[IKE]

Last year's cut-off was around 53 points. As a new event has been added, it will likely be a bit higher. A lot of it depends on who wins chairman's and how many teams repeat win. Contrary to popular belief, repeat wins actually lower the point threshold for the cut-offs. Chairman's on the other hand is non-points, but does effect. Teams that qualify on points and win chairman's lower the cut-off point. Teams that are below the cut-off but win chairman's raise the cut-off slighlty. These are not the fault of the teams, but merely a side effect of how the system currently works.
As I said back in 2009, most people focus too much on the "who is number 1" as opposed to is there good delineation between Number 64 & 65.

My recommendation is for teams to plan like they are going to make it, and then worry about what to do with the extra resources when/if they don't.