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I don't think the game design committee would make that happen if it has been 2 alliances for the longest time
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Bottom line the game design committe likes to impress. They want the game to be fun to play and fun to watch. They want there to be suspense, anticipation, and excitement. While, yes, using the same alliance setup as last year is easy, what happened in past years doesnt mean certain things cant change. If I was on the GDC, I would love to suprise the heck out of everyone (and rick roll you all). While logistics and practicality may stop me from doing so, Id still like to do it. Plus it would make for some interesting strategy.
While I agree that I think we will have 2 alliances in 2013, anything is possible.