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Unread 10-04-2013, 17:20
Jared Russell's Avatar
Jared Russell Jared Russell is offline
Taking a year (mostly) off
FRC #0254 (The Cheesy Poofs), FRC #0341 (Miss Daisy)
Team Role: Engineer
 
Join Date: Nov 2002
Rookie Year: 2001
Location: San Francisco, CA
Posts: 3,080
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Re: An in depth look at the Michigan State Championship

Quote:
Originally Posted by Chris Hibner View Post
Ok, Jared, you have to let us in on your thought process. Your posts have me interested.

There's one reason why I think the #1 seed might not do it this year: the field is so even that many (if not most) of the matches will be a crap shoot. The schedule will be important and there's a decent chance of a surprise team being the #1 seed.
I think the odds are lower than in the past that the #1 seed will be one of the two or three highest scoring robots.

I think the odds are higher than in the past that a better-on-paper alliance can be beaten in the eliminations.

If I multiply out the probabilities, I think it is more likely than not that the #1 seed will not win the event.
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