Similar to what I did in
previous years, I ran through 200 simulated qualification match schedules (with 12 matches per team, using the FIRST match generator). I used each team's highest adjusted opr at any event for their contribution to a match, based on Ed Law's data. I calculated the results for each of the 200 simulated qualification schedules, and then looked at some statistics from the aggregate results.
Since the standings are much more complicated this year, I did not try to calculate the standings. This is only the contribution of w-l-t to the qualification score (eg 2 points for a win, 1 point for a tie, no points for a loss).
Everyone should attend
Karthik's presentation where he covers "Why 'OPR' is a flawed indicator in Rebound Rumble".
Code:
OPR Average Median Mode Min Max StDev
1218 36.19 21.58 22 22 16 24 1.74
341 35.38 21.425 22 22 15 24 1.88
25 33.75 21.165 22 22 15 24 1.94
365 33.63 20.975 22 22 16 24 1.98
1676 29.47 19.12 20 20 8 24 2.57
222 24.18 16.585 16 16 10 24 2.85
1089 21.98 16.055 16 16 6 22 2.71
1279 21.96 15.825 16 18 10 24 2.99
1403 21.91 15.73 16 16 10 22 2.54
357 21.58 15.675 16 16 8 22 2.69
316 19.83 14.555 14 14 5 22 2.97
2180 19.62 14.795 14 14 7 22 3.17
224 18.83 14.35 14 14 8 20 2.67
423 18.21 13.365 14 12 6 20 3.04
2590 17.97 13.555 14 14 6 21 2.94
486 17.69 13.5 14 12 6 21 2.87
11 17.50 13.86 14 14 4 22 2.96
225 16.84 13.045 13 12 6 22 2.84
834 16.65 13.625 13 12 6 22 2.93
1712 16.46 12.565 12 14 5 19 2.70
2234 15.92 12.405 12 14 5 21 2.78
714 15.56 12.545 12 12 4 21 3.07
223 15.33 11.83 12 12 4 19 2.81
4342 15.15 12.155 12 14 4 22 3.22
56 14.91 11.645 12 12 4 20 3.18
272 14.77 11.855 12 12 4 22 2.92
1302 14.53 11.915 12 12 6 20 2.75
2016 14.46 11.235 11.5 10 3 18 2.83
1640 14.03 11.285 12 12 3 18 2.86
869 13.29 10.725 11 12 4 18 2.79
484 12.42 10.14 10 12 2 18 2.90
3314 12.28 10.145 10 10 2 18 2.77
2607 12.16 10.105 10 12 4 18 2.90
816 12.12 10.355 10 12 3 18 2.90
303 12.02 9.89 10 10 2 16 2.80
2729 10.51 9.385 10 10 0 16 2.70
1370 10.51 9.715 10 10 2 19 3.11
1391 10.51 9.315 9 8 2 19 2.93
708 10.38 9.16 9 8 2 16 2.93
3929 10.19 9.18 9 8 2 16 2.77
1923 10.06 9.07 9 10 2 18 2.80
3974 9.79 9.19 9 8 2 22 2.85
3637 9.62 8.865 8 8 2 16 2.93
75 9.36 8.39 8 10 2 16 2.84
1647 9.28 8.44 8 8 2 18 2.72
1168 8.20 7.85 8 8 0 15 2.76
433 7.94 7.915 8 8 2 16 2.65
3142 7.34 7.555 8 8 0 14 2.78
2559 6.74 7.395 8 8 0 14 2.93
1626 6.13 6.48 6 6 0 15 2.75
1811 5.32 6.555 6 8 0 16 2.82
1672 4.80 6.21 6 6 0 12 2.54
3515 3.58 5.75 6 6 0 14 2.54