Quote:
Originally Posted by dcarr
And then Wildcards may push it up to or over again...
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Wildcards can only consume the slots allocated for in the math above, and only for teams that have previously won an event (not CA/RAS/EI). I forget the exact numbers, but FIRST published data that said the acceptance rate to attend CMP was much higher last year than previously seen. I think they said something like 85-90% of qualified teams ended up attending, which was higher than historical precedent suggested.
That's the likely cause for the elimination of open registration slots (along with general growing pains outlined above). FIRST wants to have a good idea of exactly how many qualified teams are going to attend before accepting non-award winners. Just like college acceptances and waitlists.
There are 33 teams currently registered for CMP (HOF, Sustaining, Einstein). There are 378 more spots possible across the 58 regionals/MI/MAR. So assuming that everyone accepts, the currently registered teams don't win a banner, and there are no double winners (CA/RAS/EI & Regional, etc), that's 411 teams. I may be fuzzy on the wildcard slots, but I think it only applies to a team that previously won an event, not preregistration or CA/EI/RAS.
I think we'll be comfortably under 400 teams qualifying, even a 90% conversion of those 378 possible slots gives us 373 teams at CMP. Then it all comes down to how many teams FIRST actually wants at CMP.
Does anyone have data (Mark?) for how many teams preregistered for CMP last year?