Quote:
Originally Posted by Kris Verdeyen
I've noticed that all of Car Nack's predictions from previous years have been taken down. It would be interesting to see what his overall record is with the benefit of hindsight, because this year, it's pretty bad...
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I can still see the threads in Car Nack's Corner going back to 2004. This isn't the first time that I've been able to see stuff going farther back than someone else, though...
And wouldn't you know it, I once decided to try to track Car Nack's record.
This year he's actually 1-2. (#2 is pretty much spot on.)
Last year: 1-2.
2010: 3-2 (#5 that year, a scoring prediction, actually had two, both correct.)
2009: 3-1, with the one incorrect one being fans not being any good. (#4 that year was that 1/12 of Einstein would have a fan.)
2008: 2-1, with the incorrect one being half of a double and the other, more specific half (at least one event), being correct.
2007: 2-1; keepers weren't rare as predicted, but at least one event had <5 as predicted.
2006: 3-3. One of the successes was the use of at least four "real time humans" due to problems with the scoring system. One of the few Car Nack publicly hoped he was wrong about...
2005: 1-2, with one unconfirmed. (The unconfirmed one was an average number of tetras; one of the incorrect predictions was a preseason "There will be no three-team alliances".)
2004: 7 predictions. 3-2 record. One prediction--a high score--I haven't seen any evidence either way. Another had a given which was resolved and therefore cannot be called as either correct or incorrect. And no, I didn't see any straitjackets for the real-time scoring operator.
Overall... 19-16, 2 unconfirmed. About 54%.