Quote:
Originally Posted by Ian Curtis
I got a rudimentary sorter (by qualifying points only) working because I was interested. Columns are team number, OPR, QP. Interesting to see how teams "lucked out" or "unlucked out"
I *think* I got the full ranking working. Very interesting results... First column is team number, 2nd is OPR, 3rd is QP, 4th is cumulative opponents score (divide this by 10 to get RS). Remember this assumes the OPR predicted teams will win, so a good sensitivity analysis would look to see if some of these teams play in close matches which they might well lose. (For example, 525 is predicted to win Match 10 by less than a point)
[EDIT]I think there might be an error in my RP code. I haven't found a case where the qualifying points don't match up with a hand counted test case though. Really got to start on that homework assignment, so I'll leave these with a speculate at your own risk attached to them[/EDIT]
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Here is my attempt at simulated rankings, using your match scores and an existing excel sheet of mine. I think I accounted for surrogate matches (3rd Match) correctly. Note the ThunderClucks win their surrogate match, but lose 2 others.
It begs the question again, why can't we go to 90 teams/division and eliminate these pointless surrogate matches?
Code:
Rank Team # QS RS Matches
1 525 20 68.80 10
2 148 20 50.62 10
3 1676 20 44.68 10
4 1538 18 67.90 10
5 3547 18 54.36 10
6 25 18 52.64 10
7 2848 18 51.08 10
8 27 18 48.98 10
9 2039 18 28.01 10
10 1730 16 65.86 10
11 217 16 63.26 11
12 624 16 62.75 10
13 234 16 58.62 10
14 78 16 56.90 10
15 88 16 53.22 10
16 3456 16 41.97 10
17 3138 14 66.10 10
18 2809 14 61.31 10
19 1732 14 59.72 10
20 2415 14 58.06 10
21 11 14 56.20 10
22 1731 14 55.53 10
23 2338 14 54.64 10
24 386 14 49.88 10
25 2481 14 49.73 10
26 233 12 63.62 10
27 179 12 62.50 10
28 1511 12 59.15 10
29 3284 12 56.48 10
30 1503 12 54.33 10
31 2122 12 53.29 10
32 340 12 51.09 10
33 2264 12 49.48 10
34 2342 12 45.80 11
35 353 12 45.79 10
36 836 10 57.65 10
37 494 10 53.44 10
38 447 10 45.99 10
39 1764 10 44.98 10
40 3483 10 41.38 10
41 1942 10 38.07 10
42 228 10 37.31 10
43 2662 10 33.91 10
44 1829 10 28.55 10
45 16 8 62.62 10
46 842 8 59.99 10
47 337 8 54.47 10
48 3009 8 52.21 10
49 2437 8 50.85 10
50 302 8 50.84 10
51 3521 8 49.66 10
52 811 8 49.40 10
53 1502 8 45.41 10
54 2797 8 44.12 10
55 3242 8 42.84 10
56 980 8 41.60 10
57 3536 8 41.53 10
58 1195 8 37.76 10
59 2815 8 35.07 10
60 3622 8 33.18 10
61 1801 8 32.68 10
62 3505 8 32.46 10
63 2046 6 59.20 10
64 1100 6 56.24 10
65 236 6 55.73 10
66 1710 6 51.05 10
67 3792 6 45.72 10
68 1984 6 38.99 10
69 79 6 38.86 10
70 3880 6 36.91 10
71 3612 6 34.43 10
72 3358 6 33.98 10
73 3472 6 32.92 10
74 3748 6 32.32 10
75 3278 6 29.36 10
76 2614 4 54.85 10
77 1108 4 54.66 10
78 3103 4 50.15 10
79 3478 4 42.83 10
80 1165 4 40.77 10
81 1604 4 40.56 10
82 2655 4 38.91 10
83 2197 4 33.92 10
84 3344 2 44.18 10
85 2974 2 44.11 10
86 2080 2 37.60 10
87 2660 2 36.56 10
88 3126 2 34.42 10