Similar to what I did in
previous years, I ran through 200 simulated qualification match schedules (with 12 matches per team, using the FIRST match generator). I used each team's highest adjusted opr at any event for their contribution to a match, based on Ed Law's data. I calculated the results for each of the 200 simulated qualification schedules, and then looked at some statistics from the aggregate results.
Since the standings are much more complicated this year, I did not try to calculate the standings. This is only the contribution of w-l-t to the qualification score (eg 2 points for a win, 1 point for a tie, no points for a loss).
Everyone should attend
Karthik's presentation where he covers "Why 'OPR' is a flawed indicator in Rebound Rumble".
Code:
OPR Average Median Mode Min Max StDev
67 39.33 21.75 22 22 16 24 1.86
469 36.28 21.01 21.5 22 16 24 2.09
2474 34.73 20.71 21 22 16 24 2.02
548 33.12 19.74 20 20 12 24 2.39
3322 28.87 17.895 18 18 10 24 2.81
27 28.44 17.875 18 18 11 24 2.79
217 28.12 17.55 18 18 10 24 2.58
1023 27.54 17.555 18 18 10 24 2.76
1918 25.76 16.58 16.5 18 8 22 2.85
1718 25.64 16.515 16 18 10 23 2.55
3539 25.54 16.6 17 18 8 24 2.85
862 23.70 15.47 16 16 6 22 2.88
51 23.52 15.36 16 16 6 22 3.05
2337 22.40 14.565 14 14 6 21 2.85
2137 21.70 14.39 14 14 6 22 3.05
1684 20.96 13.95 14 14 6 24 3.01
2054 20.89 14.06 14 14 7 23 3.07
33 20.42 13.125 13 14 6 20 2.84
573 19.77 13.78 14 14 6 22 3.02
70 19.57 13.25 14 14 5 20 2.90
302 19.25 13.025 13 12 6 20 3.05
3234 19.14 13 13 14 6 20 2.99
123 18.45 12.095 12 12 2 20 3.01
858 18.41 12 12 12 3 20 3.08
2767 17.90 12.215 12 14 6 22 3.01
226 17.77 11.825 12 12 4 19 3.15
107 17.62 12.135 12 12 5 20 2.97
308 17.52 12.405 12 12 4 20 2.99
2834 17.24 11.755 12 12 4 22 2.95
314 17.09 11.495 12 12 4 18 2.87
2959 16.98 11.495 12 12 2 20 3.04
2000 16.36 10.74 10.5 12 4 20 3.01
245 16.08 10.98 11 10 4 17 2.86
85 15.88 11.35 12 12 2 20 3.12
3618 15.33 10.635 10 10 2 18 3.18
3546 15.13 10.545 10 12 4 18 2.98
247 15.09 10.415 10 10 4 18 2.97
830 15.06 10.355 10 12 2 20 3.16
240 15.00 10.305 10 10 4 18 2.87
3568 14.65 10.47 10 10 4 18 3.06
904 14.58 10.45 10 10 2 18 2.85
2851 14.37 9.92 10 10 2 18 2.88
3098 13.81 10.16 10 10 2 18 3.06
1025 13.78 9.855 10 10 4 20 2.83
3572 13.45 9.715 10 10 2 18 3.00
2591 12.94 9.365 10 10 0 18 2.93
201 12.85 9.13 10 10 1 18 3.29
4294 12.03 9.01 9 10 2 16 2.92
66 11.62 8.94 9 10 0 17 2.87
1504 11.56 9.115 9 8 2 18 2.73
494 11.16 8.455 8 8 2 14 2.62
503 11.11 8.3 8 8 0 15 2.67
3601 10.46 7.815 8 8 0 16 2.82
4003 10.14 7.365 7 6 0 16 2.78
141 9.09 7.72 8 8 2 14 2.99
3538 7.99 6.945 7 8 0 16 2.95
3537 7.91 6.91 6 6 0 14 2.71
3617 6.76 6.125 6 6 0 15 2.95
1711 6.52 6.06 6 6 0 15 2.59
3656 6.49 5.81 6 6 0 14 2.71
3509 2.37 3.865 4 2 0 12 2.41