Quote:
Originally Posted by Peter Matteson
Actually the odds are even worse than that...
Since FIRST went to the current divisional format in 2001 52.4% (74) of all Einstein slots (140 total) have been filled by just 24 teams with 2 or more Einstein trips!
35.7% of the total slots are taken up by just 12 teams with 3 or more trips.
42.9% (15) of all Championship Winner spots (35) in the same time frame were won by just 6 teams that have won 2 or more championships in divisional era!
The highest number team of the 24 is 1218.
The highest number team of the 12 is 968.
The highest number team of the 6 is 294.
All this said I'm willing to bet a coffee that with a list of 12 teams I can hit on 4 of the 12 Einstein competitors this year before I even know what anyone's robot looks like.
Edit: I forgot to cite my source, Jim Zondag's wonderful championship history white paper that he has published the last 2 years.
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Sounds like it's a good year for FIRST to take on basketball since only 9 teams have won the NBA championship in the last three decades (and almost half of them were by the Celtics and Lakers combined) and that's with a salary cap.
Sometimes it's not about being fair. Some people are just very good at what they do.