Quote:
Originally Posted by Siri
Shouldn't there be a further method of determining the cutoff? For instance, 1640 is currently sitting at 25. This means, I think, that 28 teams (minimum) need to move above us, putting us at 53. The least number of points this requires is 962, under the overall point remainder of 987. Have I done this correctly?
However, this leapfrogging (at its minimum) requires 13 teams to earn 40 or more points at Mount Olive and another 8 to earn 30 or more (2 in the 20s, and 5 in the 10s). There should be some mathematical limit to the points one team can acquire, and another limit to the number of teams who can earn, say, 40 points.
I'm working on figuring this out. (Thought I had it there for a while...) Is this what you're doing in columns Q-AB?
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I'm sure that it gets more complex as we look at things like the match schedule to find the max number of qual. points for the top teams to earn. Right now every team has the chance to earn 48 QP. With every match a team loses/ties/fails to coop, their ceiling decreases. Once alliances are selected it should be slightly more clear which teams are mathematically eliminated, but elims will probably still be able to alter the outcome significantly.
All of the bubble teams should be hoping for teams currently above them to earn as many points as possible, since that doesn't change their standing at all.
So the moral is: Win CA at Mount Olive, or earn somewhere in the range of 58+ points to lock in a spot. I'm guessing the cutoff will be somewhere around the high 40's, so anything in that range is dangerous.