Quote:
Originally Posted by Ian Curtis
Way cool that people (besides me) care about this! Here is the Predict The Average Score threads from the past several years.
Why did you choose the average winning score? Historically there is a pretty significant difference between the distribution of winning scores and the distribution of losing scores (in terms of shape and mean/median) -- but isn't it enough to score the losing alliance's score + 1? |
In a perfect world yes, but I like to build in a little bit of room for error. I find this statistic to be more accurate as a reliable goal. It balences out low outliers like aliances that score 0...
I have the feeling that the elite teams will be very very elite this year I can not wait to watch championships and posibilities of 3 30 point hangs.