View Single Post
  #42   Spotlight this post!  
Unread 25-01-2013, 22:44
Ian Curtis Ian Curtis is offline
Best Available Data
FRC #1778 (Chill Out!)
Team Role: Engineer
 
Join Date: Feb 2005
Rookie Year: 2004
Location: Puget Sound
Posts: 2,521
Ian Curtis has a reputation beyond reputeIan Curtis has a reputation beyond reputeIan Curtis has a reputation beyond reputeIan Curtis has a reputation beyond reputeIan Curtis has a reputation beyond reputeIan Curtis has a reputation beyond reputeIan Curtis has a reputation beyond reputeIan Curtis has a reputation beyond reputeIan Curtis has a reputation beyond reputeIan Curtis has a reputation beyond reputeIan Curtis has a reputation beyond repute
Re: top ten best teams in FIRST

Quote:
Originally Posted by Basel A View Post
I only have easy access to the past 5 years of data. 1114 and 2056 were ahead of the pack by far. As for OPR, I think it's more trustworthy than any other easily accessible measure of success.
It is insanely impressive how competitive 2056 and 1114 are. Consider we lived in a perfect world, and 2056 had a 95% chance to win any regional they entered. There is still only a 50% chance that they would win all 14! If they had a 90% chance of winning any regional, there is only a 30% chance they would still be undefeated, and if there was an 80% chance of victory only a 5% chance they would remain undefeated. (Suggesting that their true chance of winning is perhaps even higher than 95%)

After discovering this on a lark the other night, I went back and looked at their win percentages. It turns out that since the founding of 2056, they have won over 80% of their matches. I thought that was probably best-in-class, so I calculated the same percentage for 1114 -- they've won about 85%! In 2010 and 2011 combined 1114 could count their total losses and ties on two hands, despite playing in 134 matches!
__________________
CHILL OUT! | Aero Stability & Control Engineer
Adam Savage's Obsessions (TED Talk) (Part 2)
It is much easier to call someone else a genius than admit to yourself that you are lazy. - Dave Gingery

Last edited by Ian Curtis : 25-01-2013 at 23:20. Reason: I accidentally a word.
Reply With Quote