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Unread 17-01-2013, 08:46
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AKA: Mike Coyle
FRC #2851 (Crevolution)
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Join Date: Feb 2010
Rookie Year: 2009
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Re: The Great Database

Quote:
Originally Posted by IKE View Post
I love the idea of "the Great Database", but sometimes statistics are not the most accurate measure of a teams impact as well.

In 2010, I know a team that scored 11 goals in 1 match. Most other matches they were under 2. The reason was that they were fed balls. It turns out when partnered with the "non-scoring" but passing team, others had such success.
In basketball, often a good player will get stronger defense applied to them. Sometimes even double-teammed while the player scores less, his team will actually score more as the other players are more lightly defended. In basketball, they are starting to use a metric called +/- that accounts for this.
This year, I suspect OPR or CCWM or LS will have a close correlation to team performance. It might have the closest correlation since 2008 in which it was was an earily accurrate predicter.

*Brownie points for why I bolded team.
This is so true. I am still trying to figure out how it happened, but in 2008, team 148 was the 3rd bot on the 1st seed alliance with 1114 and 217. I am assuming people didn't pick 148 because they couldn't handle a track ball? But their contribution to wins had to have been ridiculous. They were the best 3rd bot in the world that year (both by opinion and their championship banner) and they were completely overlooked by 7 alliances. Maybe there will be a robot who can feed disks to bots who can pick up off the ground fast letting them not have to take the time to go to the feeder station? Maybe there will be a bot who can assist robots in a 30 point climb with ease?

Every year I ask myself: "Who is gonna make a bot like 469 from 2010?" but a more realistic question is "Who is gonna be the next Tumbleweed?"
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