Quote:
Originally Posted by DampRobot
Well, Ian, looks like we both would have made fools of ourselves. We both thought climbing and dumping for 50 would win the vast majority of matches. We were wrong.
I'm just blown away. If this is day one of week one, we could easily see week four scores hit 60 points per alliance. This means all those teams that invested heavily in 30 point climbing, like mine, were dead wrong.
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While a 50 point robot will not win every match, its still a 70th percentile alliance by itself. It also doesn't depend much on what the other alliance does, which may be worth more on Saturday as teams begin to play more effective defense. I am impressed with the number of teams that chose to hang -- I wonder if everyone actually learned their lesson in 2010?
Perhaps the most exciting thing that I didn't include is the rate at which teams are getting better. If you drew a trendline through last year's matches, on average teams were scoring 1.5 times as many points at lunch on Saturday than they were at opening ceremonies on Friday. This year, teams were scoring 1.5 times as many points at close of business today than they were at opening ceremonies today! Assuming that trend continues, not only is this game higher scoring out of the gates, teams are getting better faster.
Tomorrow afternoon should be a wild ride!