 18.0 86 5 0 2 8.74 8 8 3.13 18 2
3344 14.52 51.64 54 54 18.4 84 13 0 0 8.7 8 8 3.15 16 2
980 14.12 50.82 51 49 18.7 87 4 0 1 8.83 8 8 3.26 18 2
236 14.04 53.4 54.5 53 17.4 86 13 0 0 8.41 8 8 2.97 16 2
3792 13.95 54.35 54 44 18.0 87 9 0 0 8.26 8 6 3.14 18 2
79 13.31 55 55 59 17.5 87 6 0 1 8.17 8 8 3.10 18 0
2039 13.03 52.27 51.5 47 17.8 85 4 0 1 8.67 8 10 3.10 18 2
2437 12.45 57.58 57.5 54 16.1 87 11 0 0 7.88 8 6 2.69 16 2
1764 11.31 59.11 60.5 68 14.1 87 13 0 0 7.62 8 8 2.41 15 2
1604 8.83 59.74 62 56 17.3 87 9 0 0 7.68 8 8 2.98 16 2
2797 8.27 57.82 59.5 73 17.6 88 16 0 0 7.92 8 8 3.11 16 0
2974 7.55 60.54 65 72 17.9 88 11 0 0 7.4 7.5 6 3.16 16 0
3880 6.48 63.27 67 67 16.6 88 19 0 0 7 6 6 2.88 16 0
2815 5.09 61.6 62 61 15.6 88 22 0 0 7.42 8 8 2.71 14 2
2264 4.89 65.21 68 46 15.6 87 28 0 0 6.84 6 6 2.69 12 2
1942 4.81 61.37 61 58 15.7 88 24 0 0 7.33 8 8 2.82 14 0
3358 4.64 65.18 68.5 47 16.7 87 23 0 0 6.65 6 8 3.03 14 2
3612 4.45 61.92 62 88 18.0 88 13 0 0 7.18 8 8 3.30 16 0
1502 4.28 61.22 64 72 16.8 87 15 0 0 7.42 8 6 2.98 16 0
3242 3.77 66.78 71 83 16.1 88 22 0 0 6.57 6 6 2.83 13 2
2342 3.62 64.81 70 70 15.7 88 21 0 0 6.91 6 6 2.78 14 2
3748 3.21 63.91 67 72 15.8 88 23 0 0 7.05 6 6 2.69 14 0
2662 3.20 62.01 63 76 16.8 87 24 0 0 7.36 8 8 2.97 14 2
2655 3.16 68.3 70.5 82 14.4 88 29 0 0 6.29 6 6 2.61 13 0
3622 2.98 67.7 71 71 14.9 88 29 0 0 6.35 6 6 2.63 12 0
1984 2.84 66.52 69 60 15.0 88 28 0 0 6.52 6 6 2.79 12 0
2197 2.66 62.52 65.5 82 17.6 88 18 0 0 7.16 7 6 3.20 14 0
3126 2.50 68.47 70.5 86 15.0 88 36 0 0 6.1 6 6 2.90 12 0
3478 1.33 68.93 72 86 15.3 88 31 0 0 6.06 6 8 2.96 12 0
2080 0.56 65.71 71 71 17.9 88 13 0 0 6.66 6 6 3.23 16 0
353 0.37 68.54 73 61 15.0 87 31 0 0 6.26 6 6 2.78 12 2
1829 -0.01 69.79 74 86 15.1 88 21 0 0 6.12 6 6 2.92 14 0
3521 -0.53 71.66 74 85 13.0 88 35 0 0 5.74 6 6 2.56 12 0
1165 -0.59 68.66 73.5 84 17.3 88 29 0 0 6.01 6 4 3.23 12 0
1801 -1.16 69.05 72.5 79 15.9 88 23 0 0 6.18 6 6 2.94 14 0
3278 -1.98 70.25 73 85 14.2 88 32 0 0 5.96 6 4 2.69 12 0
3505 -2.07 70.45 74.5 88 14.7 88 29 0 0 6 6 6 2.86 12 0
2660 -2.31 69.74 74 88 15.3 88 32 0 0 5.92 6 6 2.98 12 0
1195 -2.42 69.79 75 88 15.6 88 23 0 0 6.03 6 4 2.93 14 0
3472 -5.76 73.98 76.5 88 13.4 88 39 0 0 5.31 5.5 4 2.80 12 0