Thread: Success Metric
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Unread 07-05-2012, 10:50
Andrew Schreiber Andrew Schreiber is offline
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Re: Success Metric

Quote:
Originally Posted by zzzag View Post
Is this possible, how accurate is it, and what is the formula to calculate it?
Is it possible? Sure, you can create a function to rank teams.

How accurate? Depends on your function and what accuracy you consider important. Is your goal to say who wins each match or to say by how much? Who wins can be pretty decent accuracy (well, higher than flipping a coin).

Formula? There is the kicker. Is it based on scoring? On strategy? Past performance?

People have been trying to do this with the OPR system (search how to solve for this) but it is not terribly accurate this year. (Co-Op Bridge is the most notable reason but the limited number of game pieces also factors in)

Ultimately though, humans are driving these machines so there is that factor as well. You also have to understand that an alliance is NOT the sum of its parts but is, in fact, greater or less than that.
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